GP
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Post by GP on Jul 8, 2020 7:46:51 GMT -5
It's shaping up to be Abel and Dua's year and I'm more than OK with that. Harry's year too it seems.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2020 19:58:27 GMT -5
Three words.
Dua. Abel. Harry.
That's it, everyone can go home.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jul 22, 2020 13:31:26 GMT -5
The Chicks became very serious contenders with Gaslighter.
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ampersand
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Post by ampersand on Jul 22, 2020 18:03:42 GMT -5
^ Yup. A long-awaited comeback with universal critical acclaim from former AOTY winners. I think they have an AOTY nod in the bag.
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 22, 2020 18:46:58 GMT -5
Gold Derby's AOTY predictions, updated on July 21 (plus my comments lol): Leading Contenders“After Hours” by The Weeknd — I can't imagine a scenario where this doesn't get nominated. “Chromatica” by Lady Gaga — I know this won't be winning the award but could sneak in. “Dark Lane Demo Tapes” by Drake — Don't really see this happening since there are better rap releases to choose from. “Fetch the Bolt Cutters” by Fiona Apple — Hoping the critical acclaim translates into a nomination here, fantastic album. “Fine Line” by Harry Styles — Could see this happening, especially if there's a hit single during the voting period. “Future Nostalgia” by Dua Lipa — I want to say this is in, considering her two wins last year, but it's not certain. “Gaslighter” by The Chicks — Very possible, and I'd say it's the leading country record in terms of quality. “The Highwomen” by The Highwomen — Also possible, considering all the names involved, could block The Chicks. “Hollywood’s Bleeding” by Post Malone — This was a big record, but I almost feel like it's too old? Has a shot for sure. “Jaime” by Brittany Howard — Haven't heard this. “Manic” by Halsey — I don't see this happening when they snubbed "Without Me" completely. “Map of the Soul: 7” by BTS — A mix of xenophobia and also their music not being good will most likely block this. “Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial” by Roddy Ricch — I think this is THE hiphop record to look out for. “Romance” by Camila Cabello — in what world? “The Slow Rush” by Tame Impala — Haven't heard this. “3.15.20” by Childish Gambino — I don't really see this doing much but I could be wrong. Strong Contenders
{Click for list} “Alicia” by Alicia Keys “Bigger Love” by John Legend “Changes” by Justin Bieber “Everyday Life” by Coldplay “Eternal Atake” by Lil Uzi Vert “Father of All Motherf*ckers” by Green Day “Ghosteen” by Nick Cave and the Bad Seeds “High Road” by Kesha “Hot Pink” by Doja Cat “Hyperspace” by Beck “Magdalene” by FKA Twigs “My Turn” by Lil Baby “Never Will” by Ashley McBryde “Notes on a Conditional Form” by The 1975 “Rare” by Selena Gomez “Rough and Rowdy Ways” by Bob Dylan “RTJ4” by Run the Jewels “Sound and Fury” by Sturgill Simpson “Southside” by Sam Hunt Untitled by Sam Smith “What You See is What You Get” by Luke Combs “Wildcard” by Miranda Lambert
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slowmo
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Post by slowmo on Jul 22, 2020 21:38:52 GMT -5
The Chicks became very serious contenders with Gaslighter. I think they have an AOTY nod in the bag. Here's a more difficult question, what genre do you put it in? I know most would say country, but it's not a country album and I don't think they intended for it to be considered a country album. Pop? idk.
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Post by Kurt on Jul 22, 2020 21:55:24 GMT -5
“Jaime” by Brittany Howard — Haven't heard this. It's good! And she's the lead singer of Alabama Shakes, who have great GRAMMYs history.
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 22, 2020 21:56:33 GMT -5
“Jaime” by Brittany Howard — Haven't heard this. It's good! And she's the lead singer of Alabama Shakes, who have great GRAMMYs history. I knew the name looked familiar! will definitely check it out
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jul 22, 2020 23:55:35 GMT -5
S2g If Chromatica gets nominated for any categories but SAWAYAMA doesn't get anything
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 23, 2020 3:58:19 GMT -5
S2g If Chromatica any album gets nominated for any categories but SAWAYAMA doesn't get anything Fixed Regarding Kim's post above, BTS' album is critically acclaimed so they don't have that problem but they have a problem in not being Anglo-American.
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jul 23, 2020 4:58:27 GMT -5
S2g If Chromatica any album gets nominated for any categories but SAWAYAMA doesn't get anything Fixed Regarding Kim's post above, BTS' album is critically acclaimed so they don't have that problem but they have a problem in not being Anglo-American. That's true the only album nominated should be SAWAYAMA, it should be a clean sweep
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 23, 2020 6:02:31 GMT -5
S2g If Chromatica any album gets nominated for any categories but SAWAYAMA doesn't get anything Fixed Regarding Kim's post above, BTS' album is critically acclaimed so they don't have that problem but they have a problem in not being Anglo-American. Where's the acclaim gurl it has 12 reviews on Metacritic, half of which aren't American publications (which shouldn't be a relevant point in the ideal world, but it kind of is). I'd say it has several "positive-to-splendid reviews," but critically acclaimed it is not. Pitchfork gave it a 63 & NYT a 70, LA Times and Rolling Stone 80's. It's the 72nd-highest Metascore of the year, so the "acclaim" won't be enough to carry it into the nomination bin. They also don't have a hit. It's important to acknowledge the xenophobia, but let's not fool ourselves. (Also Anglo-American isn't the correct term you're looking for, as Brits do tend to do great at the Grammys, with other Anglophone countries like NZ and AUS having a better shot as opposed to non-English albums from anywhere, really. Anglo-Americans that make music in other languages are also not represented enough. It's more a matter of their music not being English, combined with the fact that they are foreigners who don't look white.)
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 23, 2020 6:12:32 GMT -5
Fixed Regarding Kim's post above, BTS' album is critically acclaimed so they don't have that problem but they have a problem in not being Anglo-American. That's true the only album nominated should be SAWAYAMA, it should be a clean sweep Sawayama for AOTY and Chromatica for Pop Album, we have the winners
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Jul 23, 2020 7:48:25 GMT -5
And add Taylor into the discussion.
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Troublemaker
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Post by Troublemaker on Jul 23, 2020 8:44:02 GMT -5
And add Taylor into the discussion. Taylor coming to stir everything up as usual
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 23, 2020 8:48:38 GMT -5
Sawayama didn't get a nom for Mercury Prize :( Safe to say that she will be snubbed here too.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 23, 2020 12:40:00 GMT -5
Folklore and Gaslighter just threw a wrench into the Grammy predicts that I've had in the back of my head for months now.
I'm most curious which genre Taylor will submit to. Pop, folk, and possibly Americana are all potential options for her. Apparently genre is a bit of a question mark for Gaslighter too? I have not had a chance to listen to it yet so I don't know. Hopefully I can check it out by the end of this week.
Right now I'd say AOTY could look like:
- Future Nostalgia - Chromatica - After Hours - Gaslighter - Folklore - Fetch the Bolt Cutters - Excuse Me For Being Antisocial - a wildcard for eighth
I wouldn't necessarily be surprised if Dua is left out of AOTY but pushed heavy in ROTY and SOTY, however I won't bet against her in AOTY at this moment. Fine Line has a chance, but I am not sure voters/the committee will want to put three pop albums in this year. I see Dua and Gaga having the edge over Harry if that is the case.
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kimberly
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Post by kimberly on Jul 23, 2020 12:46:14 GMT -5
Folklore just threw a wrench into the Grammy predicts that I've had in the back of my head for months now. I'm most curious which genre Taylor will submit to. Pop, folk, and possibly Americana are all potential options for her. Right now I'd say AOTY could look like: - Folklore I'm not convinced folklore has a chance yet. It depends on how the record sounds, but more importantly, whether the voters started to dislike Taylor Swift herself or if they just didn't find her last two albums compelling enough.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 23, 2020 13:55:49 GMT -5
Folklore just threw a wrench into the Grammy predicts that I've had in the back of my head for months now. I'm most curious which genre Taylor will submit to. Pop, folk, and possibly Americana are all potential options for her. Right now I'd say AOTY could look like: - Folklore I'm not convinced folklore has a chance yet. It depends on how the record sounds, but more importantly, whether the voters started to dislike Taylor Swift herself or if they just didn't find her last two albums compelling enough. Yeah, my prediction is based on the assumption that it was a mix of both factors, but more so the latter than the former. Taylor's public persona took a hit during the reputation and Lover eras, but that also coincided with her material getting kind of a mixed reaction (the Metacritic scores are misleading IMO) and the singles not performing up to her usual standard. That she managed to pull off a SOTY nod in 2020, to me indicates that she does still have voter support when the music and public opinion of her are both solid enough. I think she's in a better place in general post-Lover, and I'm anticipating Folklore will be much more universally well-received than rep and Lover were. And then there is also just the fact that the year as a whole is probably the weakest I've ever seen, so it's easier for Taylor to wiggle her way in. Now, I don't necessarily expect her to sweep or even win any of the big categories, but I'd hardly be surprised to see her name in the mix. I am also curious as to how she is going to handle singles, or if she'll even bother with any singles. She might let public opinion point her to what's most popular and choose her ROTY and SOTY submissions based on that.
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Jul 23, 2020 14:25:39 GMT -5
I could see the Chicks going for the Americana category perhaps. They might go for Country just because, and it's likely they'd be represented there too. They did win in the country categories with their last album and, while many things have changed since 2006, this album is sonically similar to that one.
For Taylor, it might be tricky. She could go Americana or Folk too but those categories, like most other genre ones, tend to be exclusive in a sense and depending on how the voters of them proceed, they might not be interested in including a Taylor album amongst the ranks of the other potential nominees. I guess it really depends on what the response is to the album and what the general narrative for it ends up being.
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Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815...
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Post by Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815... on Jul 23, 2020 17:24:15 GMT -5
What is the cut off date this year for considerations?
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ampersand
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Post by ampersand on Jul 23, 2020 20:48:46 GMT -5
I mean, Sara Bareilles won her first Grammy this year in the Americana category despite historically being in pop, so I wouldn’t say it’s out to the question for Taylor to be considered in that category next year (if that’s where she submits).
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Post by Deleted on Jul 24, 2020 8:09:58 GMT -5
AOTY CONTENDERS
“After Hours” by The Weeknd — I really think this will take home the award. One of the biggest albums, met with acclaim, backed with hits. “Chromatica” by Lady Gaga — This isn't winning anything but it'll be a filler because, yes, it had two "big" singles and good sales. “Fetch the Bolt Cutters” by Fiona Apple — The critical acclaim alone should propel it into this category. “Fine Line” by Harry Styles — There are hits, it had great sales, met with acclaim, I'd say this has a nomination in the bag, the only thing stopping it is the "former boy-band" title. “Future Nostalgia” by Dua Lipa — Y'all don't know how much I want this IN and I really think it has a shot. “Gaslighter” by The Chicks — Leading country album, made by previously academy-adored group, it's definitely in. “The Highwomen” by The Highwomen — Possible, but they'd have to compete with The Chicks which is hard. “Hollywood’s Bleeding” by Post Malone — This was huge so I think it has a good shot. They nominated him in Pop Solo & AOTY before so they'll do it again. “Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial” by Roddy Ricch — Very big album, I think it deservs it but I don't think it will get in, just feels like it. “The Slow Rush” by Tame Impala — I guess they need a nomination like this... indie band? I guess it couldddd get in?? I don't know. "Folklore" by Taylor Swift — I think this is getting in. Met with acclaim already as it's such a good and appealing album. The board will eat it up.
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Taylor.
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Post by Taylor. on Jul 27, 2020 11:13:14 GMT -5
Will ‘Folklore’ Put Taylor Swift Back in the Grammy Race For Album of the Year? Taylor Swift’s well-received new album, Folklore, could put her back in the running for album of the year at the 63rd annual Grammy Awards, which are set for Jan. 31, 2021. If Swift is nominated for album of the year, it would be her fourth nomination in that category as a lead artist -- a total topped by only one female artist in history. Barbra Streisand amassed six album of the year nods from 1963 to 1986 -- all before Swift was born in 1989. Two other female solo artists or female groups could receive their fourth album of the year nominations this year: Lady Gaga (with Chromatica) and The Chicks (with Gaslighter). Other albums with a good shot at filling the eight nominations slots include The Weeknd’s After Hours, Post Malone’s Hollywood's Bleeding, Harry Styles’ Fine Line, Fiona Apple’s Fetch the Bolt Cutters, Luke Combs’ What You See Is What You Get, Dua Lipa’s Future Nostalgia, Lil Baby’s My Turn, DaBaby’s Blame It On Da Baby, The Highwomen’s The Highwomen, Lil Uzi Vert’s Eternal Atake, Bad Bunny’s YHLQMDLG, Roddy Ricch’s Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial and Bob Dylan’s Rough and Rowdy Ways -- as well as two albums previously mentioned -- Gaga’s Chromatica and The Chicks’ Gaslighter. www.billboard.com/articles/news/awards/9424794/folklore-taylor-swift-aoty-nomination-chances?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
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kcdawg13
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Post by kcdawg13 on Jul 27, 2020 21:28:35 GMT -5
Circles for SOTY!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 28, 2020 10:15:30 GMT -5
Don't Start Now for SOTY!
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levitating
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Post by levitating on Jul 29, 2020 1:11:08 GMT -5
With Folklore's acclaim and sales I would say she's the new frontrunner by far
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Jul 30, 2020 10:06:50 GMT -5
I wouldn't say Taylor is a frontrunner. At this point after two albums going home empty handed, a nomination is probably a win for her.
I think Chromatica is running out of steam at the worst possible point. By the time voting starts it will be old news, considering there's likely no more hit singles to keep it afloat now that ROM is peaking.
Post will probably get a few nods but AOTY? They might think it's more or less a very similar body of work to b&b which already got it's nod.
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Post by collegedropout on Aug 2, 2020 11:26:15 GMT -5
Gaga lost steam so sges out. Dua's album flopped in the US. Post and Harry are not both getting in, It's one or the other.
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GP
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Post by GP on Aug 2, 2020 16:07:20 GMT -5
Damn Taylor changes everything....
Still think Dua has a good chance at a nom, but Gaga is still fizzling, Harry is a shoe-in I would say.
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