renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 19, 2023 13:23:14 GMT -5
1.4...looks like Jack and Drake will stop her from getting 5 this year
2.No
3.No
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85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,919 
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Post by 85la on Nov 19, 2023 20:46:02 GMT -5
1. 4
2. No
3. No
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1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Nov 20, 2023 13:32:58 GMT -5
1. 2
2. Yes
3. Yes
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fengyu
Charting
Joined: August 2020
Posts: 290
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Post by fengyu on Nov 20, 2023 16:52:14 GMT -5
Q1: AIWFCIY
How many weeks will AIWFCIY chart at #1 this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6* charts)
4
Q2: Greedy
Will “greedy” spend at least 1 week as the #1 non-holiday song this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)
yes.
Q3: Agora Hills
Will “Agora Hills” spend at least 1 week in the Top 5 non-holiday songs this year? (11/25 - 12/30 chart)
no.
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Post by whaleblubber on Nov 21, 2023 0:41:41 GMT -5
1. 5
2. Yes
3. No
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,785
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Nov 21, 2023 17:06:55 GMT -5
1. 5 (might end up changing this to 4 tho -- to be clear, this option means that aiwfciy would have to be the #1 from 12/9-1/6, right ?) 2. no 3. yes also not to nitpick but 1. a 2. 3 edit: misread the choices, was trying to choose the "bad bunny will score less then 50% of drake's album sales" not the "bad bunny will sell more then drake" option ! i don't think i got credit for selecting the "bad bunny will score less then 50% of drake's album sales" option ? cool to see the big scoreboard update though, even if i dropped out of second :,( |
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Nov 22, 2023 11:01:57 GMT -5
1. 5 (might end up changing this to 4 tho -- to be clear, this option means that aiwfciy would have to be the #1 from 12/9-1/6, right ?) 2. no 3. yes also not to nitpick but 1. a 2. 3 edit: misread the choices, was trying to choose the "bad bunny will score less then 50% of drake's album sales" not the "bad bunny will sell more then drake" option ! i don't think i got credit for selecting the "bad bunny will score less then 50% of drake's album sales" option ? cool to see the big scoreboard update though, even if i dropped out of second :,( oh yeah i was reading quick - changed it on my scoreboard, you're no longer in a tie for 3rd place. as for the mariah question, yes it would have to be every week starting 12/9 |
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
Joined: April 2020
Posts: 1,562
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 22, 2023 16:45:24 GMT -5
1. 3
2. Yes
3. No
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Post by imbuemyblue on Nov 22, 2023 17:37:42 GMT -5
1. 4
2. no
3. no
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Nov 23, 2023 13:11:42 GMT -5
Responses due tonight - tagging those who haven't submitted: My predictions: 1. 4 2. Yes 3. No |
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khan
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2020
Posts: 1,106
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Post by khan on Nov 23, 2023 13:41:43 GMT -5
1. 3 - I'm starting to doubt Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree's chances now, sadly.
2. No - This is basically a coin flip, but I think Lovin on Me will have the legs.
3. Yes - I'm surprised everyone is saying no to this. This seems like it'd be really easy for Agora Hills to nab.
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kindofbiased
Platinum Member
Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759 
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Post by kindofbiased on Nov 23, 2023 14:20:29 GMT -5
1. 4
2. No, I think it's gonna be stuck behind Lovin' On Me this month but once January comes around they're gonna be fighting for the #1
3. No, but I think it could make the top 5 in January
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TheOutcast
Charting
I’m a Christian, but I’m not perfect
Joined: October 2023
Posts: 362
Pronouns: He/Him
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Post by TheOutcast on Nov 23, 2023 14:55:16 GMT -5
1. 3
2. Yes
3. No
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Nov 23, 2023 23:47:23 GMT -5
Q1: AIWFCIY
5
Q2: Greedy
No
Q3: Agora Hills
No
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neel
Gold Member
Joined: February 2023
Posts: 570
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Post by neel on Nov 24, 2023 0:33:29 GMT -5
1. 4
2. Nope
3. Nope
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 24, 2023 0:53:38 GMT -5
1. 5
2. No
3. No
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Nov 28, 2023 20:37:54 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Nov 30)As December rolls around, the Christmas takeover has begun on the Hot 100. This week, we’ll play some Predict The Peaks with a few of the big holiday hits. With just a few weeks to go, I’m going to raise the stakes again: 4x points are up for grabs this week, so 100 points if you guess closest, and 200 if you’re dead on! Q1: Rockin' Around The Christmas TreeRATCT has famously been blocked from the #1 spot for 4 consecutive years now. Brenda Lee, now 78 and 65 years removed from the recording of her biggest hit, is promoting RATCT this year. Is competing with Mariah a futile effort, or could Brenda Lee finally dethrone the queen of Christmas? Either way, this is probably the most compelling narrative among the Hot 100 holiday hits. Last 5 years peaks (Old->New): - 9 - 2 - 2 - 2 - 2 What will be the peak position for Brenda Lee’s “Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)Q2: Last ChristmasWham! continued their steady gains last year with a new Top 4 peak on “Last Christmas.” Then, the song went super-viral on TikTok last January, spending several weeks as the most-heard song. The latest predictions show it within 1% of the #3 spot on the 12/9 chart - can it rise to a new peak this year? Last 5 years peaks (Old->New): 25 - 11 - 9 - 7 - 4 What will be the peak position for Wham!’s “Last Christmas” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)Q3: Underneath the TreeLast 5 years peaks (Old->New): - 44 - 31 - 12 - 13 - 14 Kelly Clarkson’s modern Christmas classic reached its peak of #12 in the 2020 season, and has actually slipped a couple spots in the seasons since (“Sleigh Ride” & “Santa Tell Me”) have eclipsed it in recent years. Can it finally break into the Top 10 this year? What will be the peak position for Kelly Clakson’s “Underneath the Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)Q4: Santa Tell MeLast 5 years peaks (Old->New): 17 - 18 - 12 “Santa Tell Me” saw a big jump last year, nearly landing it in the Top 10. With it being 3 years now (ugh) since Ariana has last released new music, maybe fans are playing anything they can? Early predictions show this being competitive for the Top 10 again this year. What will be the peak position for Ariana Grande’s “Santa Tell Me” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
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Acid Eyes
Diamond Member
Joined: June 2007
Posts: 10,914
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Post by Acid Eyes on Nov 28, 2023 20:47:33 GMT -5
Going to aim to be optimistic this year, given the weakness of the rest of the chart. #everyonegetsaturnin2023
Q1: RATCT hits #1 this year.
Q2: Last Christmas hits #3 this year (could see it flipping back and forth with JBR).
Q3: Underneath the Tree hits #10 at some point.
Q4: Santa Tell Me hits #10 at some point (similarly with LC & JBR, I could see UtT & STM flipping back and forth a bit).
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,785
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Nov 28, 2023 20:53:04 GMT -5
1. 2
2. 3
3. 10
4. 9
edit: swapped around my predictions a bit
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sportytheartist
2x Platinum Member
High schooler who loves pop/rnb/hip-hop and charts!
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Post by sportytheartist on Nov 28, 2023 22:37:10 GMT -5
Q1: Yes, I believe she will have 1 week at #1.
Q2: I feel like Last Christmas will stay at #4.
Q3: Underneath The Tree will be walking around the top 10-15 spot through the holiday season.
Q4: I feel like “Santa Tell Me” can make the top 10 somewhere as we get closer to Christmas Day
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rnb
2x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2022
Posts: 2,678
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by rnb on Nov 28, 2023 22:38:28 GMT -5
1. #1
2. #3
3. #9
4. #11
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Nov 28, 2023 23:38:31 GMT -5
1. 1
2. 3
3. 9
4. 9
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
Unsteady Weirdo
𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 10,809
My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Nov 28, 2023 23:39:48 GMT -5
Q1: #1
Q2: #3 (it's what Last Christmas deserves)
Q3: #10
Q4: #7
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renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 28, 2023 23:59:59 GMT -5
1. #2...she has the Spotify lead but Mariah is ahead on every other platform/metric. I'm rooting for Brenda to get a week on top though!
2. #3
3. #12
4. #11
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jhitwild
Bubbling Under
Joined: June 2023
Posts: 16
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Post by jhitwild on Nov 29, 2023 2:29:04 GMT -5
Q1. 1
Q2: 3
Q3: 7
Q4: 10
stm and utt could go either way honestly really interested to see where the new gen holiday music ends up overall
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Post by laislabonita on Nov 29, 2023 4:24:24 GMT -5
1. I have a strong feeling Brenda might block Mariah this year (at least for a week). RATC is higher on Spotify US and the gap is around 300K and this has never happened before
2. Yes, #3
3. It’s already predicted for #15 next week.. it’ll reach the top 10 easily
4. It’s right behind UTT I think it will go top 10 too
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Post by imbuemyblue on Nov 29, 2023 8:14:16 GMT -5
1. #1
2. #3
3. #10
4. #10
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fengyu
Charting
Joined: August 2020
Posts: 290
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Post by fengyu on Nov 29, 2023 15:49:00 GMT -5
Q1: Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
What will be the peak position for Brenda Lee’s “Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart) #1
Q2: Last Christmas
What will be the peak position for Wham!’s “Last Christmas” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart) #4
Q3: Underneath the Tree
What will be the peak position for Kelly Clakson’s “Underneath the Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart) #10
Q4: Santa Tell Me
What will be the peak position for Ariana Grande’s “Santa Tell Me” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart) #10
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Nov 29, 2023 20:06:23 GMT -5
4x the points?! A chance to make some gains! (tho probably not)
Q1: Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
What will be the peak position for Brenda Lee’s “Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
#1
I think she will go all the way this year, even if just for a week.
Q2: Last Christmas
What will be the peak position for Wham!’s “Last Christmas” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
Let's say... yeah. #3
Q3: Underneath the Tree
What will be the peak position for Kelly Clakson’s “Underneath the Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
I wish it would break into the top 10. It's the best new xmas song this side of AIWFCIY!
#13
Q4: Santa Tell Me
What will be the peak position for Ariana Grande’s “Santa Tell Me” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
#12
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1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Nov 30, 2023 11:41:00 GMT -5
1. 2
2. 3
3. 11
4. 11
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