Billboard Hot 100 : 09/06/2014

[Daniel Collins]

Recent Threads: 08/30/2014, 08/23/2014, 08/16/2014, 08/09/2014, 08/02/2014
From Kworb:

*** = dropped or added a format

1. SAM SMITH - Stay With Me: 220.237 (-1.189)
2. MAGIC! - Rude: 203.218 (-1.260)
3. NICO & VINZ - Am I Wrong: 183.855 (-2.281)
4. DISCLOSURE - Latch f/Sam Smith: 133.607 (-2.089)
5. MAROON 5 - Maps: 121.477 (+0.546)
6. CHARLI XCX - Boom Clap: 120.409 (+1.853)
7. JEREMIH - Don't Tell 'Em f/YG: 94.183 (+2.066) ▲
8. ARIANA GRANDE - Problem f/Iggy Azalea: 93.809 (-2.732) ▼
9. IGGY AZALEA - Fancy: 92.533 (-2.481) ▼
10. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Bailando f/Gente De Zona: 90.528 (+0.370)
11. JOHN LEGEND - All Of Me: 87.103 (-0.528)
12. TINASHE - 2 On f/Schoolboy Q: 73.174 (-0.734)
13. ARIANA GRANDE - Break Free f/Zedd: 72.717 (+1.120)
14. CLEAN BANDIT - Rather Be f/Jess Glynne: 70.664 (+1.076) ▲
15. CALVIN HARRIS - Summer: 67.928 (-2.500) ▼
16. ONEREPUBLIC - Love Runs Out: 67.369 (-1.596)
17. DIERKS BENTLEY - Drunk On A Plane: 67.202 (+0.410)
18. SIA - Chandelier: 66.221 (+1.878)
19. IGGY AZALEA - Black Widow f/Rita Ora: 64.077 (+0.875)
20. TIM MCGRAW F/FAITH HILL - Meanwhile Back At Mama's: 63.827 (+0.747)
21. LADY ANTEBELLUM - Bartender: 63.296 (+0.458)
22. DEMI LOVATO - Really Don't Care f/Cher Lloyd: 62.597 (-0.105)
23. MEGHAN TRAINOR - All About That Bass: 61.419 (+2.821) ▲
24. BRAD PAISLEY - River Bank: 60.569 (-1.699) ▼
25. COLDPLAY - A Sky Full Of Stars: 60.138 (+1.054)
26. KATY PERRY - Dark Horse: 60.047 (-1.185) ▼
27. KENNY CHESNEY - American Kids: 58.222 (+1.005)
28. DUSTIN LYNCH - Where It's At: 55.685 (+1.155) ▲
29. JESSIE J/A. GRANDE/N. MINAJ - Bang Bang: 54.850 (+0.300)
30. LEE BRICE - I Don't Dance: 53.717 (-1.658) ▼
31. SCHOOLBOY Q - Studio: 53.557 (+0.685) ▲
32. ONEREPUBLIC - Counting Stars: 52.255 (-0.450) ▲
33. LIL WAYNE - Believe Me f/Drake: 52.173 (-0.818) ▼
34. PHARRELL WILLIAMS - Happy: 51.682 (+0.114)
35. BASTILLE - Pompeii: 49.332 (-0.449)
36. COLE SWINDELL - Hope You Get Lonely Tonight: 48.755 (+0.343) ▲
37. INGRID MICHAELSON - Girls Chase Boys: 48.506 (+0.087) ▼
38. PARAMORE - Ain't It Fun: 46.685 (-0.769)
39. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE - Not A Bad Thing: 46.420 (-0.652)
40. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Dirt: 46.265 (+0.549)
41. AVICII - Wake Me Up: 44.853 (+0.084)
42. CHRIS BROWN - Loyal f/Lil' Wayne: 44.053 (+0.213) ▲
43. LUKE BRYAN - Roller Coaster: 44.035 (+0.899) ▲
44. AMERICAN AUTHORS - Best Day Of My Life: 44.029 (-0.060) ▼
45. TAYLOR SWIFT - Shake It Off: 43.981 (+10.496) ▲
46. KID INK - Main Chick f/Chris Brown: 40.169 (-1.055) ▼
47. JOE NICHOLS - Yeah: 38.043 (-0.655) ▼
48. ONE DIRECTION - Story Of My Life: 37.633 (+0.027) ▲
49. BRANTLEY GILBERT - Small Town Throwdown: 37.506 (+0.229) ▲
50. BILLY CURRINGTON - We Are Tonight: 37.150 (-1.400) ▼

[velaxti]

Looks like Charli XCX is going to get #1 on overall airplay!? :o She's still 100 million behind Sam though, she could peak before she catches up I guess.

[Kris]

Aug 21, 2014 7:04:14 GMT -5 velaxti said:

Looks like Charli XCX is going to get #1 on overall airplay!? :o She's still 100 million behind Sam though, she could peak before she catches up I guess.

She looks to be peaking within the next couple weeks based on how the airplay increases have slowed, I doubt it will reach above 150M AI due to it not really having any AC potential/other formats than pop potential. 

[Deleted]

Aug 21, 2014 16:32:20 GMT -5 Kris said:

Aug 21, 2014 7:04:14 GMT -5 velaxti said:

Looks like Charli XCX is going to get #1 on overall airplay!? :o She's still 100 million behind Sam though, she could peak before she catches up I guess.

I doubt it will reach above 150M AI due to it not really having any AC potential/other formats than pop potential. 

Fancy, The Monster, and Thrift Shop were all multi-week #1s on Radio Songs even though they had even less potential than Boom Clap on formats other than Pop and Rhythmic...those two formats are quite dominant over AC and others so they're often enough for a #1 lol...

[Kris]

2 day update, will edit colours when I get home


1. SAM SMITH – Stay With Me: 218.231 (- 2.337)
2. MAGIC! – Rude: 196.842 (- 2.834)
3. NICO & VINZ – Am I Wrong: 181.819 (- 2.793)
4. DISCLOSURE – Latch f/Sam Smith: 132.523 (- 3.041)
5. CHARLI XCX – Boom Clap: 121.716 (+ 3.275) ▲
6. MAROON 5 – Maps: 121.599 (+ 0.706) ▼
7. JEREMIH – Don’t Tell ‘Em f/YG: 97.178 (+ 4.912) ▲
8. ARIANA GRANDE – Problem f/Iggy Azalea: 90.974 (- 5.634) ▼
9. IGGY AZALEA – Fancy: 90.206 (- 3.728) ▼
10. JOHN LEGEND – All Of Me: 84.708 (- 2.162)
11. ARIANA GRANDE – Break Free f/Zedd: 73.295 (+ 1.637) ▲
12. TINASHE – 2 On f/Schoolboy Q: 72.952 (- 0.990) ▼
13. CLEAN BANDIT – Rather Be f/Jess Glynne: 71.993 (+ 2.367)
14. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS – Bailando f/D.Bueno/S.Paul/GDZ: 68.976 (+ 1.088) ▲
15. SIA – Chandelier: 68.204 (+ 3.829) ▲
16. DIERKS BENTLEY – Drunk On A Plane: 67.193 (+ 0.383) ▲
17. ONEREPUBLIC – Love Runs Out: 66.750 (- 2.732) ▼
18. TIM MCGRAW F/FAITH HILL – Meanwhile Back At Mama’s: 65.049 (+ 1.962) ▲
19. MEGHAN TRAINOR – All About That Bass: 64.289 (+ 5.637) ▲
20. IGGY AZALEA – Black Widow f/Rita Ora: 64.264 (+ 1.348) ▲



CALVIN HARRIS – Summer: 64.170 (- 4.398)
LADY ANTEBELLUM – Bartender: 63.723 (+ 0.871)
DEMI LOVATO – Really Don’t Care f/Cher Lloyd: 63.593 (- 0.298)
COLDPLAY – A Sky Full Of Stars: 61.854 (+ 2.248)
KENNY CHESNEY – American Kids: 59.036 (+ 1.801)
TAYLOR SWIFT – Shake It Off: 56.835 (+ 22.413)
JESSIE J/A. GRANDE/N. MINAJ – Bang Bang: 55.890 (+ 1.139)
SCHOOLBOY Q – Studio f/BJ The Chicago Kid: 54.265 (+ 1.130)
COLE SWINDELL – Hope You Get Lonely Tonight: 49.899 (+ 1.465)
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Dirt: 46.796 (+ 1.068)
ECHOSMITH – Cool Kids: 37.428 (+ 1.506)
JASON ALDEAN – Burnin’ It Down: 36.212 (+ 0.695)
M. LAMBERT & C. UNDERWOOD – Somethin’ Bad: 36.104 (+ 0.571)
T.I. – No Mediocre f/Iggy Azalea: 35.897 (+ 2.005)
KIESZA – Hideaway: 31.488 (+ 1.407)
CHRIS BROWN – New Flame f/Rick Ross: 29.667 (+ 1.733)
ED SHEERAN – Don’t: 28.185 (+ 1.384)
LITTLE BIG TOWN – Day Drinking: 26.888 (+ 1.171)
NICKI MINAJ – Anaconda : 24.799 (+ 2.250)
TOVE LO – Habits (Stay High): 24.782 (+ 1.421)
DRAKE – 0 To 100/The Catch Up: 23.619 (+ 1.378)
TRAIN – Angel In Blue Jeans: 23.353 (- 0.094)
KATY PERRY – This Is How We Do: 21.806 (+ 1.761)
5 SECONDS OF SUMMER – Amnesia: 19.335 (+ 0.237)
BLAKE SHELTON – Neon Light: 16.655
BEYONCE – Flawless: 14.982 (+ 0.811)
VANCE JOY – Riptide: 14.462 (+ 0.155)
MARY LAMBERT – Secrets: 12.354 (+ 0.497)
PITBULL – Fireball f/John Ryan: 11.942 (+ 0.371)
HOZIER – Take Me To Church: 7.572 (+ 0.221)
BASTILLE – Flaws: 3.850 (+ 0.132)
NICKELBACK – Edge Of A Revolution: 1.830 (+ 0.779)
JASON DERULO – Trumpets: 1.718 (+ 0.520)

[wavey.]

Too early for predictions?

[irice22]

Never.

[Deleted]

1. Shake it off
2. All about that bass
3. Anaconda
4. Stay with me
5. Rude
6. Break free
7. Black widow
8. Fancy
9. Bang bang
10. Rather be

in fact based on YouTube "streams" for Anaconda, it might even make top 2...it broke the 24-hour Vevo record (previously held by Wrecking Ball which I would've preferred because at least the song is good even though the video is awful too)...luckily Taylor should be able to save us! Phew! This is why I'm not too keen on the YouTube/Vevo streaming methodology because a lot of people just watched the video to look at Nicki's ass and not for the song but I'm not trying to start the rant again...it does account for some popularity because I'm sure a significant portion of people watched for the song...I'm thinking they should account for the number of likes and dislikes as part of their methodology. Anyway hopefully M Train will get enough points to stop Nicki from surpassing Super Bass for her highest peaking song as a solo artist (thus not counting BedRock)

[wavey.]

Naw, she "needs" that #2 spot, haha.

[Deleted]

Aug 22, 2014 13:36:03 GMT -5 wavey. said:

Naw, she "needs" that #2 spot, haha.

It's funny how this is the one song of hers that could potentially peak the highest of them all (and would easily be a candidate for #1 if T Swift didn't show up and splash right in the nick of time). I would definitely prefer something like Starships or Turn Me On or even Super Bass to be the highest peaker. Those songs felt much bigger than Anaconda did and probably ever will...well we will see how it goes, as Anaconda's streams are slowing down (it's been more than 3 days and half of its streams were in the first 24 hours and most of those people were just curious and didn't watch it again because they realized that they hate it lol)

[irice22]

Or even "Super Bass"? That's her best one!

[crystalphnx]

Taylor Swift Aiming For No. 1 On Hot 100 With 'Shake It Off'

The song looks likely to soar in as her second Hot 100 leader next week.

Expect a major "shake"-up atop the Billboard Hot 100 chart next week, as Taylor Swift appears headed for a No. 1 debut with her new single, "Shake It Off." Based on expected massive first-week sales, airplay and streaming, the song looks likely to open atop the ranking. Check out Billboard.com on Wednesday (Aug. 28) when highlights of the chart will post. (The full Hot 100 will update online the following day.)

Swift released the celebratory, anti-negativity anthem on Monday (Aug. 18, just after 2 p.m. PT/5 p.m. ET), when she hosted a Yahoo! live stream. "Shake" introduces 1989, Swift's fifth studio album and first since Red two years ago. The set arrives Oct. 27 on Big Machine Records. Here's a look at how her new hit is shaping up in the Hot 100's three measurement metrics.

SALES
According to industry projections, "Shake" could start with more than 475,000 downloads sold in the U.S. in its first week (ending Sunday, Aug. 24). Such a sum would mark the biggest arrival this year, besting Ariana Grande's "Problem," which bowed with 438,000 sold and debuted at No. 1 on the May 17 Digital Songs chart. (It entered the Hot 100 at No. 3 and went on to peak at No. 2 for five weeks.)

The last song to start north of 475,000 sold: Katy Perry's "Roar," which debuted atop the Aug. 31, 2013, Digital Songs tally with 557,000. It vaulted 85-2 on the Hot 100 that week ahead of its two-week stay at No. 1.

STREAMING
In addition to launching as the top-selling song in the country, "Shake" should begin as the most-streamed in its first week, too. According to preliminary data from Nielsen BDS, "Shake" easily drew the most streams in the U.S. on Aug. 18-19 on Vevo on YouTube: 6.3 million. Meghan Trainor's "All About That Bass" ranks second with 2.7 million streams in that two-day span.

"Bass" currently leads Billboard's Streaming Songs chart with 8.1 million U.S. streams overall, with 4.4 million via Vevo on YouTube, in the week ending Aug. 17.

While it boasts a strong early lead in Vevo on YouTube streams, "Shake" is not available on on-demand audio services.

AIRPLAY
"Shake" is also bound for a monster frame of radio airplay in its first full week of availability. On BDS' building chart, the song ranks at No. 10 with 22 million in all-format audience since Wednesday.

(Because the Radio Songs airplay chart, which powers the airplay component of the Hot 100, follows a Wednesday-Tuesday tracking week, while sales and streaming cover a Monday-Tuesday period, "Shake" debuted on this week's Radio Songs chart at No. 45 with 29 million impressions in its first two days. It was aided by hourly plays on participating Clear Channel and Media Entertainment-owned pop and adult pop radio stations in its first day and a half.)

"Shake" currently ranks at No. 9 on both the building Pop Songs and Adult Pop Songs charts (which run Monday-Sunday). It's on track to make a record-setting start on each list, as no song has ever debuted in the top 10 since the tallies launched in 1992 and 1996, respectively.

In all, Swift seems a safe bet to storm in at No. 1 on the Hot 100 next week.

Should it rocket to the top, "Shake" would become her second No. 1, following "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together." The first single from Red vaulted 72-1 on the Sept. 1, 2012, Hot 100 following its first week of availability. It led for three weeks total.


www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/6229111/taylor-swift-shake-it-off-hot-100-chart-no-1-1989

[Deleted]

Aug 22, 2014 15:17:04 GMT -5 irice22 said:

Or even "Super Bass"? That's her best one!

I like it too, I just like "Starships" and "Turn Me On" more
Songs like "Stupid Hoe" and "Anaconda" are what make me hate her lol.

[popstop]

UGH, The Taylocolypse is upon us.

[felipe]

Aug 22, 2014 16:30:46 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Aug 22, 2014 15:17:04 GMT -5 irice22 said:

Or even "Super Bass"? That's her best one!

I like it too, I just like "Starships" and "Turn Me On" more
Songs like "Stupid Hoe" and "Anaconda" are what make me hate her lol.

So you clearly like it better when she makes pop songs, right? I find Starships and Turn Me On extremely annoying, and I think Anaconda is great, so I guess Nicki will never please everybody. I'd rather see Anaconda at #1 than Shake it off, but I know that's not a possibility.

[jayhawk1117]

Aug 22, 2014 21:38:02 GMT -5 felipe said:

Aug 22, 2014 16:30:46 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I like it too, I just like "Starships" and "Turn Me On" more
Songs like "Stupid Hoe" and "Anaconda" are what make me hate her lol.

So you clearly like it better when she makes pop songs, right? I find Starships and Turn Me On extremely annoying, and I think Anaconda is great, so I guess Nicki will never please everybody. I'd rather see Anaconda at #1 than Shake it off, but I know that's not a possibility.

IMO Anaconda and great should never be in the same sentence.

[imbondz]

Nikki Mnaj is beyond annoying. Don't understand her appeal at all

[imbondz]

How big or not big will Rather Be be? :)

It's one of my favorite songs right now. I'm thinking #4

[slw84]

Aug 23, 2014 6:59:34 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Nikki Mnaj is beyond annoying. Don't understand her appeal at all

The effort you put misspelling her name though...undercover stan ;)

[Enigma.]

Sooooo.. 1->5 is possible for Rude.. Will that be the steepest drop from #1 since...when?

[Gary]

So the Taylor Swift song will start at 475,000? A travesty, I tell ya, no self respecting Taylor Swift fan would accept anything less than 476,000. This one is a flop. Her career is over !!

SPOILER: Click to show

Just kidding

[imbondz]

Aug 23, 2014 8:47:26 GMT -5 slw84 said:

Aug 23, 2014 6:59:34 GMT -5 imbondz said:

Nikki Mnaj is beyond annoying. Don't understand her appeal at all

The effort you put misspelling her name though...undercover stan ;)

lol. I knew I misspelled but too lazy to look it up. And I'm too old to even understand what stan means. I'm assuming a psycho fan which I'm not of anyone.

[icefire9]

Excellent! I like Shake it Off, and I'm glad that its blocking All About That Base (although I wouldn't be surprised if All About That Base still gets to #1 after Shake It Off drops).

[Kris]

I miss regular Mediabase updates

2014/08/23

*** = dropped or added a format

1. SAM SMITH - Stay With Me: 217.377 (-1.396)
2. MAGIC! - Rude: 200.008 (-1.865)
3. NICO & VINZ - Am I Wrong: 182.262 (-0.954)
4. DISCLOSURE - Latch f/Sam Smith: 132.460 (-2.252)
5. CHARLI XCX - Boom Clap: 123.424 (+1.489)
6. MAROON 5 - Maps: 121.697 (+0.033***)
7. JEREMIH - Don't Tell 'Em f/YG: 98.388 (+1.364)
8. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Bailando f/Gente De Zona: 91.796 (+0.842) ▲
9. IGGY AZALEA - Fancy: 88.831 (-2.379) ▼
10. ARIANA GRANDE - Problem f/Iggy Azalea: 87.956 (-2.987)
11. JOHN LEGEND - All Of Me: 84.268 (-1.156)
12. ARIANA GRANDE - Break Free f/Zedd: 73.901 (+0.665)
13. CLEAN BANDIT - Rather Be f/Jess Glynne: 73.283 (+1.333) ▲
14. TINASHE - 2 On f/Schoolboy Q: 71.780 (-1.110) ▼
15. SIA - Chandelier: 69.468 (+1.271)
16. DIERKS BENTLEY - Drunk On A Plane: 67.302 (+0.151)
17. MEGHAN TRAINOR - All About That Bass: 67.135 (+2.768***) ▲
18. TAYLOR SWIFT - Shake It Off: 66.773 (+11.553) ▲
19. TIM MCGRAW F/FAITH HILL - Meanwhile Back At Mama's: 65.786 (+0.758)
20. ONEREPUBLIC - Love Runs Out: 65.323 (-0.982) ▼
21. IGGY AZALEA - Black Widow f/Rita Ora: 65.059 (+1.057)
22. LADY ANTEBELLUM - Bartender: 64.199 (+0.511)
23. CALVIN HARRIS - Summer: 64.115 (-1.824) ▼
24. DEMI LOVATO - Really Don't Care f/Cher Lloyd: 62.247 (-0.206) ▼
25. COLDPLAY - A Sky Full Of Stars: 62.123 (+0.824) ▼
26. KENNY CHESNEY - American Kids: 59.949 (+0.936)
27. KATY PERRY - Dark Horse: 58.798 (-0.535) ▼
28. DUSTIN LYNCH - Where It's At: 57.399 (+0.684)
29. JESSIE J/A. GRANDE/N. MINAJ - Bang Bang: 56.841 (+1.157)
30. BRAD PAISLEY - River Bank: 55.938 (-2.321) ▼
31. SCHOOLBOY Q - Studio: 54.195 (+0.250)
32. ONEREPUBLIC - Counting Stars: 52.132 (+0.007)
33. COLE SWINDELL - Hope You Get Lonely Tonight: 50.827 (+0.956) ▲
34. PHARRELL WILLIAMS - Happy: 50.677 (+0.346) ▲
35. LEE BRICE - I Don't Dance: 50.497 (-1.613) ▼
36. LIL WAYNE - Believe Me f/Drake: 49.741 (-0.785) ▼
37. INGRID MICHAELSON - Girls Chase Boys: 49.362 (+0.510)
38. BASTILLE - Pompeii: 47.620 (-0.778)
39. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Dirt: 47.255 (+0.477)
40. PARAMORE - Ain't It Fun: 45.533 (-0.743)
41. LUKE BRYAN - Roller Coaster: 45.436 (+0.691) ▲

72. NICKI MINAJ - Anaconda: 26.550 (+0.992) ▲

[Daniel Collins]

Enigma. Since Wrecking Ball . That happened because it only went back atop due to the Chatroulette(?) parody. Before that "Last Friday Night" also made the 1-5 drop in 2011.

[Charlotte.]

Guess we will finally have some emotion happening in the top 10 after long weeks with the old same thing.

[Enigma.]

Aug 23, 2014 11:13:36 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

Enigma. Since Wrecking Ball . That happened because it only went back atop due to the Chatroulette(?) parody. Before that "Last Friday Night" also made the 1-5 drop in 2011.

Thanks! I was looking mostly at Idol singles and even Taylor Hicks didn't drop that far from #1.

[Deleted]

Aug 23, 2014 8:49:30 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Sooooo.. 1->5 is possible for Rude.. Will that be the steepest drop from #1 since...when?

I think since Eminem's "Not Afraid" debuted at #1 in May 2010 and then fell 1-6 the following week and Britney Spears' "Hold It Against Me" did exactly the same thing IIRC. I remember "Lose Yourself" also by Eminem fell 1-9 after a 12-week run at #1. Does anyone know the record for the biggest drop from #1 in the history of the chart???

Aug 23, 2014 12:12:22 GMT -5 Charlotte. said:

Guess we will finally have some emotion happening in the top 10 after long weeks with the old same thing.

Was thinking about that lately too! So glad to finally see some shake up and newer songs making big jumps! That should make for a less boring Hot 100

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Aug 22, 2014 12:47:42 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

This is why I'm not too keen on the YouTube/Vevo streaming methodology because a lot of people just watched the video to look at Nicki's ass and not for the song but I'm not trying to start the rant again...

A lot of people just watched the Taylor video to see her make a fool or herself and listened to song to hear how awful it was. Doesn't mean they like it. What's the difference? If you don't want to start the rant again, don't.

[Deleted]

Aug 23, 2014 13:03:33 GMT -5 Rose "Payola" Nylund said:

Aug 22, 2014 12:47:42 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

This is why I'm not too keen on the YouTube/Vevo streaming methodology because a lot of people just watched the video to look at Nicki's ass and not for the song but I'm not trying to start the rant again...

A lot of people just watched the Taylor video to see her make a fool or herself and listened to song to hear how awful it was. Doesn't mean they like it. What's the difference? If you don't want to start the rant again, don't.

More than 450k sales and 521k likes vs. 73k dislikes (I even rounded dislikes up and likes down).