Billboard Hot 100: 02/15/2020

[Lukas]

Final Predictions:

YouTube just flat out chose to not update, so I had to estimate it using global weekly views and the top 20 US chart from Kworb.

11-20 are not necessarily 11-20 so they're not ranked.

Rank	Song	Radio	Sales	On-Demand Streaming	Official You-Tube	Passive/UGC	Total Streaming	Weighted Streaming	Total Points
1	The Box	46,200,000	15,300	45,900,000	9,000,000	10,100,000	65,000,000	55,000,000	50,900
2	Life Is Good	31,600,000	7,200	28,100,000	8,500,000	5,000,000	41,500,000	35,300,000	32,500
3	Circles	105,200,000	13,300	13,600,000	600,000	4,400,000	18,600,000	15,400,000	30,600
4	Memories	102,600,000	14,800	9,200,000	1,200,000	4,500,000	14,900,000	11,800,000	27,800
5	Dance Monkey	55,500,000	18,500	15,000,000	2,200,000	5,600,000	22,800,000	18,600,000	26,000
6	Roxanne	74,600,000	7,400	14,900,000	700,000	4,800,000	20,500,000	16,900,000	25,700
7	10,000 Hours	84,800,000	9,500	11,700,000	1,100,000	4,100,000	16,900,000	14,100,000	25,700
8	Someone You Loved	83,800,000	10,400	10,700,000	500,000	5,800,000	16,900,000	13,400,000	25,100
9	Don't Start Now	72,300,000	11,900	12,700,000	900,000	2,600,000	16,200,000	13,900,000	24,000
10	Everything I Wanted	42,900,000	14,400	13,600,000	3,500,000	2,500,000	19,500,000	16,500,000	21,700
-	Ballin'	43,100,000	3,000	14,200,000	2,800,000	3,900,000	20,900,000	17,400,000	20,300
-	Lose You To Love Me	78,400,000	5,400	7,200,000	900,000	2,600,000	10,600,000	8,700,000	19,900
-	BOP	44,100,000	2,000	12,600,000	4,200,000	2,300,000	19,000,000	16,000,000	19,200
-	Blinding Lights	30,600,000	12,400	13,700,000	2,100,000	2,600,000	18,400,000	15,700,000	18,800
-	Yummy	42,800,000	7,500	10,700,000	2,700,000	4,000,000	17,500,000	14,100,000	18,600
-	Heartless	72,700,000	2,000	6,300,000	800,000	2,500,000	9,500,000	7,700,000	17,600
-	Godzilla	1,500,000	8,600	18,200,000	1,500,000	5,500,000	25,200,000	20,900,000	17,300
-	High Fashion	700,000	1,000	19,800,000	3,900,000	1,100,000	24,800,000	22,400,000	16,900
-	Highest in the Room	28,300,000	2,000	11,800,000	1,300,000	4,100,000	17,200,000	14,000,000	15,200
-	Bad Guy	24,000,000	14,200	8,600,000	2,200,000	1,900,000	12,700,000	10,600,000	14,300

[Choco]

Other than maybe Billie and Dua climbing a bit more next week, it's been a very boring couple of weeks now with no big shake up coming that we know of.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Yummy's already down to #20:

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/02/10

1(=) Post Malone - Circles 144.16(+0.63)
2(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 140.56(-0.59)
3(=) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 116.18(-0.87)
4(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 114.79(-0.40)
5(=) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 107.34(+0.28) +
6(=) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 102.25(+1.16)
7(=) The Weeknd - Heartless 99.63(+1.39)
8(=) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 99.10(+1.03)
9(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 87.63(-2.18)
10(=) Maren Morris - The Bones 84.96(+0.45)

12(=) blackbear - hot girl bummer 70.87(+1.00)
14(=) Roddy Ricch - The Box 66.50(+1.88)
22(=) Billie Eilish - everything i wanted 56.02(+1.41)
34(+2) Future - Life Is Good (feat. Drake) 43.28(+1.47)
37(+5) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 41.97(+1.48)
38(+2) The Black Eyed Peas & J Balvin - RITMO (Bad Boys for Life) 41.82(+0.79)

40(+1) Jake Owen - Homemade 41.50(+0.70)

51(+3) Russ & BIA - BEST ON EARTH 33.86(+1.00) +

52(+3) Garth Brooks & Blake Shelton - Dive Bar 33.73(+1.17)

-(-) Moneybagg Yo & Megan Thee Stallion - All Dat 12.92(+1.18) +

-(-) Luke Combs - Does To Me (feat. Eric Church) 12.52(+1.11)

-(-) Taylor Swift - The Man 12.37(+1.24)

-(-) Selena Gomez - Rare 10.17(+1.08)

-(-) Megan Thee Stallion - B**** 8.53(+2.83) +

-(-) BROCKHAMPTON - SUGAR 4.15(+0.82)

[tuna]

RITMO will probably make the year end list, wherever it peaks.

[annoymous1]

The circles haters ain't going to like it still at #1.

[Gary]

Nothing wrong with Circles

[fhas]

Feb 10, 2020 11:08:59 GMT -5 Gary said:

Nothing wrong with Circles

wow (Gary is back!)

[thegreatdivine]

Feb 10, 2020 11:08:59 GMT -5 Gary said:

Nothing wrong with Circles

Well, I'll be damned. Gary is back.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Yeah, Hallelujah!

[tuna]

Thank you for blessing us with your wisdom, Gary

who is Gary?

[Gary]

Feb 10, 2020 11:24:26 GMT -5 tuna said:

Thank you for blessing us with your wisdom, Gary

who is Gary?

Nobody important LOL

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Not to be confused with Gary Trust from Billboard.

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Feb 10, 2020 11:08:59 GMT -5 Gary said:

Nothing wrong with Circles

Where did you go?!??

[Deleted]

Feb 10, 2020 10:42:40 GMT -5 tuna said:

RITMO will probably make the year end list, wherever it peaks.

The Black Eyed Peas getting a Year-End hit in 2020 - a concept.

I just wish the song was better, though, and not yet another generic reggaeton track where the sample is clearly the best part.

[thegreatdivine]

Feb 10, 2020 11:44:35 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

^Not to be confused with Gary Trust from Billboard.

That's for sure 

[HolidayGuy]

Yah, "Circles" is pretty good, so let it reign in airplay, I say. :) If some of the earlier Maroon 5 material would come on radio, say, I wouldn't necessarily turn the dial. Though "Moves Like Jagger" to the present? Not so much.

[tuna]

Feb 10, 2020 11:50:06 GMT -5 @aprettyoddmusicbox said:

Feb 10, 2020 10:42:40 GMT -5 tuna said:

RITMO will probably make the year end list, wherever it peaks.

The Black Eyed Peas getting a Year-End hit in 2020 - a concept.

I just wish the song was better, though, and not yet another generic reggaeton track where the sample is clearly the best part.

Yeah, both of the samples are better. I never would have guessed that You Know You Like It would be one of the songs to chart twice before this year

[atg]

Feb 10, 2020 11:50:06 GMT -5 @aprettyoddmusicbox said:

Feb 10, 2020 10:42:40 GMT -5 tuna said:

RITMO will probably make the year end list, wherever it peaks.

The Black Eyed Peas getting a Year-End hit in 2020 - a concept.

I just wish the song was better, though, and not yet another generic reggaeton track where the sample is clearly the best part.

They’re the same people who made the 7th biggest song of all time that’s crazy

[Deleted]

Feb 10, 2020 11:51:55 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

Yah, "Circles" is pretty good, so let it reign in airplay, I say. If some of the earlier Maroon 5 material would come on radio, say, I wouldn't necessarily turn the dial. Though "Moves Like Jagger" to the present? Not so much.

Well, for me, personally, I'd say post-"Don't Wanna Know" Maroon 5 is the definition of safe, inoffensive radio filler music.

While "V" was admittedly a bit of a mixed bag, I will defend "Overexposed" as a pretty strong pop rock album, especially when considering its deep cuts ("Lucky Strike", "The Man Who Never Lied", "Ladykiller", and "Beautiful Goodbye" 😍)

"Songs About Jane" is still their best album, regardless. It's tough for an artist when you peak at your debut, I'd imagine...

[brady47]

Feb 10, 2020 7:32:20 GMT -5 tuna said:

Feb 9, 2020 19:14:38 GMT -5 leoapp said:

top 15 debut during airplay era? amazing
Was its debut airplay so huge to debut that high or did they release the physical single directly before getting enough airplay to chart?

What was the highest Hot debut between 98-2004? (after enough airplay was allowed to chart until before digital sales got bigger)
- a song with very huge airplay debut
- a song with huge physical sales debut with low airplay

I know that the example was Nicole Scherzinger'ex girlband Eden's Crush debuted like at no. 8 Hot 100? huge physical sales with low airplay

I think the debut was because Santana had just made the 2nd biggest song of all time, so he had a bit of excess goodwill. Anything he released afterwards would be a huge hit

It's interesting because "Smooth" is one of the biggest hits of all time in the US, but "Maria Maria" is way more well-known worldwide - it was massive in Europe

[brady47]

Lose You to Love Me looks like it's getting a 2nd wind at radio

I was hoping she'd surpass "Same Old Love"'s radio peak at #3

[brady47]

I can't at the Black Eyed Peas getting another hit in 2020

It's crazy how much they dominated 2000s especially 2009 - probably will never be surpassed

[tuna]

it's crazy how ahead of the curve they were.

I remember in Let's Get It Started they have a wig joke and they mention "going stupid", both things that have made a comeback very recently. If Drake had made that song two years ago it would have charted just the same if not better.

[spicymapping]

Feb 10, 2020 12:28:37 GMT -5 brady47 said:

Lose You to Love Me looks like it's getting a 2nd wind at radio

I was hoping she'd surpass "Same Old Love"'s radio peak at #3

gaining a quarter of an ai because of a format gain =/= a second wind.

[tuna]

still no article?

[thegreatdivine]

Feb 10, 2020 14:02:00 GMT -5 tuna said:

still no article?

Another on of "those" days.

[tuna]

eh. I should have expected 2:00 to pass without it. I'll panic in an hour.

[crazyb]

It’s still early...

[nathanalbright]

Feb 10, 2020 14:07:03 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Feb 10, 2020 14:02:00 GMT -5 tuna said:

still no article?

Another on of "those" days.

(Idly prepares another joke about billboard employees being held hostage by Shakira to try to influence them to put "Hips Don't Lie" back on the charts.)

[brady47]

Whenever, Wherever re-entering would be iconic