Billboard Hot 100 09/01/12

[Taylor.]

Top 10 in a week. :'(

Of course she's going to lose half of that audience right away but whatever.

[fridayteenage]

Well the promo deal was for 44 million in a day. Which wouldn't be half esp since there still should be around 9-10 million audience for Tuesday. About a 35 loss.

[strikeleo]

I really don't think Taylor needed a Clear Channel deal, she'd have been #1 with her sales alone. The deal will end up hurting her more than anything. (Are we positive it was a day only deal, though? the weekly gains look incredibly off.)

[Deleted]

So what day is Taylor set to lose a significant amount of airplay? Tomorrow?

[Deleted]

Tomorrow is her 8th day so she should get +6 million, then -30 at best the next day.

[josh]

Aug 20, 2012 8:37:13 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Well the promo deal was for 44 million in a day. Which wouldn't be half esp since there still should be around 9-10 million audience for Tuesday. About a 35 loss.

I think he was just estimating/rounding/making an easy number, not trying to be specific. But thanks for the math. :)

Aug 20, 2012 8:53:03 GMT -5 strikeleo said:

I really don't think Taylor needed a Clear Channel deal, she'd have been #1 with her sales alone. The deal will end up hurting her more than anything. (Are we positive it was a day only deal, though? the weekly gains look incredibly off.)

How would the CC deal hurt her?

[Verisimilitude]

After entering the Billboard Hot 100 at No. 72 last week, “Never” could rocket to No. 1 this week following its first sales frame. With projected digital sales of 600,000 or more, the song should soar to the top five, at least.

Taylor is a dead cert for #1.

[Verisimilitude]

HITS Daily Double ‏@hitsdd

The new @taylorswift13 breaks the single week sales record by a female artist, selling between 615-625k its first week pic.twitter.com/OnPZiuCT

TAYLOR MADE: Taylor Swift’s new single, “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together,” will debut with between 615-625k in first-week sales, breaking Ke$ha’s female artist one-week record of 610k for “Tik Tok,” set in Jan., 2010. The rest of the Top 5 includes Flo Rida’s “Right Round” (636k, Feb. 2009), Bruno Mars’ “Grenade” (559k, Jan. 2011), Gotye’s “Somebody that I Used to Know” (542k, April, 2012) and Justin Bieber’s “Boyfriend” (521k, April, 2012). (8/20p)

[popstop]

Was hoping she might break Flo's record too - so close! Other than #1 debuts, what was the last song to move outside the top 40 to #1? What's My Name?

[Honeymoon]

I still am utterly flabbergasted at how "Right Round" sold THAT MUCH in a single week, in February nevertheless. What exactly prompted it to open so huge? Did they wait to release it until its airplay was big or something?

[Verisimilitude]

Aug 20, 2012 12:14:11 GMT -5 Honeymoon said:

I still am utterly flabbergasted at how "Right Round" sold THAT MUCH in a single week, in February nevertheless. What exactly prompted it to open so huge? Did they wait to release it until its airplay was big or something?

Yes, the song was repressed. Soon after 2010, songs weren't held back so far as in the past.

[popstop]

I remember with Right Round's huge sales week, people were convinced it would be the #1 song for the year. That Flo would do it two years back to back.

...and then the Black Eyed Peas domination began.

[icefire9]

Aug 20, 2012 12:25:24 GMT -5 popstop said:

I remember with Right Round's huge sales week, people were convinced it would be the #1 song for the year. That Flo would do it two years back to back.

...and then the Black Eyed Peas domination began.

Also, both Poker Face and Just Dance were higher than Right Round, as well as (ironically enough) Taylor Swift's Love Story.

[areyoureadytojump]

From Billboard.com:

Taylor Swift's 'Never' Roars Toward Record Sales Debut, Onto Airplay Charts

'We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together' could rewrite sales history, while also starting on a host of Billboard radio charts.
Read more at www.billboard.com/news/taylor-swift-s-never-roars-toward-record-1007863892.story?utm_source=most_popular#sjFWcSTozXfPiJ3h.99

"We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together," the first single from Taylor Swift's fourth studio album "Red," due Oct. 22, appears headed for digital sales history. It, meanwhile, blasts onto multiple Billboard airplay charts following its first week of availability.

According to updated industry sources, the track, released late Monday, Aug. 13, will have moved more than 600,000 downloads by the end of the Nielsen SoundScan tracking week yesterday (Aug. 19). Considering that its opening-week sales projection has grown to at least 600,000, "Never" will likely earn the largest week ever for a song by a female artist - and the second-biggest week ever.

The largest week among all titles belongs to Flo Rida's "Right Round," which debuted with 636,000 the week of Feb. 28, 2009. The second-biggest week - and the largest currently by a woman - is held by Ke$ha's "TiK ToK," with 610,000 on Jan. 9, 2010 (reflecting the busy post-Christmas week of 2009).

With "Never" on course to blow past the 600,000 mark, it will also easily break the record for the largest debut by a woman. Lady Gaga's "Born This Way" currently holds the feat among female acts, having launched at No. 1 on Billboard's Digital Songs chart with 448,000, the week of Feb. 26, 2011.

Here is a look at the 10 top overall digital sales weeks, since SoundScan began tracking digital sales:

636,000, "Right Round," Flo Rida, Feb. 28, 2009
610,000, "TiK ToK," Ke$ha, Jan. 9, 2010
559,000, "Grenade," Bruno Mars, Jan. 8, 2011
542,000, "Somebody That I Used To Know," Gotye featuring Kimbra, April 28, 2012
521,000, "Boyfriend," Justin Bieber, April 14, 2012
509,000, "Born This Way," Lady Gaga, March 5, 2011
509,000, "Firework," Katy Perry, Jan. 8, 2011
493,000, "Payphone," Maroon 5 featuring Wiz Khalifa, May 5, 2012
467,000, "Low," Flo Rida, Jan. 12, 2008
464,000, "Boom Boom Pow," the Black Eyed Peas, April 18, 2009

.. . and the 10 top debut digital sales weeks, according to SoundScan:

636,000, "Right Round," Flo Rida, Feb. 28, 2009
521,000, "Boyfriend," Justin Bieber, April 14, 2012
493,000, "Payphone," Maroon 5 featuring Wiz Khalifa, May 5, 2012
464,000, "Boom Boom Pow," the Black Eyed Peas, April 18, 2009
448,000, "Born This Way," Lady Gaga, Feb 26, 2011
418,000, "Crack a Bottle," Eminem, Dr. Dre & 50 Cent, Feb. 21, 2009
411,000, "Part of Me," Katy Perry, March 3, 2012
411,000, "Hold It Against Me," Britney Spears, Jan 29, 2011
379,000, "Not Afraid," Eminem, May 22, 2010
338,000, "Love the Way You Lie," Eminem featuring Rihanna, July 10, 2010


'NEVER' LANDS AT RADIO

On charts released this morning, "Never" roars onto multiple Nielsen BDS-based Billboard radio airplay charts.

The song, which Swift wrote with pop hitmakers Max Martin and Shellback launches on Country Songs at No. 13, Adult Contemporary (No. 16), Pop Songs (No. 18) and Adult Pop Songs (No. 21).

Big Machine and Universal Republic Records teamed with Clear Channel Media and Entertainment to help premiere "Never," as several of the chain's country, pop and adult stations gave it top-of-the-hour airplay upon its release late Monday (Aug. 13) through the following night (Aug. 14).

On Country Songs, the bow of "Never" ties as the second-best since BDS data began powering the chart in 1990 and is the best among women in that span. In April, Kenny Chesney and Tim McGraw's "Feel Like a Rock Star" (also aided by promotional Clear Channel airplay) likewise debuted at No. 13; Garth Brooks' "More Than a Memory" blasted in at No. 1 the week of Sept. 15, 2007.

On Pop Songs, "Never" starts with the fifth-best opening rank since the chart began the week of Oct. 3, 1992. The format's four higher arrivals also belong to women: Mariah Carey's "Dreamlover" (No. 12, 1993), Lady Gaga's "Born This Way" (No. 14, 2011), Britney Spears' "Hold It Against Me" (No. 16, 2011); and Madonna's "Frozen" (No. 16, 1998).

Only one song by a female artist has started higher than "Never" on Adult Pop Songs: Alanis Morissette's "Thank U" (No. 13, 1998). On Adult Contemporary, "Never" makes the best entrance for a non-holiday song by a woman since fellow pop/country crossover star Faith Hill's "There You'll Be" began at No. 15 the week of June 2, 2001.

After entering the Billboard Hot 100 at No. 72 last week, "Never" could rocket to No. 1 this week following its first sales frame and first full week of airplay. With its projected digital sales of 600,000 or more, and building airplay ("Never" bowed at No. 25 on Radio Songs last week with 40 million in audience, according to BDS, after less than two full days of airplay), the song should soar to the Hot 100's top five, at least.

Check Billboard's websites by Wednesday (Aug. 22) for the track's first-week sales sum, according to SoundScan, its Radio Songs audience figure and its expected lofty Hot 100 rank.

[popstop]

Sorry to keep posting, but I just realized that if when Taylor hits #1, it will be only the third song by a country artist to hit #1 in the last 30 years. Lonestar did it last in 2000 with Amazed, and then you'd have to go all the way back to Islands in the Stream in 1983. (I guess I should add Carrie Underwood's "Inside Your Heaven" in there. I think Billboard considers it country, but I don't.) In any case, a country artist at #1 is unusual.

[weaver]

^^ To me, the Taylor song does not sound so country either...isn't it produced by Max Martin?

[skizzo]

Its definitely a pop song

[Agent Yoncé]

I wonder if the rest of Taylor's album will have a Pop sound, like the lead track & if that'll hurt her sales.

[fridayteenage]

Well Inside Your Heaven wasn't even able to get into the T50 on country radio, when almost all of Carrie's songs have been #1 there...

[josh]

Wikipedia says it didn't get released to country radio, though.

[franzjoseph]

Why is Owl City losing AI? I mean they are top 6 on Itunes wtf.

[josh]

They are just at the area right before top 10 on pop, where songs slow down a lot lately. The only recent songs not to have slowed down were Wide Awake and Whistle. I fully expect it to pick back up soon. :)

[Verisimilitude]

HITS upped their prediction:

TAYLOR MADE: Taylor Swift’s new single, “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together,” will debut with somewhere around 630k in first-week sales, breaking Ke$ha’s female artist one-week record of 610k for “Tik Tok,” set in Jan., 2010. The rest of the Top 5 includes Flo Rida’s “Right Round” (636k, Feb. 2009), Bruno Mars’ “Grenade” (559k, Jan. 2011), Gotye’s “Somebody that I Used to Know” (542k, April, 2012) and Justin Bieber’s “Boyfriend” (521k, April, 2012). (8/20p)

[cesarams]

OMG, this Flo's record needs to be broken.

[Living Legend]

Wow this is becoming a nail bitter. I really hope she beats the record.

[fridayteenage]

I hope it doesn't end up selling, like, 635,999 copies or something.

[Rodze]

Aug 20, 2012 17:21:48 GMT -5 Verisimilitude said:

HITS upped their prediction:

TAYLOR MADE: Taylor Swift’s new single, “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together,” will debut with somewhere around 630k in first-week sales, breaking Ke$ha’s female artist one-week record of 610k for “Tik Tok,” set in Jan., 2010. The rest of the Top 5 includes Flo Rida’s “Right Round” (636k, Feb. 2009), Bruno Mars’ “Grenade” (559k, Jan. 2011), Gotye’s “Somebody that I Used to Know” (542k, April, 2012) and Justin Bieber’s “Boyfriend” (521k, April, 2012). (8/20p)

I expect several recounting and "oops, where did all those sales come from?"

I support it, though. Break that goddam record.

[bornfearless2000]

I wonder of that 630k digital dowload sold, how many of them are actually the Country remix.

Since Taylor Swift is a country singer.

EDIT : LOL. the country remix is not for sale on itunes. :o It could double the sales if it's available :)

[ListenToItTwice]

Aug 20, 2012 21:23:20 GMT -5 bornfearless2000 said:

I wonder of that 630k digital dowload sold, how many of them are actually the Country remix.

Since Taylor Swift is a country singer.

EDIT : LOL. the country remix is not for sale on itunes. :o It could double the sales if it's available :)

I bet they're repressing it to keep sales from dropping too much in the second or third week

[jasontoralba]

Aug 20, 2012 12:14:11 GMT -5 Honeymoon said:

I still am utterly flabbergasted at how "Right Round" sold THAT MUCH in a single week, in February nevertheless. What exactly prompted it to open so huge? Did they wait to release it until its airplay was big or something?

It was repressed for two weeks before they released it digitally.