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Post by stormlover74 on Sept 27, 2024 12:14:29 GMT -5
Do videos even help with the Hot 100 like that? I doubt any video Billie released is gonna get her another 75 points she would need to top the Hot 100. Yeah it really doesn't although it could boost her Spotify numbers I suppose |
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L.Kennedy
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Post by L.Kennedy on Sept 27, 2024 12:30:27 GMT -5
I agree with the second half of this and would apply it to the album tasteless He is a swifitie that never has something positive to say about Billie, he's always bitter. I wouldn't even waste my time quoting. The video is ok, anyone expecting a lovely video from her really doesn't know her |o| #2-#4 points on the HOT 100 are really close, i can see her getting a #2 peak. |
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sportytheartist
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Post by sportytheartist on Sept 27, 2024 12:30:56 GMT -5
US Apple Music Top Songs (9/27/2024 - 1:02pm EDT)
1 = Future - LIL DEMON
2 = Future - PLUTOSKI
4 -1 Future - TOO FAST
5 -1 Future - SKI
6 -1 Future - TEFLON DON
16 -5 Future - OCEAN
17 -3 Future - READY TO COOK UP
20 -3 Future - BRAZZIER
22 -4 Future - SOUTH OF FRANCE
25 -6 Future - SURFING A TSUNAMI
26 -6 Future - PRESS THE BUTTON
30 -7 Future - MJ
31 -6 Future - OATH
43 -12 Future - LOST MY DOG
44 -12 Future - AYE SAY GANG
45 -11 Future - MADE MY HOE FAINT
48 -12 Future - TOLD MY
New Entries (so far):
13 NEW The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless
98 NEW Rod Wave - Fall Fast in Love
173 NEW Peso Pluma - RUBICON
199 NEW NLE Choppa & 41 - Or What
200 NEW Tito Double P & Chino Pacas - ESCÁPATE
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Sept 27, 2024 12:36:46 GMT -5
Let me put top three hits espresso, ppp, and taste back on again
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Envoirment
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Post by Envoirment on Sept 27, 2024 12:40:57 GMT -5
Do videos even help with the Hot 100 like that? I doubt any video Billie released is gonna get her another 75 points she would need to top the Hot 100. They can still help a bit. Recent examples being "Not Like Us" and "Taste" having really big youtube weeks that boosted their points/streaming quite a bit. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Sept 27, 2024 12:59:53 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2024 » / « 09 » / « 27 »
1(=) Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 94.48(+0.50)
2(=) Post Malone - I Had Some Help (feat. Morgan Wallen) 75.47(-0.95)
3(=) Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 69.37(-0.16)
4(=) Hozier - Too Sweet 64.14(-0.30)
5(=) Teddy Swims - Lose Control 56.75(-0.35)
6(=) Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER 56.53(-0.18)
7(=) Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us 53.03(-0.33)
8(=) Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe! 51.62(-0.42) 9(=) Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please 51.09(-0.27)
10(+1) Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 50.02(+0.58)
16(=) Post Malone - Pour Me A Drink (feat. Blake Shelton) 38.97(+0.65)
38(+2) The Weeknd - Dancing In The Flames 20.64(+0.75) + -(-) Future - TOO FAST 7.01(+0.88)
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dovahduck
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Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
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Post by dovahduck on Sept 27, 2024 13:23:50 GMT -5
US Apple Music Top Somgs (9/27/2024 - 1:02pm EDT)1 = Future - LIL DEMON 2 = Future - PLUTOSKI 4 -1 Future - TOO FAST 5 -1 Future - SKI 6 -1 Future - TEFLON DON 16 -5 Future - OCEAN 17 -3 Future - READY TO COOK UP 20 -3 Future - BRAZZIER 22 -4 Future - SOUTH OF FRANCE 25 -6 Future - SURFING A TSUNAMI 26 -6 Future - PRESS THE BUTTON 30 -7 Future - MJ 31 -6 Future - OATH 43 -12 Future - LOST MY DOG 44 -12 Future - AYE SAY GANG 45 -11 Future - MADE MY HOE FAINT 48 -12 Future - TOLD MY New Entries (so far):13 NEW The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless 98 NEW Rod Wave - Fall Fast in Love 173 NEW Peso Pluma - RUBICON 199 NEW NLE Choppa & 41 - Or What 200 NEW Tito Double P & Chino Pacas - ESCÁPATE “Timeless” already out peaking “Dancing in the Flames” on Apple Music |
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shakemaki
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Post by shakemaki on Sept 27, 2024 13:27:05 GMT -5
Hit Me Hard and Soft is a masterpiece, but all three MVs from this era are M E H, zero replay value. It’s honestly a travesty. Lunch, whatever, but both Chihiro and BOAF had all of the potential in the world for iconic visuals with music videos. I think I will forever be salty at her for making a song so Spirited Away inspired with Chirhiro and then not giving it an anime video. Or even an attempt to recreate the movie in live action could have been cool. |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Sept 27, 2024 13:42:34 GMT -5
Iconic album but one of the laziest promo campaigns I have ever seen. Not only zero replay value, zero effort into making the videos.
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shakemaki
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Post by shakemaki on Sept 27, 2024 15:17:55 GMT -5
Iconic album but one of the laziest promo campaigns I have ever seen. Not only zero replay value, zero effort into making the videos. Yeah, it’s not Cowboy Carter in terms of no f**ks given by the artist level, but it’s not that far off either. Both being two of the best albums of the decade so far with tons of hit potential really rubs salt in the wounds. Billie is at least fortunate to be much younger and gen z skewing so that the lack of good promo isn’t as big of a deal for success in her case. But still, BOAF could’ve easily been a h100 #1 by now with a bit more effort, and Wildflower has heaps of potential too if effort was made. |
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dovahduck
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Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
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Post by dovahduck on Sept 27, 2024 15:30:13 GMT -5
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Post by kcdawg13 on Sept 27, 2024 15:43:25 GMT -5
This is Abel's first #1 on AM since Heartless, right?
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Sept 27, 2024 16:05:19 GMT -5
This is Abel's first #1 on AM since Heartless, right? since Creepin' |
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Post by After Minutes on Sept 27, 2024 16:08:27 GMT -5
this feels like a hit, really interested what will happen tomorrow |
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atg
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Post by atg on Sept 27, 2024 16:42:13 GMT -5
Timeless is probably the best move that both artists could’ve done. After DITF and All Red both massively underperformed (coincidentally debuted next to each other on the Hot 100 as well lol), this could be the saving grace for both of their albums. It also helps that Timeless had actual weeks of hype to it on Tik Tok ever since it was performed on Abel’s Sao Paulo concert.
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Post by sedrickwilhelm on Sept 27, 2024 17:26:03 GMT -5
Do videos even help with the Hot 100 like that? I doubt any video Billie released is gonna get her another 75 points she would need to top the Hot 100. Not Like Us returned back to #1 due to the week of its music video |
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dovahduck
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Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
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Posts: 1,871
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Post by dovahduck on Sept 27, 2024 19:21:39 GMT -5
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 27, 2024 21:51:18 GMT -5
I think the story for Timeless will be seeing how well it holds on streaming throughout the weekend, at least. All Red also reached #1 on US Apple Music and US Spotify, only to crash hard on both platforms as the tracking week went on, so while a huge start on streaming is to be expected, how the song holds throughout the tracking week will be the real reflection of how the GP feels about it.
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iHype.
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Post by iHype. on Sept 27, 2024 23:12:48 GMT -5
"Birds of a Feather" music video reminds me of "The Edge of Glory" music video lmao.
Such a beautiful song with potential for an iconic video yet the result...
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Darkest Hour
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Post by Darkest Hour on Sept 28, 2024 2:15:00 GMT -5
United States Apple Music Top Albums - Friday
3 Moneybagg Yo - SPEAK NOW OR...
4 DaBaby - HOW TF IS THIS A MIXTAPE?
6 Lady Gaga - Harlequin
14 Peezy - Small Town Ghetto
17 Tommy Richman - COYOTE
18 Leon Thomas - MUTT
United States Apple Music Top Songs - Friday
1 The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless
19 Rod Wave - Fall Fast in Love
77 Lil Durk - Turn Up A Notch
79 Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I'm Gonna Love You
129 Moneybagg Yo - DO YO SHIT
132 Tee Grizzley - Blow for Blow (feat. J. Cole)
I'm Gonna Love You is also #46 on US Amazon Music, which for a streaming platform famous for being slow-moving is a great start.
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sportytheartist
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Post by sportytheartist on Sept 28, 2024 8:23:41 GMT -5
United States Apple Music Top Songs - Friday 79 Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I'm Gonna Love You I'm Gonna Love You is also #46 on US Amazon Music, which for a streaming platform famous for being slow-moving is a great start. Debut for CJ & CU are gonna be really good I think, probably top 30-40 if I had to predict early. Also, here are all the debuts for US Spotify (9/27/2024): #1 (NEW) The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless (3,537,749)#52 (NEW) Tee Grizzley f/J. Cole - Blow For Blow (579,429)#104 (NEW) Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I’m Gonna Love You (453,321) |
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Taylor.
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Post by Taylor. on Sept 28, 2024 9:06:44 GMT -5
Timeless #1 on US Spotify with 3.5 million streams, #2 Global with 10 million streams (behind DWAS with 11.6 million).
No songs from Harlequin debut in the US or Global top 200.
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Sept 28, 2024 9:07:03 GMT -5
ww
2 timeless 10.043
US
1 timeless 3.538
no harlequin.
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Post by kcdawg13 on Sept 28, 2024 9:10:53 GMT -5
Carti and Abel combining their #14 and #15 flop peaks to produce a #1 hit
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sportytheartist
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Post by sportytheartist on Sept 28, 2024 9:12:44 GMT -5
Also, I’ve noticed that “Timeless” may have a radio deal on the Urban format, which makes sense.
So this is how I’m seeing it:
For the Pop/Hot AC/Rhythmic audience = Dancing In The Flames
Urban audience = Timeless
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Sept 28, 2024 9:14:48 GMT -5
Also, I’ve noticed that “Timeless” may have a radio deal on the Urban format, which makes sense. So this is how I’m seeing it: For the Pop/Hot AC/Rhythmic audience = Dancing In The Flames Urban audience = Timeless I love the times when huge artists drop two core format singles at the same time. |
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 28, 2024 9:16:03 GMT -5
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Sept 28, 2024 9:18:58 GMT -5
I wonder if Sabrina could go back to #1 on the album chart.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Sept 28, 2024 9:54:41 GMT -5
I think the story for Timeless will be seeing how well it holds on streaming throughout the weekend, at least. All Red also reached #1 on US Apple Music and US Spotify, only to crash hard on both platforms as the tracking week went on, so while a huge start on streaming is to be expected, how the song holds throughout the tracking week will be the real reflection of how the GP feels about it. Exactly. I also don't like the song much (I think Dancing in the Flames is much better), so I'm honestly not expecting much from it, and DITF has the major radio deal, so not sure they would give it to Timeless as well. And as for Harlequin, let's temper our expectations for that, as it's just a companion album to the film, and full of mostly covers of old pop standards, so it's NOT likely to have mainstream success in any huge way. LG7 will be the real test of that, which she announced will be coming out in February with the first single "very soon." Has me wondering more what they'll do with Die With A Smile, whether it'll just remain a one-off or be attached to either the main Joker soundtrack or LG7. |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 28, 2024 10:18:28 GMT -5
DWAS will remain a non-album single I think. The LG7 lead should come in October, as per her announcement in Venice.
In recent interview she also said that "LG7 is nothing like Chromatica. It's a completely different record. I don't know that I'm even ready to talk about it yet, but I recognize that it's coming out soon, and I will."
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