enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Mar 22, 2023 21:46:28 GMT -5
1 more day for these! Tagging those who haven't submitted yet: Rose "Payola" Nylund - don't forget to add your 3 artist picks! |
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rainie
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the future disappears into memory
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Post by rainie on Mar 22, 2023 22:58:26 GMT -5
For the 4 albums mentioned (Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, Luke Combs, Fall Out Boy):
a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart? combs
b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart? combs
c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart
combs and rosalia + rauw
also for the 3 artists i'm going with bailey zimmerman, pinkpanthress, and newjeans
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fengyu
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Post by fengyu on Mar 23, 2023 0:58:51 GMT -5
Pick 3: Bailey Zimmerman, PinkPantheress, GAYLE
For the 4 albums mentioned (Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, Luke Combs, Fall Out Boy):
a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart? Lana
b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart? Luke Combs
c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart? Luke, Lana, Rauw/Rosalia, FOB
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mms82
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Post by mms82 on Mar 23, 2023 12:29:15 GMT -5
Pick 3: Bailey Zimmerman, PinkPantheress, GAYLE For the 4 albums mentioned (Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, Luke Combs, Fall Out Boy): a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart? Lana b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart? Luke Combs c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart? Luke, Lana, Rauw/Rosalia, FOB I actually think Gayle might be a good choice — opening for Taylor will give her major visibility if she drops a new project. who knows maybe it'll be a duet with TS and go number one lol |
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Mar 23, 2023 13:12:54 GMT -5
1. Bailey Zimmerman, Steve Lacy, GloRilla
2a. Luke Combs
2b. Luke Combs
2c. Luke Combs, Rauw/Rosalia
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Mar 23, 2023 13:28:47 GMT -5
1 more day for these! Tagging those who haven't submitted yet: Rose "Payola" Nylund - don't forget to add your 3 artist picks! Oh I get to add more? I picked 3 artists in February so I thought that was it for that portion. Oops |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Mar 23, 2023 13:29:53 GMT -5
Latto, Pink Pantherssss and Tems!
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atg
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Post by atg on Mar 23, 2023 13:33:30 GMT -5
1. - PinkPantheress
- GloRilla
- Steve Lacy
2.
a. Luke Combs
b. Luke Combs
c. Rauw/Rosalia / Luke Combs / Lana
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ephelia
Charting
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Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Mar 23, 2023 15:52:59 GMT -5
Q1: Pick 3 (part 3)
Bizarrap, SEVENTEEN, Tems
Q2: New Albums
a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart?
Luke Combs
b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?
Rauw/Rosalia
c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?
All but Fall Out Boy
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rnb
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Post by rnb on Mar 23, 2023 16:11:15 GMT -5
also enwhy apologies if I didn’t understand the pick 3 rules correctly, but I think people like zach bryan and sza should have more than 5 points since their songs lasted longer than a week so should have more points than 5 |
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Mar 23, 2023 17:08:34 GMT -5
1. PinkPanthress, GloRilla, Bailey Zimmerman
2a. Luke Combs
2b. Luke Combs
2c. everyone but Fall Out Boy
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 23, 2023 17:16:22 GMT -5
1. Bailey Zimmerman, Steve Lacy, Tems
2. a. Luke Combs
b. Luke Combs
c. Luke Combs, Rauw/ Rosalia, Lana
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1^∞
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Post by 1^∞ on Mar 23, 2023 21:24:16 GMT -5
had a cheeky little edit to my 3 artists !
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Mar 23, 2023 22:33:41 GMT -5
1. Bailey Zimmerman , Rauw Alejandro, Grupo Frontera (that's my dark horse pick)
2. a. Gettin' Old
b. Gettin' Old
c. Did You Know That There’s a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd, RR, Gettin' Old
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Mar 26, 2023 11:34:53 GMT -5
also enwhy apologies if I didn’t understand the pick 3 rules correctly, but I think people like zach bryan and sza should have more than 5 points since their songs lasted longer than a week so should have more points than 5 Great question! So based on the way I wrote the original rules, you only get points for your 1st week in the top 10, top 40, etc. But as artists have started to accumulate points, I realize this doesn't make much sense. A song that charts below the Top 40 for half the year is obviously more of a hit than a 1 week Top 40 peak. So while I'm not a fan of changing the rules at this stage, I do think I badly need to finetune the point system to reward longevity. Here is how the updated "Pick 3" points system will work: - 50 Points for reaching #1
- 20 Points for reaching Top 10
- 10 Points for reaching Top 40
- 5 Points for reaching Top 100
- 10 Points for each additional week at #1
- 5 Points for each additional week at #2-10 (NEW)
- 2 Points for each additional week at #11-40 (NEW)
- 1 Point for each additional week at #41-100 (NEW)
This should help balance things out. For example, "Dawns" by Zach Bryan has now earned 11 points (previously 5), for spending 7 weeks outside the Top 40. I've retroactively applied this system to all weeks so far, and updated through 3/25 (now includes Miley's album week). Here's how this impacts the artist leaderboard. You may notice that this makes Morgan Wallen's total look even more insurmountable now. However, this system should make it easier for other artists to catch up throughout the year (without releasing 36 new songs!). 462 - Morgan Wallen (Selected by rainie, renfield75) 30 - Miley Cyrus (Selected by rnb, jasper0102, 1^∞, big2000, khan, 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎, kindofbiased, fengyu) 26 - Luke Combs (Selected by renfield75, mms82, jasper0102, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, ephelia) 25 - Rihanna (Selected by ephelia, jayhawk1117) 11 - Zach Bryan (Selected by khan, gikem) 9 - Lil Baby (Selected by khan, mms82) 9 - SZA (Selected by Rose Wintur) 9 - YoungBoy NBA (Selected by imhappy259) 8 - Lil Uzi Vert (Selected by joshtheking, 1^∞) 5 - J. Cole (Selected by gikem, atg) 5 - Polo G (Selected by mms82, enwhy) Click here to see full selections & scores
8 Predictors selected Miley for the Pick 3, and all 8 of you gained in position! Scoreboard1 (=) renfield75 637 2 (=) rainie 601 3 (▲6) jasper0102 211 4 (▼1) ephelia 206 4 (=) mms82 206 6 (▲7) khan 189 7 (▲4) kindofbiased 183 7 (▲4) rnb 183 9 (▼2) Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 182 10 (▼4) imhappy259 175 11 (▼6) atg 171 12 (▼5) joshtheking 164 13 (▼3) enwhy 157 14 (▲2) 1^∞ 150 15 (▲3) 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎 143 16 (▼2) 85la 135 17 (▼2) Rose Wintur 134 18 (▲2) fengyu 121 19 (▼2) annoymous1 115 20 (▼1) jayhawk1117 96 21 (=) M5AGTS 85 22 (=) JukeboxJacob 82 23 (=) Music Fan 68 24 (=) Au$tin 64 25 (▲3) big2000 40 |
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Mar 26, 2023 11:39:16 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thurs, March 30)Q1: Country at #1Morgan Wallen landed “Last Night” at #1 a couple of weeks ago. His achievement marked only the 5th country #1 of the century. It’s also the first solo male country hit in over 40 years! Safe to say, Wallen has broken through in a way that most modern country stars have not been able. Is this the start of a trend, or an interesting one-off? Will an artist besides Morgan Wallen have a #1 country song in 2023? (Thru 12/30 chart)Q2: 2021 vs 2022Each year, Billboard comes out with a year-end list of the top artists, based on “an artist's chart performance on the Billboard Hot 100, Billboard 200 and Boxscore touring revenue.” For this question, we’re pitting the 2022 top artists vs the 2021 top artists!* Which group will perform better in 2023? 2021 Top 5: Drake, Olivia Rodrigo, The Weeknd, Morgan Wallen, Ariana Grande 2022 Top 5: Bad Bunny, Taylor Swift, Harry Styles, Doja Cat, Ed Sheeran Will the 2021 Top 5 or 2022 Top 5 artists have a higher average rank on the 2023 Billboard Artist 100 Year-End?*As a technical note, several artists appeared on both lists and I had to break the ties. 2021 got Drake (higher rank) & Morgan Wallen (same rank, 1st appearance), while 2022 got Taylor (higher rank)Q3: BlackjackCredit to 1^∞ for the idea for this one. Blackjack, for those unfamiliar, is a card game where you draw cards to get the highest possible total without exceeding 21. In our game, we’ll play something similar: The goal is to pick a song you think will peak the highest, without entering the Top 20! (Your ideal pick would peak at #21). To make this a little more fun, the “end-date” will be set for 3 months from now…we’ll look at each song’s all-time peak (even if it occurred before this week). You may select any currently-charting song, as of 4/1 chart. Here are some contenders to help you choose: Escapism: #22 Peak, #23 Last Week Going, Going, Gone: #23 Peak, #27 Last Week Until I Found You: #23 Peak, #28 Last Week Wait In The Truck: #23 Peak, #42 Last Week Sure Thing: #24 Peak, #24 Last Week Bebe Dame: #25 Peak, #47 Last Week Painting Pictures: #25 Peak, #53 Last Week Snooze: #29 Peak, #35 Last Week Heart Like A Truck: #29 Peak, #38 Last Week River: #32 Peak, #32 Last Week Favorite Song: #36 Peak, #36 Last Week What current song will peak the highest, without entering the Top 20? (Thru 7/1 chart)*
*This one is worth 50 points for an solo winner, or 25 each for multiple winners
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rnb
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Post by rnb on Mar 26, 2023 12:27:08 GMT -5
1. no
2. 2021
3. snooze (a guess cuz this is really hard lmao)
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khan
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Post by khan on Mar 26, 2023 15:39:16 GMT -5
1. No - Even Morgan Wallen couldn't hold onto that spot for more than a week. His best competition, Luke Combs, just released an album which is performing really well but clearly isn't getting that #1.
2. 2021 - Drake, the Weeknd, and Morgan Wallen are just evergreen picks for a question like this. Though Taylor's presence on the 2022 list means it's gonna be close.
3. Escapism - I made a prediction a little bit ago in this very thread that #22 would be its peak, so I might as well stick to that.
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Mar 26, 2023 19:47:28 GMT -5
1. No...probably the only person who could do it right now is Morgan himself and I don't see him releasing any all-new singles after dropping a 36 song album
2.2021...Taylor's boxscore will make this tough but I think more of 2021's acts will have high profile releases this year
3.Escapism...everything else on the list has likely already peaked lower or will crack the top 20
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85la
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Posts: 3,919
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Post by 85la on Mar 26, 2023 21:36:50 GMT -5
1. Yes. Changing my answer on account of Taylor possibly releasing. enwhy I think Last Night is actually the 5th country Hot 100 #1 this century (the first being Lonestar's Amazed in 2000 and the second Carrie Underwood's Inside Your Heaven in 2005), but yes it's still quite rare, happening only once every several years! 2. 2021. Usually the top artists from just the previous year don't rank so highly the next, and though Taylor could put up a strong hold, I can't see any of the others from 2022 doing so, and with Morgan already performing strongly and Olivia due to release (and maybe Ariana), that should outweigh it. 3. Escapism - going with this because it seems to have probably already peaked the closest to #21. |
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jasper0102
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I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
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Post by jasper0102 on Mar 26, 2023 21:42:48 GMT -5
1. Yes (changing this because there’s a chance Speak Now(Taylor’s Version) drops this year)
2. 2021
3. Escapism. Most of these songs have peaked and the only 2 that likely haven’t (Sure Thing and Favorite Song) will probably peak in the top 20.
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mms82
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Post by mms82 on Mar 27, 2023 9:50:31 GMT -5
1. Yes (presuming Speak Now (Taylor’s Version) songs count, I bet she’ll pull out stops to get an Enchanted #1)
2. 2021
3. Escapism
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1^∞
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Post by 1^∞ on Mar 27, 2023 12:25:00 GMT -5
Woohoo my idea!!
1. No
2. 2022, it's gonna be close but Taylor Swift, Ed Sheeran and Doja Cat if she releases anything are gonna be massive
3. Wait in the Truck
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Mar 27, 2023 12:40:22 GMT -5
1. Yes - Speak Now is coming, and Taylor is somehow commercially bigger than ever. The original Speak Now was considered Country at the time by Billboard, and so I expect the same treatment for the Taylor's Version. She will pull out all the stops to get a #1, and frankly, who can stop her?
2. 2022 - This depends IMO on Doja releasing new music and Drake/Olivia having quiet years. All of that seems plausible to me, although this will probably be close.
3. Going, Going, Gone - I still have faith that Escapism will eek out a top 20 peak in the next couple of weeks.
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Mar 27, 2023 12:45:03 GMT -5
I think Last Night is actually the 5th country Hot 100 #1 this century (the first being Lonestar's Amazed in 2000 and the second Carrie Underwood's Inside Your Heaven in 2005), but yes it's still quite rare, happening only once every several years, so I doubt it'll happen again this year! Ah, thank you for the correction! I was going off of Last Week's Billboard list of songs which hit #1 on the Hot Country chart and the Hot 100. The Country chart must have had a different methodology back then, as the Carrie Underwood song didn't even reach the top 10 on Country, despite being #1 on the Hot 100. |
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85la
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Post by 85la on Mar 27, 2023 12:56:40 GMT -5
I think Last Night is actually the 5th country Hot 100 #1 this century (the first being Lonestar's Amazed in 2000 and the second Carrie Underwood's Inside Your Heaven in 2005), but yes it's still quite rare, happening only once every several years, so I doubt it'll happen again this year! Ah, thank you for the correction! I was going off of Last Week's Billboard list of songs which hit #1 on the Hot Country chart and the Hot 100. The Country chart must have had a different methodology back then, as the Carrie Underwood song didn't even reach the top 10 on Country, despite being #1 on the Hot 100. Yes, the list they provided must have been from 2012 on, when the Country chart (and most other genre charts) went multi-metric. Before then, it was only airplay! Good point though about Taylor releasing, I didn't think of that, so might change my answer! |
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1^∞
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Post by 1^∞ on Mar 27, 2023 16:44:09 GMT -5
I think Last Night is actually the 5th country Hot 100 #1 this century (the first being Lonestar's Amazed in 2000 and the second Carrie Underwood's Inside Your Heaven in 2005), but yes it's still quite rare, happening only once every several years, so I doubt it'll happen again this year! Ah, thank you for the correction! I was going off of Last Week's Billboard list of songs which hit #1 on the Hot Country chart and the Hot 100. The Country chart must have had a different methodology back then, as the Carrie Underwood song didn't even reach the top 10 on Country, despite being #1 on the Hot 100. Last Week we let the Billboard Talk I could remember everything they said but they haven't said it all |
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annoymous1
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Post by annoymous1 on Mar 27, 2023 18:04:41 GMT -5
1. No
2. 2021
3. Wait In The Truck
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Mar 29, 2023 16:56:08 GMT -5
1. No
2. 2021- Morgan will probably carry
3. Until I Found You
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Mar 29, 2023 17:30:21 GMT -5
Q1: Country at #1Will an artist besides Morgan Wallen have a #1 country song in 2023? (Thru 12/30 chart)No Q2: 2021 vs 20222021 Top 5: Drake, Olivia Rodrigo, The Weeknd, Morgan Wallen, Ariana Grande 2022 Top 5: Bad Bunny, Taylor Swift, Harry Styles, Doja Cat, Ed Sheeran Will the 2021 Top 5 or 2022 Top 5 artists have a higher average rank on the 2023 Billboard Artist 100 Year-End?Imma say 2022 b/c Taylor, but Morgan is a strong force behind 2021. If Drake releases, 2021 will prolly win but I'll stick with 2022. Q3: BlackjackWhat current song will peak the highest, without entering the Top 20? (Thru 7/1 chart)*"Until I Found You"
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