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Post by Deleted on Apr 4, 2015 1:13:19 GMT -5
When the previous F&F came out, "We Own It" (which also has Wiz) debuted/peaked at #16 and died down very quickly so I wouldn't count on it lol.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Apr 4, 2015 1:17:58 GMT -5
So what's up with this Wiz song shooting up iTunes? It's the main theme from Furious 7. Lol that Wiz Khalifa thing is #1 on iTunes now. What if that winds up being the song to dethrone Uptown Funk on the Hot 100? Actually, the song isn't bad, so I wouldn't be upset. Just as long as it's not there for a long ass time either. ^yep but I dont think it has like any airplay lol. I don't see it anywhere on Mediabase. May very hit #1 and stay there for a while but only on iTunes. Not at threat at all on the Hot 100 anytime soon. It's climbing in airplay pretty quickly, actually. Under the Spincrease sections for each format: Hot AC - 49th fastest growing (+29) Pop - 28th fastest growing (+261) Rhythmic - 12th fastest growing (+286) It goes for adds this week on pop. I believe it went for adds already on rhythmic. It's also already charting on rhythmic. 52 46 WIZ KHALIFA See You Again f/Charlie Puth 574 348 226 2.357 +22 spins -7 bullet +0.103 AI When the previous F&F came out, "We Own It" (which also has Wiz) debuted/peaked at #16 and died down very quickly so I wouldn't count on it lol. This one is already doing way better as noted above. |
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Apr 4, 2015 1:27:59 GMT -5
When the previous F&F came out, "We Own It" (which also has Wiz) debuted/peaked at #16 and died down very quickly so I wouldn't count on it lol. Dunno how to double quote (or also woulda included the post under you lol). Re: the other posters radio stats for this song, those don't look bad but wouldnt say they're impressive lol. When you say it's growing 'quickly' I wouldn't go 'that' far yet lol. Like I said, I looked a few x and don't see it anywhere on the Mediabase Top 50. It would have to make insane gains on radio, sales, streaming etc...(and there's no 'official' video or talk of one that I'm aware of)If UF was at week #10 or #11 I'd say there's prob. more than enough time, but very doubtful this will have enough time to do all of the above at all (even if it starts to 'smash' like next week). Also, I don't even see it as an official single on his Wikipedia page lol. |
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Apr 4, 2015 2:35:12 GMT -5
^thanks for the like lol but I'm not a chart expert (it's all assumption) Is the only thing really going for this now are sales? Meaning even if sells amazingly throughout the week, doesn't it still need x-amount of radio spins, streams, etc etc..to catch up to UF?
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forg
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Post by forg on Apr 4, 2015 3:51:51 GMT -5
FF7 is estimated to open at in the 140M-150M range as opposed to the 97M of the previous movie, so more people are exposed to the song but yeah unless there's airplay or streaming to back it up,it will be a short lived chart entry
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Future Captain
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Post by Future Captain on Apr 4, 2015 3:53:00 GMT -5
^thanks for the like lol but I'm not a chart expert (it's all assumption) Is the only thing really going for this now are sales? Meaning even if sells amazingly throughout the week, doesn't it still need x-amount of radio spins, streams, etc etc..to catch up to UF? Assuming that it sold like 20-30k more than UF, then See You Again need something like, 40-50 Million more streams than UF (assuming minimal airplay), which is basically impossible. So, yeah, See You Again still need a long time to catch up if it really want to be #1. I love the song. This year seemed to be a very good year for Soundtrack singles :) |
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Mikey
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Post by Mikey on Apr 4, 2015 5:01:31 GMT -5
??? F&F 7 was just out yesterday in US? It has been out here for 4 days.
I really want to see the record broken. 19 years is more than enough!
But even if this Wiz track get the #1 - which is fairly impossible, next week its sales will drop and UF will reign again, so w/e
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Apr 4, 2015 5:29:36 GMT -5
Lol that Wiz Khalifa thing is #1 on iTunes now. What if that winds up being the song to dethrone Uptown Funk on the Hot 100? Not sure how much it would have to sell but w/ minimal airplay (or maybe even no noteworthy airplay that I'm aware of) don't see how this has a shot anytime soon. Obviously the song is on fire right now cause the movie *just came out today. If it sells sh*tloads over the wkd it def. has shot to debut in the Top 10 Im assuming? it would easily have to sell more than 450k by Sunday night |
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Post by Mikel Echarri on Apr 4, 2015 6:53:42 GMT -5
I think the probability of UF at #1 in the next weeks is:
14th: 100%
15th: 80%
16th: 65%
17th: 50%
18th: 20%
19th: 5%
20th: 1%
The pecentages would increase if RCA Records do something like a discount or releasing a remix.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Apr 4, 2015 7:57:51 GMT -5
Please let Mariah continue to reign. Create a bunch of viral videos of UF's strongest contenders (Sugar, Earned It, GDFR, etc.). Download the songs on iTunes over and over again. Do whatever it takes but DON'T LET UPTOWN FUNK BREAK THE f**king RECORD! So you want all of us to spend our money so Mariah can keep the record with that awful, forgotten song. Have you maxed out your credit card buying Sugar? |
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Post by zombieshadesofgrey on Apr 4, 2015 9:40:10 GMT -5
Prediction for Top 10 this week:
1. Uptown Funk
2. Sugar
3. Love Me Like You Do
4. Earned It
5. Thinking Out Loud
6. Trap Queen
7. GDFR
8. Style
9. Somebody
10. See You Again/FourFiveSeconds/Bitch Better Have My Money/Shut Up and Dance
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Apr 4, 2015 9:44:09 GMT -5
2015/04/04
*** = dropped or added a format
1. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 221.065 (-1.103)
2. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 183.752 (+1.522)
3. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 177.208 (-0.414)
4. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 166.866 (-1.768)
5. ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 163.431 (+1.702)
6. THE WEEKND - Earned It: 132.139 (+4.346)
7. NATALIE LA ROSE - Somebody f/Jeremih: 111.905 (+1.691) ▲
8. PITBULL - Time Of Our Lives f/Ne-Yo: 110.740 (-1.384) ▼
9. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 97.352 (-0.486)
10. RIHANNA/KANYE WEST/P MCCARTNEY - FourFiveSeconds: 90.407 (-3.151)
11. ARIANA GRANDE - One Last Time: 79.911 (+1.176) ▲
12. NICKI MINAJ - Truffle Butter f/Drake...: 79.214 (-0.080) ▼
13. ZAC BROWN BAND - Homegrown: 78.096 (+0.500)
14. SAM HUNT - Take Your Time: 77.118 (+0.910)
15. CHRIS YOUNG - Lonely Eyes: 75.067 (+0.915) ▲
16. CHRIS BROWN & TYGA - Ayo: 73.967 (-0.260) ▼
17. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 71.318 (+1.414)
18. FLO RIDA - GDFR f/Sage The Gemini: 67.643 (+1.500) ▲
19. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 67.206 (+1.968) ▲
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - Say You Do: 66.052 (+0.832) ▲
21. LEE BRICE - Drinking Class: 65.858 (+0.372) ▼
22. DARIUS RUCKER - Homegrown Honey: 64.803 (-2.422) ▼
23. KELLY CLARKSON - Heartbeat Song: 62.683 (-0.541) ▲
24. CALVIN HARRIS - Outside f/Ellie Goulding: 62.422 (-1.048) ▼
25. HOZIER - Take Me To Church: 61.378 (-0.479)
26. SAM SMITH - I'm Not The Only One: 58.611 (-0.399***)
27. KEITH URBAN - Raise 'Em Up f/Eric Church: 55.979 (+0.576)
28. ZEDD - I Want You To Know f/S. Gomez: 55.291 (+0.326)
29. NICK JONAS - Chains: 53.208 (+1.020) ▲
30. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Lips Are Movin: 52.525 (-0.248)
31. FETTY WAP - Trap Queen: 52.435 (+1.218) ▲
32. TYLER FARR - A Guy Walks Into A Bar: 52.192 (+0.863) ▲
33. COLE SWINDELL - Ain't Worth The Whiskey: 52.016 (-1.884) ▼
34. VANCE JOY - Riptide: 51.998 (-0.026) ▼
35. ONE DIRECTION - Night Changes: 49.423 (-0.620)
36. RAE SREMMURD - Tho Sum Mo f/Nicki Minaj: 48.075 (+0.391) ▲
37. SAM SMITH - Stay With Me: 47.827 (-0.395) ▼
38. BILLY CURRINGTON - Don't It: 46.976 (+1.244) ▲
39. NICK JONAS - Jealous: 46.426 (-0.142)
40. USHER - I Don't Mind f/Juicy J: 46.130 (-0.483) ▼
41. A THOUSAND HORSES - Smoke: 43.466 (+0.427)
42. NICO & VINZ - Am I Wrong: 41.285 (+0.022)
43. IMAGINE DRAGONS - I Bet My Life: 41.226 (+0.259)
44. KENNY CHESNEY - Wild Child w/Grace Potter: 39.995 (+0.239)
45. TIM MCGRAW - Diamond Rings And Old...: 38.261 (+0.216) ▲
46. MAROON 5 - Animals: 38.225 (-0.506)
47. LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ - Prayer In C: 37.750 (-1.147) ▼
48. TAYLOR SWIFT - Shake It Off: 37.735 (+0.429) ▲
49. SAM SMITH - Lay Me Down: 37.221 (+0.324) ▲
50. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Sippin' On Fire: 36.980 (+0.361) ▲
51. NE-YO - She Knows f/Juicy J: 36.892 (-0.998) ▼
52. BRETT ELDREDGE - Mean To Me: 36.645 (-1.776) ▼
53. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Little Toy Guns: 34.049 (+0.269)
54. MIRANDA LAMBERT - Little Red Wagon: 32.581 (+0.364) ▲
55. BRAD PAISLEY - Crushin' It: 32.477 (+0.599) ▲
56. LUKE BRYAN - I See You: 32.431 (+0.408) ▲
57. FALL OUT BOY - Centuries: 32.338 (-0.184) ▼
58. MAGIC! - Rude: 31.978 (-0.445) ▼
59. EASTON CORBIN - Baby Be My Love Song: 31.917 (+0.270) ▲
60. ERIC PASLAY - She Don't Love You: 31.492 (+0.228) ▲
61. JASON ALDEAN - Just Gettin' Started: 30.834 (-1.386) ▼
62. GEORGE EZRA - Budapest: 30.602 (+0.035) ▲
63. JAKE OWEN - What We Ain't Got: 30.354 (-1.562) ▼
64. THOMAS RHETT - Make Me Wanna: 30.348 (-0.162)
65. DISCLOSURE - Latch f/Sam Smith: 29.969 (-0.191)
66. JEREMIH - Don't Tell 'Em f/YG: 29.897 (-0.168)
67. TOVE LO - Talking Body: 29.662 (+0.942) ▲
68. JOHN LEGEND - All Of Me: 29.442 (-0.110) ▼
69. MEGHAN TRAINOR - All About That Bass: 29.437 (+0.067)
70. MR PROBZ - Waves: 29.409 (+0.301) ▲
71. BIG SEAN - Blessings f/Drake: 29.365 (+0.075) ▼
72. OMARION - Post To Be f/Chris Brown&Jhene: 29.244 (+0.350)
73. ELLA HENDERSON - Ghost: 29.074 (-0.460) ▼
74. KANYE WEST F/T.LONDON - All Day f/A.Kingd./P.McCartney: 28.635 (+0.233) ▲
75. BLAKE SHELTON - Lonely Tonight f/Ashley Monroe: 28.203 (-0.678) ▼
106. DJ SNAKE & ALUNAGEORGE - You Know You Like It: 19.528 (+1.050)
118. NATE RUESS - Nothing Without Love: 16.443 (+1.212)
120. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Dear Future Husband: 16.173 (+1.433***)
125. DAVID GUETTA - Hey Mama f/Nicki Minaj: 15.772 (+2.785***)
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Apr 4, 2015 10:23:02 GMT -5
I think the probability of UF at #1 in the next weeks is: 14th: 100% 15th: 80% 16th: 65% 17th: 50% 18th: 20% 19th: 5% 20th: 1% The pecentages would increase if RCA Records do something like a discount or releasing a remix. My guess at this stage would be more like: 14th: 99% 15th: 95% 16th: 90% 17th: 80% 18th: 60% 19th: 30% 20th: 10% I'm pretty confident it's going to get 16 weeks now. Not sure about 17 weeks, but I think it's likely. Earned It is too far behind, Trap Queen doesn't have broad enough appeal (or the airplay) to get #1 imo, See You Again and BBHMM are too new, they'll probably peak in May or June, not in the next few weeks. Shut Up And Dance is another likely contender imo (I've not heard it yet, but it's chart performance so far is very good), but I think that also won't be peaking until a couple of months time. Somebody I think will have a chart run at best like Love Me Harder, Style or Jealous (obviously that's very good, but it's probably not going to get #1 basically). |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Apr 4, 2015 10:36:51 GMT -5
I think the airplay is the key.. as long as UF is top 3 on airplay, it'll be #1 on Hot 100. The sales of other songs are not that strong and UF will do well in streaming for another month or so.
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Apr 4, 2015 11:00:35 GMT -5
I wonder if Want To Want Me has a chance.
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Mikey
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nothing anyhow
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Post by Mikey on Apr 4, 2015 11:04:43 GMT -5
^ It has, but it won't be at time. UF gonna get this  |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Apr 4, 2015 11:09:17 GMT -5
I think the probability of UF at #1 in the next weeks is: 14th: 100% 15th: 80% 16th: 65% 17th: 50% 18th: 20% 19th: 5% 20th: 1% My guess at this stage would be more like: 14th: 99% 15th: 95% 16th: 90% 17th: 80% 18th: 60% 19th: 30% 20th: 10% We'll never know if these predictions are correct because it will either do it or it won't. Either way, you're both going to be correct no matter what happens! (Except for this week's 100% prediction). |
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Au$tin
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Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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Post by Au$tin on Apr 4, 2015 11:13:29 GMT -5
When the previous F&F came out, "We Own It" (which also has Wiz) debuted/peaked at #16 and died down very quickly so I wouldn't count on it lol. Dunno how to double quote (or also woulda included the post under you lol). Re: the other posters radio stats for this song, those don't look bad but wouldnt say they're impressive lol. When you say it's growing 'quickly' I wouldn't go 'that' far yet lol. Like I said, I looked a few x and don't see it anywhere on the Mediabase Top 50. It would have to make insane gains on radio, sales, streaming etc...(and there's no 'official' video or talk of one that I'm aware of)If UF was at week #10 or #11 I'd say there's prob. more than enough time, but very doubtful this will have enough time to do all of the above at all (even if it starts to 'smash' like next week). Also, I don't even see it as an official single on his Wikipedia page lol. I definitely need to point out that I'm not suggesting "See You Again" is going to go number one, or even get there next week. It's next to impossible for the latter. "Uptown Funk" is guaranteed a 14th week at number one at this point. But I would say it's growing quickly for a song of its type that has just been released. It's Wiz Khalifa, not Katy Perry. What is this "Mediabse Top 50" you keep speaking of? The overall AI chart? Yeah, of course it's not there yet, it just entered the top 50 on rhythmic. It's about to do so on pop as well, with a healthy bullet on both formats. However, it doesn't take an exceptionally long time for multi-format songs to chart and rise on the overall airplay charts. My point was just that "See You Again" was going to be a long lasting hit unlike the previous movie's Wiz Khalifa song. Edit: LOL, "See You Again" entered the top 50 on pop today. Something "We Own It" never did. "See You Again" also doesn't even go for adds on pop for another three days. Things are looking good for this song to do well. |
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Apr 4, 2015 11:19:00 GMT -5
People may or may not remember but when 'BBHMM' first dropped I believe UF automatically dropped into the 40s! LOL UF is dropping now on iTunes but it's still only around 15% less. I'm sure the decreases will continue throughout the wkd as the movie just came out. SYA may drop a bit during the week due to lack of major airplay. See You Again, while not my cuppa tea and something I wouldnt buy sounds like a future smash and *perfect for radio. Besides it being 'objectively' good song, it's also, well...hate to say it but kind of exploiting Paul Walkers death and most people eat that up. Touching the 'perfect nerve' :/. It's def. a sister of I'll Be Missing You (and ironically OSD which had a similar depressing theme) whether it realizes it not. But those kind of songs have always been a successful/ winning formula. As others noted, as much as it sells, it has minimal airplay. There's next to chance (just using basic logic) that it topples UF anytime until maybe late very late April/early May. Pop airplay is only first impacting this week. If UF was at only at week #10/ #11 I'd say it was def. in trouble of beating the record but think to tie and/or beat it is looking very good.
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85la
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Posts: 3,916
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Post by 85la on Apr 4, 2015 12:08:10 GMT -5
People may or may not remember but when 'BBHMM' first dropped I believe UF automatically dropped into the 40s! LOL UF is dropping now on iTunes but it's still only around 15% less. I'm sure the decreases will continue throughout the wkd as the movie just came out. SYA may drop a bit during the week due to lack of major airplay. See You Again, while not my cuppa tea and something I wouldnt buy sounds like a future smash and *perfect for radio. Besides it being 'objectively' good song, it's also, well...hate to say it but kind of exploiting Paul Walkers death and most people eat that up. Touching the 'perfect nerve' :/. It's def. a sister of I'll Be Missing You (and ironically OSD which had a similar depressing theme) whether it realizes it not. But those kind of songs have always been a successful/ winning formula. As others noted, as much as it sells, it has minimal airplay. There's next to chance (just using basic logic) that it topples UF anytime until maybe late very late April/early May. Pop airplay is only first impacting this week. If UF was at only at week #10/ #11 I'd say it was def. in trouble of beating the record but think to tie and/or beat it is looking very good. UF dropping into the 40s after BBHMM was released???? Uh...nope...don't remember that. |
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Apr 4, 2015 12:23:02 GMT -5
People may or may not remember but when 'BBHMM' first dropped I believe UF automatically dropped into the 40s! LOL UF is dropping now on iTunes but it's still only around 15% less. I'm sure the decreases will continue throughout the wkd as the movie just came out. SYA may drop a bit during the week due to lack of major airplay. See You Again, while not my cuppa tea and something I wouldnt buy sounds like a future smash and *perfect for radio. Besides it being 'objectively' good song, it's also, well...hate to say it but kind of exploiting Paul Walkers death and most people eat that up. Touching the 'perfect nerve' :/. It's def. a sister of I'll Be Missing You (and ironically OSD which had a similar depressing theme) whether it realizes it not. But those kind of songs have always been a successful/ winning formula. As others noted, as much as it sells, it has minimal airplay. There's next to chance (just using basic logic) that it topples UF anytime until maybe late very late April/early May. Pop airplay is only first impacting this week. If UF was at only at week #10/ #11 I'd say it was def. in trouble of beating the record but think to tie and/or beat it is looking very good. UF dropping into the 40s after BBHMM was released???? Uh...nope...don't remember that.  |
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Apr 4, 2015 12:24:11 GMT -5
^ There you go. Wasn't long, but it def. did and actually stayed in just the 50-60% range for a while. Too long lol.
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
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Post by Daniel Collins on Apr 4, 2015 12:37:01 GMT -5
It's def. a sister of I'll Be Missing You (and ironically OSD which had a similar depressing theme) Candle In The Wind 1997 as well. |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Apr 4, 2015 14:26:38 GMT -5
Please let Mariah continue to reign. Create a bunch of viral videos of UF's strongest contenders (Sugar, Earned It, GDFR, etc.). Download the songs on iTunes over and over again. Do whatever it takes but DON'T LET UPTOWN FUNK BREAK THE f**king RECORD! So you want all of us to spend our money so Mariah can keep the record with that awful, forgotten song. Have you maxed out your credit card buying Sugar? This. xD Uptown Funk is so close to #1 on urban AC! :( it's climbing pretty fast on AC too at this point and is currently #7 but won't be #1 for at least a couple more months lmao. Would be so cool though if it topped 5 airplay charts! Happy topped 6 right? Prediction (Hot 100): 1. Uptown Funk! (30% lead) 2. Sugar 3. Love Me Like You Do 4. Thinking Out Loud 5. Earned It 6. Trap Queen 7. GDFR 8. Style 9. Somebody 10. Shut Up And Dance |
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Apr 4, 2015 14:37:33 GMT -5
"G.D.F.R." is the first top 10 in a loooong time that I've never heard even once. Is its success mainly coming from certain parts of the country?
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ry4n
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Post by ry4n on Apr 4, 2015 14:44:45 GMT -5
It's def. a sister of I'll Be Missing You (and ironically OSD which had a similar depressing theme) Candle In The Wind 1997 as well. + Tha Crossroads Certainly a lot of big hits about death in the mid 90's |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Apr 4, 2015 14:52:58 GMT -5
I think the probability of UF at #1 in the next weeks is: 14th: 100% 15th: 80% 16th: 65% 17th: 50% 18th: 20% 19th: 5% 20th: 1% The pecentages would increase if RCA Records do something like a discount or releasing a remix. 50% chance of breaking the record! I like that! |
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jebsib
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Post by jebsib on Apr 4, 2015 15:13:44 GMT -5
It's so Hard to Say Goodbye to Yesterday
I'll Be There (Escape Club)
The Last Song
Tears in Heaven
Gangsta Lean
One Sweet Day
Tha Crossroads
I'll Be Missing You
The Freshmen
C U When I Get There
Candle in the Wind 1991
(... Depressing decade!!)
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Apr 4, 2015 15:30:47 GMT -5
I think "GDFR" is big on the East and West coast. I hear it on KIIS FM quite frequently. I'm not sure where you're from, but it's probably being played on the bigger stations in that area. I live in NYC so stations don't get bigger than this ;) |
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Post by josh on Apr 4, 2015 15:34:01 GMT -5
I think "GDFR" is big on the East and West coast. I hear it on KIIS FM quite frequently. I'm not sure where you're from, but it's probably being played on the bigger stations in that area. I live in NYC so stations don't get bigger than this ;) It was spun 24 times the past week, up from 22 last week. #25 for them, compared to #15 on the pop chart. www.allaccess.com/mediabase/q/report/playlist/station/WHTZ-FM |
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