Billboard Hot 100: 09/30/2023

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

-If the predictions come true, not a single Olivia song has spent one week on the Hot 100.
-Tate McRae will get her 2nd top 40 song, 3 years since her first one - YBMF.
-With his new album bomb, Rod Wave will have close to 70 songs on the Hot 100, but still without a top 10 song (Tombstone peaked at #11).

[Choco]

I think Taylo4's best case scenario is beating Midnights' debut number (1.5m). Not even Adele herself can reach those 25 numbers these days.

I think Adele's record will stand until some sort of recalibration happens (i.e. see Drake, record streaming numbers still yield well under 1m units, so there's clearly a ceiling to how high streaming can propel an album).

[85la]

Sept 20, 2023 19:14:05 GMT -5 Choco said:

I think Taylo4's best case scenario is beating Midnights' debut number (1.5m). Not even Adele herself can reach those 25 numbers these days.

I think Adele's record will stand until some sort of recalibration happens (i.e. see Drake, record streaming numbers still yield well under 1m units, so there's clearly a ceiling to how high streaming can propel an album).

I'd say 2 to 2.5 million is within reach. She's probably at her peak popularity now, so I'm guessing this will be her highest-opening album ever (even more than her next original studio album).

[Darkest Hour]

Sept 20, 2023 13:26:29 GMT -5 clsvltn said:

There are a lot of "big" albums coming out basically weekly until the end of the year. Should be a super interesting Q4. Some of my faves/or ones that I expect to do some chart damage lol also idk if all dates are accurate, I havent double checked.[
9/22
Doja Cat "Scarlet"
Staind "Confessions Of The Fallen"

9/29
Ed Sheeran "Autumn Variations"

10/6
Colbie Caillat "Along The Way"
Darius Rucker "Carolyn's Boy"
Drake "For All The Dogs"

10/13
Troye Sivan "Something To Give Each Other"

10/20
Blink-182 "One More Time..."
The Rolling Stones "Hackney Diamonds"

10/27
Taking Back Sunday "152"
Taylor Swift "1989 (Taylor's Version)"

11/3
Jason Aldean "Highway Desperado"
Jimmy Buffett "Equal Strain On All Parts"

11/10
Chris Stapleton "Higher"

11/17
Dolly Parton "Rockstar"
Nicki Minaj "Pink Friday 2"
Plain White T's "Plain White T's"

Sorry but Colbie Caillat, Darius Rucker, Taking Back Sunday and Plain White T's probably will not do much on charts.

Also don't think that Jason Aldean album will be popular minus the SPS from TTIAST.

[thegreatdivine]

Sept 20, 2023 19:32:57 GMT -5 85la said:

Sept 20, 2023 19:14:05 GMT -5 Choco said:

I think Taylo4's best case scenario is beating Midnights' debut number (1.5m). Not even Adele herself can reach those 25 numbers these days.

I think Adele's record will stand until some sort of recalibration happens (i.e. see Drake, record streaming numbers still yield well under 1m units, so there's clearly a ceiling to how high streaming can propel an album).

I'd say 2 to 2.5 million is within reach. She's probably at her peak popularity now, so I'm guessing this will be her highest-opening album ever (even more than her next original studio album).

What are you saying this based on exactly? The album was announced about 6 weeks ago and has moved ~800k in pre-orders units with over half of that happening within 24 hours. It drops in about 5 weeks but most fans have already placed their pre-orders and she has already announced several physical covers/versions of the album to boost sales. I doubt she moves even 200k more in pre-orders from now till the album drops. Maybe an extra 300k units from physical sales from stores the week the album drops.

The album has 21 songs but I don't see it coming close to breaking Midnights' streaming record so best case, it does an extra 300-350k+ units from streaming. That's 1.6-1.7/1.8M units at best. 2.5M is a massive reach and overestimation. Y'all forget this is her THIRD album in about a year.

[85la]

Sept 21, 2023 0:26:48 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Sept 20, 2023 19:32:57 GMT -5 85la said:

I'd say 2 to 2.5 million is within reach. She's probably at her peak popularity now, so I'm guessing this will be her highest-opening album ever (even more than her next original studio album).

What are you saying this based on exactly? The album was announced about 6 weeks ago and has moved ~800k in pre-orders units with over half of that happening within 24 hours. It drops in about 5 weeks but most fans have already placed their pre-orders and she has already announced several physical covers/versions of the album to boost sales. I doubt she moves even 200k more in pre-orders from now till the album drops. Maybe an extra 300k units from physical sales from stores the week the album drops.

The album has 21 songs but I don't see it coming close to breaking Midnights' streaming record so best case, it does an extra 300-350k+ units from streaming. That's 1.6-1.7/1.8M units at best. 2.5M is a massive reach and overestimation. Y'all forget this is her THIRD album in about a year.

It's just my general feeling and what I thought I saw some other posters predicting, but I don't know, the numbers might be more front-loaded than I thought, but we'll see.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 09/19/23

1(=) Drake, SZA - Slime You Out 1,838,988-1,972,314 (-133,326)
2(=) Doja Cat - Paint the Town Red 1,809,240 (+69,053)
3(=) Zach Bryan, Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything 1,569,884 (-17,915)
4(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 1,330,290 (-17,942)
5(=) Olivia Rodrigo - bad idea right? 1,309,361 (-19,581)
6(+1) Gunna - fukumean 1,226,041 (+51,827)
7(-1) Olivia Rodrigo - get him back! 1,145,679 (-31,847)
8(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 1,090,677 (+52,185)
9(=) Morgan Wallen - Last Night 1,049,335 (+14,357)
10(=) Olivia Rodrigo - all-american bitch 999,700 (-30,541) (+14%)

Olivia Rodrigo - GUTS [12/12]
13(=) the grudge 838,832 (-22,242)
18(-1) making the bed 738,587 (-38,952)
20(-1) lacy 726,462 (-36,785)
24(-4) ballad of a homeschooled girl 704,871 (-37,481)
26(-5) logical 691,394 (-38,259)
27(-4) love is embarrassing 686,406 (-25,186)
41(-2) pretty isn't pretty 575,547 (-22,906)
57(-9) teenage dream 487,823 (-30,696)
Total Twelfth Day Streams: 10,234,952 (-3%)

Other:
11(=) Travis Scott - I KNOW ? 919,270 (+46,738)
12(=) Tate McRae - greedy 878,899 (+10,261)
14(+1) SZA - Snooze 810,604 (-13,352)
15(-1) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 807,576 (-1,202)
16(=) Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros, Junior H - LADY GAGA 782,010 (-13,937)
17(+1) Zach Bryan, The War and Treaty - Hey Driver 759,890 (-6,432)
22(+5) KAROL G, Peso Pluma - QLONA 712,206 (+15,384)
23(+3) Luke Combs - Fast Car 705,803 (+5,174)
25(-1) Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? 701,110 (-4,940)
28(+3) Travis Scott, Drake - MELTDOWN 684,057 (+20,579)
29(-1) Oliver Anthony Music - Rich Men North of Richmond 680,805 (-2,471)
30(-1) Jung Kook, Latto - Seven 678,719 (+3,765)
31(+1) Dua Lipa - Dance the Night 677,991 (+20,883)
33(=) Bailey Zimmerman - Religiously 650,885 (+9,031)
34(+2) Nicki Minaj, Ice Spice - Barbie World 646,584 (+18,089)
37(-2) Zach Bryan - Tourniquet 614,726 (-15,203)
38(-1) Kenya Grace - Strangers 611,589 (+3,639)
39(+2) Travis Scott, SZA, Future - TELEKINESIS 588,921 (+5,565)
45(+20) Brent Faiyaz - Clouded 560,674 (+53,571) (+11%) *new peak*
46(-2) Zach Bryan, The Lumineers - Spotless 541,177 (-8,705)
47(=) Travis Scott, Playboi Carti - FE!N 537,907 (+18,348)
50(+14) Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine 503,810 (+34,997) *new peak*
51(+6) Cardi B, Megan Thee Stallion - Bongos 503,735 (+22,634)
53(=) David Kushner - Daylight 496,812 (+259)
56(-2) Zach Bryan - Heading South 489,426 (-5,661)
61(-6) Zach Bryan - East Side of Sorrow 482,231 (-10,341)
64(-6) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 479,004 (-2,086)
66(-1) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 466,775 (+858)
67(+13) Taylor Swift - Style 464,024 (+28,614)
68(=) Taylor Swift - august 462,001 (+1,831)
69(+3) Myke Towers - LALA 461,953 (+11,317)
70(-3) Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me 461,065 (+225)
72(+2) Rod Wave, 21 Savage - Turks & Caicos 453,256 (+5,374)
73(+8) Ice Spice - Deli 450,759 (+18,585)
79(-9) Laufey - From the Start 442,441 (+16,812)
80(-14) PARTYNEXTDOOR - Break from Toronto 440,280 (-21,156)
81(-2) Taylor Swift - cardigan 439,809 (+1,977)
82(+1) Fuerza Regida - SABOR FRESA 437,693 (+5,914)
83(-6) Zach Bryan - Sun to Me 433,889 (-5,744)
88(+2) Noah Kahan, Post Malone - Dial Drunk Remix 428,541 (+4,960)
91(+4) Rema, Selena Gomez - Calm Down 426,490 (+10,051)
94(-8) Peso Pluma, Jasiel Nuñez - LAGUNAS 425,540 (-3,481)
95(-11) Rod Wave - Boyz Don't Cry 425,136 (-6,277)

101(+12) Taylor Swift - Blank Space 413,438 (+17,652)
102(+9) The Weeknd, Playboi Carti, Madonna - Popular 412,728 (+17,652)
103(-4) Peso Pluma, Grupo Frontera - TULUM 410,909 (+308)
109(-4) Miley Cyrus - Used to Be Young 406,231 (+5,692)
110(+38) SZA, Justin Bieber - Snooze (Acoustic) 405,344 (+53,289) (+15%)
112(+4) Taylor Swift - Don't Blame Me 397,425 (+1,4869)
114(+1) Steve Lacy - Infrunami 393,905 (+2,854)
115(-1) Calle 24, Chino Pacas, Fuerza Regida - Que Onda 393,894 (+2,071)
119(+1) Selena Gomez - Single Soon 387,498 (+7,405)
120(-13) juju<3 - Wasted Summers 387,248 (-11,412)
127(-9) Zach Bryakn - Oklahoma Smokeshow 380,140 (-1,886)
129(-1) KAROL G - MI EX TENÍA RAZÓN 378,406 (+10,812)
133(+5) Young Nudy, 21 Savage - Peaches & Eggplants 368,544 (+11,487)
135(-14) Zach Bryan - Fear and Friday's 365,727 (-11,370)
137(-4) Charlie XCX - Speed Drive 364,116 (+732)
150(+12) That Mexican OT, Paul Wall, DRODi - Johnny Dang 351,757 (+18,141)
153(-3) Tyler Childers - All Your'n 343,420 (-4,501)
154(+10) Carin Leon - Primera Cita 342,988 (+9,702)
158(re-entry) Lil Uzi Vert - Flooded the Face 340,598
159(-7) Zach Bryan - Revival 338,742 (-4,726)
163(-14) Rod Wave - Come See Me 334,979 (-16,466)
164(-17) Rod Wave - Call Your Friends 333,690 (-18,391)
170(-15) Peso Pluma, Junior H - LUNA 331,367 (-8,228)
174(-13) Tyler Childers - Feathered Indians 329,358 (-5,054)
178(-11) Peso Pluma, Jasiel Nuñez, Junior H - BIPOLAR 327,513 (-4,312)
179(-25) Olivia Rodrigo - deja vu 326,676 (-13,346)
181(+16) Dave, Central Cee - Sprinter 325,091 (+14332)
183(+5) Richy Mitch & The Coal Miners - Evergreen 322,754 (+6,537)
188(-8) Peso Pluma - RUBICON 320,029 (-1,178)
190(re-entry) Lil Tecca - 500lbs 318,865
191(-19) Odetari, 6lives - I LOVE YOU HOE 318,758 (-9,561)
198(re-entry) Sexyy Red - SkeeYee 315,296

Total Streams for Snooze: 1,215,948 (would be #7 with combined streams)
Total Fifth Day Streams for Rod Wave - Nostalgia [4/18]: 1,547,061 (-19%)

Biggest Gains (50K+): Snooze (Acoustic), Clouded, Cruel Summer, fukumean, Paint the Town Red

[Deleted]

Sept 21, 2023 0:26:48 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Sept 20, 2023 19:32:57 GMT -5 85la said:

I'd say 2 to 2.5 million is within reach. She's probably at her peak popularity now, so I'm guessing this will be her highest-opening album ever (even more than her next original studio album).

The album has 21 songs but I don't see it coming close to breaking Midnights' streaming record so best case, it does an extra 300-350k+ units from streaming. That's 1.6-1.7/1.8M units at best. 2.5M is a massive reach and overestimation. Y'all forget this is her THIRD album in about a year.

First day could happen but the re-recordings are always super frontloaded streaming wise

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Sept 14, 2023 23:00:15 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Mid-Week Releases:

New Singles:
Reverend Kristin Michael Hayter - I WILL BE WITH YOU ALWAYS
Doechii - Pacer
Bleachers - Modern Girl
Chelsea Wolfe - Dusk
MIKE, Wiki, and The Alchemist - Mayors A Cop
Steven Wilson - What Life Brings
Shakira and Fuerza Regida - El Jefe
Troye Sivan - Get Me Started
Model Actriz - Winnipesaukee
Jane Remover - Census Designated
The Joy Formidable - Share My Heat
Melody's Echo Chamber - Le Temple Volant
Kyle Gordon - Ugliest Girl on the Beach
Exociety - FREE
Rome Streetz and Joey Bada$$ - Fire at Ya Idle Mind
bar italia - my little tony
Crawlers - Would You Come to My Funeral
Faye Webster - Lifetime
CHAI - GAME
The Mezingers - Come On Heartache
Namasenda - Masarati
Frost Children - Lethal
Penelope Scott - Gross
The Vaccines - Heartbreak Kid
Eartheater - Crushing
Brent Faiyaz - WY@
Lil Tecca - DEAD OR ALIVE
STONE - If You Wanna
Lowertown - Bline
HotWax - Phone Machine
Bill Ryder-Jones - This Can’t Go On
The Polyphonic Spree - Section 44 (Galloping Seas)
Smoke Fairies - Vanishing Line
YUJU - DALALA
METTE - For the People
The Drums - The Flowers
Bakar - All Night
UNIDOTS - イエス
Johnny Marr - Somewhere
Kevin Atwater - why did you invite me to your wedding
Scene Queen - Pink Push-Up Bra
Frankie Bird - Float
Gurriers - Nausea
Dua Saleh - daylight falls
Vansire - Bushwick Cowboy
HELLO GLOOM - Heaven on Earth
NateWantsToBattle - To Let Go
Ado - DIGNITY
Rolling Quartz - Fearless
TEMPEST - Vroom Vroom / DIVE / Bluetooth
Camellia - Parallel Universe Shifter
Huron John - BLOOD DIAMOND RING
Of Mice & Men - Indigo
poptropicaslutz! - True Colors

New Albums and EPs:
The National - Laugh Track
Kim Petras - Problématique
6arelyhuman - Myspace Addiction
Little Dragon and April + VISTA - Slipping Into Color EP
Day Aches - One Last Dream Before Dying
D.O. - Expectation
EVNNE - Target: ME
CASTLEBEAT - Nothing EP
Summrs - What We Didn’t Have

[jenglisbe]

Sept 21, 2023 0:26:48 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Sept 20, 2023 19:32:57 GMT -5 85la said:

I'd say 2 to 2.5 million is within reach. She's probably at her peak popularity now, so I'm guessing this will be her highest-opening album ever (even more than her next original studio album).

What are you saying this based on exactly? The album was announced about 6 weeks ago and has moved ~800k in pre-orders units with over half of that happening within 24 hours. It drops in about 5 weeks but most fans have already placed their pre-orders and she has already announced several physical covers/versions of the album to boost sales. I doubt she moves even 200k more in pre-orders from now till the album drops. Maybe an extra 300k units from physical sales from stores the week the album drops.

The album has 21 songs but I don't see it coming close to breaking Midnights' streaming record so best case, it does an extra 300-350k+ units from streaming. That's 1.6-1.7/1.8M units at best. 2.5M is a massive reach and overestimation. Y'all forget this is her THIRD album in about a year.

Someone told me she made 4 different back album covers, different color vinyls, etc. If need be I'm sure some more covers or colors or deluxe editions will come out to ensure fans feel a need to buy more copies and thus ensure a specific sales total. I guess the question is more what specific level is she aiming for. Is the concert film dropping that same weekend? That would likely add sales too.

[thegreatdivine]

85la that's fair enough but you also have to be realistic. 1989 TV was always going to be the most successful TV release but still, it's her third album in a year and because of the anticipation, it'll probably be her most frontloaded in terms of sales/streams.

@stateofgrace yeah, there's also that. It's also the TV with the fewest songs. I think it'll score a massive debut but people need to temper their expectations a bit with the 2M+ projections imo.

[kcdawg13]

I think the album is gonna do upwards of 2 million, at least, like the hype around her right now is insane. And seeing how well Midnights did and all the vinyls and different covers she's sold, plus the fact that her movie comes out like 2 weeks before and 1989 is her biggest album commercially. All the stars are aligning for a really huge debut. The 1989 singles have been streaming really good by themselves (Blank Space re-entered the Hot 100 for a couple weeks this year), so with a Taylor's version out fans are gonna be rabid.

[lazer]

Is there a reason why No Role Modelz is getting consistently high streams on Spotify?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2023 » / « 09 » / « 21 »

1(=) Luke Combs - Fast Car 95.59(-0.35)
2(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 83.83(-0.19)
3(=) SZA - Snooze 78.54(+0.67)
4(=) Rema & Selena Gomez - Calm Down 76.33(-0.30) -

5(=) Dua Lipa - Dance The Night 72.85(-0.54)
6(=) Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice - Barbie World (with Aqua) [From Barbie The Album] 60.19(-2.64) -
7(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 58.78(-0.78)
8(=) Jelly Roll - Need A Favor 57.12(-0.08)
9(=) Miley Cyrus - Flowers 56.77(-0.39)
10(=) Lil Durk - All My Life (feat. J. Cole) 52.31(-0.54)

12(=) Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red 49.05(+1.69)

14(=) Doechii - What It Is 42.19(+0.73)

15(=) Bailey Zimmerman - Religiously 41.74(+0.85)

21(=) USHER, Summer Walker & 21 Savage - Good Good 35.09(+1.18)

71(+9) Cardi B & Megan Thee Stallion - Bongos 14.57(+0.99)

-(-) J Balvin, Usher, Dj Khaled - Dientes 9.47(+0.96)

-(-) Kalimete - Bailemos 1.66(+1.07) +

[thegreatdivine]

I think it's now safe to say SYO won't be debuting at #1. The massive streaming losses I predicted are here (also PTTR is having massive gains on radio this week). Still, good showing for a song like that to manage a top 5 debut. Perhaps it'll shoot back into the top 10 after For All the Dogs drops.

[waluigionascooter]

Sept 21, 2023 10:28:50 GMT -5 lazer said:

Is there a reason why No Role Modelz is getting consistently high streams on Spotify?

It's on a lot of the biggest hip-hop playlists on Spotify.

Same with songs like Sweater Weather with rock/alternative playlists.

[Choco]

Fans were also rabid with the Midnights songs (entire top 10) and it did "just" 1.5m. I fail to see how she can make an additional 500k with a rerecorded album, let alone a whole ass million more to get it to 2.5m

Anything above 1m is huge. Anything above Midnights is another career high this year for her. I just don't think a rerecorded album is gonna do Adele peak numbers, even with the four covers.

I think this is the same hype cloud that made people think 30 was gonna shatter records with little evidence.

[jodakyellow]

Sept 21, 2023 11:11:47 GMT -5 waluigionascooter said:

Sept 21, 2023 10:28:50 GMT -5 lazer said:

Is there a reason why No Role Modelz is getting consistently high streams on Spotify?

It's on a lot of the biggest hip-hop playlists on Spotify.

Same with songs like Sweater Weather with rock/alternative playlists.

It's a bit of a feedback loop — "No Role Modelz" has been consistently strong since it came out, which has kept it in major playlists, which has kept it strong, which has kept it in playlists...

It's spent more days in the top 200 in the U.S. than any other song.

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

I'm leaning higher on predictions for 1989 numbers, mostly because it seems to have been the peak of Taylor's pre-Eras albums and the one that I'd think has the highest agreement amongst fans and casual fans. As in, of all her TVs, it's the one casual fans might be most likely to get with. If I remember correctly, Speak Now outperformed expectations too didn't it? I could see people who didn't bother with Speak Now (such as myself) being interested in 1989 (as I am). In any case, I think this will outdo (realistic) expectations. I doubt it'd come close to Adele's record but it could outpace all the other TVs.

[atg]

Sept 21, 2023 10:55:09 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

I think it's now safe to say SYO won't be debuting at #1. The massive streaming losses I predicted are here (also PTTR is having massive gains on radio this week). Still, good showing for a song like that to manage a top 5 debut. Perhaps it'll shoot back into the top 10 after For All the Dogs drops.

I think it still will. We’re underestimating the power that Drake has on Apple Music and if Rod Wave couldn’t get any song from his album bomb to #1 despite dominating almost the entire top 15 that’s how you know SYO is really strong.

[jayromeo19]

Will all depend on that last update tomorrow.

[Lukas]

Sept 21, 2023 15:05:57 GMT -5 atg said:

Sept 21, 2023 10:55:09 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

I think it's now safe to say SYO won't be debuting at #1. The massive streaming losses I predicted are here (also PTTR is having massive gains on radio this week). Still, good showing for a song like that to manage a top 5 debut. Perhaps it'll shoot back into the top 10 after For All the Dogs drops.

I think it still will. We’re underestimating the power that Drake has on Apple Music and if Rod Wave couldn’t get any song from his album bomb to #1 despite dominating almost the entire top 15 that’s how you know SYO is really strong.

Apple Music positions do not mean anything because Apple Music is very weak outside of album bombs and a few other songs. Guts suffered significant streaming losses on US Spotify on Saturday, Sunday, and Tuesday last week despite being relatively stable on US Apple Music in position simply because it was so much further ahead of other songs at the start of the week (they still fell almost the same percentage on US Apple Music in streams). Even though we can't see US Spotify numbers for Rod Wave's tracks, the streams on the counter indicate similar frontloadedness to Guts. At this point, all of the Rod Wave tracks are doing well below 1.5 million streams per day on US Apple Music. Slime You Out being #1 doesn't mean anything because it could be doing less streams on Apple Music than Spotify.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 09/20/23

1(+1) Doja Cat - Paint the Town Red 1,757,107 (-52,133)
2(-1) Drake, SZA - Slime You Out 1,573,987 (-265,001) (-14%)
3(=) Zach Bryan, Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything 1,540,806 (-29,078)
4(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 1,292,617 (-37,673)
5(=) Olivia Rodrigo - bad idea right? 1,258,818 (-50,543)
6(=) Gunna - fukumean 1,214,589 (-11,452)
7(=) Olivia Rodrigo - get him back! 1,100,077 (-45,602)
8(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 1,096,180 (+5,503)
9(=) Morgan Wallen - Last Night 1,059,826 (+10,491)
10(=) Olivia Rodrigo - all-american bitch 956,256 (-43,444)

Olivia Rodrigo - GUTS [12/12]
14(-1) the grudge 808,175 (-30,657)
23(-5) making the bed 698,380 (-40,207)
24(-4) lacy 688,384 (-38,078)
28(-4) ballad of a homeschooled girl 668,746 (-36,125)
31(-5) logical 654,744 (-36,650)
32(-5) love is embarrassing 652,985 (-33,421)
46(-5) pretty isn't pretty 541,062 (-34,485)
72(-15) teenage dream 458,332 (-29,491)
Total Thirteenth Day Streams: 9,778,576 (-4%)

Other:
11(=) Travis Scott - I KNOW ? 897,493 (-21,777)
12(=) Tate McRae - greedy 844,586 (-34,313)
13(+2) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 810,026 (+2,450)
15(-1) SZA - Snooze 802,148 (-8,456)
16(=) Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros, Junior H - LADY GAGA 782,807 (+797)
17(=) Zach Bryan, The War and Treaty - Hey Driver 757,705 (-2,185)
20(+3) Luke Combs - Fast Car 713,058(+7,255)
21(+1) KAROL G, Peso Pluma - QLONA 711,699 (-507)
22(+3) Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? 698,782 (-2,328)
25(+4) Oliver Anthony Music - Rich Men North of Richmond 681,830 (+1,025)
26(+5) Dua Lipa - Dance the Night 676,808 (-1,183)
27(+3) Jung Kook, Latto - Seven 671,140 (-7,579)
30(-2) Travis Scott, Drake - MELTDOWN 668,033 (-16,024)
34(=) Nicki Minaj, Ice Spice - Barbie World 642,705 (-3,879)
35(-2) Bailey Zimmerman - Religiously 638,885 (-12,000)
37(+1) Kenya Grace - Strangers 609,585 (-2,004)
38(-1) Zach Bryan - Tourniquet 600,973 (-13,753)
40(-1) Travis Scott, SZA, Future - TELEKINESIS 580,172 (-8,749)
42(+3) Brent Faiyaz - Clouded 571,505 (+10,831) *new peak*
47(-1) Zach Bryan, The Lumineers - Spotless 532,858 (-8,319)
48(-1) Travis Scott, Playboi Carti - FE!N 530,530 (-7,377)
51(-1) Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine 511,749 (+7,939)
54(+13) Taylor Swift - Style 500,285 (+36,261)
55(-2) David Kushner - Daylight 495,741 (-1.071)
56(=) Zach Bryan - Heading South 495,359 (+5,933)
63(+1) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 484,389 (+5,385)
64(-13) Cardi B, Megan Thee Stallion - Bongos 477,921 (-25,814)
65(-4) Zach Bryan - East Side of Sorrow 475,771 (-6,460)
66(+4) Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me 474,555 (+13,490)
67(-1) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 472,205 (+5,430)
68(+1) Myke Towers - LALA 467,506 (+5,553)
69(-1) Taylor Swift - august 462,634 (+633)
70(+31) Taylor Swift - Blank Space 459,694 (+46,256) (+11%)
78(-5) Ice Spice - Deli 442,498 (-8,261)
81(-2) Laufey - From the Start 440,098 (-2,343)
82(-2) PARTYNEXTDOOR - Break from Toronto 439,927 (-353)
84(-3) Taylor Swift - cardigan 435,568 (-4,241)
85(+3) Noah Kahan, Post Malone - Dial Drunk Remix 435,188 (+6,647)
86(-3) Zach Bryan - Sun to Me 434,927 (+1,038)
88(-6) Fuerza Regida - SABOR FRESA 429,559 (-8,134)
90(+1) Rema, Selena Gomez - Calm Down 427,297 (+807)
95(-1) Peso Pluma, Jasiel Nuñez - LAGUNAS 419,330 (-6,210)
99(+15) Steve Lacy - Infrunami 414,480 (+20,575)

101(+9) SZA, Justin Bieber - Snooze (Acoustic) 411,154 (+5,810)
103(=) Peso Pluma, Grupo Frontera - TULUM 410,711 (-198)
107(-12) Rod Wave - Boyz Don't Cry 406,503 (-18,633)
108(+4) Taylor Swift - Don't Blame Me 405,098 (+7,673)
109(-7) The Weeknd, Playboi Carti, Madonna - Popular 400,310 (-12,418)
113(-4) Miley Cyrus - Used to Be Young 396,053 (-10,178)
117(-2) Calle 24, Chino Pacas, Fuerza Regida - Que Onda 393,533 (-361)
121(-1) juju<3 - Wasted Summers 387,408 (+160)
128(-9) Selena Gomez - Single Soon 381,437 (-6,061)
129(-57) Rod Wave, 21 Savage - Turks & Caicos 379,753 (-73,503) (-16%)
132(-5) Zach Bryakn - Oklahoma Smokeshow 377,658 (-2,482)
133(-4) KAROL G - MI EX TENÍA RAZÓN 376,822 (-1,584)
136(-3) Young Nudy, 21 Savage - Peaches & Eggplants 374,231 (+5,687)
138(-1) Charlie XCX - Speed Drive 366,774 (+2,658)
139(-4) Zach Bryan - Fear and Friday's 365,878 (+151)
150(+40) Lil Tecca - 500lbs 351,434 (+32,569) (+10%)
152(-2) That Mexican OT, Paul Wall, DRODi - Johnny Dang 348,472 (-3,285)
156(-3) Tyler Childers - All Your'n 346,600 (+3,180)
158(-4) Carin Leon - Primera Cita 343,890 (+902)
160(-1) Zach Bryan - Revival 342,595 (+3,853)
167(+7) Tyler Childers - Feathered Indians 335,670 (+6,312)
175(-5) Peso Pluma, Junior H - LUNA 329,539 (-1,828)
176(+2) Peso Pluma, Jasiel Nuñez, Junior H - BIPOLAR 329,398 (+1,885)
186(-5) Dave, Central Cee - Sprinter 321,006 (-4,085)
191(-12) Olivia Rodrigo - deja vu 319,339 (-7,337)
193(-5) Peso Pluma - RUBICON 317,698 (-2,331)
195(DEBUT) Aaron May - Let Go 317,078
198(-7) Odetari, 6lives - I LOVE YOU HOE 315,331 (-3,427)
199(-36) Rod Wave - Come See Me 314,875 (-20,104)

Total Streams for Snooze: 1,213,302 (would be #7 with combined streams)
Total Sixth Day Streams for Rod Wave - Nostalgia [3/18]: 1,101,131 (-29%)

[pokepikalem]

Liv still having 4 songs in the top 10 Spotify streams after 2 weeks is delightful to see.

[Caviar]

Ouch at SYO.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2023 » / « 09 » / « 22 »

1(=) Luke Combs - Fast Car 95.53(-0.07)
2(=) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 83.86(+0.03)
3(=) SZA - Snooze 79.34(+0.79)
4(=) Rema & Selena Gomez - Calm Down 76.28(-0.05) +
5(=) Dua Lipa - Dance The Night 72.10(-0.75)
6(=) Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice - Barbie World (with Aqua) [From Barbie The Album] 59.91(-0.28)
7(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 58.15(-0.63)
8(=) Jelly Roll - Need A Favor 57.41(+0.29)
9(=) Miley Cyrus - Flowers 56.63(-0.15)
10(=) Lil Durk - All My Life (feat. J. Cole) 51.00(-1.31)

11(+1) Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red 50.22(+1.17)

67(+4) Cardi B & Megan Thee Stallion - Bongos 15.38(+0.81)

-(-) J Balvin, Usher, Dj Khaled - Dientes 10.22(+0.76)

[atg]

Even with the streaming losses for SYO for the past 2 days i think it could still be in the top 3 at least. We all know Drake will most likely get a song to #1 during his album bomb but if SYO doesnt get there this will be the 3rd song this year involving him to miss the top spot but still debut in the top 3.

[jayromeo19]

Sept 22, 2023 12:02:31 GMT -5 atg said:

Even with the streaming losses for SYO for the past 2 days i think it could still be in the top 3 at least. We all know Drake will most likely get a song to #1 during his album bomb but if SYO doesnt get there this will be the 3rd song this year involving him to miss the top spot but still debut in the top 3.

It held solid enough so it’s still favored for the #1.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[Choco]

I haven't been tracking numbers this week but that nearly 20 point lead should secure the #1 for Drake and SZA regardless of how it starts dropping now.