Billboard Hot 100: 07/02/2016

[Daniel Collins]

2016/06/19

*** = dropped or added a format

1. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE - Can't Stop The Feeling: 202.893 (+0.288)
2. DRAKE - One Dance f/Wizkid & Kyla: 194.241 (+0.902)
3. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Don't Let Me Down f/Daya: 153.547 (+0.634)
4. MIKE POSNER - I Took A Pill In Ibiza: 111.303 (-0.355) ▲
5. FIFTH HARMONY - Work From Home: 109.794 (-2.398) ▼
6. ARIANA GRANDE - Dangerous Woman: 106.492 (+0.560)
7. PINK - Just Like Fire: 102.053 (+1.133) ▲
8. LUKAS GRAHAM - 7 Years: 100.102 (-3.237) ▼
9. CALVIN HARRIS - This Is What You... f/Rihanna: 99.782 (+1.885) ▲
10. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 99.210 (-0.902) ▼

11. DESIIGNER - Panda: 93.591 (-1.505)
12. JAMES BAY - Let It Go: 91.348 (-0.036)
13. KENT JONES - Don't Mind: 91.204 (+1.569)
14. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 84.147 (-0.940)
15. SIA - Cheap Thrills: 81.890 (+2.231***) ▲
16. ZAYN - Pillowtalk: 81.138 (-1.690) ▼
17. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Ride: 75.839 (+1.491)
18. RIHANNA - Needed Me: 70.595 (+1.233) ▲
19. LUKE BRYAN - Huntin', Fishin' And Lovin'...: 70.021 (+0.426)
20. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 69.797 (-0.127) ▼

21. FLO RIDA - My House: 66.860 (-0.098***)
22. JASON ALDEAN - Lights Come On: 62.065 (+0.351)
23. KEITH URBAN - Wasted Time: 61.717 (+0.061)
24. ADELE - Send My Love (To Your New...: 59.559 (+1.308) ▲
25. TIM MCGRAW - Humble And Kind: 58.108 (-2.032) ▼
26. THOMAS RHETT - T-Shirt: 56.956 (-1.450) ▼
27. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Church Bells: 56.348 (+0.768)
28. BEYONCE - Sorry: 55.107 (+0.199)
29. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 53.353 (-0.910)
30. NICK JONAS - Close f/Tove Lo: 53.166 (+0.734)

31. RUTH B. - Lost Boy: 52.326 (+0.571) ▲
32. FAT JOE & REMY MA - All The Way Up: 51.574 (-0.186)
33. RIHANNA - Work f/Drake: 50.987 (-1.006) ▼
34. ZARA LARSSON & MNEK - Never Forget You: 50.196 (-1.525)
35. G-EAZY - Me Myself And I f/Bebe Rexha: 50.012 (-1.632)
36. BLAKE SHELTON - Came Here To Forget: 48.643 (-0.947)
37. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - H.O.L.Y.: 47.984 (+0.486) ▲
38. KENNY CHESNEY - Noise: 47.869 (-0.101) ▼
39. ERIC CHURCH - Record Year: 46.969 (+0.560) ▲
40. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 46.531 (-0.681) ▼

41. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 46.045 (-0.069)
42. JON PARDI - Head Over Boots: 44.723 (+0.197)
43. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 44.170 (+0.449)
44. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 43.399 (+0.238) ▲
45. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 42.712 (-0.468)
46. DIERKS BENTLEY - Somewhere On A Beach: 41.979 (-1.240) ▼
47. ADELE - Hello: 39.870 (-0.709)
48. CHRIS LANE - Fix: 36.194 (+0.376)
49. CHRIS YOUNG & CASSADEE POPE - Think Of You: 35.327 (-0.280)
50. DAN + SHAY - From The Ground Up: 34.268 (+0.807) ▲

51. OLD DOMINION - Snapback: 34.178 (-0.554) ▼
52. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 33.611 (-0.368) ▼
53. O.T. GENASIS - Cut It f/Young Dolph: 33.370 (-0.287) ▼
54. JAKE OWEN - American Country Love Song: 33.261 (+0.038)
55. DAVID NAIL - Night's On Fire: 32.848 (+0.143)
56. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Me Too: 32.150 (+1.045) ▲
57. JEREMIH - Oui: 31.771 (-0.580) ▼
58. ONEREPUBLIC - Wherever I Go: 31.674 (+0.517) ▲
59. SELENA GOMEZ - Kill Em With Kindness: 31.568 (+0.391) ▼
60. SAM HUNT - Make You Miss Me: 31.406 (+0.118) ▼

61. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 30.809 (-0.185)
62. FRANKIE BALLARD - It All Started With A Beer: 30.392 (-0.055) ▲
63. DRAKE - Controlla: 30.178 (+1.311) ▲
64. JUSTIN MOORE - You Look Like I Need A Drink: 30.069 (+0.218)
65. BRYSON TILLER - Exchange: 29.606 (-0.892) ▼
66. KELLY CLARKSON - Piece By Piece: 27.942 (-0.214) ▲
67. DUSTIN LYNCH - Mind Reader: 27.936 (-0.476)
68. ALESSIA CARA - Wild Things: 27.920 (-1.708) ▼
69. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 27.871 (-0.150)
70. BEN RECTOR - Brand New: 27.628 (+0.614) ▲

71. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 27.497 (+0.198) ▲
72. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 27.147 (-0.174) ▼
73. DJ KHALED - For Free f/Drake: 27.130 (+1.627) ▲
74. MAREN MORRIS - My Church: 27.076 (-0.347) ▼
75. KELSEA BALLERINI - Peter Pan: 26.951 (+0.587)

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:

June 26, 1961 (For the week ending July 1)

01 03 Quarter To Three - Gary U.S. Bonds (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 05 Raindrops - Dee Clark
03 01 Moody River - Pat Boone
04 07 Tossin' & Turnin' - Bobby Lewis
05 02 Travelin' Man - Ricky Nelson
06 06 The Writing On The Wall - Adam Wade
07 09 The Boll Weevil Song - Brook Benton
08 08 Every Beat Of My Heart - The Pips
09 10 Those Oldies But Goodies - Little Caesar
10 04 Stand By Me - Ben E. King


July 2, 1966

01 02 Strangers In The Night - Frank Sinatra (1st and only week at #1)
02 01 Paperback Writer - The Beatles
03 06 Red Rubber Ball - Cyrkle
04 03 Paint It Black - The Rolling Stones
05 09 You Don't Have To Say You Love Me - Dusty Springfield
06 15 Hanky Panky - Tommy James & The Shondells
07 08 Cool Jerk - The Capitols
08 05 I Am a Rock - Simon & Garfunkel
09 04 Did You Ever Have To Make Up Your Mind - The Lovin' Spoonful
10 07 Barefootin' - Robert Parker


July 3, 1971

01 01 It's Too Late / I Feel The Earth Move - Carole King (3rd of 5 weeks at #1)
02 04 Indian Reservation - The Raiders
03 05 Treat Her Like a Lady - The Cornelius Brothers & Sister Rose
04 02 Rainy Days And Mondays - The Carpenters
05 08 Don't Pull Your Love - Hamilton, Joe Frank & Reynolds
06 03 Want Ads - Honey Cone
07 06 Brown Sugar - The Rolling Stones
08 14 You've Got a Friend - James Taylor
09 09 When You're Hot, You're Hot - Jerry Reed
10 07 It Don't Come Easy - Ringo Starr


July 4, 1976

01 01 Silly Love Songs - Wings (5th and final week at #1)
02 07 Afternoon Delight - The Starland Vocal Band
03 03 Misty Blue - Dorothy Moore
04 04 Sara Smile - Daryl Hall & John Oates
05 05 Shop Around - The Captain & Tennille
06 06 More, More, More - The Andrea True Connection
07 02 Get Up And Boogie - Silver Convention
08 09 I'll Be Good To You - The Brothers Johnson
09 10 Kiss And Say Goodbye - The Manhattans
10 11 Love Is Alive - Gary Wright

[jenglisbe]

Obviously it's different for each song, but what is a good general rule for the % of YouTube views as far as US vs outside the US?

[Raccoon]

^ I've always wondered about this

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Jun 19, 2016 11:17:53 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Obviously it's different for each song, but what is a good general rule for the % of YouTube views as far as US vs outside the US?

idk anything about the percentages, but I'm sure Hip-Hop/R&B have a higher U.S. viewer percentage than Pop songs.

[Caviar]

I need to make a Spotify playlist for those older songs.

[popmusic1]

Jun 19, 2016 11:17:53 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Obviously it's different for each song, but what is a good general rule for the % of YouTube views as far as US vs outside the US?

For week ending 6/9

Panda - 48% total views comes from US
Needed Me - 44%
Low Life - 42%
7 Years - 20%
Don’t Let Me Down - 16%
CAN’T STOP THE FEELING! - 15%
Work - 15%
Work From Home - 13%
DUELE EL CORAZON - 2%

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Jun 19, 2016 14:02:45 GMT -5 popmusic1 said:

Jun 19, 2016 11:17:53 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Obviously it's different for each song, but what is a good general rule for the % of YouTube views as far as US vs outside the US?

For week ending 6/9

Panda - 48% total views comes from US
Needed Me - 44%
Low Life - 42%
7 Years - 20%
Don’t Let Me Down - 16%
CAN’T STOP THE FEELING! - 15%
Work - 15%
Work From Home - 13%
DUELE EL CORAZON - 2%

Why do Needed Me and Work have such a difference here when they come from the very same artist?

[NeRD]

Wow..2001 had so much variety...

[NeRD]

Jun 19, 2016 14:08:50 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Jun 19, 2016 14:02:45 GMT -5 popmusic1 said:

For week ending 6/9

Panda - 48% total views comes from US
Needed Me - 44%
Low Life - 42%
7 Years - 20%
Don’t Let Me Down - 16%
CAN’T STOP THE FEELING! - 15%
Work - 15%
Work From Home - 13%
DUELE EL CORAZON - 2%

Why do Needed Me and Work have such a difference here when they come from the very same artist?

Likely because Needed Me is a US only single while Work was released WW?

[Ravi]

Jun 18, 2016 22:36:29 GMT -5 chicken077 said:

Jun 18, 2016 9:28:53 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Predictions:

Rank	Song	Sales	Airplay	Streams	Points
1	One Dance	90	160	22.0	44,300
2	Can't Stop The Feeling	125	165	11.5	40,000
3	Panda	60	70	29.0	37,800
4	Don't Let Me Down	70	125	15.0	32,800
5	Work From Home	50	85	14.0	25,700
6	This is What You Came For	70	80	10.0	24,100
7/8	Needed Me	30	55	16.0	22,200
7/8	Don't Mind	40	75	12.0	22,000
9/10	Cheap Thrills	65	65	9.0	21,200
9-11	I Took A Pill in Ibiza	35	85	10.5	21,100
10/11	Just Like Fire	70	85	5.5	20,900
12	7 Years	35	80	10.5	20,600

* CSTF finally looks to get the #2 spot (thanks to Panda having a large decline in points).
* There isn't much separation between #7-12 so predicting exact positions would be difficult, but it looks like both "Don't Mind" and "Cheap Thrills" (Yay!) will be able to enter Top-10.
* Hopefully ITAPII is able to get one last week in Top-10, but JLF also has a shot. "7 Years" will most probably fall out of Top-10 due to large declines across all metrics.

Damn at 7 Years falling off so quickly... That's a huge jump down...
Do you guys think DLMD could reach the top 3 with Panda declining? I really don't want it to join my list of songs I personally like that peaked at #4 since last summer (SUAD, Lean On, 679, Stitches, My House, ITAPII, I might have missed one or two)

That's a good question. DLMD should overtake Panda in about 3 weeks time..... but by that time there is a good chance that TIWYCF overtakes DMLD.

[Ravi]

Jun 19, 2016 3:04:25 GMT -5 popmusic1 said:

More ---> popruntheworld.pl/zestawienia-muzyczne/usa/youtube-us/

*There's 2 'versions' of Panda (it's the same song but has 2 ISRC codes):
1 Panda Desiigner 10,975,533 13,633,409 -19.5% US7VG1610831
105 Panda Future 938,755 0 N/A USUM71601094

Real number of streams: 11,914,288 (-12.6%)

Well.... that's interesting.... the Artist name is indicated as Future.... so will those streams count towards Hot 100 for Panda?

Also... there is no "One Dance" in your chart.... but I can see 1.078M views for it.

[jenglisbe]

Any word on the "One Dance" video? So weird.

[Ravi]

Jun 19, 2016 22:36:41 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Any word on the "One Dance" video? So weird.

Actually... this time I think Drake's team is playing things right. Right now there is no threat to One Dance for at least 2-3 weeks and it will easily be #1..... so my guess would be that the video is released sometime in the first half of July.

[Au$tin]

Jun 19, 2016 22:43:03 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Jun 19, 2016 22:36:41 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Any word on the "One Dance" video? So weird.

Actually... this time I think Drake's team is playing things right. Right now there is no threat to One Dance for at least 2-3 weeks and it will easily be #1..... so my guess would be that the video is released sometime in the first half of July.

But no one will care by then. It's going to peak in airplay soon and sales and streaming will follow suit.

[emperortigerstar]

Jun 15, 2016 13:30:19 GMT -5 @broccoli said:

Jun 15, 2016 13:16:16 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Although it grew on me a bit lately, I don't think JLF is that great personally. I still can't believe F**kin' Perfect never reached #1 :/ I remember it jumped 11-2 or something and seemed like a guaranteed #1 but somehow stalled after that and never ascended to the pinnacle from there. I still think that's her best song.

I don't either, which makes its success more notable - even more impressive - for me.  It bodes well for Pink's upcoming album/singles.  I'm excited.

Me too. I'm glad that she's back. P!nk has always been unique in a certain way with her music. Not sure how to describe it. She's definitely been slightly more rock-influenced in a lot of her songs than others, which helps. But anyway, I hope she has successful hits coming up.

[Deleted]

Jun 19, 2016 22:58:35 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Jun 19, 2016 22:43:03 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Actually... this time I think Drake's team is playing things right. Right now there is no threat to One Dance for at least 2-3 weeks and it will easily be #1..... so my guess would be that the video is released sometime in the first half of July.

But no one will care by then. It's going to peak in airplay soon and sales and streaming will follow suit.

That's a pretty bold statement to say no one will care. Big hit songs like this one often have very long shelf lives these days - lasting 20 weeks easily (sometimes even just in the top 10 alone), usually 30 or even 40+ weeks to a year sometimes on the Hot 100 and tomorrow's chart will only be its 11th week.  I don't for one second think the majority of listeners (or his fanbase) are going to stop caring about this particular song or lose desire to see the video anytime soon.  And like I've said before and Ravi said... they are playing things right this time - holding off and giving this thing a monstrous stay at #1 and effectively making up for past shortcomings.  The whole point - it seems - is for the video to counter any lost airplay/streaming/sales to extend its life at #1, since it still doesn't need the video points.  

It may seem odd from a more traditional point of view, but it seems even more odd to me that some of us aren't on board with the strategy given this particular situation. There's really no risk involved as its already been lodged at #1.  I can't think of one downside to this.  Not one.  But clearly there's a divide about this amongst us Pulsers, because it keeps getting mentioned.... so we can all agree to disagree.   I really really think Drake and his team will have the last laugh here, but we shall see.

[felipe]

Jun 19, 2016 14:16:34 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Jun 19, 2016 14:08:50 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Why do Needed Me and Work have such a difference here when they come from the very same artist?

Likely because Needed Me is a US only single while Work was released WW?

Also the fact that sometimes it takes longer for a song/video to get big overseas, and songs that are considered "old" for Americans will still be in the top 10 worldwide.

[NeRD]

Jun 20, 2016 8:06:57 GMT -5 felipe said:

Jun 19, 2016 14:16:34 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Likely because Needed Me is a US only single while Work was released WW?

Also the fact that sometimes it takes longer for a song/video to get big overseas, and songs that are considered "old" for Americans will still be in the top 10 worldwide.

It's actually usually the other way around

[rimetm]

Jun 20, 2016 8:34:49 GMT -5 NeRD said:

Jun 20, 2016 8:06:57 GMT -5 felipe said:

Also the fact that sometimes it takes longer for a song/video to get big overseas, and songs that are considered "old" for Americans will still be in the top 10 worldwide.

It's actually usually the other way around

Maybe so, but I've been noticing it more and more lately. Recently, Cake by the Ocean went top 10 in the UK, Stitches was a multi week topper in the winter there, and Fight Song went top 10 in Japan, in a year where very few overseas songs have even cracked top 20.

[SPRΞΞ]

Jun 20, 2016 7:46:08 GMT -5 @broccoli said:

Jun 19, 2016 22:58:35 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

But no one will care by then. It's going to peak in airplay soon and sales and streaming will follow suit.

That's a pretty bold statement to say no one will care. Big hit songs like this one often have very long shelf lives these days - lasting 20 weeks easily (sometimes even just in the top 10 alone), usually 30 or even 40+ weeks to a year sometimes on the Hot 100 and tomorrow's chart will only be its 11th week.  I don't for one second think the majority of listeners (or his fanbase) are going to stop caring about this particular song or lose desire to see the video anytime soon.  And like I've said before and Ravi said... they are playing things right this time - holding off and giving this thing a monstrous stay at #1 and effectively making up for past shortcomings.  The whole point - it seems - is for the video to counter any lost airplay/streaming/sales to extend its life at #1, since it still doesn't need the video points.  

It may seem odd from a more traditional point of view, but it seems even more odd to me that some of us aren't on board with the strategy given this particular situation. There's really no risk involved as its already been lodged at #1.  I can't think of one downside to this.  Not one.  But clearly there's a divide about this amongst us Pulsers, because it keeps getting mentioned.... so we can all agree to disagree.   I really really think Drake and his team will have the last laugh here, but we shall see.

Well the only downside I can think of is the loss of profit from video views. The longer they wait, the more revenue is lost. But it's clear they'd rather have the #1 ranking than more money. They are easily making lots of money on this song regardless. So that's my theory.

[popmusic1]

Jun 19, 2016 22:11:57 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Jun 19, 2016 3:04:25 GMT -5 popmusic1 said:

More ---> popruntheworld.pl/zestawienia-muzyczne/usa/youtube-us/

*There's 2 'versions' of Panda (it's the same song but has 2 ISRC codes):
1 Panda Desiigner 10,975,533 13,633,409 -19.5% US7VG1610831
105 Panda Future 938,755 0 N/A USUM71601094

Real number of streams: 11,914,288 (-12.6%)

Well.... that's interesting.... the Artist name is indicated as Future.... so will those streams count towards Hot 100 for Panda?

Also... there is no "One Dance" in your chart.... but I can see 1.078M views for it.

1) Yes, Nielsen count two versions towards one song, they use ISRC codes from Soundscan and labels reports.
2) "One Dance" is not registered in Google system. 

[Deleted]

SPRΞΞ

And that's assuming there's a loss of interest. Talking about how there's a loss of interest is funny, because if there was truly loss of interest, it wouldn't keep getting mentioned.... repeatedly.

I'd bet on strong views when it does come out, regardless of when. Even if its Apple exclusive for a week or whatever.  Potentially viral.

[Au$tin]

The video? I'm only seeing interest in the video being posted here, a music forum where people follow music more closely than your average person. I just don't see the video getting as much attention as more and more people get burnt out on the song. Then there's other examples where the video came out late and few people cared. "Feeling Myself" comes to mind immediately. Or "Panda."

From a business standpoint, holding off makes no sense. I'd rather the video be out there throughout most of the song's run to gain as much money from it as possible. The longer you hold out, the more people are going to get sick of the song or forget about it.

[Deleted]

^ Game on, Austin. I think we've both made ourselves clear. Let's see what happens.

[ry4n]

The fact that One Dance isn't on YouTube at all might be why its audio streaming is so high

[Deleted]

Pink is about to be top 5 in airplay...wow, that was fast!

[rimetm]

So, potentially 2 new top 10s and maybe a solo Gary Trust Periscope! Let's see how this unfolds in a minute!

X. No Money
70. Try Everything
63. Treat You Better
50. Into You
44. Kill 'Em With Kindness
38. Sorry (Beyoncé)
36. Never Be Like You
29. Too Good
24. Lost Boy
23. Controlla
20. Send My Love (To Your New Lover
18. Me Too
14. Close
13. Ride
12. Just Like Fire
11. 7 Years
10. Don't Mind
9. I Took a Pill in Ibiza
8. Cheap Thrills
7. Needed Me
6. This is What You Came For
5. Work From Home
4. Don't Let Me Down
3. Panda
2. Can't Stop the Feeling
1. One Dance

[Duca]

After debuting at No. 1 on the Hot 100 five weeks ago, becoming just the 26th single to start at the summit in the chart's history, Justin Timberlake's "Can't Stop the Feeling!" rebounds 3-2. It spends a sixth week at No. 1 on Digital Songs (124,000, down 10 percent), becoming his longest-leading No. 1 on the ranking, passing "SexyBack," which led for five weeks in 2006. "Feeling" also sets a new personal best for Timberlake at radio: it's the most-heard song on U.S. airwaves, logging a third week at No. 1 on Radio Songs with 163 million in audience (up 3 percent); that marks Timberlake's best weekly audience for a song, passing the 159 million that "Mirrors" drew at its peak (June 22, 2013). "Feeling" also tops the Pop Songs and Adult Pop Songs genre airplay charts for a third week each.

Hitting a career high after 20 years in the game.

[Mayman]

That's awesome for Sia!