Kenny Chesney - "Somewhere With You"

[rowdawg21]

This was sent out to radio today, and it goes for adds on November 8th. The radio edit is 3:42, which is 23 seconds shorter than the album version (I believe they just cut some of the outro).

Writers: J.T. Harding/Shane McAnally

------------------------

I think this is an excellent single choice, and I see it being another multiple week #1 for Kenny with a chance to get 3 or 4 weeks at the top if the timing is right.

[coderebaman]

It's ok and Im gonna guess he'll perform this at the cma awards. It is much better than the boys of fall but far from perfect. This is gonna have to wait if it wants to go to #1. Because kenny's singles usually debut high and move pretty fast up the charts, but there are still alot of new songs from artists on the chart climbing up the charts (ZBB,Keith U,Tim,reba, brad,toby,jason,etc. I think the only way for it to get 3-4 weeks is if it moves a bit slower than his singles usually do, so by the time he gets in the top 5 / top 10 the chart jam is over.

[RobbyFlorida]

Is Shane McAnally Mac McAnally's son? Because Shane also has a 3 cuts off Reba's new album:

All the Women I AmTrack listing
Source: Valory Music[6]

No. Title Writer(s)
4. "Cry" Brandy Clark, Shane McAnally
7. "All the Women I Am" Kent Blazy, Marv Green, Shane McAnally
8. "The Day She Got Divorced" Brandy Clark, Shane McAnally, Mark D. Sanders

[rsmatto]

Oct 18, 2010 14:46:40 GMT -5 RobbyFlorida said:

Is Shane McAnally Mac McAnally's son? Because Shane also has a 3 cuts off Reba's new album:

All the Women I AmTrack listing
Source: Valory Music[6]

No. Title Writer(s)
4. "Cry" Brandy Clark, Shane McAnally
7. "All the Women I Am" Kent Blazy, Marv Green, Shane McAnally
8. "The Day She Got Divorced" Brandy Clark, Shane McAnally, Mark D. Sanders

Nope. Just share last names although both are both 'gingers'.

On a side note, here's a little 'cover' I mocked up for the single.

[steelzus]

This is my favorite song on the album along with "Seven Days." I think this'll do great.

[Typo]

This is fantastic. I read that they were shooting a video for 'Seven Days' recently, so I'm guessing that will be the next single.

[rsmatto]

Oct 18, 2010 15:39:07 GMT -5 Typo said:

This is fantastic. I read that they were shooting a video for 'Seven Days' recently, so I'm guessing that will be the next single.

Or it just makes for a better video.

[ekgoodman92]

I like this song, one of my favorites from the album. I really hope that he will release "Costal" next. However I believe that this song will be a hit, just like all the other Kenny Chesney songs out there. Can't wait to watch this one climb the charts

[someguy]

I think this is the best possible choice that could have been made. This will likely move very quickly to #1.

[Deleted]

Oct 18, 2010 14:40:53 GMT -5 coderebaman said:

It's ok and Im gonna guess he'll perform this at the cma awards. It is much better than the boys of fall but far from perfect. This is gonna have to wait if it wants to go to #1. Because kenny's singles usually debut high and move pretty fast up the charts, but there are still alot of new songs from artists on the chart climbing up the charts (ZBB,Keith U,Tim,reba, brad,toby,jason,etc. I think the only way for it to get 3-4 weeks is if it moves a bit slower than his singles usually do, so by the time he gets in the top 5 / top 10 the chart jam is over.

I disagree. Kenny climbs the charts quicker than anyone else. Kenny debuts higher than everyone else. The chart is jam packed now, yes, but I think it will hardly slow Kenny at all. This song will race up to #1 and may very well prevent other songs from going to #1--songs that would normally make it but might get blocked.

Can't say I'm gonna complain too much, however. This is the best song off Kenny's new album, so I'm extremely happy that it's getting released now. It might just be my favorite song out there.

[nncountrykid]

This is by far the best song on the new album and one of his best ever. Glad they're releasing.

It's refreshing to hear something that switches it up a bit from him and it works extremely well.

[mattyboy]

Best song on the album and best song Kenny has put out since "Don't Blink." This is a sure #1 if there ever is one.

I was so glad to see this released. I kept on dreading one morning going to this website and seeing, "Kenny Chesney - "Small Y'all" listed on here. Haha.

[Jonsolo]

Oct 19, 2010 1:14:37 GMT -5 jhomes87 said:

Oct 18, 2010 14:40:53 GMT -5 coderebaman said:

It's ok and Im gonna guess he'll perform this at the cma awards. It is much better than the boys of fall but far from perfect. This is gonna have to wait if it wants to go to #1. Because kenny's singles usually debut high and move pretty fast up the charts, but there are still alot of new songs from artists on the chart climbing up the charts (ZBB,Keith U,Tim,reba, brad,toby,jason,etc. I think the only way for it to get 3-4 weeks is if it moves a bit slower than his singles usually do, so by the time he gets in the top 5 / top 10 the chart jam is over.

I disagree. Kenny climbs the charts quicker than anyone else. Kenny debuts higher than everyone else. The chart is jam packed now, yes, but I think it will hardly slow Kenny at all. This song will race up to #1 and may very well prevent other songs from going to #1--songs that would normally make it but might get blocked.

Can't say I'm gonna complain too much, however. This is the best song off Kenny's new album, so I'm extremely happy that it's getting released now. It might just be my favorite song out there.

I think the main portion of the post that you quoted, that I have a problem with, is that almost all of the songs that were listed (ZBB,Keith U,Tim,reba, brad,toby,jason) are going to be long gone by the time that Kenny gets up to the top. Assuming he debuts on next week's chart, and using the usual standard of a 12 to 15 week climb to #1 for a Kenny single, we're talking about the very last weeks of January/next February, before Kenny reaches the top. Out of that list of seven artists that were listed, I'd say that only Toby and Jason might not have peaked by that time. And if they haven't peaked, their songs are going to be going slow enough that they probably won't be contenders for #1.

Lady Ant would be the one obvious choice, as a potential rival for Kenny, in that they could be peaking during that February time frame.

But as jhomes responded with, the day that Kenny has to start worrying about what other artists are out there already on the chart, is still a ways off, and he's typically the one that knocks other punier, less fortunate songs out of the way, on his march to the top. He's always the balding, 800-pound gorilla in the room that everyone else has to make room for...

[coderebaman]

Does anyone know what his fastest rising single is? ???

[Jonsolo]

Oct 19, 2010 13:34:22 GMT -5 coderebaman said:

Does anyone know what his fastest rising single is? ???

Never Wanted Nothing More and Don't Blink made it to #1 in 8 weeks of release, while When The Sun Goes Down and There Goes My Life took 9 weeks. So he could technically be able to generate a pace quick enough to get him to the top by the 12/25/10 or 1/1/11 charts, and mix it up with Urban, but I think he'll take it a little more easily, and see at best a 12-week rise (which is still very fast).

[Zazie]

Oct 19, 2010 10:04:28 GMT -5 @mattyboy said:

Best song on the album and best song Kenny has put out since "Don't Blink." This is a sure #1 if there ever is one.

I was so glad to see this released. I kept on dreading one morning going to this website and seeing, "Kenny Chesney - "Small Y'all" listed on here. Haha.

I'd rather hear Small Y'all than a lot of other stuff getting 40 spins a week at my local country stations. But I do see your point. It would be a scary thread to see, and Jonsolo would go out of his mind with rage.

I like the choice of 2nd single and I'd be surprised if it gets less than a 3-week run at the top, beginning the last chart of January.

[HeyHeyHey]

Any guesses on where this will debut?

[kimcountry]

^ My guess is this song will debut at #22. I see a lot of people really loving this song so far on here. Maybe I just haven't heard it enough yet or something but it just isn't hitting me. I'm sure it'll do fine like all of his stuff but I honestly don't feel like it's gonna be a smash hit for him. It's definitely a unique sound and style for Kenny but I just feel like it's kinda similar to a sub par written 80s tune and it kinda gets old quick. But like I say, maybe it's just because I haven't really listened to it 100 times yet...

[Deleted]

Oct 20, 2010 3:29:25 GMT -5 kimcountry said:

^ My guess is this song will debut at #22. I see a lot of people really loving this song so far on here. Maybe I just haven't heard it enough yet or something but it just isn't hitting me. I'm sure it'll do fine like all of his stuff but I honestly don't feel like it's gonna be a smash hit for him. It's definitely a unique sound and style for Kenny but I just feel like it's kinda similar to a sub par written 80s tune and it kinda gets old quick. But like I say, maybe it's just because I haven't really listened to it 100 times yet...

I'm with the others here who find this song to be a great one. But I suppose we all have our own opinions, and that's perfectly fine. But I do believe this one will have a fairly quick rise to #1 and get 2-3 weeks at the top at least. I don't think the climb will be as quick as "The Boys Of Fall" since that was a highly anticipated lead single, but I fully expect this one to be a huge hit.

As far as debuts go, it's hard to say. I can't claim to be an expert on Kenny Chesney debuts. But I do my best to sort things out logically. I'm not sure why you guessed #22--random guess, or logic behind it? Either way, I'm not saying you're wrong. Maybe you nailed it--bullseye. But I'll offer my 2 cents. I don't think this will debut quite as high, and certainly not as high as "The Boys Of Fall" did (A #17 debut on next week's chart could easily require 16-17 million or more). But here's what I do think:

1) "The Boys Of Fall" will go recurrent if it loses another 4-5 million like it did this past week. Rascal Flatts' audience total is high enough that they're begging to jump back into the top 10, and we all know that The Band Perry, Rodney Atkins, Brad Paisley, Taylor Swift, Josh Turner, Easton Corbin, and anyone else in the top 10 isn't ready to give up their spot (don't worry, I'll get to Somewhere With You).
2) I saw an interesting ad on AllAccess yesterday, saying Josh Thompson's "Way Out Here" was powering up for top 10. Maybe they want top 10, but I don't see them getting it. Josh made it up to #15, then slipped a spot to #16 with a tiny 13k loss in audience. Aldean passed him, Urban is coming, and McGraw isn't far behind him either. Josh would need another 6-7 million to approach the current top 10 audience range, and at 32 weeks, I think it's useless for them to try to get "Way Out Here" a higher peak than #15. I think Josh is going to go recurrent.
3) The above 2 points make the first part of my theory--there will be 2 openings in the top 20 on the upcoming 11/6 chart. Kenny's "The Boys Of Fall" debuted on the 7/31 chart with just under 14 million, coming in at #17, only one spot lower than his best debut of #16 for "Don't Blink". Could he garner 14 million in week #1 again? I suppose it's possible, but I don't think the number will be as staggering simply because we're dealing with single #2 here.
4) The last part of my theory begins with last week's chart. If the first part of my theory is correct, we can bump all the songs in that 17-20 range (behind Josh Thompson) up 2 spots. Trace would move to #18, but since he'll get passed by Tim, we'll have Trace up only 1 spot to #19 with Luke Bryan moving up two to #20. Luke Bryan could easily have about 14 million in audience this coming week, give or take a little, which is very high for position #20. If Kenny does want a huge week, you could be spot on with your low 20's debut prediction.
5) A couple more things though--Chris Young will have over 12 million AI's (and probably be at #21), Eric Church will be over 10 (at #22), and Toby should be in that 9-10 range (at #23). After Toby, there's a big gap to the idling Steel Magnolia tune, and then another big gap down to Joe Nichols, Sunny Sweeney, and company. Lady A is likely to pass up those guys, but they won't catch Toby for a while if they do at all. But Lady A could easily have 6.5 million in audience, and may be just ahead of just behind Steel Magnolia. To conclude, let's say Toby moves up 2 spots (due to those 2 potential recurrents) and "Bullets In The Gun" is, in fact, at #23. Steel Magnolia and Lady A would be at #24 and #25, or vice versa. But I think there's a good chance Kenny would land at #24, in that big gap between Toby and Lady A/Steel Magnolia. 7-9 million seems like a pretty broad and reasonable target for Kenny to aim for.

To wrap things up, again, I'm no expert in Kenny debuts. He could have a big 10 million + week and land in the lower 20's, possibly at #22. Obviously a top 40 debut is a given, so I'm gonna go ahead and guess #24. Let the fun begin!

EDIT: Just came back from this morning's MB update, and I think maybe Justin Moore could go recurrent too, thus giving us another top 20 opening. Justin is losing spins rapidly, with both he and Josh Thompson down over 120 spins so far on the week. Justin and his camp may know that his 21-week old song might have top 15 potential, but that top 10 would be a huge stretch. So I'll revise my prediction and guess that Kenny comes in at #23. But for all I know, he'll take a smaller opening week (I believe "Never Wanted Nothing More" came in at #37 in week one before vaulting 20 spots or so in week 2) and open in the 30's. But I'll stick with #23 for my guess until it happens or it happens otherwise, or someone suggests something different.

[Dustin J.]

I'll be the first to admit that this is actually one of my LEAST favorite songs from this album. I never thought it would be released as a single, with such solid songs like "Live A Little", "You And Tequila", "Small Y'all", and "Round And Round" available to choose from.

Count me as one of the few who's hoping for a very quick chart run so we can move on to better things from Mr. Chesney.

[Jonsolo]

Oct 20, 2010 3:29:25 GMT -5 kimcountry said:

^ My guess is this song will debut at #22. I see a lot of people really loving this song so far on here. Maybe I just haven't heard it enough yet or something but it just isn't hitting me. I'm sure it'll do fine like all of his stuff but I honestly don't feel like it's gonna be a smash hit for him. It's definitely a unique sound and style for Kenny but I just feel like it's kinda similar to a sub par written 80s tune and it kinda gets old quick. But like I say, maybe it's just because I haven't really listened to it 100 times yet...

Oct 20, 2010 6:52:16 GMT -5 jhomes87 said:

Just came back from this morning's MB update, and I think maybe Justin Moore could go recurrent too, thus giving us another top 20 opening. Justin is losing spins rapidly, with both he and Josh Thompson down over 120 spins so far on the week. Justin and his camp may know that his 21-week old song might have top 15 potential, but that top 10 would be a huge stretch. So I'll revise my prediction and guess that Kenny comes in at #23. But for all I know, he'll take a smaller opening week (I believe "Never Wanted Nothing More" came in at #37 in week one before vaulting 20 spots or so in week 2) and open in the 30's. But I'll stick with #23 for my guess until it happens or it happens otherwise, or someone suggests something different.

There's no way he'll be that high. On Monday, he gained about 0.17 mill on MB, and yesterday he added about 0.37, to reach a two-day gain total of 0.54. This was after he had a first-week "unsolicited airplay total" on Monday morning of 0.217. Now, if he keeps on doubling his gain every day, we could entertain talk about that #22 to #25 range. But assuming he only steps it up to maybe 0.5 mill gains from here on out, he'd at most be looking at a Billboard total in the 3~3.5 mill range. That'd put him in Currington/Bentley territory, around #31 to #33 (assuming Boys Of Fall, Josh Thompson, and Justin Moore all go recurrent).

There'll be a bit of gap up to Craig Campbell and James Wesley, in the #28 to #30 range with 4+ mill. Maybe he could shoot for that, but we'd have to see some 0.8 mill gains on Mediabase starting tomorrow.

Probably a #35 or #36 debut is the safe guess, based on what the gains for KC have been so far after two days.

[kimcountry]

OOPS! lol In my other post I put that I think he'll debut at #22 (that'd be one heck of a debut!)..what I was meaning to type was #42 last night. Must've been those couple glasses of wine last night ;)

[rowdawg21]

Oct 18, 2010 15:55:37 GMT -5 rsmatto said:

Oct 18, 2010 15:39:07 GMT -5 Typo said:

This is fantastic. I read that they were shooting a video for 'Seven Days' recently, so I'm guessing that will be the next single.

Or it just makes for a better video.

I don't want to get too off topic here, but it was said that the "Seven Days" video wouldn't be out until fall 2011. If this is the case, I'm guessing "Coastal" will be released for the spring/summer and then "Seven Days" will be released as the fourth single in late summer/early fall.

Oct 20, 2010 12:04:10 GMT -5 Jonsolo said:

There's no way he'll be that high. On Monday, he gained about 0.17 mill on MB, and yesterday he added about 0.37, to reach a two-day gain total of 0.54. This was after he had a first-week "unsolicited airplay total" on Monday morning of 0.217. Now, if he keeps on doubling his gain every day, we could entertain talk about that #22 to #25 range. But assuming he only steps it up to maybe 0.5 mill gains from here on out, he'd at most be looking at a Billboard total in the 3~3.5 mill range. That'd put him in Currington/Bentley territory, around #31 to #33 (assuming Boys Of Fall, Josh Thompson, and Justin Moore all go recurrent).

There'll be a bit of gap up to Craig Campbell and James Wesley, in the #28 to #30 range with 4+ mill. Maybe he could shoot for that, but we'd have to see some 0.8 mill gains on Mediabase starting tomorrow.

Probably a #35 or #36 debut is the safe guess, based on what the gains for KC have been so far after two days.

I agree with this analysis, but I think Josh Turner also has a chance to go recurrent. Right now both Josh and Kenny ("Boys Of Fall") are projecting to an audience of about 23.1 million. Rascal Flatts will send one of those songs recurrent, and George Strait has a chance to send the other recurrent (although he would need to pick up the pace a little, as he's projecting to 22.9).

If George does not end up with a higher audience than Josh/Kenny, they could both still go recurrent if Kenny finishes below Josh's audience total. In that case, I believe Rascal Flatts would take Josh out of the top ten (based on audience) and George would take Kenny out of the top ten (based on spins). Right now I'll say there's a 40% chance both Josh and Kenny go recurrent.

[Deleted]

Oct 20, 2010 12:04:10 GMT -5 Jonsolo said:

There's no way he'll be that high. On Monday, he gained about 0.17 mill on MB, and yesterday he added about 0.37, to reach a two-day gain total of 0.54. This was after he had a first-week "unsolicited airplay total" on Monday morning of 0.217. Now, if he keeps on doubling his gain every day, we could entertain talk about that #22 to #25 range. But assuming he only steps it up to maybe 0.5 mill gains from here on out, he'd at most be looking at a Billboard total in the 3~3.5 mill range. That'd put him in Currington/Bentley territory, around #31 to #33 (assuming Boys Of Fall, Josh Thompson, and Justin Moore all go recurrent).

There'll be a bit of gap up to Craig Campbell and James Wesley, in the #28 to #30 range with 4+ mill. Maybe he could shoot for that, but we'd have to see some 0.8 mill gains on Mediabase starting tomorrow.

Probably a #35 or #36 debut is the safe guess, based on what the gains for KC have been so far after two days.

Yeah, I went back and looked to see where he was on Mediabase, and he's not gaining a ton. My best/highest route won't work. I guess I'll say then, that this one will follow a similar pattern to "Never Wanted Nothin More" and debut somewhere in the 30's, followed by a big jump in week #2. Even with TBOF set to go recurrent, I think it's still going to get played plenty, and with the adds date still a few weeks away, Kenny won't get a monster week here for SWY. But that's fine--I still expect a multi-week #1 and a song that bumps everyone else out of its path, reaching the summit in maybe 12-16 weeks.

[Jonsolo]

Oct 20, 2010 14:04:43 GMT -5 rowdawg21 said:

I agree with this analysis, but I think Josh Turner also has a chance to go recurrent. Right now both Josh and Kenny ("Boys Of Fall") are projecting to an audience of about 23.1 million. Rascal Flatts will send one of those songs recurrent, and George Strait has a chance to send the other recurrent (although he would need to pick up the pace a little, as he's projecting to 22.9).

If George does not end up with a higher audience than Josh/Kenny, they could both still go recurrent if Kenny finishes below Josh's audience total. In that case, I believe Rascal Flatts would take Josh out of the top ten (based on audience) and George would take Kenny out of the top ten (based on spins). Right now I'll say there's a 40% chance both Josh and Kenny go recurrent.

That's all technically true. But I'm trying not to get greedy, in my hopes that George can notch another top 10 with his single, and will just be hoping for him getting to #11 next week. Best not to jinx him, and expect too much. But if Turner and KC want to increase their rate of decline, they're more than welcome.

[Zazie]

Oct 20, 2010 14:04:43 GMT -5 rowdawg21 said:

I agree with this analysis, but I think Josh Turner also has a chance to go recurrent. Right now both Josh and Kenny ("Boys Of Fall") are projecting to an audience of about 23.1 million. Rascal Flatts will send one of those songs recurrent, and George Strait has a chance to send the other recurrent (although he would need to pick up the pace a little, as he's projecting to 22.9).

If George does not end up with a higher audience than Josh/Kenny, they could both still go recurrent if Kenny finishes below Josh's audience total. In that case, I believe Rascal Flatts would take Josh out of the top ten (based on audience) and George would take Kenny out of the top ten (based on spins). Right now I'll say there's a 40% chance both Josh and Kenny go recurrent.

This runs contrary to the way I have seen Billboard make decisions, except one time. What I've seen is that they first make the decision to send a song recurrent based on spins. That means Kenny's history, unless something changes in a big way.

And then Josh would stay on unless he fell below Strait in audience. Falling below RF in audience would still leave him at #10 because Kenny would already be gone and wouldn't count as one of the songs above Josh.

I do remember one time when they pulled 2 songs at once, one for being #11 in spins and the other for being #11 in audience. I could look it up; one of the songs was a Toby Keith song. They left the already-gone song in there for the purpose of pulling the other song. But on other occasions since the development of the new spins-based recurrent rule, I have seen them refuse to count the song that went recurrent based on spins for the purpose of determining who went recurrent based on audience.

Sorry to write this in such a cumbersome way but I hope what I'm trying to say comes through. It's complicated. George's label could solve this problem with a little bit of timely promotion, but I saw no evidence of that on today's MB update. And there's always the following week to daydream about, but if he starts dropping now, that won't be available as an option.

[joey2002]

I'll go with a #32 debut...

Jon, what's your guess? The pressure is on, remember, because you were spot on with the #17 debut of The Boys Of Fall!

[someguy]

I'll guess that he enters at #31, ahead of Craig Campbell, but behind Blake Shelton.

[kevin59]

Radio Edit (Allaccess)

[LISTEN] (Allaccess)

Source: Allaccess

[43dudleyvillas]

When it comes to Kenny, I hang onto a song like "Demons" (and his performance on it) as evidence that he can come up with something that I like. While I concede that "Somewhere with You" is bound to be a successful single for him, it doesn't work for me. The foremost issue I have with it is my most common issue with Kenny -- his phrasing is so flat and monotonous, I don't think he adds much to the song. I don't mind the tone of Kenny's voice, but I think his delivery is passive and merely follows the beat of the song without much variety depending on the lyric. I listen to this song and think that someone like Keith Urban would bring a lived-in ache to the lyric.

My other struggle is with the sound of the song itself. This isn't Kenny's fault, but this song sounds a lot like the 80s Hall & Oates-ish soft rock that I would hear in the car during long trips while desperately hoping that my parents would switch to the country station without my asking (I didn't want to push my luck when it came to asking my parents to change the station; one can only ask so many times, after all). Keep in mind that I had the same issue with "Need You Now," so I recognize that this is simply my block for a particular kind of music and that this in no way means the song isn't going to be a big hit.