justme60
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Post by justme60 on Sept 17, 2015 21:35:44 GMT -5
Is this song going to make it to #1?
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robenglund
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Post by robenglund on Sept 17, 2015 22:37:29 GMT -5
Is this song going to make it to #1? Everyone gets to number lol. On a more serious note this is currently at #2 on the MB rolling chart, so it'll probably be #1 next week. In most of the recent charts I've been watching. Once a song gets that high, it'll peak at number one. Girl Crush peaked at #2 though, and I know people have been saying Kenny may pose a threat since he's at #3. Gonna be interesting to watch!
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justme60
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Post by justme60 on Sept 18, 2015 10:29:05 GMT -5
I personally hope Kenny doesn't keep this song from #1. I love Keith's song a lot. Everything mentioned in the song I so relate to. A quarter to play a song on the jukebox(good ole days) and of course a song mentioning Wheel of Fortune! lol! Great song IMO.
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Post by myeverything on Sept 21, 2015 10:24:21 GMT -5
This song is one of Keith's fastest rising singles in years and has had such an impressive chart run so far. I'll be utterly heartbroken if this song doesn't go all the way at this point. It's too good not to.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 22, 2015 5:11:28 GMT -5
Almost top 40 on the Hot 100. It reaches a new peak of #41 in its 15th week.
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justme60
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Post by justme60 on Sept 22, 2015 21:17:04 GMT -5
Sure hope it makes it to #1 on BB next week! Still around # 4 or 5 on ITunes. So good to see Keith's song up that high!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 26, 2015 5:05:21 GMT -5
Universal may actually pull a "Love You Like That" here and barely manage to overtake Kenny for the Billboard #1 this Monday. Yes, Kenny still leads the BDS building chart, but I'm thinking this has to be an insanely close race. Keith's ahead by 6k in Mediabase audience on the rolling chart right now, even with Kenny having a combined total of an 870k lead over Keith on the two Mediabase-only Westwood One stations. Of course, Keith does have the extra spins he received from co-hosting Country Countdown USA last weekend factored into his 7-day Mediabase numbers, which will not be included in his final Billboard numbers for the week.
This will probably be one of those cases where just a few spins makes the difference for the Billboard #1. I know it's an unusual scenario for a song to get non-consecutive weeks at #1 on Billboard, but we may very well see Keith top both charts this week, and Kenny return to #1 on Billboard next week while claiming a single week at #1 on Mediabase. If Keith Urban were on any other label, I'd say he's likely to miss out on the Billboard #1 here, but this is Universal, the label that got "Give It All We Got Tonight," "Friday Night," "Homegrown Honey," and "Love You Like That" to #1 against all odds. Keith's song is actually a big hit, unlike those four examples, so JJJ may have a very good chance of getting its well-deserved #1 on Country Airplay here.
Whatever ends up happening here, I will say Kenny's team has made these past two weeks unusually entertaining for airplay chart-watchers. It's exciting to see the labels add some "liveliness" to the charts at a time when the charts have fallen into a lull of one-week #1s on both Mediabase and Billboard airplay charts.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Sept 26, 2015 8:16:50 GMT -5
Look at those spins. Capitol means business!:
2 1 KEITH URBAN John Cougar, John Deere... 8703 8031 672 57.832
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Post by myeverything on Sept 26, 2015 21:15:41 GMT -5
Any other artist would be interesting for me, but NOT for Keith and his song that actually deserves to be a #1 single.
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Post by Fanofctrymusic on Sept 27, 2015 4:47:45 GMT -5
Country No.1 Keith Urban John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16 +42923 George Strait Cold Beer Conversation
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 27, 2015 10:18:06 GMT -5
"John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" has reached 8816 spins on MB this week, which is a record.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Sept 27, 2015 13:32:31 GMT -5
"John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" has reached 8816 spins on MB this week, which is a record. I wonder if Keith Urban will get the audience record on the airplay chart.
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Ten Pound Hammer
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Post by Ten Pound Hammer on Sept 27, 2015 13:40:27 GMT -5
I thought Kenny getting to #1 early would prove for an interesting scenario. And as long as it's a scenario where John3 gets to #1 anyway, then I would call it a win.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2015 13:47:00 GMT -5
"John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" has reached 8816 spins on MB this week, which is a record. I wonder if Keith Urban will get the audience record on the airplay chart. I sincerely doubt it as Keith Urban has had a good portion of help from Westwood One and I doubt Keith will beat I wanna say Cole Swindell's Hope You Get Lonely Tonight is that right sabre14
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 27, 2015 14:52:57 GMT -5
I thought Kenny getting to #1 early would prove for an interesting scenario. And as long as it's a scenario where John 3 gets to #1 anyway, then I would call it a win. I'm going to be completely honest, I actually would have loved seeing "Save It For A Rainy Day" get 3-4 uninterrupted weeks at #1, even if it meant blocking JJJ from either chart. In a rather unique scenario (by today's standards) where three huge hits peak at the same time, all three for the moment get to call their songs #1 hits in the span of two weeks with "Buy Me A Boat" claiming MB, "Save It For A Rainy Day" claiming Billboard and if this holds, "John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" claiming both MB and Billboard. I enjoy all three songs but I miss the days of a song spending a few weeks at #1, thus blocking singles that perhaps deserved a #1 peak from obtaining it -- making a journey to #1 more special. 10 years ago, I was aggravated that "Baby Girl", "Something More", "I Go Back" and "It's A Great Day To Be Alive" were blocked from #1 but my thinking has done a 180; now I would kill to have those days back. In the end, I guess my overall enthusiasm for songs getting to #1 or missing #1 on MB and/or Billboard (of course Billboard being more frequent) has severely dwindled due to the gross number of stellar songs that don't even reach the top 40 getting the shaft from country radio -- which seems to occupy my emotions these days. #1 singles for songs I enjoy are nice but it's a short-lived excitement when I once again realize just how many of these things hit #1. I wonder if Keith Urban will get the audience record on the airplay chart. I sincerely doubt it as Keith Urban has had a good portion of help from Westwood One and I doubt Keith will beat I wanna say Cole Swindell's Hope You Get Lonely Tonight is that right sabre14 JJJ only increased 2 spins on W1MC this week. Keith increased 5.7 million in audience on MB this week, so I'm sure that gain can translate to Billboard, especially knowing today that Keith is tracking #1. Kenny increased 2.4 million in audience on MB this week.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2015 14:57:02 GMT -5
I thought Kenny getting to #1 early would prove for an interesting scenario. And as long as it's a scenario where John 3 gets to #1 anyway, then I would call it a win. I'm going to be completely honest, I actually would have loved seeing "Save It For A Rainy Day" get 3-4 uninterrupted weeks at #1, even if it meant blocking JJJ from either chart. In a rather unique scenario (by today's standards) where three huge hits peak at the same time, all three for the moment get to call their songs #1 hits in the span of two weeks with "Buy Me A Boat" claiming MB, "Save It For A Rainy Day" claiming Billboard and if this holds, "John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" claiming both MB and Billboard. I enjoy all three songs but I miss the days of a song spending a few weeks at #1, thus blocking singles that perhaps deserved a #1 peak from obtaining it -- making a journey to #1 more special. 10 years ago, I was aggravated that "Baby Girl", "Something More", "I Go Back" and "It's A Great Day To Be Alive" were blocked from #1 but my thinking has done a 180; now I would kill to have those days back. In the end, I guess my overall enthusiasm for songs getting to #1 or missing #1 on MB and/or Billboard (of course Billboard being more frequent) has severely dwindled due to the gross number of stellar songs that don't even reach the top 40 getting the shaft from country radio -- which seems to occupy my emotions these days. #1 singles for songs I enjoy are nice but it's a short-lived excitement when I once again realize just how many of these things hit #1. I sincerely doubt it as Keith Urban has had a good portion of help from Westwood One and I doubt Keith will beat I wanna say Cole Swindell's Hope You Get Lonely Tonight is that right sabre14 JJJ only increased 2 spins on W1MC this week. Keith increased 5.7 million in audience on MB this week, so I'm sure that gain can translate to Billboard, especially knowing today that Keith is tracking #1. Kenny increased 2.4 million in audience on MB this week. Um not exactly check how much was gained from W1HC provided my eyes aren't deceiving me it looks like it gained upwards of 25+spins and that audience isn't going to be on Billboard.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 27, 2015 15:01:27 GMT -5
I'm going to be completely honest, I actually would have loved seeing "Save It For A Rainy Day" get 3-4 uninterrupted weeks at #1, even if it meant blocking JJJ from either chart. In a rather unique scenario (by today's standards) where three huge hits peak at the same time, all three for the moment get to call their songs #1 hits in the span of two weeks with "Buy Me A Boat" claiming MB, "Save It For A Rainy Day" claiming Billboard and if this holds, "John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" claiming both MB and Billboard. I enjoy all three songs but I miss the days of a song spending a few weeks at #1, thus blocking singles that perhaps deserved a #1 peak from obtaining it -- making a journey to #1 more special. 10 years ago, I was aggravated that "Baby Girl", "Something More", "I Go Back" and "It's A Great Day To Be Alive" were blocked from #1 but my thinking has done a 180; now I would kill to have those days back. In the end, I guess my overall enthusiasm for songs getting to #1 or missing #1 on MB and/or Billboard (of course Billboard being more frequent) has severely dwindled due to the gross number of stellar songs that don't even reach the top 40 getting the shaft from country radio -- which seems to occupy my emotions these days. #1 singles for songs I enjoy are nice but it's a short-lived excitement when I once again realize just how many of these things hit #1. JJJ only increased 2 spins on W1MC this week. Keith increased 5.7 million in audience on MB this week, so I'm sure that gain can translate to Billboard, especially knowing today that Keith is tracking #1. Kenny increased 2.4 million in audience on MB this week. Um not exactly check how much was gained from W1HC provided my eyes aren't deceiving me it looks like it gained upwards of 25+spins and that audience isn't going to be on Billboard. W1HC is only half (on average) of audience levels compared to W1MC. 1 spin on W1MC translates to 100k in audience, whereas W1HC translates to about 50k in total audience for 1 spin. That means Keith's total audience gains from Westwood One this week were about 1.8-1.9 million this week (34 spin increase). That would put it at roughly 4.0 million in MB audience gains if you take them out of the equation.
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Marv
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Post by Marv on Sept 27, 2015 21:06:17 GMT -5
Capitol wanted this standout tune to top the BB chart and 'achieving' that Mediabase spin record merely spotlighted their adaptation of the #1'or bust mentality which Scott B. utilized numerous times to get his artists starting with TS to #1--definitely the undisputed king of hollow victories, so I can't blame Capitol from using that page from SB's playbook to get that BB #1
Anyway, now that Keith has reached #1 with a totally worthless spin record, don't be surprised if he loses well over 2,500 spins this week.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2015 21:31:23 GMT -5
Capitol wanted this standout tune to top the BB chart and 'achieving' that Mediabase spin record merely spotlighted their adaptation of the #1'or bust mentality which Scott B. utilized numerous times to get his artists starting with TS to #1--definitely the undisputed king of hollow victories, so I can't blame Capitol from using that page from SB's playbook to get that BB #1Anyway, now that Keith has reached #1 with a totally worthless spin record, don't be surprised if he loses well over 2,500 spins this week. I doubt Keith will fall hard. He'll have a bit more to lose than most #1 songs do since he's gotten to record high levels of airplay but this was still a "natural hit" which suggests it'll actually fall relatively slowly, and get decent recurrent airplay. The songs that fall hard are usually only the ones that really shouldn't have gone to #1 and radio was anxious to take out of rotation ("Girl Crush," "Young & Crazy," "Hell of a Night," etc.) but this one was a legitimate #1. It may have gotten a big push this week but that's only due to the unfortunate timing and the threat Kenny's hit posed. I think next week we'll see Keith at the 6500-7000 spin mark.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2015 23:57:08 GMT -5
I wonder if Keith Urban will get the audience record on the airplay chart. I sincerely doubt it as Keith Urban has had a good portion of help from Westwood One and I doubt Keith will beat I wanna say Cole Swindell's Hope You Get Lonely Tonight is that right sabre14 I wouldn't be so sure -- I think it's definitely possible for Keith to break the Billboard audience record. Cole Swindell's "Hope You Get Lonely Tonight" does indeed hold the record, as it peaked with 50.609 million (ironically HYGLT set the record this same exact week last year -- September 29, 2014, the chart dated 10/11/14). "Save It For A Rainy Day" had 48.070 million on Monday's Billboard chart, and I've got Kenny projecting to around 50.4 million for tomorrow's chart. So if we assume that JJJ was able to post a gain today (Sunday), then we can expect Keith to have more than 50.4 million, since he's already tracking at #1 on the RTT (meaning he was ahead of Kenny at the end of the day Saturday). It could be close (regarding the possibility of breaking the record), but at the very least I think there's a high chance that both Keith and Kenny will finish with more than 50 million.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 28, 2015 19:15:51 GMT -5
I have a bad feeling this didn't make it to #1 on Billboard after seeing that ad in Country Aircheck, which only bragged about highest one-week totals in Mediabase history. This should easily surpass Cole's record from last fall, so the only way it wouldn't have the Billboard record to brag about is if SIFARD got more audience this week.
There's one factor that came into play here and may have caused Kenny to get the Billboard #1. "Save It for a Rainy Day" received an extra spin as the "hot song" on Lon Helton's countdown program this past weekend, which just means it was the greatest gainer in the top-5. Without that nonsense, Keith would have had the Billboard #1 in the bag.
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rowdawg21
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Post by rowdawg21 on Sept 28, 2015 19:17:35 GMT -5
I have a bad feeling this didn't make it to #1 on Billboard after seeing that ad in Country Aircheck, which only bragged about highest one-week totals in Mediabase history. This should easily surpass Cole's record from last fall, so the only way it wouldn't have the Billboard record to brag about is if SIFARD got more audience this week. There's one factor that came into play here and may have caused Kenny to get the Billboard #1. "Save It for a Rainy Day" received an extra spin as the "hot song" on Lon Helton's countdown program this past weekend, which just means it was the greatest gainer in the top-5. Without that nonsense, Keith would have had the Billboard #1 in the bag. Kenny did indeed just edge out Keith on Billboard - 50.877 to 50.813. www.billboard.com/files/pdfs/country_update_0928.pdf
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 28, 2015 19:19:16 GMT -5
I think I'm going to shoot myself now.
Seriously, this really sucks. I know we can get into the usual debate about how much a Mediabase #1 really does matter, but frankly Mediabase is meaningless to me. It reminds me of the "every kid gets a trophy" mentality and it's just ridiculous that this is going to go down on a list of the handful of Mediabase-only #1s this year that includes "Homegrown Honey" and "Drinking Class."
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 28, 2015 19:19:39 GMT -5
I have a bad feeling this didn't make it to #1 on Billboard after seeing that ad in Country Aircheck, which only bragged about highest one-week totals in Mediabase history. This should easily surpass Cole's record from last fall, so the only way it wouldn't have the Billboard record to brag about is if SIFARD got more audience this week. There's one factor that came into play here and may have caused Kenny to get the Billboard #1. "Save It for a Rainy Day" received an extra spin as the "hot song" on Lon Helton's countdown program this past weekend, which just means it was the greatest gainer in the top-5. Without that nonsense, Keith would have had the Billboard #1 in the bag. Kenny did indeed just edge out Keith on Billboard - 50.877 to 50.813. Oh man. I knew that Kenny's update today was bad news for those who wanted JJJ to top Billboard but my goodness, that's insanely close; just 64k in total audience.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 28, 2015 19:49:37 GMT -5
Absolutely ridiculous that this didn't get to #1 on Billboard. Today's Mediabase update did make me a little nervous, but even so, I was still expecting Keith to finish at least 250k ahead.
I'm pretty sure Capitol wanted the Billboard #1 as well, otherwise we would have probably seen a loss for JJJ this morning. This is the first time in a long time where 2 labels really "went at it". I mean, 99 times out of 100, it's pretty easy to see (by Friday or so, if not earlier) who will be #1 on BB...and with Kenny almost completely flat in the Saturday and Sunday morning MB updates, I thought for sure that that was a sign that Sony had conceded the #1 to UMG/Keith. I was even expecting a decent gain for Kenny this morning, simply because today's MB update marks the start of the new MB week and over the last couple of days I've been thinking Kenny would indeed try to stay level so that he could get the MB #1 on October 4.
This is just a real bummer. Both songs have been big hits, but I just can't believe that "Save It For A Rainy Day" was able to keep both "Buy Me A Boat" and "John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16" from the #1 spot on Billboard. Again, I do feel that each song was a big hit, but I feel like Chris' song and Keith's song 'acted' like slightly bigger hits throughout their chart climbs, so to have them miss out on the Billboard #1 is incredibly disappointing.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 28, 2015 20:04:23 GMT -5
I think I'm going to shoot myself now. Seriously, this really sucks. I know we can get into the usual debate about how much a Mediabase #1 really does matter, but frankly Mediabase is meaningless to me. It reminds me of the "every kid gets a trophy" mentality and it's just ridiculous that this is going to go down on a list of the handful of Mediabase-only #1s this year that includes "Homegrown Honey" and "Drinking Class." First of all, don't shoot yourself. Everyone here loves your posts over the past calendar year. :) Secondly, I agree completely that the revolving door at MB has gotten ridiculous but Sony didnt concede this time and to be quite frank, I'm not heartbroken like others are since some more songs missing #1 are a nice change of pace though the past two couldn't have been worse timing. Three of the biggest hits peaked at the same exact time. I understand that many here will disregard Keith's song as a #1 but nobody here has insisted this was a #1 (attempting to shove it down anyones throat) because it hit #1 on MB. I get you're upset but beating a dead horse with MB seems pointless in a situation like this since it doesn't seem like the focal point of the disappointment here. I mean, 64k is basically dead even. It was just awful, awful luck for Keith.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 28, 2015 20:12:24 GMT -5
This is 2 weeks at #1 for Kenny Chesney on Billboard airplay. People are talking about it being a 3 week #1. Couldn't Keith's label work it enough this week to edge out the #1 spot next week? This was Keith's peak week. He had over 8800 spins. JJJ will fall this week.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 28, 2015 20:13:54 GMT -5
This is 2 weeks at #1 for Kenny Chesney on Billboard airplay. People are talking about it being a 3 week #1. Couldn't Keith's label work it enough this week to edge out the #1 spot next week? Nope -- John x3 will start falling tomorrow already. Heck, if we could see the charts in real time, I'm sure we'd see Keith shedding airplay already (as compared to this time last week). Capitol and Keith made their move this past week...and they came up just short. JJJ won't be able to stay at these astronomically high spins/audience levels. Now, I know what you might say: how can "Save It For A Rainy Day" stay this high? Well, Kenny probably won't be able to stay quite so high either, but he'll either stay fairly level or only lose a little bit, because his song hasn't gotten to #1 on Mediabase yet and so his label will work to ensure that it stays at max airplay levels (or at least just high enough that it can stay ahead of Brett Eldredge through Sunday). I am sure that Keith's team is very disappointed that he/they didn't get to #1 on Billboard (in addition to Mediabase), but it is what it is and there's nothing they can do about it now. They will probably be happy enough with the Mediabase #1. Those of us who aren't will just have to accept it and move on.
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CoJoFan
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Post by CoJoFan on Sept 28, 2015 20:50:58 GMT -5
There was an ad for a new single coming from an artist on Capitol Records in the Country Aircheck Weekly tonight. Could this be for the follow up single possibly?
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Sept 28, 2015 20:56:05 GMT -5
There was an ad for a new single coming from an artist on Capitol Records in the Country Aircheck Weekly tonight. Could this be for the follow up single possibly? It's either Keith or Mickey and it's most likely Keith's follow up with an impact day of October 5th.
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