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Post by nathanalbright on Jul 28, 2022 10:20:16 GMT -5
That's pretty rough.
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Post by Mayman on Jul 28, 2022 10:32:54 GMT -5
I don't expect Adele to drop an album until at least 2026, and probably going to be closer to the end of the decade. Adele seems to release albums only every 4-6 years. I'm almost certain, though, that Taylor Swift will drop another album by the end of the year. After all, Billie Eilish probably gave the biggest clue with her songs 'TV' and 'The 30th'. Keep in mind both September 30th and December 30th fall on a Friday this year. Also, Rockgolf hinted that the charts are going to get busy in late September/early October in his latest YE prediction, which has Stay's last week as October 8 and Big Energy falling off the Top 50 the following week, before its 52nd week: pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/208259/2022-billboard-hot-year-predictions?page=24&scrollTo=8230444I think Taylor is going to drop at TV album on September 30th (this will knock Stay off the charts), and there will be another major album the following week (which will knock off Big Energy). This whole post is just so embarrassing  . How does one even begin to unpack this |
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Jul 28, 2022 10:51:43 GMT -5
I don't expect Adele to drop an album until at least 2026, and probably going to be closer to the end of the decade. Adele seems to release albums only every 4-6 years. I'm almost certain, though, that Taylor Swift will drop another album by the end of the year. After all, Billie Eilish probably gave the biggest clue with her songs 'TV' and 'The 30th'. Keep in mind both September 30th and December 30th fall on a Friday this year. Also, Rockgolf hinted that the charts are going to get busy in late September/early October in his latest YE prediction, which has Stay's last week as October 8 and Big Energy falling off the Top 50 the following week, before its 52nd week: pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/208259/2022-billboard-hot-year-predictions?page=24&scrollTo=8230444I think Taylor is going to drop at TV album on September 30th (this will knock Stay off the charts), and there will be another major album the following week (which will knock off Big Energy). This whole post is just so embarrassing . How does one even begin to unpack this I’ll write it in summary form: 1. Don’t expect an Adele album soon. Adele had an over 4-year gap between 21 and 25, and a 6-year gap between 25 and 30. She is not going to suddenly increase her activity in the back half of her 30s. 2. Taylor Swift will release a TV album later this year. I will guess the release date is September 30. (Billie’s songs - TV and The 30th - a cryptic clue?) 3. The week after Taylor releases will also have a major album release(s). I don’t know by whom, but it will wreck havoc on the charts, and cause Big Energy to miss 52 weeks. |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 28, 2022 11:04:09 GMT -5
All of this because someone on here gave their prediction.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Jul 28, 2022 11:23:26 GMT -5
When I buy lotto tickets, which is essentially my prediction of the winning lottery, I care more about my numbers than the actual winning numbers. I haven’t even checked the actual numbers in years because my predictions are that much more fun!
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Jul 28, 2022 11:59:44 GMT -5
Also, Rockgolf hinted that the charts are going to get busy in late September/early October in his latest YE prediction, which has Stay's last week as October 8 and Big Energy falling off the Top 50 the following week, before its 52nd week They likely just took the current weekly points and looked at what would happen if a set percentage was lost each week, until the weekly points fell below a set threshold for the top 50. It doesn't indicate that there will magically be an album bomb there - that's just when it's projected to fall out. It currently has ~140 points. If it loses 4% - 5% each week, it will be around 72-82 points in week 52. The current T50 cutoff is ~70 points. Big Energy could very realistically go recurrent before week 52 if it starts falling faster due to radio dropping it or if the cutoff gets higher, no magical album bomb required. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Jul 28, 2022 13:25:57 GMT -5
Yes, that this user's general way of doing it, just a simple extrapolation with some basic thresholds.
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atg
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Post by atg on Jul 28, 2022 17:33:55 GMT -5
2. Taylor Swift will release a TV album later this year. I will guess the release date is September 30. (Billie’s songs - TV and The 30th - a cryptic clue?) That’s probably the hottest prediction i’ve ever seen on here, and i’ve seen lots… |
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Post by Mayman on Jul 28, 2022 18:09:59 GMT -5
Not you messing up that quote to make it look like I said it 😭
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 28, 2022 18:17:11 GMT -5
Ok, but like I actually agree with phieaglesfan712. That dosent seem too far fetched. Remember, this is Taylor Swuft we're talking about here. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Jul 28, 2022 18:44:07 GMT -5
Using a Billie Eilish loosie single to drop the hints to the inner Swifties? Today's conspiracy theories are tomorrow's easter eggs.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Jul 28, 2022 19:02:12 GMT -5
It is a fair theory honestly. But I don't think Billie and Taylor were ever really "close" so this seems random lol
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M5AGTS
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Joined: July 2022
Posts: 3,011
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 28, 2022 19:33:46 GMT -5
It is a fair theory honestly. But I don't think Billie and Taylor were ever really "close" so this seems random lol Actually I have to prove you wrong there. Remember the whole thing about Taylor in her acceptance speech in 2014 saying that the future woman of the year was in a piano lesson or girls choir and then ended up being absolutely right. Billie definitely idolizes Taylor. |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Jul 28, 2022 21:14:58 GMT -5
I mean... we can say that now. The future woman of the year is right now a teenager writing a song. Fast forward 7 years, it will be true. It's the most generic prediction possible. Of course it's going to be right.
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kingvavis
Gold Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 847
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Post by kingvavis on Jul 28, 2022 21:24:30 GMT -5
I mean... we can say that now. The future woman of the year is right now a teenager writing a song. Fast forward 7 years, it will be true. It's the most generic prediction possible. Of course it's going to be right. She was predicting GAYLE |
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mms82
Platinum Member
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,283
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Post by mms82 on Jul 28, 2022 21:47:17 GMT -5
I mean... we can say that now. The future woman of the year is right now a teenager writing a song. Fast forward 7 years, it will be true. It's the most generic prediction possible. Of course it's going to be right. She was predicting GAYLE Em Beihold and Dove Cameron say hi lol |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 28, 2022 21:55:59 GMT -5
The snippets for each song are really short and Last Last at #72 was somehow omitted:
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M5AGTS
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2022
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 28, 2022 22:15:35 GMT -5
The whole piano lessons and girl's choir was oddly specific tho. But the point is Billie definitely does idolize Taylor.
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