Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 15, 2016 20:28:09 GMT -5
I hope Stressed Out can somehow manage to return to top 10 soon (if Stitches can somehow miraculously pull it off then why not this one?) since MM&I and My House are falling Hi, Mark! You alright? yes |
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Post by Mike is BAD on Apr 15, 2016 20:53:46 GMT -5
Who thinks Panda will be #1?
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Mr. Thonk Eyes
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Post by Mr. Thonk Eyes on Apr 15, 2016 20:59:41 GMT -5
Who thinks Panda will be #1? Maybe not this week, but I definently think "Panda" will reach #1 at some point. In fact, I actually think it will reach #1 next week (5/7/16). Desiigner just moved ahead of Lukas Graham on iTunes with both versions combined, and he's already stomping him on streaming, so I doubt the airplay difference is going to matter. |
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85la
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Post by 85la on Apr 15, 2016 21:04:00 GMT -5
The one thing Panda has going against it, as with a lot of other dance-memey songs, is its low airplay. I know things are different now with streaming being higher and counting more, but these types of songs almost never get high airplay...Gangam Style, Harlem Shake, Nasty Freestyle, Watch Me... If the threshold for #1 now weren't so low, Panda could very easily miss the top spot.
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Apr 15, 2016 21:04:54 GMT -5
What Do You Mean dropped out last week from #41, wow..
Now it's barely #65 in decade-end so far and likely to end up missing the list.
Love Yourself just outperformed it last week.
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Apr 15, 2016 21:10:17 GMT -5
The one thing Panda has going against it, as with a lot of other dance-memey songs, is its low airplay. I know things are different now with streaming being higher and counting more, but these types of songs almost never get high airplay...Gangam Style, Harlem Shake, Nasty Freestyle, Watch Me... If the threshold for #1 now weren't so low, Panda could very easily miss the top spot. You're right about the threshold. About 36,000 points for no.1 is insanely low.. which makes the EXTREMELY HIGH TOP 10 THRESHOLD even less sensible (like, it reached about 27,000 for top 10 a few weeks ago). That's why Panda can pull a 14->5->1 and leave everyone tongue-tied. |
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 15, 2016 23:16:57 GMT -5
If panda does get #1 this week, it would be truly amazing that a song like panda can jump this much this quickly.
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jarhys
Gold Member
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Post by jarhys on Apr 16, 2016 1:29:57 GMT -5
Anyone thinks One Dance could be a contender for #1?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2016 2:01:16 GMT -5
Anyone thinks One Dance could be a contender for #1? Not too sure tbh. Maybe if sales rebound and the video goes viral like Hotline Bling (except this time with the views actually counting) then it has a chance |
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ry4n
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Post by ry4n on Apr 16, 2016 2:13:08 GMT -5
I think "One Dance" will be the song of the summer tbh (unless it's too early for that)
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Post by Mike is BAD on Apr 16, 2016 5:51:32 GMT -5
One Dance fell on iTunes...
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Lukino
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Post by Lukino on Apr 16, 2016 6:55:24 GMT -5
Wow, 7 Years will be blocked by Panda from #1, just like it was with Take Me To Church, Anaconda and Thinking Out Loud.
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Apr 16, 2016 7:56:08 GMT -5
Wow, 7 Years will be blocked by Panda from #1, just like it was with Take Me To Church, Anaconda and Thinking Out Loud. And Problem with Fancy :'( |
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Lukino
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Post by Lukino on Apr 16, 2016 8:02:08 GMT -5
At least I'm hoping for NO to reach #2 peak. Why it has so low streaming? It's so catchy and fresh!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2016 9:03:21 GMT -5
One Dance is gonna perform like Hotline Bling most likely unless he puts the vid on YouTube first, but with all the given competition it might still just perform like Hotline Bling and fail to outpeak it.
I'm ok with 7 Years not going to number 1, Panda I guess is fine not the worst of its kin so I'm fine with wherever it goes as long it doesn't end up being a long running number 1.
Out of the current songs for the fight, I'd take NO as the number one but thats not happening just yet.
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 16, 2016 11:03:01 GMT -5
With a week as close as this one, I wouldn't be surprised if that small difference changes everything. Right now it's almost a 3 way tie down to a double digit point difference. Every little bit counts this week. Oh I feel very confident 7 Years will not be #1 this week. Yes I know that it's a close race, but I also know from past experience that these scenarios literally never work out in my favor at all so based on that I would be willing to bet that 7 Years isn't going to be #1. Mark my words. I just hope it's Panda and not Work at #1 this week, though I would not be in the least surprised if that wasn't in my favor either. Just soothing myself by telling myself Work won't get 10 weeks at #1 (which is how it seems). Honestly, I think Panda can end up #1 this week. I've been under-estimating it throughout its chart. (When it jumped to #14, I picked it to be #16. I picked it to be #6 last week, but it was #5. Earlier this week, I picked it to be #3) Something tells me Work will barely give up the #1 spot to Panda, which will leave 7 Years stuck at #3 :( Yeah, I think I'm waiting for the Billboard top 10 video this time. Such a close battle which seems like 7 Years last chance to ever get to #1. The only shot I think it would have is because of the 3 million AI gains. But I don't think it's enough. |
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Post by therealstan123 on Apr 16, 2016 11:35:20 GMT -5
One Dance is falling like a rock on iTunes...
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 16, 2016 11:37:54 GMT -5
Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadio*** indicates that the song dropped or added a format ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ "Pillowtalk" is still getting some great gains and "Cake By The Ocean" is so close to #2! "Work" (which has now, already, slipped to number 5  ) and "Hands To Myself" are still falling hard. "7 Years" is still getting the 2-3 million gains :) We are also seeing "Panda" continue its rise with another 1 million+, nearly 2 million, AI gain.  |
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Lukino
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Post by Lukino on Apr 16, 2016 12:53:26 GMT -5
Really low gain for NO, thanks to Pop stations...
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Apr 16, 2016 12:54:57 GMT -5
The one thing Panda has going against it, as with a lot of other dance-memey songs, is its low airplay. I know things are different now with streaming being higher and counting more, but these types of songs almost never get high airplay...Gangam Style, Harlem Shake, Nasty Freestyle, Watch Me... If the threshold for #1 now weren't so low, Panda could very easily miss the top spot. You're right about the threshold. About 36,000 points for no.1 is insanely low.. which makes the EXTREMELY HIGH TOP 10 THRESHOLD even less sensible (like, it reached about 27,000 for top 10 a few weeks ago). That's why Panda can pull a 14->5->1 and leave everyone tongue-tied. Wow! That means on an individual week a #10 (27,000 points) is about 75% as "big" as a #1 (36,000 points), so it's not actually that big of a difference! |
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felipe
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Post by felipe on Apr 16, 2016 14:35:03 GMT -5
Fifth Harmony should release an acoustic version of WFH. That'd give them a push to #1 on streaming.
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Ravi
Charting
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Post by Ravi on Apr 16, 2016 14:37:22 GMT -5
It seems Panda is indeed getting #1 this week. Streaming should a bit higher than I initially anticipated, and so will be the airplay.
Without rounding off any numbers:
Panda - 90-31-29.1 = 37350
Work - 53-97-25.7 = 37000
7 Years - 104-105-17.6 = 36700
It is still very close.... but if I had to bet, I'd bet on the final order coming like this.
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Post by Mike is BAD on Apr 16, 2016 14:44:25 GMT -5
C'mon 7 Years, pull through!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2016 14:54:51 GMT -5
lol at the update for Confession
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Ravi
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Post by Ravi on Apr 16, 2016 14:55:56 GMT -5
C'mon 7 Years, pull through! It will need even bigger jumps on Airplay (along with Work falling harder and Panda having smaller gains) plus another 2-3k sales advantage to get through. BTW if it doesn't get it this week, I doubt it will again have the chance. Next week, Panda will have a big lead on 7 Years. 1. Panda - 105-40-30.0 = 40,700 2. 7 Years - 100-115-17.0 = 36,800 3. Work - 45-85-24.0 = 33,500 I am predicting at least 5 weeks for Panda at #1, this week included. |
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Ravi
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Post by Ravi on Apr 16, 2016 14:59:11 GMT -5
At least I'm hoping for NO to reach #2 peak. Why it has so low streaming? It's so catchy and fresh! There is NO chaance of NO getting #2 peak. "7 Years" and "Panda" will stay ahead of it in the foreseeable future. |
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 16, 2016 15:39:30 GMT -5
It seems Panda is indeed getting #1 this week. Streaming should a bit higher than I initially anticipated, and so will be the airplay. Without rounding off any numbers: Panda - 90-31-29.1 = 37350 Work - 53-97-25.7 = 37000 7 Years - 104-105-17.6 = 36700 It is still very close.... but if I had to bet, I'd bet on the final order coming like this. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (I REALLY wanted 7 Years to be #1) |
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Apr 16, 2016 15:44:56 GMT -5
Whoever becomes #1 this week, I don't think I would mind. They're still big hits regardless of whether they're #1 or not.
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Zach
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Post by Zach on Apr 16, 2016 15:48:39 GMT -5
So what I'm going to do is to just disappear from this thread until Monday evening, because I can't take this.
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Apr 16, 2016 15:51:38 GMT -5
So what I'm going to do is to just disappear from this thread until Monday evening, because I can't take this. I think I will too (but I will only come back to post AI updates). I shouldn't have even checked the thread today |
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) and "Hands To Myself" are still falling hard. "7 Years" is still getting the 2-3 million gains :) 
