Billboard Hot 100: 07/16/2022

[forg]

Stranger Things finale is also 2.5 hours, people will take their time

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 1:21:05 GMT -5 forg said:

Stranger Things finale is also 2.5 hours, people will take their time

And there's the other episode before that one that's part of Vol. 2 that is 85 minutes long, yeah, that says everything

[Envoirment]

Also to consider is that a lot of people may have been waiting for all the episodes to be out before watching (I know I have). So a lot of people will likely binge watch the entire season over the next few days.

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 2:12:20 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

Also to consider is that a lot of people may have been waiting for all the episodes to be out before watching (I know I have). So a lot of people will likely binge watch the entire season over the next few days.

That could help RUTH if any of the people who are going to do that havent already watched the scene it was in because spoilers.

[gs]

RUTH didn't take off properly until Sunday so I'd expect a slow increase again

[thegreatdivine]

Jul 1, 2022 16:05:12 GMT -5 s9983 said:

Jul 1, 2022 14:25:58 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Hot Sh*t doesn't seem to be taking off fast enough for a #1 debut, and even a top 10 debut isn't guaranteed. Apple Music is always the best indicator for first day performance for Hip-Hop.

It's 3 PM EST (15 hours post-release) and still not top 10.

Other 2022 releases:
Do We Have a Problem? - reached top 10 at 10 AM EST
Break My Soul - reached top 10 at 12 PM EST
Plan B - reached top 10 at 2 PM EST

It jumped to #6 on AM right now all of a sudden from #19. Seems possible to go #1 by midnight but who knows. Very weird how the tracking is for apple music and how it suddenly got a massive boost. Seems like a wildcard to me with how it'll hold up. 

Almost 14 hours since the new Cardi B single reached #6 on AM and its still #6. Safe to say it won't be reaching #1 and that should also be telling about its Spotify debut imo. Add in the fact that it doesn't have a music video to boost interest and I think there's a very real chance it doesn't debut in the top 10.

[shayonce]

Apple Music Daily Chart 7/01 Friday
1. Drake - Jimmy Cooks (feat. 21 Savage)
2. Future - WAIT FOR U (feat. Drake & Tems)
3. Bad Bunny & Chencho Corleone - Me Porto Bonito
4. Drake - Sticky
5. Bad Bunny - Tití Me Preguntó
6. Cardi B, Kanye West & Lil Durk - Hot Shit
7. Bad Bunny - Efecto
8. Bad Bunny - Moscow Mule
9. Luke Combs - The Kind of Love We Make
10. Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal with God)

11. Future - PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ
12. Harry Styles - As It Was
13. Bad Bunny & Rauw Alejandro - Party
14. Lil Baby - In A Minute
15. Morgan Wallen - You Proof
16. Beyoncé - BREAK MY SOUL
17. Joji - Glimpse of Us
18. Drake - Massive
19. Jack Harlow - First Class
20. Bad Bunny & Jhay Cortez - Tarot

30. Lizzo - About Damn Time
31. Doja Cat - Vegas
34. Post Malone - I Like You (A Happier Song) [feat. Doja Cat]
94. OneRepublic - I Ain't Worried

[jenglisbe]

Jul 2, 2022 6:28:12 GMT -5 shayonce said:

Apple Music Daily Chart 7/01 Friday
30. Lizzo - About Damn Time

This is a typo right? I was assured it's the biggest hit of 2022.

[phieaglesfan712]

Jul 2, 2022 6:55:50 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Jul 2, 2022 6:28:12 GMT -5 shayonce said:

Apple Music Daily Chart 7/01 Friday
30. Lizzo - About Damn Time

This is a typo right? I was assured it's the biggest hit of 2022.

ADT has never really been that strong on Apple Music. However, unlike As It Was and First Class (which have peaked on AM), ADT continues to slowly gain on this platform, and I think this is the highest it has been on here, and it's likely to go even higher when the album is released. If AIW held on to #1 for several weeks after its album release (not to mention that it is well past its peak), I'm confident that ADT will go to #1 on album release and hold it until practically the end of the summer.

[After Minutes]

Jul 2, 2022 7:10:45 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Jul 2, 2022 6:55:50 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

This is a typo right? I was assured it's the biggest hit of 2022.

ADT has never really been that strong on Apple Music. However, unlike As It Was and First Class (which have peaked on AM), ADT continues to slowly gain on this platform, and I think this is the highest it has been on here, and it's likely to go even higher when the album is released. If AIW held on to #1 for several weeks after its album release (not to mention that it is well past its peak), I'm confident that ADT will go to #1 on album release and hold it until practically the end of the summer.

It just won't

[Darkest Hour]

RUTH back at #1 on US Spotify with 1,587,163 streams.
Hot Shit debuts at #6 with 1,142,693 streams.
More debuts at #21 with 596,331 streams.
New Money debuts at #44 with 440,992 streams.
Master of Puppets debuts at #118 with 283,885 streams.

[phieaglesfan712]

Jul 2, 2022 7:24:19 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

RUTH back at #1 on US Spotify with 1,587,163 streams.
Hot s**t debuts at #6 with 1,142,693 streams.
More debuts at #21 with 596,331 streams.
New Money debuts at #44 with 440,992 streams.
Master of Puppets debuts at #118 with 283,885 streams.

RUTH #1 on the Hot 100 confirmed!

[king_billboard_100]

Jul 2, 2022 7:43:10 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:24:19 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

RUTH back at #1 on US Spotify with 1,587,163 streams.
Hot s**t debuts at #6 with 1,142,693 streams.
More debuts at #21 with 596,331 streams.
New Money debuts at #44 with 440,992 streams.
Master of Puppets debuts at #118 with 283,885 streams.

RUTH #1 on the Hot 100 confirmed!

really?

[Envoirment]

Jul 2, 2022 7:44:19 GMT -5 king_billboard_100 said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:43:10 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

RUTH #1 on the Hot 100 confirmed!

really?

No but it's good to see it back to #1. It'll depend on how big of a lead it gets on Spotify and how far it rises on Apple Music in the coming days. It should return to #1 on iTunes with hopefully a big lead. Its airplay is increasing well with 1-1.5 mil audience gains a day. Airplay is the main factor that lets it down as it's still far behind its biggest competition ("As It Was"/"First Class"/"About Damn Time").

[gs]

If RUTH's performance stays flat on Friday for the whole week on average it gets ~240 points for next week's Hot 100, assuming consistent airplay gains.

As It Was will probably have ~265-270 pts.

So it needs to continue increasing from today, but not by a ton to hit #1.

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 7:43:10 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:24:19 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

RUTH back at #1 on US Spotify with 1,587,163 streams.
Hot s**t debuts at #6 with 1,142,693 streams.
More debuts at #21 with 596,331 streams.
New Money debuts at #44 with 440,992 streams.
Master of Puppets debuts at #118 with 283,885 streams.

RUTH #1 on the Hot 100 confirmed!

the boost is only about 200k streams, and it's nowhere near the 2 million+ streams per day it had the week it went to number 4, don't be so excited.

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 7:10:45 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Jul 2, 2022 6:55:50 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

This is a typo right? I was assured it's the biggest hit of 2022.

ADT has never really been that strong on Apple Music. However, unlike As It Was and First Class (which have peaked on AM), ADT continues to slowly gain on this platform, and I think this is the highest it has been on here, and it's likely to go even higher when the album is released. If AIW held on to #1 for several weeks after its album release (not to mention that it is well past its peak), I'm confident that ADT will go to #1 on album release and hold it until practically the end of the summer.

How much longer til you cant ignore ADT being nowhere near as big of a streaming force as post album release AIW? Or the streaming boost from the album potentially not having the longevity you might think? Sure, ADT is probably going number one on album release week, but that streaming weakness once the album boost fades means that the song would be a very weak number one if it holds, holding on the same way Girls Like You or Heat Waves did. And did you really forget Break My Soul and it's chances of going number one?

[Envoirment]

Jul 2, 2022 7:50:49 GMT -5 gs said:

If RUTH's performance stays flat on Friday for the whole week on average it gets ~240 points for next week's Hot 100.

As It Was will probably have ~265-270 pts.

So it needs to continue increasing from today, but not by a ton to hit #1.

.

Hopefully it'll rise to 1.8-2 mil again on Spotify. It's rising on Apple Music, now up to 9 and it is getting dark green updates on iTunes (should be back to #1 there by tomorrow).

[Envoirment]

Jul 2, 2022 7:51:31 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:43:10 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

RUTH #1 on the Hot 100 confirmed!

the boost is only about 200k streams, and it's nowhere near the 2 million+ streams per day it had the week it went to number 4, don't be so excited.

It should get a bigger boost in tomorrow's update. How high and how long it holds on to the boost for will determine if it can get to #1 or not. I expect it'll be around 1.8-2 million in tomorrows Spotify update.

[iHype.]

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Jul 2, 2022 7:56:41 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:51:31 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

the boost is only about 200k streams, and it's nowhere near the 2 million+ streams per day it had the week it went to number 4, don't be so excited.

It should get a bigger boost in tomorrow's update. How high and how long it holds on to the boost for will determine if it can get to #1 or not. I expect it'll be around 1.8-2 million in tomorrows Spotify update.

Generally songs don't boost during Sunday or Monday updates

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 7:56:41 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:51:31 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

the boost is only about 200k streams, and it's nowhere near the 2 million+ streams per day it had the week it went to number 4, don't be so excited.

It should get a bigger boost in tomorrow's update. How high and how long it holds on to the boost for will determine if it can get to #1 or not. I expect it'll be around 1.8-2 million in tomorrows Spotify update.

I mean, it will probably do that, and if it stays around the 1.8-2 million range for the rest of the week, let's just say she will get pretty close to that number one, i geuss i was just exacerbated that someone would make a prediction as bold as the one i was quoting this early in the tracking week.

[gs]

Left and Right looks like it's gearing up to be an actual hit. Rose 3 spots to #16 with a debut above, over 700K streams.

[gs]

Jul 2, 2022 7:56:41 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:51:31 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

the boost is only about 200k streams, and it's nowhere near the 2 million+ streams per day it had the week it went to number 4, don't be so excited.

It should get a bigger boost in tomorrow's update. How high and how long it holds on to the boost for will determine if it can get to #1 or not. I expect it'll be around 1.8-2 million in tomorrows Spotify update.

If it does 1.8-2 million for the rest of the week it should be 270+ pts so it can challenge for #1. Assuming every other metric increases somewhat proportionally, and radio does its thing.

[jasper0102]

Jul 2, 2022 8:23:08 GMT -5 gs said:

Jul 2, 2022 7:56:41 GMT -5 Envoirment said:

It should get a bigger boost in tomorrow's update. How high and how long it holds on to the boost for will determine if it can get to #1 or not. I expect it'll be around 1.8-2 million in tomorrows Spotify update.

If it does 1.8-2 million for the rest of the week it should be 270+ pts so it can challenge for #1. Assuming every other metric increases somewhat proportionally, and radio does its thing.

And if AIW continues to lose streaming and sales at the rate it has been for the past couple weeks.

[rosalina4812]

I can’t believe Left and Right, You Proof, Rich Minion, and Bad Habit are rising this hard on Spotify. The bar is on the floor for male artists to get a hit.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 07/01/22

1(+1) Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God) 1,587,163 (+192,083)
2(-1) Joji - Glimpse of Us 1,543,476 (-67,062)
3(=) Drake, 21 Savage - Jimmy Cooks 1,359,970 (+68,639)
4(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 1,331,684 (+43,478)
5(=) Bad Bunny, Chencho Corleone - Me Porto Bonito 1,165,010 (+94,419)
6(DEBUT) Cardi B, Kanye West, Lil Durk - Hot Shit 1,142,693
7(-1) Bad Bunny - Tití Me Preguntó 992,992 (+48,628)
8(-1) Doja Cat - Vegas 922,178 (+48,380)
9(-1) Post Malone, Doja Cat - I Like You (A Happier Song) 854,425 (+16,808)
10(+1) Lizzo - About Damn Time 834,042 (+73,247)

Others:
11(-2) Jack Harlow - First Class 833,866 (+25,612)
12(-2) Future, Drake, Tems - WAIT FOR U 779,715 (-17,400)
13(+1) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 761,210 (+30,571)
14(-1) Harry Styles - Late Night Talking 753,551 (+15,831)
15(-3) Beyoncé - BREAK MY SOUL 735,143 (-14,325)
16(+3) Charlie Puth, Jung Kook - Left and Right 711,617 (+128,743)
17(-1) Bad Bunny - Efecto 673,047 (+31,726)
18(-3) Bad Bunny, Bomba Estéreo - Ojitos Lindos 654,597 (+3,180)
19(-1) Bad Bunny - Moscow Mule 641,320 (+30,796)
20(+10) Morgan Wallen - You Proof 612,027 (+130,487)
21(DEBUT) j-hope - MORE 596,331
22(+12) Yeat - Rich Minion 592,989 (+140,029)
23(-6) Luke Combs - The Kind of Love We Make 573,466 (-63,674)
24(-4) Bad Bunny, Rauw Alejandro - Party 570,462 (+27,143)
25(-4) Drake - Sticky 545,901 (+4,182)
26(=) Nicky Youre, dazy - Sunroof 539,776 (+35,894)
27(-2) Bad Bunny - Después de la Playa 537,779 (+24,969)
28(-1) OneRepublic - I Ain't Worried 523,632 (+31,587)
29(-6) Pharrell Williams, 21 Savage, Tyler, The Creator - Cash In Cash Out 509,408 (-7,590)
30(-6) Future - PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ 501,643 (-14,809)
31(-9) Drake - Massive 497,850 (-19,552)
32(-3) Post Malone, Roddy Ricch - Cooped Up 493,498 (+7,467)
33(+28) Steve Lacy - Bad Habit 491,979 (+139,222)
35(=) Morgan Wallen - Wasted On You 478,616 (+25,911)
36(-3) KAROL G - PROVENZA 475,734 (+10,356)
38(-10) J. Cole - No Role Modelz 462,991 (-27,562)
39(=) Bad Bunny, Jhay Cortez - Tarot 459,224 (+23,166)
42(-2) Harry Styles - Music for a Sushi Restaurant 450,210 (+18,830)
43(-5) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 443,723 (+5,353)
44(DEBUT) Calvin Harris, 21 Savage - New Money 440,992
46(-9) Sleepy Hallow, 347aidan - Die Young 431,841 (-11,182)
49(-2) Stephen Sanchez - Until I Found You 411,577 (+17,931)
50(-5) The Weeknd - Die For You 405,680 (-313)
52(-1) Kendrick Lamar - N95 396,566 (+15,328)
53(-11) Joji - SLOW DANCING IN THE DARK 395,831 (-20,128)
55(+18) Imagine Dragons, JID - Enemy 380,747 (+52,781)
56(-1) Bad Bunny - Un Ratito 374,039 (+11,941)
57(-1) Bailey Zimmerman - Rock and A Hard Place 373,375 (+15,787)
59(+1) Bad Bunny, Tony Dize - La Corriente 366,628 (+12,435)
60(+2) Latto - Big Energy 365,344 (+14,340)
61(-7) Harry Styles - Daylight 360,933 (-4,865)
64(-12) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 354,101 (-20,947)
66(-9) Harry Styles - Matilda 348,839 (-8,149)
69(-6) Quavo, Takeoff - HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) 346,042 (-2,776)
74(DEBUT) Tiësto, Charli XCX - Hot in It 340,041
75(-7) WILLOW - Wait a Minute! 338,267 (+4,271)
80(-2) Kendrick Lamar - Die Hard 332,008 (+11,833)
81(-17) Cole Swindell - She Had Me At Heads Carolina 330,573 (-15,696)
82(-32) Lil Nas X, YoungBoy Never Broke Again - Late to Da Party 330,088 (-52,915)
83(+4) Yung Gravy - Betty (Get Money) 328,318 (+15,420)
84(+4) Bad Bunny - Yo No Soy Celoso 325,889 (+13,050)
86(+5) Bad Bunny - Neverita 322,023 (+11,517)
92(+8) Morgan Wallen - Thought You Should Know 315,837 (+18,977)
94(-8) Dove Cameron - Boyfriend 314,394 (+1,285)

101(DEBUT) Gucci Mane, Lil Baby - All Dz Chainz 303,234
102(-1) Musical Youth - Pass the Dutchie 297,693 (+8272)
109(-11) Jack Harlow - Dua Lipa 292,537 (-10,284)
113(-14) Elley Duhé - MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT 290,955 (-8,546)
115(re-entry) Nate Smith - Whiskey On You 290,041
118(DEBUT) Metallica - Master of Puppets 283,885
120(-9) Bailey Zimmerman - Fall in Love 281,988 (+1,222)
124(DEBUT) Kygo, Dean Lewis - Never Really Loved Me 276,294
130(-16) Ruth B. - Dandelions 271,215 (-6,070)
136(-47) Tyler Hubbard - 5 Foot 9 268,748 (-42,712)
140(+1) The Kid LAROI - Thousand Miles 265,089 (+4,627)
144(-22) Kendrick Lamar, Kodak Black - Silent Hill 262,963 (-7,574)
147(re-entry) BTS - Yet to Come 260,232
151(-5) Taylor Swift - Don't Blame Me 258,717 (+2,448)
152(-28) SleazyWorld Go, Lil Baby - Sleazy Flow (Remix) 257,610 (-11,387)
155(re-entry) Polo G - Distraction 254,906
156(DEBUT) Luke Bryan - Country On 254,611
158(-6) Shakira, Rauw Alejandro - Te Felicito 253,980 (+491)
159(-1) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 253,842 (+4,573)
161(-21) Conan Gray - Family Line 252,557 (-7,993)
167(-10) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 251,032 (+1,570)
168(-40) Lil Baby - Right On 250,916 (-15,986)
171(+1) Calvin Harris, Dua Lipa, Young Thug - Potion 248,914 (+5,845)
174(re-entry) Morgan Wallen - Don't Think Jesus 247,679
178(-23) Future, Drake - I'M ON ONE 245,381 (-4,680)
180(-6) Marshmello, Khalid - Numb 244,709 (+1,958)
200(re-entry) Imagine Dragons - Sharks 236,269

Biggest Gains (50K+): Enemy, Bad Habit, Rich Minion, You Proof, Left and Right, About Damn Time, Me Porto Bonito, Jimmy Cooks, Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God)

To all of y'all, please

STOP JINXING KATE'S CHANCES AT A NUMBER ONE SINGLE!

OR ELSE



Thank you 😇

[rosalina4812]

Unfortunately RUTH’s margins is just not big enough. It needs way bigger streaming to overcome the lack of radio. It had higher streaming totals with its first huge week. It going to number one on Spotify is more due to Glimspe of Us losing steam and the Friday effect. Not to mention AM not budging. Hopefully it will rise more tomorrow.

[Envoirment]

Jul 2, 2022 10:32:14 GMT -5 rosalina4812 said:

Not to mention AM not budging.

It's been rising on AM all day though? It climbed back into the top 10 and is now up to #8.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 07 » / « 02 »

1(=) Jack Harlow - First Class 112.49(-1.30)
2(=) Lizzo - About Damn Time 108.35(+0.41)
3(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 101.39(-0.25) +
4(=) Latto - Big Energy 67.96(-0.64)
5(=) Dove Cameron - Boyfriend 64.09(-0.76)
6(=) The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber - Stay 63.73(-0.38)
7(=) Em Beihold - Numb Little Bug 63.22(+0.44)
8(=) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 59.70(+0.24)
9(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 58.23(-0.69)
10(=) Justin Bieber - Ghost 53.70(-0.36)

16(=) Harry Styles - Late Night Talking 42.30(+1.10)

19(+2) Doja Cat - Woman 37.36(+1.75) +

28(=) Post Malone - I Like You (A Happier Song)[feat. Doja Cat] 32.54(+1.03)

29(+5) Beyoncé - BREAK MY SOUL 32.24(+2.13)

40(+3) Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal with God) 27.89(+1.26)

-(-) Drake - Sticky 11.74(+0.79)

-(-) Luke Bryan - Country On 6.55(-)