tekkenguy
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Post by tekkenguy on Jun 24, 2016 12:43:53 GMT -5
Updated predictions:
Post Malone - Yes Alessia Cara - No Tory Lanez - Yes Cam - Yes G-Eazy - No Camila Cabello - Yes ROZES - Yes DNCE - No Yo Gotti - Yes ZAYN - No Karen Fairchild - Yes Lukas Graham - Yes James Bay - No Kevin Gates - No Zara Larsson - No MNEK - Yes Bipolar Sunshine - Yes Troye Sivan - No Desiinger - Yes WizKid - Yes Kyla - Yes Ghost Town DJs - Yes Ruth B - Yes Kent Jones - Yes Infared - Yes Flume - No Kai - Yes
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 3, 2016 16:31:20 GMT -5
I'm updating this. I wasn't really paying attention to the central purpose of the artist's status as a one hit wonder, but I want to predict these newcomer's staying power or if they'll still make the Top 40 after their second hit.
Will be one hit wonders:
Rozes - None of her other material has gained any public interest and she doesn't have that big of a following, so several years from now she'll be remembered exclusively for her self-titled Chainsmokers song.
Camila Cabello - As a solo artist. Since she's still a member of Fifth Harmony it's unlikely that she'll be releasing any solo material anytime soon until 5H break up (Fifth Harmony aren't going away anytime soon since "All In My Head (Flex)" will inevitably be a successful follow up hit after Work From Home is done. They will most likely revive the mainstream attention of girl groups, this situation is a comparable repeat of One Direction igniting the revival of boy bands after their burst onto the scene in 2012).
WizKid & Kyla - Drake's promotion of these two artists likely won't assure any outlook for potential hit-making. Several years from now "One Dance" will be seen as a Drake song with barely any rememberance of the names WizKid and Kyla.
Post Malone is arguably a contender for a status as a one-hit wonder. Although he has a fairly large following, White Iverson seemed like too much of a novelty to be taken seriously, even Post himself admitted that he didn't expect the song to blow up out of nowhere and gain viral success, and his follow up "Go Flex" dropped out of the charts immediately after debuting at #95. Although he is a potential mainstay for Hip Hop radio, mainstream audiences will remember him exclusively for White Iverson.
Lukas Graham - I don't know if the amount of an artists Youtube subscribers automatically signifies their exit from the 1HW zone, but they have over 1 million subscribers on Youtube, so that could increase their potential of garnering another hit, but then again, their massive subscriber count could be due to worldwide superstardom. "7 Years" will likely be their only US hit, the future is never really bright for Alternative/Indie newcomers nowadays.
Ghost Town DJ's - Duh.
Iffy about their one-hit wonderom:
Note: If any of these artists score another Top 40 hit albeit unsuccesfully chart performed, they won't be OHW's by Billboard's standards, but will be best-remembered for one song.
Travi$ Scott - I can see him having another Top 40 hit since he has a fairly large fanbase (and has been famous enough to collaborate with the likes of The Weeknd, Justin Bieber, Big Sean, The 1975, Future etc.), but I don't see him having a long-term career, although he is a potential Hip Hop radio mainstay.
Yo Gotti - "Down In The DM" didn't truly rise until a Nicki Minaj credited remix, so although I can see him scoring another Top 40 single (even if it's just a featured spot), he most likely won't have another hit to outpeak the success of DITDM and that song will be his best rememberance by mainstream audiences. He is also yet another in the bunch of potential Hip Hop mainstays with only one well known hit.
Daya - Most people view Don't Let Me Down as a Chainsmokers song whereas Daya is just seen as a vocalist extra. A deciding factor is how successful the follow up Sit Still, Look Pretty will turn out. If SSLP becomes a hit, she'll won't be considered a one-hit wonder anymore as a lead act (that is if Don't Let Me Down is counted out), but rather a two-hit wonder (or few hit if Don't Let Me Down counts). For some reason I just don't see her carrying a long-tern career, the future for young artists is never all that bright (with the exclusion of Justin Bieber and One Direction).
Desiigner - He could have the potential to become a rap superstar (as was the case for Fetty Wap after the viral success of Trap Queen), the fact that he's signed with Kanye West maximizes his chances. However, between his infamous comparasions to Future (which are even referenced in The Game's new track with Jeremih, where a remark is made about him and Future sounding the same), the limited pop radio airplay of Panda (despite hitting #1) and that the song is too much of a Vine novelty act situation, he might not have a chance at rap superstardom. Desiigner seems like he could almost certainly score another Top 40 single, but probably won't be a name that will appear in the Top 10 again.
James Bay - Let It Go seems to shockingly be gaining momentum only just now when it's been on the charts for 29 weeks and recieved significant airplay like 5 months ago, so this is a tricky one. If the momentum can continue, he could garner a few more hits. If not, he will likely remain a mainstay at Alternative radio, but mainstream audiences will remember him exclusively for Let It Go.
Tory Lanez is a Hip Hop mainstay and has a rather large following, so I can definitely see him touching the Top 40 again, but he likely won't outpeak the success of Say It.
Will not be one hit wonders:
Zayn is a departure from one of the most famous bands with an undeniably massive fanbase, so there's no way he'll be a 1HW (unless he last minute regrets his solo decision), especially since his first single debuted at #1. Besides, with Like I Would consecutively appearing on the AT40, it looks like it will chart very soon and Zayn will carry a successful post-1D career.
Troye Sivan is looking to have another hit with Alessia Cara (see below) called "Wild", so he should be fine, and either way he's an extremely popular teen idol towards girls. However, seeing how his debut Top 40 entry Youth almost immediately fell off after peaking at #23, and how the future for young artists are almost never truly bright (once again, with the exception of Justin Bieber and One Direction), he'll likely be regarded as an artist with a massive fanbase, but only remembered for a few hits, not to mention that Youth might be forgotten by mainstream audiences. Shawn Mendes (who isn't a one hit wonder) would probably have a better chance of winning the 2016 teen idol competition.
Alessia Cara has a large fanbase, and I can see her song "Scars To Your Beautiful" becoming a hit after her featured spot on Troye Sivan's "Wild".
Zara Larsson - Lush Life seems to have a pretty good chance at touching the Hot 100, but only time will find out if it will outpeak the chart success of Never Forget You (which failed to reach the Top 10 in spite of airplay significance). Altough I don't see her having much staying power, she won't be regarded a one-hit wonder by Billboard's standards.
Ruth B - She has gathered a huge following rather quickly, and Lost Boy will inevitably make the Top 10 on the Hot 100 soon, so I could definitely see her getting a few more hits.
DNCE - Toothbrush looks like it will go Top 40 and become a successful follow up hit, but only time will find out if Toothbrush will outpeak Cake By The Ocean. Besides, Joe Jonas's presence in this band could certainly assure their mainstream popularity.
G-Eazy - He has the potential to become a rap star since he carried a massive following before the success of Me, Myself & I. His equally credited Grace collaboration could potentially continue momentum, but either way I can still see him having plenty more Top 40 hits (although his next Top 10 spot will likely be limited to pop crossovers).
Off the board:
twenty one pilots already have three Top 40 hits (Stressed Out, Ride and Heathens), although the last one fell off almost immediately after going Top 20. But trust me, after Ride leaves the charts they sure as hell aren't going anywhere and their superstardom will inevitably continue.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Jul 4, 2016 4:07:53 GMT -5
Zara Larsson - Seeing how Never Forget You failed to reach the Top 10 in spite of airplay significance, she may not have a shot at a long-term career. But if Lush Life will inevitably chart as speculated and outpeaks NFG, she could just breakthrough (and even then, she might just be labeled as a Two-Hit Wonder). Mike Posner - I can definitely see him garnering a few more hits. Like come on, how can a song about his one-hit wonderom cause him to fade back into obscurity? If so, that would be the definition of irony. I've been hearing about Lush Life for months now. If it was gonna chart it would have done it already. Posner was never a one hit wonder, as his first two singles went top 20.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2016 5:21:24 GMT -5
Zara Larsson - Seeing how Never Forget You failed to reach the Top 10 in spite of airplay significance, she may not have a shot at a long-term career. But if Lush Life will inevitably chart as speculated and outpeaks NFG, she could just breakthrough (and even then, she might just be labeled as a Two-Hit Wonder). Mike Posner - I can definitely see him garnering a few more hits. Like come on, how can a song about his one-hit wonderom cause him to fade back into obscurity? If so, that would be the definition of irony. Posner was never a one hit wonder, as his first two singles went top 20. I know, but since he made a massive comeback after 5 years of obscurity, I figured it would make sense to add him here. Besides, the "One-Hit Wonder" page at TV Tropes labels an artist as a one-hit wonder based on how remembered one of their songs is, how far the song peaked, and if it's the only hit the artist carried as a lead/solo act. Whereas the official Wikipedia page confirms an artists' status as a one hit wonder if one of their singles even managed to touch the Top 40, and if their only Top 40 song ultimately peaked at #40 or has been forgotten today by mainstream audiences, I would consider them a No-Hit Wonder until one of their songs outpeaks their first Top 40 hit.
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Jul 4, 2016 5:47:56 GMT -5
Doesn't he essentially call himself a one hit wonder in Ibiza?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2016 13:13:31 GMT -5
Yep "pop song people forgot" not pop songs people forgot
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2016 13:49:40 GMT -5
WAIT A MINUTE! WHY IS TRAVIS SCOTT NOT LISTED?
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jtd Thee Stallion
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Jul 4, 2016 16:08:19 GMT -5
WAIT A MINUTE! WHY IS TRAVIS SCOTT NOT LISTED? 2015
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2016 16:11:00 GMT -5
If thats the case then Post Malone should also be for 2015.
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Nyte
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Post by Nyte on Jul 9, 2016 17:14:33 GMT -5
New entry:
Logic - Sucked for Pain
This one's interesting, because Logic is one of the most popular rappers on the market. However, his music is not made for the radio. As such, he likely won't get another Top 40 hit unless he gets really lucky.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Jul 10, 2016 14:52:21 GMT -5
Lol. 2016 isn't even over yet and I'm already seeing people call Mike Posner a one hit wonder for "I Took a Pill in Ibiza." First Please Don't Go didn't count cuz it wasn't as big as Cooler Than Me and now apparently Cooler Than Me doesn't count anymore.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2016 15:05:51 GMT -5
Zara has a good chance of exiting 1 hit wonder zone Lush Life looks like it will chart soon, I HOPE And Girls Like is going for Radio Adds this month
She already has worldwide success with her singles and her features on Girls Like & This One's For You.
Flume also looks like he is getting a sleeper hit with Never Be Like You since its been in top 20 on iTunes via discount for a couple weeks and its getting some really good radio updates since it entered Top 20 on Pop This can easily be followed up with his collab with Tove Lo, Say It, which is already in the Bubbling Under & US Spotify Top 50. Which will also help Tove's career, which has been pretty good given Habits, Talking Body, Heores (We Could Be) & Close's success.
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redrooster
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Post by redrooster on Jul 10, 2016 23:03:50 GMT -5
Zara has a good chance of exiting 1 hit wonder zone Lush Life looks like it will chart soon, I HOPE And Girls Like is going for Radio Adds this month She already has worldwide success with her singles and her features on Girls Like & This One's For You. Lush Life already flopped out of the Bubbling Under chart months ago
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Jul 11, 2016 3:58:21 GMT -5
Post Malone - Yes. If Too Young and Go Flex didn't do damage on Urban/Rhythmic, I don't see him having another hit.
Alessia Cara - No. Wild Things, while not a top 40 hit, had longevity on pop (20 weeks) and was a top 20 hit there.
Tory Lanez - Maybe. The real test comes with his latest single's performance.
Cam - Maybe. Her album sold well, and I think she can return with her next lead single.
G-Eazy - No. Both his albums under RCA sold well. I can see him having another hit with his next lead single.
Camila Cabello - Yes - as a solo artist.
ROZES - Yes.
DNCE - Probably not.
Yo Gotti - Not 1 hit-wonder. His last two albums sold decently, and he already has 4 top 10 Urban hits (Act Right, I Know, Down in the DM, Law). He may be a 1-hit wonder on the hot 100, but he isn't on his core format.
ZAYN - Maybe, if Like I Would doesn't pick up.
Karen Fairchild - Yes as a solo artist.
Lukas Graham - Maybe not. Mama Said's already rising up HAC and CHR quickly.
James Bay - No. Hold Back the River was a top 10 Alt and #1 AAA hit, and we all know how well Let It Go did. I see him having more success.
Kevin Gates - No, see Yo Gotti analysis. Both 2 Phones and Really Really were huge on Spotify, and the latter and IDGT were top 20 urban hits. Even if Really Really peaks on Urban (could be slowing down due to the Independence Day effect on radio), it had longevity on the Hot 100.
Zara Larsson - If Lush Life becomes the hit it should be like in the rest of the world, no.
MNEK & Bipolar Sunshine - Yes
Troye Sivan - He's got a huge fan base, so I think he'll eventually break out of 1HW zone.
Desiinger - Maybe not. He's on Kanye West's label, so that helps him.
WizKid & Kyla - Yes
Ghost Town DJs - Lol
Ruth B - No. Lost Boy sold well and is top 10 on HAC. I can see her having another hit.
Kent Jones - Maybe not, see Desiigner analysis. He's under DJ Khaled's label.
Infared & Kai - Yes
Flume - No.
Logic - Both his 2 albums sold well, so he has a huge fan base. He'll probably be a one hit wonder, but he'll probably still be huge with the underground rap crowd (Yelawolf, Death Grips, Vince Staples, Big K.R.I.T., etc.)
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Post by Mike is BAD on Jul 11, 2016 4:50:15 GMT -5
Zara has a good chance of exiting 1 hit wonder zone Lush Life looks like it will chart soon, I HOPE And Girls Like is going for Radio Adds this month She already has worldwide success with her singles and her features on Girls Like & This One's For You. Lush Life already flopped out of the Bubbling Under chart months ago Yeah, well now it's back.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 10:02:37 GMT -5
Zara has a good chance of exiting 1 hit wonder zone Lush Life looks like it will chart soon, I HOPE And Girls Like is going for Radio Adds this month She already has worldwide success with her singles and her features on Girls Like & This One's For You. Lush Life already flopped out of the Bubbling Under chart months ago It recently got sent to CHR/Pop Radio, 2nd video just released, and now is around the top 150 on iTunes.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 10:06:07 GMT -5
If Post Malone is on this, Travis Scott needs to be as well.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 14:42:11 GMT -5
If thats the case then Post Malone should also be for 2015. Nope, White Iverson didn't peak until the beginning of 2016.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 14:46:10 GMT -5
Same with Antidote.
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Jul 11, 2016 20:32:06 GMT -5
Off the Board: 21 Pilots: Ride gave them 2 hits and Heathens makes it an even three.
One Hit Wonders: Rozes---The future for features from dance songs usually aren't that bright. Bipolar Sunshine---The future for features from dance songs usually aren't that bright. MNEK---I'd lean towards no (see Rozes), but I'd like to see his next single to know for sure. James Bay---It might take his next album to know for sure, but I don't think Bay has that X factor that leads to multiple hits (if Hold Back the River can't get it done in a re-release, I'm not sure what else could). Camilla Cabello---As far as a solo career goes, I think she's more Nicole Scherzenger than Beyonce. Post Malone---He looks like he hasn't had enough practice, much like the title of his one hit. I don't see a second shot coming. Ghost Town DJs---I think this was more of a fluke adopted by the Internet than anything lasting. Logic---As others said, his music usually doesn't translate so well for radio. Wizkid---I hope he enjoys the success with One Dance, because I think we won't hear from him again. Karen Fairchild---The odds of her having another solo hit in country are slim; if Kacey Musgraves, Maren Morris, and Mickey Guyton can't land hits, then hopes aren't high for Fairchild. But Little Big Town will prove to be a nice fallback option. Infared---Struck gold thanks to a partnership with Ruff Ryders, but do you bet he does so again? Particularly when I got him mixed up with rapper Infrared? Kai---See Rozes and MNEK, but unlikely to break out of OH wonderdom.
Could Go Either Way: DNCE---Have you seen the video? It looks like band members for four different groups. They're more likely to break up than land another top 40. But Toothbrush just may do it in a summer without Maroon 5. Lukas Graham---Mama Said might do it; still unclear whether this was a breakthrough for the band or a sign of things to come. Yo Gotti---Law couldn't do what Down at the DM did; it might take another album to see which way he heads. Travis Scott---If Antidote is an indication, I wouldn't be surprised to see him return. But he does need to release something else to avoid OHW status. Kyla---There might be a small chance that she avoids the fate of obscurity and gets another Top 40 hit, but it depends on whether she has the material to craft another hit. Ruth B.---Lost Boy has grown on me since I last posted this. I'm still somewhat skeptical that she can come up with another hit. Cam---Mayday was no Burning House, but with the right song, I could see hit number 2. Might take another album for it to happen, though. Flume---Never Be Like You took a while to get there, but could Say It break him out and give him his second hit? Depends on whether he gets the Tove Lo that can make hits (Close, Heroes, Talking Body) or the Tove Lo that busts out (Timebomb, Moments).
Won't Be One Hit Wonders: Zara Larssen---Once Never Forget You fades, Lush Life will (probably) make any discussion of one hit wonder status moot, or perhaps even Girls Like which would also allow Tinie Tempah to have his second hit as well. I think it's more a matter of time than anything, although either song needs to chart first. Zayn---Like I Would maybe knocks him off the list. But unlike Pilots and Larssen, I think it might be more of a question of whether he's a one album wonder. G-Eazy---I think he was better with I Mean It than Me, Myself and I (despite Bebe Rexha's hook). There, I said it. I don't think he cracks top 10 again, but I certainly can see him having another top 40 hit. Maybe backing up Britney could do it? Kevin Gates---Not a fan of his lyrics, but I think he'll have the credibility and hooks to be around for a while. Desiigner---Future might be more questionable, but I think based off that single that we're looking more at a first salvo than a one hit wonder. Plus having the backing of Kanye does help. Troye Sivan---Future looks bright for Sivan and I think he'll have his second hit soon, if not sooner. Tory Lanez---He's got an ear for hooks. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets another top 40. Perhaps Luv is it? Alessia Cara---Wild Things is no Here; we knew that, though. I don't think Scars to Your Beautiful will do it, either. But, the first release of album 2 could do it for her.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 20:51:41 GMT -5
^ Like I Would is a pretty big flop following Pillowtalk, it's Girls Like not Boys Like, and Timebomb was taken back very quickly and switched with Moments, so only Moments should count for her fails.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 20:54:46 GMT -5
@hamed, Again, add Travis Scott, Antidote peaked in 2016.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2016 21:14:29 GMT -5
@brianc "Desiigner--- Future might be more questionable... Was that an accidental pun? ;P
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Jul 11, 2016 23:15:27 GMT -5
@brianc "Desiigner--- **Future** might be more questionable... Was that an accidental pun? ;P Yeah, chalk that up as more of an accidental pun than a play off the rapper's name he's been compared to. HamedM1: Changed the title of Zara's featured song to the right title.
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lyhom
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Post by lyhom on Jul 12, 2016 1:50:32 GMT -5
@hamed, Again, add Travis Scott, Antidote peaked in 2016. it peaked at literally the last week of 2015 chill
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2016 18:58:58 GMT -5
Ruth B has surprisingly gathered 1 million Twitter followers in a quick amount of time immediately after the mainstream success of Lost Boy (before that she was just a nobody), so she should be off the board.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2016 19:03:49 GMT -5
TL;DR (the ones I didn't elaborate on are the ones I didn't have anything to say about and just predict will be one-hit wonders:
Rozes - Yes Camila Cabello - Yes Lukas Graham - Yes (in the US at least) James Bay - Yes Alessia Cara - No Troye Sivan - No Bipolar Sunshine - Yes WizKid - Yes Kyla - Yes Yo Gotti - Yes Zayn - No Post Malone - Yes Daya - No (Already confirmed) Torey Lanez - No G-Eazy - No Kent Jones - Yes Ruth B - No Karen Fairchild - Yes Infared - Yes Cam - Yes Twenty One Pilots - No (Already confirmed) DNCE - No Travi$ Scott - Yes Ghost Town DJ's - Yes Desiigner - No Kevin Gates - No Zara Larsson - No MNEK - Yes Flume - No Kai - Yes
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jtd Thee Stallion
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Jul 14, 2016 23:17:55 GMT -5
Have a sneaky suspicion G-Eazy will no longer be considered a one hit wonder in less than two weeks...
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Sambalada
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Post by Sambalada on Jul 14, 2016 23:22:59 GMT -5
^ That's exactly my thought
The superstarpower is real :'(
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Relaxing Cup
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Post by Relaxing Cup on Jul 15, 2016 18:24:41 GMT -5
ZAYN and Nick Jonas
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