jdanton2
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Post by jdanton2 on Aug 14, 2011 9:37:09 GMT -5
10. BAD MEETS EVIL - Lighters f/Bruno Mars: 81.493 (+ 0.935) No idea what happened to this. maybe because it has such big gains last week it appears to be slowing because of the 7 day rolling thing. |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 14, 2011 9:45:05 GMT -5
^Well, that would go without saying. :) The major thing that affects brand-new tracks is the 8th-day update, but this ain't a new track.
And, as you can see, stanr, I was joshing about "beginning of the end' in regards to IWG. I'm well aware there are ebbs and flows in updates. Until there is several days or more of a trend, can't call anything like that.
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fanatic
Charting
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Post by fanatic on Aug 14, 2011 11:11:05 GMT -5
I Wanna Go is alive!The songs got a +300 on pop today and about to outpeak TTWE.
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Aug 14, 2011 12:33:10 GMT -5
I feel like Lighters has been out for months....I think that happens to us in Detroit where they play Em, no matter what. UGH.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 14, 2011 12:41:16 GMT -5
^Yes. I'm also from Detroit and I've been hearing it on the radio around the clock since it had like 1.5 million AI to its name
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 14, 2011 19:51:51 GMT -5
I think the magic number is 170k for LFN.
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colson
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Post by colson on Aug 14, 2011 20:15:21 GMT -5
Wouldn't PRA have to outsell LFN by at least 25k to hold onto #1?
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 14, 2011 20:45:30 GMT -5
Wouldn't PRA have to outsell LFN by at least 25k to hold onto #1? No. They need to outsell LFN by 5k to get #1. |
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 14, 2011 20:52:05 GMT -5
I think that number could reach to 7 or 8k, depending on how the next 3 days go.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 14, 2011 21:03:22 GMT -5
I think that number could reach to 7 or 8k, depending on how the next 3 days go. Yep the airplay difference is going to be key. How is PRA doing in latin airplay at the moment? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2011 21:14:40 GMT -5
^ I *think* their airplay difference will be just 10mil (BDS) so PRA might need even less than that.
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Post by LegendaryLover on Aug 15, 2011 3:07:13 GMT -5
Last week, their difference was 0.2M. I think the gap would we widened slightly to around 5M.
LMFAO just needs to outsell her by 5K.
This should be the most interesting and hyped week since S&M/ET and OG/LAG6/RYG.
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 15, 2011 3:10:38 GMT -5
Last week, their difference was 0.2M. I think the gap would we widened slightly to around 5M. LMFAO just needs to outsell her by 5K. This should be the most interesting and hyped week since S&M/ET and OG/LAG6/RYG. Don't forget streaming. I really do think LMFAO will have a big advantage over her on that. Honestly, I think LMFAO only need to outsell her by 2-3K - which they probably have done. Doing my best to remain optimistic though.  |
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 15, 2011 6:13:25 GMT -5
Sorry for the lateness... it's Orkut (and my s**tty ISP)'s fault 8/15 airplay updates:[/u] 1. KATY PERRY - Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.): 146.888 (- 0.170) 2. LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem: 136.122 (- 0.716) 3. NICKI MINAJ - Super Bass: 125.954 (+ 0.419) 4. PITBULL - Give Me Everything f/Ne-Yo: 115.912 (- 0.320) 5. LIL WAYNE - How To Love: 113.160 (+ 0.370) 6. ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 100.705 (- 1.112) 7. BRITNEY SPEARS - I Wanna Go: 93.649 (+ 0.843) 8. ONEREPUBLIC - Good Life: 88.597 (+ 0.657) ▲ 9. LADY GAGA - The Edge Of Glory: 86.948 (- 1.303) ▼ 10. BAD MEETS EVIL - Lighters f/Bruno Mars: 82.235 (+ 0.742) 11. HOT CHELLE RAE - Tonight Tonight: 71.815 (+ 0.031) 12. DJ KHALED - I'm On One f/Drake, Rick Ross: 70.982 (- 0.324) 13. KELLY ROWLAND - Motivation f/Lil Wayne: 65.933 (- 0.115) 14. THE BAND PERRY - If I Die Young: 64.605 (+ 1.130)15. CHRIS BROWN - She Ain't You: 58.261 (- 0.112) 16. BEYONCE - Best Thing I Never Had: 57.373 (+ 0.041) 17. LADY ANTEBELLUM - Just A Kiss: 56.844 (+ 0.233) 18. BLACK EYED PEAS - Just Can't Get Enough: 55.908 (- 0.527) 19. DIERKS BENTLEY - Am I The Only One: 49.801 (+ 0.429) ▲ 20. ZAC BROWN BAND - Knee Deep f/Jimmy Buffett: 49.094 (- 0.869) ▼ BRAD PAISLEY/CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Remind Me: 48.291 (+ 0.344) BIG SEAN - My Last f/Chris Brown: 47.707 (- 0.214) LUKE BRYAN - Country Girl (Shake It For Me): 46.860 (- 0.214) LUPE FIASCO - Out Of My Head f/Trey Songz: 46.129 (- 0.140) MAROON 5 F/CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Moves Like Jagger: 44.463 (+ 2.350)FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Pumped Up Kicks: 42.070 (+ 1.890)
RIHANNA - Cheers (Drink To That): 38.030 (+ 1.422)DAVID GUETTA/FLO RIDA/NICKI M. - Where Them Girls At: 33.235 (+ 0.474) JAY Z & KANYE WEST - Otis: 33.235 (+ 1.196)COLDPLAY - Every Teardrop Is A Waterfall: 32.217 (+ 0.048) COBRA STARSHIP - You Make Me Feel... f/Sabi: 30.122 (+ 1.670)PITBULL - Rain Over Me: 27.464 (+ 0.361) JENNIFER LOPEZ - I'm Into You f/Lil Wayne: 23.482 (- 0.438) RED HOT CHILI PEPPERS - Adventures Of Rain Dance...: 19.319 (+ 0.061) DEV - In The Dark: 19.064 (+ 0.858) ALEXANDRA STAN - Mr. Saxobeat: 16.725 (+ 0.415) TAYLOR SWIFT - Sparks Fly: 16.689 (+ 0.517) DRAKE - Headlines: 15.459 (+ 0.945) ADELE - Someone Like You: 13.446 (+ 0.632) BLACK EYED PEAS - Don't Stop The Party: 12.339 (+ 0.026) LADY GAGA - You And I: 8.899 (+ 0.783) AVRIL LAVIGNE - Smile: 8.123 (- 0.087) BLINK 182 - Up All Night: 6.715 (+ 0.081) EVANESCENCE - What You Want: 2.509 (+ 0.413) [Source] |
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Kworb
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Post by Kworb on Aug 15, 2011 6:15:34 GMT -5
Hot 100 prediction based on my sales estimates + airplay trend
1-2. Last Friday Night (157.1 + 146.0* = 303.1)
1-2. Party Rock Anthem (158.7 + 141.0* = 299.7)
3. Moves Like Jagger (219 + 48 = 267)
4. Super Bass (128 + 127 = 255)
5. Lighters (151 + 85 = 236)
6. How To Love (112 + 114 = 226)
7-9. Give Me Everything (80 + 114 + ? = 194 + ?)
7-9. Pumped Up Kicks (157 + 45 = 202)
7-9. I Wanna Go (103 + 98 = 201)
10-11. Tonight Tonight (115 + 73 = 188)
10-11. Good Life (95 + 90 = 185)
12-13. Rolling In The Deep (80 + 96 = 176)
12-13. Headlines (158 + 17 = 175)
* = BDS airplay estimate
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hitseeker.
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Post by hitseeker. on Aug 15, 2011 6:16:15 GMT -5
MAROON 5 F/CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Moves Like Jagger: 44.463 (+ 2.350) WOW! Amazing update, they're doing so much better than I expected, glad to see them and Christina getting a hit!  btw Slizzy, you forgot to put MLJ in bold |
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 15, 2011 6:24:30 GMT -5
btw Slizzy, you forgot to put MLJ in bold Fixed, thanks! Hot 100 prediction based on my sales estimates + airplay trend 1-2. Last Friday Night (157.1 + 146.0* = 303.1) 1-2. Party Rock Anthem (158.7 + 141.0* = 299.7) 3. Moves Like Jagger (219 + 48 = 267) 4. Super Bass (128 + 127 = 255) 5. Lighters (151 + 85 = 236) 6. How To Love (112 + 114 = 226) 7-9. Give Me Everything (80 + 114 + ? = 194 + ?) 7-9. Pumped Up Kicks (157 + 45 = 202) 7-9. I Wanna Go (103 + 98 = 201) 10-11. Tonight Tonight (115 + 73 = 188) 10-11. Good Life (95 + 90 = 185) 12-13. Rolling In The Deep (80 + 96 = 176) 12-13. Headlines (158 + 17 = 175) * = BDS airplay estimate Thanks for posting that! Yeah, unfortunately I think PRA will probably make the difference with streaming. I really hope not though. :( |
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hitseeker.
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Post by hitseeker. on Aug 15, 2011 6:36:02 GMT -5
btw Slizzy, you forgot to put MLJ in bold Fixed, thanks! you're welcome |
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d.t.m
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Post by d.t.m on Aug 15, 2011 7:12:51 GMT -5
I almost want PRA to get #1 again just to see Capitol go crazy trying to figure what stunt they need to pull next!
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popstop
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Post by popstop on Aug 15, 2011 7:19:46 GMT -5
LFN looks like it has another week to try for #1. Lighters' airplay hasn't been growing like it did last week, and PRA is losing airplay faster than LFN.
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 15, 2011 7:23:40 GMT -5
I almost want PRA to get #1 again just to see Capitol go crazy trying to figure what stunt they need to pull next! Don't you think they'd give up? LFN looks like it has another week to try for #1. Lighters' airplay hasn't been growing like it did last week, and PRA is losing airplay faster than LFN. You think so? Because even though PRA is losing airplay faster, PRA's main is still above LFN's main in iTunes, and I expect that this time next week LFN's remix will be nowhere to be seen. Plus streaming. I'm not sure. And also, there's MLJ to worry about. ;) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 15, 2011 7:48:48 GMT -5
LFN looks like it has another week to try for #1. Lighters' airplay hasn't been growing like it did last week, and PRA is losing airplay faster than LFN. LFN is also losing sales though. |
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Cory | Alan
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Post by Cory | Alan on Aug 15, 2011 8:42:24 GMT -5
this is so crazy close...had they put Nicki on this, we wouldn't be having this discussion. UGH
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colson
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Post by colson on Aug 15, 2011 8:45:02 GMT -5
^But Nicki would be competing against her own song. I don't think that her label would be too happy about that.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 15, 2011 9:37:58 GMT -5
btw Slizzy, you forgot to put MLJ in bold Fixed, thanks! Hot 100 prediction based on my sales estimates + airplay trend 1-2. Last Friday Night (157.1 + 146.0* = 303.1) 1-2. Party Rock Anthem (158.7 + 141.0* = 299.7) 3. Moves Like Jagger (219 + 48 = 267) 4. Super Bass (128 + 127 = 255) 5. Lighters (151 + 85 = 236) 6. How To Love (112 + 114 = 226) 7-9. Give Me Everything (80 + 114 + ? = 194 + ?) 7-9. Pumped Up Kicks (157 + 45 = 202) 7-9. I Wanna Go (103 + 98 = 201) 10-11. Tonight Tonight (115 + 73 = 188) 10-11. Good Life (95 + 90 = 185) 12-13. Rolling In The Deep (80 + 96 = 176) 12-13. Headlines (158 + 17 = 175) * = BDS airplay estimate Thanks for posting that! Yeah, unfortunately I think PRA will probably make the difference with streaming. I really hope not though. :( well it's not like PRA gets ALL the streaming points and Katy gets none. PRA might get like 2/3 and Katy 1/3 or something like that. |
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 15, 2011 9:39:32 GMT -5
Fixed, thanks! Thanks for posting that! Yeah, unfortunately I think PRA will probably make the difference with streaming. I really hope not though. :( well it's not like PRA gets ALL the streaming points and Katy gets none. PRA might get like 2/3 and Katy 1/3 or something like that. Yes, but PRA might get 6 streaming points and LFN gets 3, or something like that. Could be much more too. It's a diff. |
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 15, 2011 9:43:23 GMT -5
well it's not like PRA gets ALL the streaming points and Katy gets none. PRA might get like 2/3 and Katy 1/3 or something like that. Yes, but PRA might get 6 streaming points and LFN gets 3, or something like that. Could be much more too. It's a diff. in that scenario, Katy would be #1. |
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Aug 15, 2011 10:02:38 GMT -5
If the points are that close, I think PRA will still come on top since it's #1 in other digital markets.
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Post by @DiegoMarcondes_ on Aug 15, 2011 10:06:05 GMT -5
More Mediabase
Airplay increase updated from August 13th to August 15th
JAKE OWEN - Barefoot Blue Jean Night= 43.432 (+1.051)
KENNY CHESNEY - You And Tequila f/Grace Potter = 41.987 (+0.641)
RODNEY ATKINS -Take A Back Road= 35.465 (+0.509)
TRACE ADKINS -Just Fishin'= 34.210 (+0.521)
TOBY KEITH -Made In America= 32.509 (+1.273)
KEITH URBAN -Long Hot Summer= 31.804 (+0.684)
BILLY CURRINGTON -Love Done Gone= 28.898 (+0.099)
SCOTTY MCCREERY - I Love You This Big = 26.754 (+0.256)
BIG SEAN -Marvin & Chardonnay= 27.513 (+1.291)
MIGUEL -Quickie= 26.051 (+0.950)
BLAKE SHELTON -God Gave Me You= 24.291 (+0.770)
AFROJACK -Take Over Control f/Eva Simons= 23.866 (+0.707)
GYM CLASS HEROES- Stereo Hearts f/Adam Levine = 23.339 (+2.225)
ANDY GRAMMER - Keep Your Head Up= 22.922 (+0.090)
THOMPSON SQUARE -I Got You= 21.713 (-0.016)
DRAKE -Marvin's Room= 21.265 (+1.007)
FOO FIGHTERS - Walk= 16.875 (+0.250)
IYAZ -Pretty Girls= 14.187 (+1.380)
NEW BOYZ -Better With The Lights Off= 13.214 (+0.056)
THE SCRIPT -Nothing= 12.496 (+0.987)
TINIE TEMPAH -Till I'm Gone f/Wiz Khalifa= 12.338 (+0.438)
WALE - That Way f/Jeremih & Rick Ross= 12.310 (+0.345)
MIRANDA LAMBERT -Baggage Claim= 11.859 (+2.791)
TYGA -Far Away f/Chris Richardson= 11.485 (-0.028)
MATT NATHANSON -Faster= 11.316 (+0.412)
JENNIFER HUDSON - No One Gonna Love You= 10.400 (-0.316)
RASCAL FLATTS -Easy= 10.274 (+0.615)
KREAYSHAWN -Gucci Gucci= 9.732 (+0.334)
CHRIS BROWN -Wet The Bed= 8.928 (+0.479)
ESTELLE -Break My Heart f/Rick Ross= 8.594 (+0.043)
THEORY OF A DEADMAN -Lowlife= 7.999(-0.034)
WIZ KHALIFA -No Sleep= 7.851(+ 0.851)
MONICA -Anything f/Rick Ross & Lil Kim= 7.386 (-0.163)
ACE HOOD -Body 2 Body f/Chris Brown= 7.234 (+1.485)
CHRISTINA PERRI -Arms= 6.879 (+0.356)
GOO GOO DOLLS -All That You Are= 6.755 (+0.146)
LLOYD -Dedication To My Ex...= 6.062 (+0.155)
J. COLE -Workout= 6.009 (+0.360)
KELLIE PICKLER -Tough= 5.249 (+0.161)
SEAN PAUL -Got 2 Luv U f/Alexis Jordan= 4.867 (+0.378)
BUSH - The Sound Of Winter= 4.856 (+0.121)
COLBIE CAILLAT -Brighter Than The Sun= 4.828 (+0.305)
GAVIN DEGRAW - Not Over You = 4.082 (+0.112)
LIL WAYNE -She Will f/Drake= 3.562 (+1.955)
SWEDISH HOUSE MAFIA-Save The World=3.477 (-0.077)
YOUNG JEEZY -Shake Life= 3.359 (+0.261)
CODY SIMPSON -On My Mind= 3.074 (+0.042)
JANE'S ADDICTION -Irresistible Force= 2.769 (+0.190)
MICHELLE BRANCH -Loud Music= 2.716 (+0.021)
DEMI LOVATO - Skyscraper = 2.638 (+0.162)
JOE JONAS - Hit No More= 2.630 (-1.182)
LAUREN ALAINA -Like My Mother Does= 2.315 (-0.138)
THE BAND PERRY - All Your Life= 2.134 (+0.383)
NAYER -Suave (Kiss Me) f/Mohombi= 1.998 (+0.197)
KELLY ROWLAND -Lay It On Me f/Big Sean= 1.812 (-0.070)
DAVID GUETTA - Little Bad Girl f/Taio Cruz= 1.768 (+0.048)
INCUBUS -Promises, Promises= 1.769 (-0.023)
LENNY KRAVITZ -Stand= 1.698 (-0.047)
LMFAO -Sexy And I Know It= 1.577 (+0.112)
JASON DERULO -It Girl= 1.533 (+0.412)
BRUNO MARS -Marry You= 1.500 (-0.006)
KOOKS -Junk Of The Heart= 1.305 (-0.014)
SWITCHFOOT -Dark Horses= 1.185 (+0.076)
NICKI MINAJ -Fly f/Rihanna= 1.128 (+0.275)
TYRESE -Too Easy f/Ludacris= 1.084 (+0.212)
50 CENT -I'm On It= 0.899 (+0.208)
PATRICK STUMP -This City f/Lupe Fiasco= 0.896
SUPERHEAVY -Miracle Worker= 0.778 (-0.002)
CHERLISE -Love U Right f/Lil Wayne= 0.663 (-0.016)
SKYLAR GRAY - Invisible = 0.525 (+0.084)
PIA TOSCANO -This Time= 0.480 (+0.134)
IFFY -Do You= 0.369 (-0.007)
CASEY JAMES-Let's Don't Call It A Night= 0.291 (+0.045)
SIMPLE PLAN -Jet Lag f/Natasha Bedingfield=0.287 (+0.003)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE -Love You Like A Love Song= 0.254 (+0.032)
FEIST -How Come You Never Go There= 0.098 (+0.018)
MELANIE FIONA -4 AM= 0.067
LEONA LEWIS -Collide= 0.023 (-0.013)
SHAKIRA -Rabiosa f/Pitbull= 0.030 (-0.005)
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 15, 2011 10:15:09 GMT -5
^But Nicki would be competing against her own song. I don't think that her label would be too happy about that. Not really. It's pretty obvious that SB is not going to get higher than #3 let alone #1. |
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