Billboard Hot 100: 02/20/2016 (PILLOWTALK #1)

[Kworb]

Sales estimates

1. PILLOWTALK 226,000
2. Summer Sixteen 208,000
3. Work 165,000
4. Love Yourself 108,000
5. My House 104,000
6. Stressed Out 104,000
7. One Call Away 68,000
8. Me, Myself & I 62,000
9. Hello 62,000
10. Hands To Myself 59,000
11. Sorry 59,000
12. Roses 55,000
13. Cake By The Ocean 41,000
14. 7 Years 40,000
15. When We Were Young 36,000
16. Die A Happy Man 36,000
17. I Know What You Did Last Summer 35,000
18. Stand By You 32,000
19. Hide Away 31,000
20. Adventure Of A Lifetime 27,000

kworb.net/cc

[Verisimilitude]

Spotify US Top 200 Weekly Streaming Chart 2/4/16:

Position Track Name Artist Streams

1 PILLOWTALK ZAYN 9487783
2 Love Yourself Justin Bieber 6637843
3 Me, Myself & I G-Eazy 6338024
4 Sorry Justin Bieber 5872842
5 Stressed Out Twenty One Pilots 5722351
6 Roses The Chainsmokers 5157265
7 My House Flo Rida 4503278
8 Hands To Myself Selena Gomez 4458814
9 Don't Bryson Tiller 4367511
10 Jumpman Drake 4130151
11 White Iverson Post Malone 3920531
12 What Do You Mean? Justin Bieber 3778189
13 I Know What You Did Last Summer Shawn Mendes 3383834
14 Cake By The Ocean DNCE 3316378
15 Hide Away Daya 3200648
16 Hello Adele 3164206
17 Stitches Shawn Mendes 3056996
18 I Took A Pill In Ibiza - Seeb Remix Mike Posner 3007761
19 Hotline Bling Drake 2926953
20 No Role Modelz J. Cole 2891389
21 Here Alessia Cara 2858425
22 In The Night The Weeknd 2782209
23 Stay Kygo 2759116
24 One Call Away Charlie Puth 2740727
25 Exchange Bryson Tiller 2687721
26 The Hills The Weeknd 2617989
27 679 (feat. Remy Boyz) Fetty Wap 2583484
28 Antidote Travi$ Scott 2571382
29 7 Years Lukas Graham 2550694
30 Same Old Love Selena Gomez 2509818
31 Lush Life Zara Larsson 2490437
32 Sugar (feat. Francesco Yates) Robin Schulz 2351620
33 YOUTH Troye Sivan 2323905
34 Bang my Head (feat. Sia & Fetty Wap) David Guetta 2323232
35 Can't Feel My Face The Weeknd 2227921
36 Down In the DM Yo Gotti 2218728
37 Trap Queen Fetty Wap 2153546
38 Big Rings Drake 2144993
39 Say It Tory Lanez 2124667
40 Lay It All On Me (feat. Ed Sheeran) Rudimental 2110272
41 On My Mind Ellie Goulding 2081307
42 We Don't Talk Anymore (feat. Selena Gomez) Charlie Puth 2037858
43 Perfect One Direction 2021776
44 Back To Back Drake 1977492
45 2 Phones Kevin Gates 1968052
46 The Fix Nelly 1927461
47 Lean On (feat. MØ & DJ Snake) Major Lazer 1906709
48 Adventure Of A Lifetime Coldplay 1895598
49 All My Friends Snakehips 1889348
50 Sorry Not Sorry Bryson Tiller 1880199
51 Again Fetty Wap 1855863
52 Where Are Ü Now (with Justin Bieber) Jack Ü 1793412
53 Faded Alan Walker 1775575
54 Like I'm Gonna Lose You Meghan Trainor 1699945
55 Love Myself Hailee Steinfeld 1637558
56 New Americana Halsey 1621209
57 Where Ya At Future 1617992
58 In My Room (feat. Ty Dolla $ign & Tyga) Yellow Claw 1474896
59 Hollow Tori Kelly 1467277
60 Really Really Kevin Gates 1455932
61 Running Out Matoma 1443391
62 Get Ugly Jason Derulo 1411705
63 Middle DJ Snake 1403377
64 I'll Show You Justin Bieber 1398045
65 Be Right There Diplo 1392486
66 Die A Happy Man Thomas Rhett 1391603
67 I Mean It G-Eazy 1386039
68 Watch Out 2 Chainz 1383517
69 Irresistible Fall Out Boy 1337549
70 Right Hand Drake 1327461
71 Something In The Way You Move Ellie Goulding 1323104
72 Back Up Dej Loaf 1318910
73 Wet Dreamz J. Cole 1307871
74 Best Friend Young Thug 1299086
75 Thinking Out Loud Ed Sheeran 1245933
76 Bake Sale (feat. Travis Scott) Wiz Khalifa 1233865
77 Good For You Selena Gomez 1232123
78 Cheap Thrills Sia 1229045
79 Often The Weeknd 1213443
80 Dessert Dawin 1213322
81 Light It Up (feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG) - Remix Major Lazer 1210703
82 Planez Jeremih 1205834
83 Photograph Ed Sheeran 1202671
84 Energy Drake 1183321
85 F*ck Up Some Commas Future 1176089
86 My Way (feat. Monty) Fetty Wap 1170717
87 Back To Sleep Chris Brown 1168964
88 Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey) The Weeknd 1164036
89 See You Again (feat. Charlie Puth) - From "Furious 7" Wiz Khalifa 1147685
90 oui Jeremih 1134574
91 $ave Dat Money (feat. Fetty Wap & Rich Homie Quan) Lil Dicky 1130742
92 Death Of A Bachelor Panic! At The Disco 1127925
93 Gold Kiiara 1124355
94 How Deep Is Your Love Calvin Harris 1107716
95 Emperor's New Clothes Panic! At The Disco 1103590
96 Drag Me Down One Direction 1102429
97 Break Up In A Small Town Sam Hunt 1099096
98 G.O.M.D. J. Cole 1095548
99 Come Get Her Rae Sremmurd 1092135
100 Victorious Panic! At The Disco 1089313
101 Ride Twenty One Pilots 1082400
102 Know Yourself Drake 1070889
103 Flex (Ooh, Ooh, Ooh) Rich Homie Quan 1046275
104 Tear In My Heart Twenty One Pilots 1044052
105 The Feeling Justin Bieber 1020102
106 Legend Drake 1005670
107 Promise Kid Ink 1004772
108 Car Radio Twenty One Pilots 988090
109 Diamonds Dancing Drake 981052
110 Drifting G-Eazy 962719
111 This Could Be Us Rae Sremmurd 960391
112 Renegades X Ambassadors 956950
113 Live From The Gutter Drake 954885
114 The Sound The 1975 944084
115 Run Away With Me Carly Rae Jepsen 940643
116 All Eyes On You (feat. Chris Brown & Nicki Minaj) Meek Mill 932861
117 RGF Island Fetty Wap 930163
118 Pass Dat Jeremih 928905
119 Ni**as In Paris JAY Z 918736
120 Blasé (feat. Future & Rae Sremmurd) Ty Dolla $ign 916905
121 Hymn For The Weekend Coldplay 913653
122 Been That Way Bryson Tiller 908312
123 I Don't Fuck With You Big Sean 906335
124 Some Kind Of Drug G-Eazy 900137
125 Alive Sia 898712
126 Confident Demi Lovato 890385
127 Downtown (feat. Eric Nally, Melle Mel, Kool Moe Dee & Grandmaster Caz) Macklemore & Ryan Lewis 883023
128 Calm Down G-Eazy 881618
129 F**kin' Problems A$AP Rocky 880256
130 Never Forget You Zara Larsson 875686
131 Locked Away R. City 873012
132 Sugar Maroon 5 872936
133 Cheerleader - Felix Jaehn Remix Radio Edit OMI 870320
134 Ex's & Oh's Elle King 866420
135 Shut Up and Dance WALK THE MOON 864769
136 Boys Like You Who Is Fancy 861479
137 Uptown Funk Mark Ronson 859924
138 Lost Boy Ruth B 859117
139 Reaper Sia 857995
140 Purpose Justin Bieber 856415
141 Let's Get Lost G-Eazy 856282
142 R.I.C.O. (feat. Drake) Meek Mill 856057
143 LA Confidential Tory Lanez 853273
144 A Tale of 2 Citiez J. Cole 849392
145 Don't Threaten Me With A Good Time Panic! At The Disco 848225
146 Dirty Mind (feat. Sam Martin) Flo Rida 845072
147 Focus Ariana Grande 838066
148 Acquainted The Weeknd 833114
149 King Of Everything Wiz Khalifa 829587
150 Take Me To Church Hozier 826428
151 Let Em' Know Bryson Tiller 819672
152 Company Justin Bieber 819667
153 Slow Motion Trey Songz 817009
154 Make Up R. City 815789
155 Random G-Eazy 811032
156 Bitch Better Have My Money Rihanna 807397
157 Bet You Can't Do It Like Me IAmDLOW 807014
158 Let It Go James Bay 806616
159 Stay With Me Sam Smith 805562
160 Gold Digger Kanye West 799437
161 Strip It Down Luke Bryan 794472
162 Sound Of Your Heart Shawn Hook 794421
163 Fast Car - Radio Edit Jonas Blue 788989
164 No Pressure Justin Bieber 788207
165 Digital Dash Drake 786617
166 Riptide Vance Joy 786313
167 History One Direction 782911
168 3005 Childish Gambino 779971
169 Apparently J. Cole 778568
170 Hallelujah Panic! At The Disco 777864
171 New Level A$AP Ferg 776586
172 Want To Want Me Jason Derulo 775616
173 Marvin Gaye (feat. Meghan Trainor) Charlie Puth 772435
174 11-Jul Beyoncé 768054
175 Blessings Big Sean 767401
176 Centuries Fall Out Boy 766988
177 Mark My Words Justin Bieber 762472
178 Right My Wrongs Bryson Tiller 759893
179 Chandelier Sia 752848
180 10 Bands Drake 752705
181 Sunday Candy Donnie Trumpet & The Social Experiment 752649
182 Dark Times The Weeknd 749022
183 1Hunnid K CAMP 748236
184 No Type Rae Sremmurd 748174
185 LA Devotee Panic! At The Disco 746645
186 Never Be Like You Flume 746428
187 Alright Kendrick Lamar 740991
188 Scholarships Drake 738510
189 'Till I Collapse Eminem 736434
190 Start A Riot BANNERS 735262
191 Jam (feat. Trey Songz, Ty Dolla $ign and Jamie Foxx) Kevin Gates 731642
192 Post To Be (feat. Chris Brown & Jhene Aiko) Omarion 731240
193 Tennessee Whiskey Chris Stapleton 730925
194 Home Alone Tonight Luke Bryan 726474
195 m.A.A.d city Kendrick Lamar 724126
196 All of Me John Legend 723852
197 Lose Yourself - Soundtrack Version Eminem 722123
198 Truffle Butter Nicki Minaj 721829
199 Only Nicki Minaj 718932
200 0 To 100 / The Catch Up Drake 718906

[Deleted]

I'm surprised Love Yourself's sales are still so high, considering it's been being consistently bodied by both My House and Stressed Out on the pop bars.

[popmusic1]

YOUTUBE BUILDING CHART
Week ending 02/04
Status: 01/29-02/02

Pos	Title	Artist	Building to date	Projected TW
1	Sorry	Justin Bieber	5.836	8.170
2	PILLOWTALK	Zayn Malik	5.747	8.046
3	Love Yourself	Justin Bieber	4.581	6.413
4	Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae) (Spanglish Version)	SilentĂł	4.360	6.104
5	Hello	Adele	4.333	6.066
6	Coldplay - Hymn For The Weekend (Official video)	Coldplay	3.090	4.326
7	Stressed Out	twenty one pilots	3.084	4.318
8	Don't	Bryson Tiller	2.872	4.021
9	White Iverson	Post Malone	2.831	3.963
10	What Do You Mean?	Justin Bieber	2.726	3.817
11	Uptown Funk	Mark Ronson	2.672	3.740
12	Hotline Bling	Drake	2.583	3.617
13	See You Again (feat. Charlie Puth) - Universal Pictures Film Music	Wiz Khalifa	2.466	3.452
14	679	Fetty Wap	2.357	3.299
15	Trap Queen	Fetty Wap	2.345	3.284
16	Me, Myself & I	G-Eazy	2.330	3.261
17	The Hills	The Weeknd	2.246	3.144
18	Say It	Tory Lanez	2.198	3.077
19	Jumpman	Drake	2.145	3.002
20	Exchange	Bryson Tiller	2.105	2.947
21	Stitches	Shawn Mendes	2.086	2.920
22	Watch Me Work	Tinashe	2.064	2.889
23	Best Friend	Young Thug	2.043	2.860
24	Antidote	Travis Scott	1.952	2.733
25	Down In the DM	Yo Gotti	1.949	2.728
26	2 Phones	Kevin Gates	1.829	2.560
27	Africa (Single Version)	Toto	1.827	2.558
28	My House	Flo Rida	1.694	2.371
29	Lean On (feat. MĂ? & DJ Snake)	Major Lazer	1.677	2.348
30	Really Really	Kevin Gates	1.624	2.274
31	Shake It Off	Taylor Swift	1.565	2.191
32	Betcha Can't Do It Like Me Challenge	DLow	1.565	2.191
33	Here	Alessia Cara	1.517	2.124
34	Hands To Myself	Selena Gomez	1.505	2.107
35	Roses	The Chainsmokers	1.496	2.095
36	My Way (Feat. Monty)	Fetty Wap	1.466	2.052
37	Like I'm Gonna Lose You	Meghan Trainor	1.461	2.046
38	Where Ya At	Future	1.400	1.960
39	Same Old Love	Selena Gomez	1.394	1.952
40	Can't Feel My Face	The Weeknd	1.386	1.940

Others:
Out of the Woods Taylor Swift 561k
The Sound Of Silence Disturbed 504k


If 'Watch Me Work' debut on Hot100, it will be the most messy entry in whole BB history...

[Ravi]

Revised predictions:

Rank	Song	Sales	Airplay	Streams	Points
1	PILLOWATALK	220	15	20.0	42,600
2	Love Yourself	105	140	16.0	39,000
3/4	Stressed Out	100	130	13.5	35,400
3/4	Sorry	55	140	18.0	35,100
5-7	Summer Sixteen	200	10	8.0	29,900
5-7	Hello	60	125	12.5	29,600
5-7	Work	160	50	8.0	29,400
8	My House	100	65	9.0	25,100
9/10	Roses	50	80	9.0	21,100
9/10	Me, Myself & I	60	45	12.0	21,100

* PILLOWTALK should get #1. Stressed Out may/maynot overtake Sorry this week.
* I have no idea what will be the streaming numbers for SS and Work. So anyone of these or Hello may place #5.
* Me, Myself & I had great gains on streaming, and should enter Top-10, displacing Hands to Myself, which went the other way on streaming.

[Deleted]

Grammy week is going to be interesting with the change in H100 weighting. For example, OOTW, if performed, could potentially see a nice surge and possibly a new peak... despite fairly low streaming and moderate airplay.

[Ravi]

Feb 5, 2016 11:14:19 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

I'm surprised Love Yourself's sales are still so high, considering it's been being consistently bodied by both My House and Stressed Out on the pop bars.

There is another version of Love Yourself around #100, which adds around 10% to the main version.

[Daniel Collins]

2016/02/05

*** = dropped or added a format

1. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 175.199 (+0.109)
2. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 166.967 (+0.822)
3. ADELE - Hello: 161.271 (-2.618)
4. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 155.774 (+2.383)
5. THE WEEKND - In The Night: 134.251 (-0.799)
6. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 129.938 (-2.386)
7. SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 125.874 (-1.308)
8. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 105.974 (-0.807)
9. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Roses f/Rozes: 97.696 (+1.304)
10. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 89.835 (-1.882)

11. ADELE - When We Were Young: 84.411 (+0.255)
12. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 81.440 (+0.535)
13. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 80.029 (-0.214)
14. ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 78.407 (-1.629)
15. FLO RIDA - My House: 73.884 (+2.397) ▲
16. LUKE BRYAN - Home Alone Tonight: 73.865 (-0.041)
17. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 73.601 (-0.318) ▼
18. TAYLOR SWIFT - Out Of The Woods: 67.717 (+0.303)
19. DAYA - Hide Away: 66.918 (+1.075) ▲
20. GRANGER SMITH - Backroad Song: 66.704 (+0.987) ▲

21. SAM HUNT - Break Up In A Small Town: 65.554 (-1.334) ▼
22. THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 63.615 (-0.261) ▲
23. TORY LANEZ - Say It: 62.813 (+0.113) ▲
24. DRAKE & FUTURE - Jumpman: 62.458 (-1.440) ▼
25. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 59.501 (-0.467)
26. RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 59.287 (+1.203) ▲
27. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 59.104 (+1.095) ▲
28. KELSEA BALLERINI - Dibs: 59.041 (+0.747) ▼
29. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 58.382 (+0.141) ▼
30. KEITH URBAN - Break On Me: 56.081 (+0.025) ▲

31. TRAVI$ SCOTT - Antidote: 55.504 (-1.691) ▼
32. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Heartbeat: 55.303 (+1.088) ▲
33. BROTHERS OSBORNE - Stay A Little Longer: 54.115 (-2.564) ▼
34. G-EAZY - Me Myself And I f/Bebe Rexha: 53.744 (+1.404) ▲
35. RANDY HOUSER - We Went: 53.377 (+0.678) ▼
36. RIHANNA - Work f/Drake: 53.277 (+2.619)
37. BRYSON TILLER - Don't: 50.621 (+0.524)
38. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 49.628 (-0.216)
39. ZAC BROWN BAND - Beautiful Drug: 49.264 (+1.194) ▲
40. SELENA GOMEZ - Hands To Myself: 49.147 (+0.980) ▼

41. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 48.010 (+1.606)
42. YO GOTTI - Down In The DM: 45.867 (+0.422) ▲
43. LOCASH - I Love This Life: 45.812 (-0.263) ▼
44. SHAWN MENDES & CAMILA CABELLO - I Know What You Did Last...: 45.796 (-0.179) ▼
45. FETTY WAP - Again: 45.111 (+0.351)
46. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 44.812 (+0.189)
47. COLDPLAY - Adventure Of A Lifetime: 44.365 (+0.189)
48. BRAD PAISLEY - Country Nation: 43.782 (+0.369) ▲
49. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 43.459 (+0.032) ▼
50. CHRIS BROWN - Back To Sleep: 42.588 (+0.111)

51. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Confession: 42.061 (+0.268)
52. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 41.467 (-0.171)
53. BRETT ELDREDGE - Drunk On Your Love: 40.786 (+0.865)
54. COLE SWINDELL - You Should Be Here: 40.430 (+0.917)
55. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 39.213 (-0.229)
56. J. COLE - No Role Modelz: 38.296 (+0.005)
57. RASCAL FLATTS - I Like The Sound Of That: 37.811 (+0.248) ▲
58. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 37.703 (-0.566) ▼
59. CHASE BRYANT - Little Bit Of You: 37.258 (+0.275) ▲
60. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 36.610 (-0.486)

61. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 36.592 (-0.824) ▼
62. POST MALONE - White Iverson: 34.214 (-1.037)
63. JEREMIH - Oui: 32.710 (+0.867) ▲
64. CHRIS STAPLETON - Nobody To Blame: 32.660 (+0.303) ▲
65. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 32.481 (+0.007) ▼
66. JASON ALDEAN - Gonna Know We Were Here: 31.928 (-0.447) ▼
67. CHRIS YOUNG - I'm Comin' Over: 31.134 (-0.468)
68. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 30.972 (-0.348)
69. ELLIE GOULDING - Something In The Way You Move: 30.856 (+0.705) ▲
70. OLD DOMINION - Snapback: 30.852 (+0.793) ▲

71. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 30.771 (-0.085) ▼
72. BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 30.310 (-0.945) ▼
73. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 28.673 (-0.031)
74. ROBIN SCHULZ - Sugar f/Francesco Yates: 28.028 (+0.199) ▲
75. JASON DERULO - Get Ugly: 27.923 (-0.017)

109. ZAYN - PILLOWTALK: 18.268 (+2.590)

[Deleted]

Wow, Love Yourself gained only 1 spin on pop radio. Looks like it might've peaked. Not a good sign for it, unless it can shoot up on Rhythmic and HAC.

[badrobot]

WWWY is now on streaming. LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPENS NEXT WEEK!

[wjr15]

Whatever happened to radio callout scores? I keep searching for new ones but the last ones I can find are from before Christmas

[Deleted]

Feb 5, 2016 13:53:01 GMT -5 badrobot said:

WWWY is now on streaming. LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPENS NEXT WEEK!

Yasss!  No guarantee radio will flip their switch, but it'll be interesting to see what happens next week on the airplay chart.  Either way it was the best move to put it on streaming today, because even if it doesn't make radio want to compete and increase spins yet, streaming will ensure a H100 boost and make up for any potential radio loss.  And then the Grammys and video will either just be another big boost - or they will totally change the game for this song.

As a chart watcher and pop music fan... I love watching this unfold.

[Deleted]

Feb 5, 2016 14:45:45 GMT -5 wjr15 said:

Whatever happened to radio callout scores? I keep searching for new ones but the last ones I can find are from before Christmas

You can view current Rate The Music callout scores for all formats and demographics here:  www.allaccess.com/rate-the-music  

[badrobot]

Fun fact: I got my mom her first iPhone this past Christmas, and set her up with an Apple Music subscription. I showed her how to use Siri to ask it to play songs. She was super excited and then the first song she requested was a track on 25 that wasn't available for streaming. I told her "you literally picked one of the 0.00001% of songs that aren't on this." Now she has one more Adele song she can stream. :)

[imbondz]

Feb 5, 2016 17:20:18 GMT -5 badrobot said:

Fun fact: I got my mom her first iPhone this past Christmas, and set her up with an Apple Music subscription. I showed her how to use Siri to ask it to play songs. She was super excited and then the first song she requested was a track on 25 that wasn't available for streaming. I told her "you literally picked one of the 0.00001% of songs that aren't on this." Now she has one more Adele song she can stream. :)

Ha. That's funny! My mom still has a flip phone. Trying to ease her into the iPhone.

[jerz]

Well, Flo Rida's My House is now #1 on iTunes right now.

Is that this track will be number one on BB Hot 100 since 2012 (when his song "Whistle" reached to number one in 2012)?

[Ravi]

Feb 6, 2016 2:01:24 GMT -5 jerz said:

Well, Flo Rida's My House is now #1 on iTunes right now.

Is that this track will be number one on BB Hot 100 since 2012 (when his song "Whistle" reached to number one in 2012)?

Depends on how big WWWY is. If it breaks out and blocks #1 for 6-8 weeks, then MH will have no chance.

If not, then it will have a good shot, yes.  Love Yourself has already started declining and Stressed Out will start declining in points from this week itself.

My House will be entering Top-5 next week.

[Future Captain]

Feb 6, 2016 2:57:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Feb 6, 2016 2:01:24 GMT -5 jerz said:

Well, Flo Rida's My House is now #1 on iTunes right now.

Is that this track will be number one on BB Hot 100 since 2012 (when his song "Whistle" reached to number one in 2012)?

Depends on how big WWWY is. If it breaks out and blocks #1 for 6-8 weeks, then MH will have no chance.

If not, then it will have a good shot, yes.  Love Yourself has already started declining and Stressed Out will start declining in points from this week itself.

My House will be entering Top-5 next week.

My House is already top 5

[Ravi]

Feb 6, 2016 6:48:06 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Feb 6, 2016 2:57:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Depends on how big WWWY is. If it breaks out and blocks #1 for 6-8 weeks, then MH will have no chance.

If not, then it will have a good shot, yes.  Love Yourself has already started declining and Stressed Out will start declining in points from this week itself.

My House will be entering Top-5 next week.

My House is already top 5

Oh yeah...... this week it will drop down to #8, and then re-enter Top-5 next week, probably at #4.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Feb 6, 2016 2:57:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Feb 6, 2016 2:01:24 GMT -5 jerz said:

Well, Flo Rida's My House is now #1 on iTunes right now.

Is that this track will be number one on BB Hot 100 since 2012 (when his song "Whistle" reached to number one in 2012)?

Depends on how big WWWY is. If it breaks out and blocks #1 for 6-8 weeks, then MH will have no chance.

If not, then it will have a good shot, yes.  Love Yourself has already started declining and Stressed Out will start declining in points from this week itself.

My House will be entering Top-5 next week.

MH has been a real surprise and could have some extra momentum in 4-6 weeks as Spring Break hits. WWWY is not hitting number 1. I expect the radio losses to be staggering. It's barely treading water now. Radio will simply choose "Hello" as the ADELE song until the 3rd single is released. Let's face it, if not for extra massive "Hello," WWWY would only have received average to minimal Pop airplay. I love ADELE but the song is an automatic station switcher.

[Daniel Collins]

2016/02/06

*** = dropped or added a format

1. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 175.113 (-0.086)
2. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 167.610 (+0.643***)
3. ADELE - Hello: 159.335 (-1.936)
4. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 157.555 (+1.781)
5. THE WEEKND - In The Night: 133.453 (-0.798)
6. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 128.120 (-1.818)
7. SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 124.624 (-1.250)
8. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 104.590 (-1.384)
9. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Roses f/Rozes: 98.615 (+0.919)
10. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 87.830 (-2.005)

11. ADELE - When We Were Young: 84.685 (+0.274)
12. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 80.275 (-1.165)
13. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 80.258 (+0.229)
14. ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 77.429 (-0.978)
15. FLO RIDA - My House: 75.737 (+1.853)
16. LUKE BRYAN - Home Alone Tonight: 74.158 (+0.293)
17. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 73.657 (+0.056)
18. DAYA - Hide Away: 68.072 (+1.154) ▲
19. TAYLOR SWIFT - Out Of The Woods: 67.941 (+0.224) ▼
20. GRANGER SMITH - Backroad Song: 67.729 (+1.025)

21. SAM HUNT - Break Up In A Small Town: 63.439 (-2.115)
22. TORY LANEZ - Say It: 63.077 (+0.264) ▲
23. THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 62.631 (-0.984) ▼
24. DRAKE & FUTURE - Jumpman: 61.179 (-1.279)
25. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 60.176 (+1.072) ▲
26. RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 59.989 (+0.702)
27. KELSEA BALLERINI - Dibs: 59.497 (+0.456) ▲
28. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 59.069 (-0.432) ▼
29. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 58.399 (+0.017)
30. RIHANNA - Work f/Drake: 56.521 (+3.244) ▲

31. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Heartbeat: 55.885 (+0.582) ▲
32. KEITH URBAN - Break On Me: 55.723 (-0.358) ▼
33. G-EAZY - Me Myself And I f/Bebe Rexha: 55.246 (+1.502) ▲
34. TRAVI$ SCOTT - Antidote: 54.326 (-1.178) ▼
35. RANDY HOUSER - We Went: 53.795 (+0.418)
36. BROTHERS OSBORNE - Stay A Little Longer: 51.846 (-2.269) ▼
37. BRYSON TILLER - Don't: 50.751 (+0.130)
38. SELENA GOMEZ - Hands To Myself: 50.516 (+1.369) ▲
39. ZAC BROWN BAND - Beautiful Drug: 50.279 (+1.015)
40. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 49.534 (-0.094) ▼

41. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 49.181 (+1.171)
42. YO GOTTI - Down In The DM: 46.527 (+0.660)
43. SHAWN MENDES & CAMILA CABELLO - I Know What You Did Last...: 45.764 (-0.032***) ▲
44. FETTY WAP - Again: 45.185 (+0.074) ▲
45. LOCASH - I Love This Life: 44.946 (-0.866) ▼
46. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 44.864 (+0.052)
47. COLDPLAY - Adventure Of A Lifetime: 44.137 (-0.228)
48. BRAD PAISLEY - Country Nation: 43.671 (-0.111)
49. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 43.074 (-0.385)
50. CHRIS BROWN - Back To Sleep: 42.716 (+0.128)

51. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Confession: 42.460 (+0.399)
52. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 41.778 (+0.311)
53. COLE SWINDELL - You Should Be Here: 41.211 (+0.781) ▲
54. BRETT ELDREDGE - Drunk On Your Love: 41.188 (+0.402) ▼
55. RASCAL FLATTS - I Like The Sound Of That: 38.639 (+0.828) ▲
56. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 38.559 (-0.654) ▼
57. J. COLE - No Role Modelz: 37.640 (-0.656) ▼
58. CHASE BRYANT - Little Bit Of You: 37.421 (+0.163) ▲
59. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 37.015 (-0.688) ▼
60. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 36.041 (-0.569)

61. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 35.143 (-1.449***)
62. JEREMIH - Oui: 33.561 (+0.851) ▲
63. POST MALONE - White Iverson: 33.184 (-1.030) ▼
64. CHRIS STAPLETON - Nobody To Blame: 33.012 (+0.352)
65. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 32.856 (+0.375)
66. ELLIE GOULDING - Something In The Way You Move: 31.660 (+0.804) ▲
67. JASON ALDEAN - Gonna Know We Were Here: 31.367 (-0.561) ▼
68. OLD DOMINION - Snapback: 31.298 (+0.446) ▲
69. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 30.853 (-0.119) ▼
70. CHRIS YOUNG - I'm Comin' Over: 30.778 (-0.356) ▼

71. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 30.644 (-0.127)
72. BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 29.680 (-0.630)
73. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 28.810 (+0.137)
74. ROBIN SCHULZ - Sugar f/Francesco Yates: 28.712 (+0.684)
75. JASON DERULO - Get Ugly: 28.112 (+0.189)

120. ZAYN - Pillowtalk: 15.966 (-2.302)

[Glove Slap]

If Beyonce releases her new track after the performance, I can see her coming in at #1 next week, especially with the formula readjusted. Then, depending on how the Grammys go and Flo Rida's big increases, it'll be WWWY vs. LY vs. MH vs. Work. That's the likely top 4 anyway.

[jenglisbe]

Beyonce just dropped "Formation" on VEVO and presumably elsewhere.

[Deleted]

I'm still not entirely convinced that Zayn will debut at #1 this week. I'm not saying it won't happen, I'm just saying that I still feel it could go either way this week. Upon first listen, Pillowtalk doesn't appeal to me much so I'm rooting for Love Yourself, but whatever happens happens.
In any case, even if it is #1 this week, it'll more than likely be out of the top spot the following week as it's already down to #5 on iTunes.

Also I just realized that the Grammys won't have as big of an impact on songs in a single given week now that the sales/streaming tracking week has been shifted. Damn lol

[jayhawk1117]

Feb 6, 2016 16:01:21 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Beyonce just dropped "Formation" on VEVO and presumably elsewhere.

it's not on vevo..

[jayhawk1117]

Feb 6, 2016 14:17:32 GMT -5 Glove Slap said:

If Beyonce releases her new track after the performance, I can see her coming in at #1 next week, especially with the formula readjusted. Then, depending on how the Grammys go and Flo Rida's big increases, it'll be WWWY vs. LY vs. MH vs. Work. That's the likely top 4 anyway.

I mean considering it probably won't be on vevo hurts it, also a song that's basically "I'm black and black as hell" has a pretty uncertain future on the charts.

[85la]

Feb 6, 2016 13:19:04 GMT -5 KeepDeanWeird said:

Feb 6, 2016 2:57:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Depends on how big WWWY is. If it breaks out and blocks #1 for 6-8 weeks, then MH will have no chance.

If not, then it will have a good shot, yes.  Love Yourself has already started declining and Stressed Out will start declining in points from this week itself.

My House will be entering Top-5 next week.

MH has been a real surprise and could have some extra momentum in 4-6 weeks as Spring Break hits. WWWY is not hitting number 1. I expect the radio losses to be staggering. It's barely treading water now. Radio will simply choose "Hello" as the ADELE song until the 3rd single is released. Let's face it, if not for extra massive "Hello," WWWY would only have received average to minimal Pop airplay. I love ADELE but the song is an automatic station switcher.

Apparently not from the callout scores, the link to which broccoli provided above. It has a high likability rating and a very low burnout rate.

[jenglisbe]

Feb 6, 2016 16:12:56 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I'm still not entirely convinced that Zayn will debut at #1 this week. I'm not saying it won't happen, I'm just saying that I still feel it could go either way this week. Upon first listen, Pillowtalk doesn't appeal to me much so I'm rooting for Love Yourself, but whatever happens happens.
In any case, even if it is #1 this week, it'll more than likely be out of the top spot the following week as it's already down to #5 on iTunes.

Also I just realized that the Grammys won't have as big of an impact on songs in a single given week now that the sales/streaming tracking week has been shifted. Damn lol

Why do you think it could go either way?

The Grammys will still impact in one week. The sales week will only be 2 days in when they air. Streams will be ending just after the Grammys end, so if streams increase because of a performance (is that standard?) most of the impact will still be in the same chart week as sales.

[Deleted]

Feb 6, 2016 20:26:33 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Feb 6, 2016 16:12:56 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I'm still not entirely convinced that Zayn will debut at #1 this week. I'm not saying it won't happen, I'm just saying that I still feel it could go either way this week. Upon first listen, Pillowtalk doesn't appeal to me much so I'm rooting for Love Yourself, but whatever happens happens.
In any case, even if it is #1 this week, it'll more than likely be out of the top spot the following week as it's already down to #5 on iTunes.

Also I just realized that the Grammys won't have as big of an impact on songs in a single given week now that the sales/streaming tracking week has been shifted. Damn lol

Why do you think it could go either way?

The Grammys will still impact in one week. The sales week will only be 2 days in when they air. Streams will be ending just after the Grammys end, so if streams increase because of a performance (is that standard?) most of the impact will still be in the same chart week as sales.

yeah but that's still not as much impact as when the sales week would start a few hours after the Grammys. It's only 5 days instead of seven. That's just how I see it.

And because I think it is POSSIBLE that Love Yourself's large airplay lead could compensate for the sales deficit and the small streaming deficit (seriously, Pillowtalk has maximum 2M stream lead over LY...)

[rimetm]

What are you guys talking about? Streams and sales start and end at the same time; it's radio that's delayed 3 days.

(So, to set this straight: because the airing is Feb. 15, 4 days worth of sales and streaming tracking will fall on the 2/27 chart (and the first few hours will account for at least 1/3, maybe 1/2 of boosted activity). 3 days, if there is still a boost, fall on the 3/5 chart.)

Also, I have it on good faith that the formula where ~115,000 sales = ~125,000,000 airplay is accurate. So any additional lead in streaming over 1,000,000 should seal Pillowtalk's claim to #1 this week.