2023 Predictors Cup - This week: 4X POINTS FINAL WEEK

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Q1: C
Q2: C
Q3: Taylor Swift with Cruel Summer remaining to #1

[jasper0102]

1. B
2. D (kind of a shame cause i’d love for Hozier to get another hit, though i’d prefer if we let Work Song break out of the Bubbling Under)
3. Dua

Nov 7, 2023 1:08:31 GMT -5 neel said:

(If Morgan's team were as chart-obsessed as Taylor and Drake's camps, they probably would have released a video for "Thinkin' Bout Me" by now and easily secured that 2nd No. 1. But, I respect them for letting this one peak on its own).

Tbh I feel they already showed they weren’t all that chart-obsessed when they didn’t give Last Fucking Night a music video (unless the OTAAT sessions count).

[mms82]

1. B
2. C
3. Doja

[rnb]

1. c
2. d
3. taylor swift

[kindofbiased]

1. C
2. D
3. Taylor

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Q1: Dua Lipa
Which other 2023 single will Houdini’s 1st week stream total be closest to? (11/25 chart)
B: Closest to “Slut!” (27.0M streams)

Q2: Northern Attitude
Where will “Northern Attitude” chart on the Hot 100 next week? (11/25 chart)
D: #41 - 100

Q3: Number One
Which artist will spend the most number of weeks at #1? (11/18 - 12/9 chart)
Taylor Swift

[khan]

1. C - Dua Lipa is a pop megastar, don't let anyone tell you otherwise. It just, uh... manifests slower.

2. B - I still can't believe I Remember Everything was able to do what it did.

3. Taylor Swift - I wouldn't be surprised if it was a tie, though.

[fengyu]

Q1: Dua Lipa
C

Q2: Northern Attitude
D

Q3: Number One
Taylor

[85la]

1. C
2. D
3. Taylor Swift

[imbuemyblue]

1. C
2. D
3. T Swift

[1^∞]

1. B
2. C
3. Taylor Swift

[rainie]

1. d
2. d
3. mariah

edit: changed taylor to mariah

[sportytheartist]

1. C
2. D
3. Taylor Swift

[ephelia]

Q1: Dua Lipa
D: Closest to “Paint the Town Red” (13.9M streams)

Q2: Northern Attitude
E: Will not chart

Q3: Number One
Mariah Carey

Note multiple edits

[enwhy]

Tagging those yet to submit - 5 hours to go!

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
†ealsünset
After Minutes
annoymous1
atg
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
Fears in the Fire
greggpo
jhitwild
joshtheking
korbel16
Ling-Ling
neogale

My Predictions:
1. B: Slut! - Well, it's out. I think Houdini sounds great, but it is a little tough to gauge how the public may react. I'm predicting in the 25-30M range, which IMO is very optimistic for Dua. Who knows though, Future Nostalgia was huge.
2. B: #11 - 20 - Going to take the optimistic pov here too. Hozier has been doing big streaming numbers lately, and Noah Kahan is on fire, so there's definite potential
3. Mariah - Feels like a cheap pick tbh, but the case for this is actually pretty simple. Charts are historically weak, Mariah was #5 on the Dec 3 and #2 on the Dec 10 chart last year. Streams on Christmas music are up 20% already this year, and Halloween music was up like 50%. She could easily take every week after Thanksgiving (which would allow her to close in on or maybe even tie the all time #1 record?)

[jhitwild]

1. D
2. C
3. Mariah

[TheOutcast]

1. A
2. C
3. Mariah

could you add me to the tag list?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

1. D
2. D
3. Taylor Swift

[enwhy]

Hey all - no questions this week, we'll pick it up again next week. I should also have a score update ready!

[mms82]

Nobody said Jack Harlow for last week Q3 and I think he’s the most likely winner now haha

[renfield75]

Nov 15, 2023 8:01:50 GMT -5 enwhy said:

Hey all - no questions this week, we'll pick it up again next week. I should also have a score update ready!

Enjoy your time off, appreciate all your efforts keeping this fun thread going!

[enwhy]

First, a big scoreboard update.

May 25: Will “Kill Bill” or “Flowers” ultimately spend more weeks in the Top 10?
“Flowers” outlasted “Kill Bill”, 35 to 28 weeks. Both songs had impressively long runs, but the majority of you had this wrong! A total of 9 of 23, or 39% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia Music Fan rainie Rose "Payola" Nylund †ealsünset tekkenguy for guessing correctly. Each wins 26 points!

Jun 01: a) Will any song on the “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” soundtrack chart on the Hot 100 this year?
Held off on this one because the Dominic Fike song lasted a while on radio. But ultimately the highest-charting song off this soundtrack was “Calling”, which featured NAV and Swae Lee, and peaked just outside the Top 40. A total of 16 of 17, or 94% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking kindofbiased mms82 neel rainie renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 11 points!

Jul 06: Will “Cruel Summer” reach #1 this summer?
It took long enough! “Cruel Summer” officially topped the chart for the first time a few weeks ago, and looks likely to have a solid multi-week run. A total of 18 of 24, or 75% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 atg aznsinger enwhy Fears in the Fire fengyu 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 imbuemyblue jasper0102 jayhawk1117 joshtheking kindofbiased neogale rainie rnb †ealsünset for guessing correctly. Each wins 13 points!

Jul 06: How many Top 10 spots will Drake occupy when his next album releases?
Drake landed 7 top 10s off of “For All The Dogs”, which was actually pretty much in line with expectations - the average guess was 6.9. A total of 8 of 24, or 33% got this one right. Congrats to imbuemyblue jasper0102 jayhawk1117 kindofbiased neel rainie renfield75 Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 30 points!

Jul 13: How many weeks will “vampire” spend in the Top 10 this year?
“Vampire” finishes its Top 10 run with 13 weeks in the Top 10. The majority of you guessed this would run 16+ weeks, so maybe a slight underperformance for Olivia. A total of 6 of 18, or 33% got this one right. Congrats to atg jhitwild joshtheking mms82 rainie renfield75 for guessing correctly. Each wins 30 points!

Jul 27: A) Will Padam chart on the Hot 100 this year?
Padam did not ultimately chart on the Hot 100 or Bubbling Under this year, despite breaking into the Top 30 on pop radio. A total of 14 of 19, or 74% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 greggpo joshtheking kindofbiased mms82 rainie renfield75 Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 14 points!

Jul 27: B) Will Padam chart on the Bubbling Under this year?
A total of 6 of 19, or 32% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ enwhy ephelia joshtheking kindofbiased rainie for guessing correctly. Each wins 32 points!

Aug 24: C) Which single will spend more total weeks in the Top 10, Used To Be Young or SIngle Soon?
“Used To Be Young” wins out here thanks to a strong #8 debut. “Single Soon” will not outpeak its #19 debut. NO ONE predicted this outcome - a lot of points left on the table! A total of 0 of 18, or 0% got this one right.

Sep 21: How many of the 15 songs* on “Scarlet” will chart in the Top 40 on album release week?
2 songs off Scarlet wound up charting in the Top 40. PTTR of course spent the week at #1, while “Agora Hills” opened at #19. A total of 16 of 23, or 70% got this one right (guessed 2-4). Congrats to 85la atg Fears in the Fire fengyu imbuemyblue jasper0102 jhitwild khan kindofbiased korbel16 Ling-Ling mms82 neogale rainie renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 29 points!

Sep 21: How many album-equivalent units will “Scarlet” open with on the BB200?
Scarlet had 72k in its first week, which is fewer than Planet Her, and substantially underperformed the predictions. A total of 7 of 23, or 30% got this one right. Congrats to enwhy Fears in the Fire joshtheking Ling-Ling neel neogale rainie for guessing correctly. Each wins 66 points!

Sep 28: Will Ed Sheeran’s “Autumn Variations” debut at #1 on the BB200?
Sheeran falls short of the #1 with “Autumn Variations.” He debuted at #4 with 62k units - #1 this week was Morgan Wallen with 75k.. A total of 9 of 13, or 69% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la After Minutes Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia jasper0102 renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 29 points!

Sep 28: a) Where will “3D” debut on the Hot 100?
“3D” debuted at #5 thanks to strong digital sales numbers (it dropped 53 spots the following week!). While guesses were spread out, #2-5 was correctly the most common guess. A total of 4 of 13, or 31% got this one right. Congrats to 85la Baby Yoda Hot100Fan fengyu neogale for guessing correctly. Each wins 65 points!

Sep 28: b) How many first-week sales will “3D” achieve?
The Jung Kook / Jack Harlow collab sold 87k in its first week, a tad lower than the most common guess (100-150k). A total of 4 of 15, or 27% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ Baby Yoda Hot100Fan renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 75 points!

Oct 12: How will Bad Bunny’s new album compare to Drake’s on the BB200?
All Predictions:
A: Better Than Drake (1)
B: Between 50-100% of Drake (12)
C: Less than half of Drake (3)[/font]
Bad Bunny’s album performed a good bit worse than “Un Verano”, which may wind up being a career-peak for him. Drake, on the other hand, more or less tied with his previous album “Her Loss.” Bad Bunny sold 184k, which was less than half of Drake’s 402k. A total of 3 of 16, or 19% got this one right. Congrats to enwhy ephelia neel for guessing correctly. Each wins 107 points!

Oct 12: How many spots in the Hot 100 Top 10 will songs from Bad Bunny’s new album occupy?
Just 1 song off Bad Bunny’s new album debuted in the Top 10, “MONACO”. The average prediction here was 3 songs, so fair to say this was an underperformance. A total of 2 of 16, or 13% got this one right. Congrats to enwhy mms82 for guessing correctly. Each wins 160 points!

Oct 19: Will Kali Uchis’s “TE MATA” debut on the Hot 100?
Kali did not debut this song on the Hot 100 or Bubbling Under. A total of 10 of 18, or 56% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ annoymous1 enwhy ephelia Fears in the Fire fengyu imbuemyblue joshtheking renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 36 points!

Oct 19: a) How will MJ’s “Thriller” place on the Halloween chart?
The King of Pop re-entered at #21 this year, just short of the Top 20, despite charting below a number of 1989TV songs. Next year could be the year “Thriller” returns to the Top 10. A total of 9 of 19, or 47% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la enwhy ephelia fengyu mms82 neel rainie renfield75 for guessing correctly. Each wins 42 points!

Oct 19: b) How many Halloween songs will re-enter this year?
BDespite the Taylor album bomb, another song joined the Halloween club this year. “This Is Halloween” charted for the first time ever at #41, making it a record four Halloween entries for 2023. A total of 3 of 19, or 16% got this one right. Congrats to ephelia rainie renfield75 for guessing correctly. Each wins 127 points!

Oct 26: How many Top 10 songs will Taylor chart off 1989 TV?
Taylor charted an amazing 7 songs in the Top 10 (including Cruel Summer, which was not from the new album but still counts). This was better than the average prediction of 5 songs! A total of 2 of 22, or 9% got this one right. Congrats to 85la fengyu for guessing correctly. Each wins 220 points! (gotta love those double points!)

Oct 26: Which re-recorded song (i.e. on the original 1989 album) will debut the highest?
All Predictions: Blank Space (x8) - Style (x14)
No one gets this right! This was an interesting demonstration of how beneficial it can be to have several versions of a song floating around. “Bad Blood” - which is not many people’s favorite 1989 track - wound up netting enough streams between both versions to be the top-debuting rerecording.

Oct 26: 1989 opened with 1,287,000 units in its first week. Will the re-recording exceed this total?
I genuinely wasn’t sure if this was even a good question. My intuition was that there was no chance of this, and this would be an easy 10 points for everyone. Not the case! Taylor manages to outsell the OG version by a lot. 1989TV opens with 1.65M vs 1.29M for the original. A total of 15 of 22, or 68% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la Acid Eyes Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ephelia Fears in the Fire fengyu imbuemyblue jayhawk1117 joshtheking laislabonita mms82 neel Rose "Payola" Nylund TheOutcast for guessing correctly. Each wins 29 points!



Here’s another update on the Pick 3 artist game, through the 11/11 chart.

Top Gainers

• Taylor Swift (16 selections) is just a cheat code for this game. She never stops releasing music. This update adds +560 to her total,which puts her into #1 overall for the first time with 1098 points.
• Drake (joshtheking , mms82 , 1^∞ , Au$tin , Baby Yoda Hot100Fan , ephelia , rnb ) came very close to Taylor’s monster update with his own album bomb. He adds+558 to his total, and will rise to #3 overall with 826 points.
• Bad Bunny (khan , jasper0102 ) was not the most popular pick in this game (perhaps because he released a huge album last year), but he’s done pretty well for himself again. His new album helps him earn him +255, putting him at #5 overall on the year with 450 points.
• J. Cole (gikem , atg ) wasn’t a name I expected to be on here, but his collab with Drake debuted at #1, which is worth a lot. Looks like he has another high-charting Drake collab out this week too, so he’ll likely wind up in the Top 10 overall. This update nets him +99 points, good for #11 overall with 221 points.

Artist Year-To-Date Leaderboard (75+ pts):
1) 1098 (+560) - Taylor Swift (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, big2000, gikem, kindofbiased, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, 1^∞, 85la, enwhy, fengyu, jayhawk1117, renfield75, imhappy259, jasper0102, joshtheking, mms82, rainie)
2) 920 (+32) - Morgan Wallen (Selected by rainie, renfield75)
3) 826 (+558) - Drake (Selected by joshtheking, mms82, 1^∞, Au$tin, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, ephelia, rnb)
4) 457 (+22) - Zach Bryan (Selected by khan, gikem)
5) 450 (+255) - Bad Bunny (Selected by khan, jasper0102)
6) 432 (+16) - Travis Scott (Selected by enwhy, ephelia, imhappy259, rainie)
7) 395 (+18) - Olivia Rodrigo (Selected by 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, 85la, atg, Au$tin, enwhy, ephelia, fengyu, imhappy259, jayhawk1117, khan, mms82, rainie, renfield75, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, jasper0102, joshtheking, kindofbiased, rnb, big2000)
8) 252 (+14) - Luke Combs (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, jasper0102, mms82, renfield75, ephelia)
9) 249 (+9) - Ice Spice (Selected by jasper0102, rnb, jayhawk1117)
10) 242 (+8) - Peso Pluma (Selected by 1^∞)
11) 221 (+99) - J. Cole (Selected by gikem, atg)
12) 193 (+25) - Doja Cat (Selected by 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, enwhy, ephelia, imhappy259, kindofbiased, rnb, 1^∞, 85la, jayhawk1117, joshtheking, renfield75, atg, fengyu, Devil Marlena Nylund)
13) 180 (+13) - Rod Wave (Selected by rnb, 85la, kindofbiased, renfield75)
14) 167 (+49) - 21 Savage (Selected by 85la, joshtheking, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, atg, imhappy259, kindofbiased, rnb)
15) 161 (+32) - SZA (Selected by Devil Marlena Nylund)
16) 161 (+0) - Lil Uzi Vert (Selected by 1^∞, joshtheking)
17) 147 (+1) - Latto (Selected by Devil Marlena Nylund)
18) 136 (+7) - Nicki Minaj (Selected by 1^∞, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, fengyu, imhappy259, jasper0102, 85la, annoymous1, kindofbiased, mms82, renfield75, Devil Marlena Nylund, 🖤𝖇𝖎𝖑𝖑𝖎𝖊𝖎𝖑𝖎𝖘𝖍𝖋𝖆𝖓, joshtheking, khan)
19) 132 (+3) - Grupo Frontera (Selected by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan)
20) 106 (+1) - The Weeknd (Selected by khan)
21) 105 (+8) - Miley Cyrus (Selected by 1^∞, jasper0102, rnb, big2000, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, fengyu, khan, kindofbiased)
22) 102 (+8) - Dua Lipa (Selected by atg, Au$tin, imhappy259, 85la)
23) 99 (+0) - Young Thug (Selected by 1^∞)
24) 95 (+6) - Post Malone (Selected by 85la, enwhy, kindofbiased, renfield75, fengyu, imhappy259, joshtheking, rainie, rnb, annoymous1, JukeboxJacob, mms82, Devil Marlena Nylund)
25) 92 (+1) - Future (Selected by annoymous1, joshtheking, khan, rainie, jasper0102, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, rnb)
26) 81 (+7) - Karol G (Selected by Devil Marlena Nylund)


Click here to see full selections & scores
And here’s the scoreboard update! A pretty exciting update, as joshtheking breaks up the Top 2 for the first time since March! rainie and mms82 find themselves tied at #3, while Baby Yoda Hot100Fan and 1^∞ see big gains in the Top 10. Still anyone’s game going into the final month!

Scoreboard

[enwhy]

This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Nov 23)

Q1: AIWFCIY
Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” has become a staple at #1 these past few years. This year, she is looking to expand on AIWFCIY’s now 12 weeks at #1.
2022 - 4 weeks at #1 (blocked 1 week by Anti-Hero)
2021 - 3 weeks (blocked 1 week by Easy On Me)
2020 - 2 weeks (blocked 1 week by Willow)
How many weeks will AIWFCIY chart at #1 this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6* charts)
*For holiday questions, I’ll extend the “end-date” out a week longer than usual, since the peak week (Christmas) is actually dated as a 2024 chart

Q2: Greedy
Tate McRae’s “greedy” is flying up the charts, and is projected to break into the Top 5 before the holiday takeover. She has a lot of momentum on streaming, and is fast-gaining on radio. However, Jack Harlow’s “Lovin On Me” looks like it will be tough competition.
Will “greedy” spend at least 1 week as the #1 non-holiday song this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)

Q3: Agora Hills
Doja’s next single “Agora Hills” is also on its way up the chart. It’s projected to rise up to #15 this week, mostly off of streams. As it picks up momentum on the radio, this could be one to watch going into 2024.
Will “Agora Hills” spend at least 1 week in the Top 5 non-holiday songs this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
1^∞
85la
Acid Eyes
annoymous1
atg
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
Rose "Payola" Nylund
ephelia
Fears in the Fire
fengyu
imbuemyblue
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
jhitwild
joshtheking
khan
kindofbiased
laislabonita
mms82
neel
neogale
rainie
renfield75
rnb
sportytheartist
TheOutcast
whaleblubber
WolfSpear

[rnb]

1. 4
2. yes
3. no

also the question about the beatles last time I think I was the only one who got it wrong 😭 so dumb 

[sportytheartist]

1. 4
2. no, but I feel Lovin On Me will be #1 in December
3. no

[mms82]

1. 3
2. no
3. no

[Fears in the Fire]

1. 4
2. Yes
3. Yes

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Awesome! I broke into the top 20! I'll take what I can get.

Q1: AIWFCIY
How many weeks will AIWFCIY chart at #1 this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6* charts)
4

Q2: Greedy
Will “greedy” spend at least 1 week as the #1 non-holiday song this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)
No

Q3: Agora Hills
Will “Agora Hills” spend at least 1 week in the Top 5 non-holiday songs this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)
No

[jasper0102]

1. 4 (i probably would've said 5 a few weeks ago but i feel Jack can hold on for another week)
2. No
3. No

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Q1: 4 weeks
Q2: No
Q3: No (but probably would happen after the Holiday songs domination)