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Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2015 15:34:23 GMT -5
I think it was in MCA's best interest to hold off on any sort of push this week and try and maintain "Take Your Time's" numbers. Any late push likely would have fallen short and cost them a chance of holding steady til next weekend. Will Sam keep his massive audience though next Saturday or Sunday? I don't exactly know but it was the only hope they had to get to #1 at some point cause ZBB was definitely not to be defeated the past two weeks. I agree, it would have been a waste to push this week. Judging by the daily updates for the past 5 or 6 days, I'm not sure "Take Your Time" can keep these numbers for another week. These are push numbers. It was basically treading water all week. That being said, I think it should be number 1 next week because even if attempts at pushing fall short by MCA, they should hold enough in both spins and audience as I think Dierks is far enough behind. I also don't think Dierks' label would push him next week for no reason, as there's really nobody coming up that quick behind him. My next question is: how come Chris Young fell so quickly? If both "Homegrown" and "Take Your Time" were able to sustain their peaks for literally three whole weeks (with the latter looking like it will need a fourth) why did "Lonely Eyes" plummet after a 1 week peak? Its losses didn't seem to be natural, more so those of ceased promotion. I figure they just cut their losses and gave up on it. That being said, Chris is in a good spot going into his next album.
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sabre14
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Post by sabre14 on Apr 13, 2015 16:35:15 GMT -5
I think it was in MCA's best interest to hold off on any sort of push this week and try and maintain "Take Your Time's" numbers. Any late push likely would have fallen short and cost them a chance of holding steady til next weekend. Will Sam keep his massive audience though next Saturday or Sunday? I don't exactly know but it was the only hope they had to get to #1 at some point cause ZBB was definitely not to be defeated the past two weeks. My next question is: how come Chris Young fell so quickly? If both "Homegrown" and "Take Your Time" were able to sustain their peaks for literally three whole weeks (with the latter looking like it will need a fourth) why did "Lonely Eyes" plummet after a 1 week peak? Its losses didn't seem to be natural, more so those of ceased promotion. I figure they just cut their losses and gave up on it. That being said, Chris is in a good spot going into his next album. RCA had the final push week come the March 30th to April 5th week. RCA knew that would be it since the two songs in front weren't in any way, shape or form going to move out of the way, so after Chris fell short on the April 6th chart, they gave up and settled for a #3 peak on MB and a #2 peak on Billboard. "Lonely Eyes" likely would have peaked around #4 or #5 on both charts without RCA keeping it alive.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2015 19:57:30 GMT -5
I think it was in MCA's best interest to hold off on any sort of push this week and try and maintain "Take Your Time's" numbers. Any late push likely would have fallen short and cost them a chance of holding steady til next weekend. Will Sam keep his massive audience though next Saturday or Sunday? I don't exactly know but it was the only hope they had to get to #1 at some point cause ZBB was definitely not to be defeated the past two weeks. I agree, it would have been a waste to push this week. Judging by the daily updates for the past 5 or 6 days, I'm not sure "Take Your Time" can keep these numbers for another week. These are push numbers. It was basically treading water all week. That being said, I think it should be number 1 next week because even if attempts at pushing fall short by MCA, they should hold enough in both spins and audience as I think Dierks is far enough behind. I also don't think Dierks' label would push him next week for no reason, as there's really nobody coming up that quick behind him. My next question is: how come Chris Young fell so quickly? If both "Homegrown" and "Take Your Time" were able to sustain their peaks for literally three whole weeks (with the latter looking like it will need a fourth) why did "Lonely Eyes" plummet after a 1 week peak? Its losses didn't seem to be natural, more so those of ceased promotion. I figure they just cut their losses and gave up on it. That being said, Chris is in a good spot going into his next album. I agree with your first paragraph about "Take Your Time." I definitely expect Sam Hunt to get a #1 here. MCA already put up a "Power up for #1" ad in today's CAT banner so I think they're ready to push for #1. Last week, there was a #1 push banner ad in Monday's CAT, but the rest of the week "Trans Am" had the banner ad, which makes me suspect MCA was originally planning a #1 push, then saw that it wouldn't work out early on in the week and decided to ease off the gas pedal and let Sam Hunt's song coast for a week so it would still have some room to grow this week. The next song in line for #1 is not only a Universal song but a below average seller so I don't see how the biggest country single of the year digitally could miss #1 due to being blocked by "Say You Do." I just feel that this would have gotten more weeks at #1 had MCA not been so forceful about pushing this to #1 two weeks ago. If Sam Hunt were allowed to rise more steadily and his gains in the top 5 were more measured like "Homegrown"'s have been, I think this would have been able to work its way up to #1 this past weekend and then Sam Hunt would be able to get a second week at #1 this week. It doesn't feel right that ZBB should get three weeks at #1 and Sam Hunt only one. To me, "Take Your Time" is clearly a bigger hit, but Southern Ground has had a few advantages here. ZBB is the only act on their roster, so they have been able to devote 100% of their time and resources on "Homegrown," while MCA is surely focusing some of their attention on helping Josh Turner, Kip Moore, and Gary Allan, who are struggling towards the bottom of the chart. Additionally, ZBB got the iHeartMedia hourly world premiere spins, so they were able to go up ahead of TYT even though Sam Hunt's song is a good two months older. The way I see it, if Sam Hunt is just behind ZBB even with ZBB having the Clear Channel world premiere spins inflating their debut, then if "Homegrown" had risen naturally, "Take Your Time" would have definitely gotten to #1 first and "Homegrown" might be the song hanging around at #2 right now. I will say, though, that "Lonely Eyes" is not falling quickly at all by today's standards. The song lost less than 5 million audience impressions after eight days of not being promoted by the label, where as most #1 songs these days lose 6-10 million in their first drop weeks. This slow fall is usually the case with songs that miss #1 altogether, actually. If you go back and look at chart runs for songs like "This Is How We Roll" or "Meanwhile Back at Mama's" which peaked at #2 on both Billboard and Mediabase charts, you may notice an unusually steady first drop week.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2015 21:30:32 GMT -5
My next question is: how come Chris Young fell so quickly? If both "Homegrown" and "Take Your Time" were able to sustain their peaks for literally three whole weeks (with the latter looking like it will need a fourth) why did "Lonely Eyes" plummet after a 1 week peak? Its losses didn't seem to be natural, more so those of ceased promotion. I figure they just cut their losses and gave up on it. That being said, Chris is in a good spot going into his next album. I think you basically answered your own question here: with 2 other songs ("Homegrown" and "Take Your Time") at record airplay levels on Mediabase, there simply was no room for Chris to keep going up. Three pretty big hits peaked at the same time, and Chris was the odd man out. And actually, as @daydrinker noted, Chris didn't fall that much at all this week. Just last week, Darius Rucker lost almost 10 million after his push week. It's become very common for songs to lose 7-10 million the week after they peaked, but Chris lost less than 5 million this week. Chris' -4.8 mil week is actually one of the smallest drops we've seen recently, which just goes to show that "Lonely Eyes" was a big hit...it just had crappy timing at the end. -- I'm glad to see ZBB get a 3rd week at #1, but I'm still not entirely convinced that Sam can get there. There's no full-size "power up for #1" ad in either Billboard or Aircheck tonight, but then again, there's no "thank you country radio ad" either, or an ad acknowledging Sam's 9 weeks-and-counting run at #1 on Hot Country Songs. All we have is a "power up for #1" ad in the Aircheck most-added email. Also, Sam's only 2.3 million ahead of Dierks on Billboard, which is hardly a big gap at all. I do think Sam will be #1 a week from now but I don't think it's 100% guaranteed, simply because it's incredibly hard to tread water for as long as "Take Your Time" has (he's really been taking his time, I guess).
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Apr 15, 2015 10:15:22 GMT -5
Canada
5 straight weeks at #1 Country Airplay at both Mediabase Canada & Billboard BDS Canada! Congrats!
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Apr 15, 2015 10:26:11 GMT -5
Canada 5 straight weeks at #1 Country Airplay at both Mediabase Canada & Billboard BDS Canada! Congrats! Just saw that. Keith Urban and Eric Church are at #2.
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Apr 15, 2015 10:32:36 GMT -5
Canada 5 straight weeks at #1 Country Airplay at both Mediabase Canada & Billboard BDS Canada! Congrats! Just saw that. Keith Urban and Eric Church are at #2. Good chance that Keith moves to the top on Billboard next week
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Apr 15, 2015 10:34:16 GMT -5
Just saw that. Keith Urban and Eric Church are at #2. Good chance that Keith moves to the top on Billboard next week Are you talking here in the States?
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trebor
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Post by trebor on Apr 15, 2015 10:35:18 GMT -5
Good chance that Keith moves to the top on Billboard next week Are you talking here in the States? No. Billboard BDS Canada.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Apr 15, 2015 10:36:51 GMT -5
Are you talking here in the States? No. Billboard BDS Canada. That's better. I hope Keith Urban and Eric Church can end Zac Brown Band's reign there like Sam Hunt will do here.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 15, 2015 20:10:47 GMT -5
Will ZBB be performing at the ACM Awards on Sunday night? It doesn't appear that they'll perform, which is absolutely shocking to me. The show is only a few days away so I imagine that if they were gonna perform, they would have been announced by now. Not having the ZBB perform is probably the most glaring artist omission I can think of in recent years. Not only has ZBB performed at virtually every country award show in recent years, but "Homegrown" is huge right now, and their album is due out in less than 2 weeks. I count 19 performers this year (22 if you include the New Artist nominees, but I'm assuming they'll only get about 1:30 to perform like they've done in years past). I figured there would be about 20 performers, give or take a bit, as that's been pretty standard at both the ACM's and CMA's in the last few years. No ZBB, no Tim McGraw, no Kacey Musgraves, and no Carrie Underwood (which is understandable and was somewhat expected, given that she recently gave birth). Another person I was thinking might perform is Toby Keith, given that he's always had a good relationship with the ACM's (CMA's...not so much), and also the fact that it's the 50th annual, Toby is a veteran who is still releasing new music, etc. But I guess I'm not totally surprised that Toby isn't performing, given that they did make room for Alan Jackson, George Strait, Garth Brooks, Reba McEntire, and Martina McBride. No Zac Brown Band performance is a real head-scratcher though.
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jlatn5b
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Post by jlatn5b on Apr 18, 2015 23:43:09 GMT -5
ZBB performed at the Rock N Roll Hall of Fame ceremony tonight in Cleveland. Because of that, they likely wouldn't have been able to perform tomorrow on the ACMs since they wouldn't have time to do the rehearsals that are required of the show.
Seems like an ACM performance would be better PR for them than the RNR HOF that will be airing on HBO in May. But maybe when presented with both opportunities, they preferred to do the Cleveland performance over Dallas. I can't imagine they wouldn't have been offered an ACM performance slot.
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goodsoul81
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Post by goodsoul81 on Apr 22, 2015 15:18:42 GMT -5
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