Billboard Hot 100: 12/04/2021

[kimberly]

if these predictions hold up, this will be an interesting chart considering:

• "All Too Well" was first released in October 2012.
• "Heat Waves" was released in June 2020.
• "Cold Heart" is a mash up remix of "Rocket Man" (1972), "Sacrifice" (1989), "Kiss the Bride" (1983) and "Where's the Shoorah?" (1976).
• "All I Want For Christmas Is You" was released in October 1994.
• "Essence" was released in October 2020.
• "Beggin'" was released by Maneskin in December 2017, and is a cover of a song from 1967.
• "Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree" was released in 1958.
• "Levitating" was first released in March 2020.

that's a lot of old songs & late-blooming new hits in the Top 25. a third of the list is over a year old, and 5 of them are from earlier decades.

[kindofbiased]

Nov 27, 2021 13:24:24 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Having now listened to 30 four times, I'm confused why either Oh My God or I Drink Wine were considered the next singles when My Little Love was right there!

My Little Love is an amazing song and easily my favorite on the album but that would be an INTENSE song to play on the radio next to stuff like Kiss Me More and Cold Heart lol

[JukeboxJacob]

We might be entering an age where older, unrecognized songs are just as likely to become hits as the new songs

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Nov 27, 2021 17:38:38 GMT -5 JukeboxJacob said:

Nov 27, 2021 13:24:24 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Having now listened to 30 four times, I'm confused why either Oh My God or I Drink Wine were considered the next singles when My Little Love was right there!

I'm rooting for Can I Get It!

the worst song on 30 lmao

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Nov 27, 2021 21:05:43 GMT -5 kindofbiased said:

Nov 27, 2021 13:24:24 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Having now listened to 30 four times, I'm confused why either Oh My God or I Drink Wine were considered the next singles when My Little Love was right there!

My Little Love is an amazing song and easily my favorite on the album but that would be an INTENSE song to play on the radio next to stuff like Kiss Me More and Cold Heart lol

Intense sure and if it does get a radio push, I could see them taking out all the spoken word bits with Adele and her son. But honestly, I think it was catchier than Easy On Me and definitely more powerful, and I think much more of an evolution for Adele than EOM, it would've signaled she wasn't doing the same thing as she did 6 years ago.

[borneoman]

My Little Love is too polarising, the people that like it, love it, but read lots of comments saying it's the worst in the album for many and that the voices memos don't work. I'm in the later group and always skip it, it's easily the worst in the album for me so I can totally see why it's not the next single.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Nov 27, 2021 21:17:19 GMT -5 JukeboxJacob said:

We might be entering an age where older, unrecognized songs are just as likely to become hits as the new songs

I guess Tik Tok really can give the former a second life if they become viral there.

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 60, 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:

November 27, 1961 (For the week ending December 2)

01 01 Big Bad John - Jimmy Dean (4th of 5 weeks at #1)
02 02 Runaround Sue - Dion
03 08 Please Mr. Postman - The Marvelettes
04 04 Goodbye Cruel World - James Darren
05 03 Fool #1 - Brenda Lee
06 05 Bristol Stomp - The Dovells
07 19 Heartache - The Marcels
08 06 Tower Of Strength - Gene McDaniels
09 15 Crazy - Patsy Cline
10 09 This Time - Troy Shondell

12 31 Walk On By - Leroy Van Dyke


December 3, 1966

01 03 Winchester Cathedral - The New Vaudeville Band (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 02 Good Vibrations - The Beach Boys
03 01 You Keep Me Hangin' On - The Supremes
04 04 Devil With a Blue Dress On / Good Golly Miss Molly (Medley) - Mitch Ryder & The Detroit Wheels
05 09 Mellow Yellow - Donovan
06 06 I'm Your Puppet - James & Bobby Purify
07 08 Lady Godiva - Peter & Gordon
08 10 Born Free - Roger Williams
09 05 Poor Side Of Town - Johnny Rivers
10 07 Last Train To Clarksville - The Monkees

15 42 That's Life - Frank Sinatra


December 4, 1971

01 05 Family Affair - Sly & The Family Stone (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 01 Theme From Shaft - Isaac Hayes
03 03 Baby I'm-a Want You - Bread
04 04 Have You Seen Her - The Chi-Lites
05 02 Gypsys, Tramps & Thieves - Cher
06 07 Got To Be There - Michael Jackson
07 14 An Old Fashioned Love Song - Three Dog Night
08 10 Desiderata - Les Crane
09 09 Rock Steady - Aretha Franklin
10 06 Imagine - The John Lennon Plastic Ono Band

15 33 Brand New Key - Melanie


December 4, 1976

01 01 Tonight's The Night (Gonna Be Alright) - Rod Stewart (4th of 8 weeks at #1)
02 05 The Rubberband Man - The Spinners
03 03 Love So Right - The Bee Gees
04 04 Muskrat Love - The Captain & Tennille
05 02 The Wreck Of The Edmund Fitzgerald - Gordon Lightfoot
06 14 You Don't Have To Be a Star (To Be In My Show) - Marilyn McCoo & Billy Davis Jr.
07 08 Beth / Detroit Rock City - KISS
08 09 More Than a Feeling - Boston
09 10 Nadia's Theme (The Young And The Restless) - Barry DeVorzon & Perry Botkin Jr.
10 12 You Are The Woman - Freefall


December 5, 1981

01 01 Physical - Olivia Newton-John (3rd of 10 weeks at #1)
02 02 Waiting For a Girl Like You - Foreigner
03 04 Every Little Thing She Does Is Magic - The Police
04 06 Oh, No - The Commodores
05 05 Here I Am (Just When I Thought I Was Over You) - Air Supply
06 03 Private Eyes - Daryl Hall & John Oates
07 11 Let's Groove - Earth, Wind & Fire
08 12 Young Turks - Rod Stewart
09 10 Why Do Fools Fall In Love - Diana Ross
10 07 Start Me Up - The Rolling Stones

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 35, 30, 25, and 20 years ago:

December 6, 1986

01 04 The Next Time I Fall - Peter Cetera & Amy Grant (1st and only week at #1)
02 01 You Give Love a Bad Name - Bon Jovi
03 05 Hip To Be Square - Huey Lewis & The News
04 08 The Way It Is - Bruce Hornsby & The Range
05 10 Walk Like An Egyptian - The Bangles
06 06 Word Up! - Cameo
07 11 Everybody Have Fun Tonight - Wang Chung
08 02 Human - The Human League
09 09 Love Will Conquer All - Lionel Richie
10 12 To Be a Lover - Billy Idol


December 7, 1991

01 03 Black Or White - Michael Jackson (1st of 7 weeks at #1)
02 02 When a Man Loves a Woman - Michael Bolton
03 01 Set Adrift On Memory Bliss - P.M. Dawn
04 04 It's So Hard To Say Goodbye To Yesterday - Boyz II Men
05 07 All 4 Love - Color Me Badd
06 06 Blowing Kisses In The Wind - Paula Abdul
07 05 Cream - Prince & The New Power Generation
08 17 Can't Let Go - Mariah Carey
09 11 That's What Love Is For - Amy Grant
10 08 O.P.P. - Naughty By Nature


December 7, 1996

01 02 Un-Break My Heart - Toni Braxton (1st of 11 weeks at #1)
02 01 No Diggity - Blackstreet feat. Dr. Dre
03 05 Nobody - Keith Sweat feat. Athena Cage
04 07 Don't Let Go (Love) - En Vogue
05 03 It's All Coming Back To Me Now - Celine Dion
06 04 Mouth - Merril Bainbridge
07 06 Pony - Ginuwine
08 11 I Finally Found Someone - Barbra Streisand & Bryan Adams
09 10 I'm Still In Love With You - New Edition
10 08 Where Do You Go - No Mercy


December 1, 2001

01 01 Family Affair - Mary J. Blige (5th of 6 weeks at #1)
02 02 U Got It Bad - Usher
03 03 Hero - Enrique Iglesias
04 05 How You Remind Me - Nickelback
05 06 Turn Off The Light - Nelly Furtado
06 04 I'm Real - Jennifer Lopez feat. Ja Rule
07 09 Differences - Ginuwine
08 08 Livin' It Up - Ja Rule feat. Case
09 07 Fallin' - Alicia Keys
10 12 Emotion - Destiny's Child

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 Flashback:

December 2, 2006

01 17 I Wanna Love You - Akon feat. Snoop Dogg (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 02 Smack That - Akon feat. Eminem
03 04 Irreplaceable - Beyonce
04 01 My Love - Justin Timberlake feat. T.I.
05 03 Fergalicious - Fergie feat. will.i.am
06 05 Lips Of An Angel - Hinder
07 06 Money Maker - Ludacris feat. Pharrell
08 07 How To Save a Life - The Fray
09 09 Chasing Cars - Snow Patrol
10 14 Shortie Like Mine - Bow Wow feat. Chris Brown & Johnta Austin


December 3, 2011

01 01 We Found Love - Rihanna feat. Calvin Harris (4th of 10 weeks at #1)
02 02 Sexy And I Know It - LMFAO
03 03 Someone Like You - Adele
04 04 Without You - David Guetta feat. Usher
05 09 It Will Rain - Bruno Mars
06 05 Moves Like Jagger - Maroon 5 feat. Christina Aguilera
07 08 Good Feeling - Flo Rida
08 06 Stereo Hearts - Gym Class Heroes feat. Adam Levine
09 NE Take Care - Drake feat. Rihanna
10 15 The One That Got Away - Katy Perry

11 NE Rumour Has It / Someone Like You - Glee Cast
14 73 You Da One - Rihanna
18 NE The Motto - Drake feat. Lil Wayne


December 3, 2016

01 01 Black Beatles - Rae Sremmurd feat. Gucci Mane (2nd of 7 weeks at #1)
02 02 Closer - The Chainsmokers feat. Halsey
03 03 Starboy - The Weeknd feat. Daft Punk
04 07 Side To Side - Ariana Grande feat. Nicki Minaj
05 04 Heathens - Twenty One Pilots
06 06 24k Magic - Bruno Mars
07 05 Let Me Love You - DJ Snake feat. Justin Bieber
08 08 Juju On That Beat (TZ Anthem) - Zay Hilfigerrr & Zaylon McCall
09 09 Broccoli - D.R.A.M. feat. Lil Yachty
10 10 Don't Wanna Know - Maroon 5 feat. Kendrick Lamar


December 5, 2020

01 NE Life Goes On - BTS (1st and only week at #1)
02 01 Mood - 24kGoldn feat. Iann Dior
03 14 Dynamite - BTS
04 03 positions - Ariana Grande
05 04 I Hope - Gabby Barrett
06 06 Holy - Justin Bieber feat. Chance The Rapper
07 05 Laugh Now Cry Later - Drake feat. Lil Durk
08 NE Monster - Shawn Mendes & Justin Bieber
09 07 Blinding Lights - The Weeknd
10 08 Lemonade - Internet Money & Gunna feat. Don Toliver & Nav

12 NE Body - Megan Thee Stallion
13 NE Blue & Grey - BTS
14 29 All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
21 43 Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee
22 NE Stay - BTS
25 NE Somebody's Problem - Morgan Wallen

[annoymous1]

Winchester Cathedral is So Bad.

[Groovy]

Nov 28, 2021 11:44:57 GMT -5 Soulsista said:

08 NE Monster - Shawn Mendes & Justin Bieber

This was one of those songs that went to 1 Canada but not in the US, the one time they got it wrong. 

[ry4n]

Nov 28, 2021 12:22:15 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Nov 28, 2021 11:44:57 GMT -5 Soulsista said:

08 NE Monster - Shawn Mendes & Justin Bieber

This was one of those songs that went to 1 Canada but not in the US, the one time they got it wrong. 

The ultimate CanCon bait.

[Future Captain]

Nov 28, 2021 12:31:08 GMT -5 ry4n said:

Nov 28, 2021 12:22:15 GMT -5 Groovy said:

This was one of those songs that went to 1 Canada but not in the US, the one time they got it wrong. 

The ultimate CanCon bait.

It was so much of a CanCon bait that I'm surprised neither of them slathered themselves in maple syrup in the video

[nathanalbright]

That's hilarious, but also accurate.

[Groovy]

What is CanCon?

[Deleted]

Nov 28, 2021 14:24:35 GMT -5 Groovy said:

What is CanCon?

Canadian Content. It's a Canadian requirement that 40% of songs played on most radio stations are by artists from there.

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

Nov 28, 2021 14:33:51 GMT -5 @sklohiorawr said:

Nov 28, 2021 14:24:35 GMT -5 Groovy said:

What is CanCon?

Canadian Content. It's a Canadian requirement that 40% of songs played on most radio stations are by artists from there.

35%*

[JukeboxJacob]

Monster was a good song that deserved better, fight me

[Envoirment]

How many weeks do we think "Easy On Me" will get at #1? I can see it staying #1 until a Christmas song takes over for a week or two. Then retaking the top spot for another week or so in the new year (it'll likely get an airplay boost from AC switching back to normal programming). There are a few songs looking to be big hits in the new year but none look like they'll challenge "Easy On Me" for a while.

Maybe she can dethrone herself with the video release for "Oh My God".

I am happy to see how big a hit "Easy On Me" has become. It's definitely grown into one of my favourite singles she's released now.

[JukeboxJacob]

Nov 28, 2021 16:18:51 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

How many weeks do we think "Easy On Me" will get at #1? I can see it staying #1 until a Christmas song takes over for a week or two. Then retaking the top spot for another week or so in the new year (it'll likely get an airplay boost from AC switching back to normal programming). There are a few songs looking to be big hits in the new year but none look like they'll challenge "Easy On Me" for a while.

Maybe she can dethrone herself with the video release for "Oh My God".

I am happy to see how big a hit "Easy On Me" has become. It's definitely grown into one of my favourite singles she's released now.

I really doubted its success at first but she played her cards well. The song's really connecting with the GP now. Looking at the current chart and the lack of big releases coming up, I think EASY On Me will EASily (haha funni) remain the biggest song into 2022 (Christmas songs excluded). The only song I could see maybe giving it some competition is Smokin Out The Window

EDIT: My actual estimate is ~7 weeks at #1 (AIWFCIY is coming so that'll steal a few weeks)

[Choco]

Unless something else is rising soon it's gonna rise again to #1 the minute Xmas is over. Especially since it will regain ground on the HAC and AC formats dramatically.

Maybe it will match Hello's 10 week run?

[jenglisbe]

Nov 28, 2021 16:18:51 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

How many weeks do we think "Easy On Me" will get at #1? I can see it staying #1 until a Christmas song takes over for a week or two. Then retaking the top spot for another week or so in the new year (it'll likely get an airplay boost from AC switching back to normal programming). There are a few songs looking to be big hits in the new year but none look like they'll challenge "Easy On Me" for a while.

Maybe she can dethrone herself with the video release for "Oh My God".

I am happy to see how big a hit "Easy On Me" has become. It's definitely grown into one of my favourite singles she's released now.

It has held on well, but its streaming isn't overly great so all it would take is a big release or a viral hit to dethrone it. If nothing challenges it will be #1 for awhile because of the airplay already mentioned, but I can see something getting enough streams to make up for it.

[Deleted]

Nov 28, 2021 16:18:51 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

How many weeks do we think "Easy On Me" will get at #1? I can see it staying #1 until a Christmas song takes over for a week or two. Then retaking the top spot for another week or so in the new year (it'll likely get an airplay boost from AC switching back to normal programming). There are a few songs looking to be big hits in the new year but none look like they'll challenge "Easy On Me" for a while.

Maybe she can dethrone herself with the video release for "Oh My God".

I am happy to see how big a hit "Easy On Me" has become. It's definitely grown into one of my favourite singles she's released now.

I'd give it 7 or 8 weeks. It'll be dethroned by AIWFCIY either on the week of 12/18/2021 or on the week of 12/25/2021, and I don't see it lasting more than a week or two in #1 into the new year now that Oh My God is going to being promoted. I could easily see her dethroning herself if it gets a video release in January.
This would make it an 11 or 12 week #1 if you exclude Christmas songs by virtue of them being guaranteed every year.

[firefox]

This is a meme but it actually sounds good. Now we're ready for an Adele collab.

[gikem]

[gikem]

LTDO and Montero are expected to go recurrent this week. Levitating, Chasing After You and You Should Probably Leave are also on the cusp.

Since Cedric hasn’t posted his full predictions yet, I think it’s safe to say that ABCDEFU will be a lock to debut below the top 50. Do It To It, Enemy, and By Your Side are also possible, but I think they have a better shot next week. Same goes for any of the Amazon-exclusive Christmas songs that pop up every year.

[Darkest Hour]

Nov 28, 2021 19:23:28 GMT -5 gikem said:

LTDO and Montero are expected to go recurrent this week. Levitating, Chasing After You and You Should Probably Leave are also on the cusp.

It's still rising on country radio, but if this song dropped too much in position then it could be out temporarily.
On the other hand, can Never Wanted To Be That Girl or Heart on Fire debut this week?

[gikem]

Nov 28, 2021 23:53:34 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

Nov 28, 2021 19:23:28 GMT -5 gikem said:

LTDO and Montero are expected to go recurrent this week. Levitating, Chasing After You and You Should Probably Leave are also on the cusp.

It's still rising on country radio, but if this song dropped too much in position then it could be out temporarily.
On the other hand, can Never Wanted To Be That Girl or Heart on Fire debut this week?

I suppose it's possible, but it will be somewhat of a challenge due to (or even in spite of) all the upheaval going on in the top 50. I think HOF has a better chance than NWTBTG, as it's had a more consistent rise on the Bubbling Under, whereas I think the latter was only able to get on the BU recently thanks to its CMAs sales boost and might drop back a bit this week.

[mms82]

is today a holiday for Billboard, post Tgivs? Or just running late