Choco
Diamond Member
james dean daydream
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 27,977 
My Charts
Pronouns: he/him
|
Post by Choco on Mar 25, 2016 13:08:15 GMT -5
Yeah, either NO picks up on streaming or 7 Years will be the song to dethrone Work.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 13:12:23 GMT -5
I think (and hope) 7 Years will dethrone Work not this week and not next week but the week after or three weeks from now
Also Love Yourself BETTER tumble this week because it's the last chance for Flo Rida to get that top 3. I don't want My House to end up like Am I Wrong and Wake Me Up...
|
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 25, 2016 13:15:22 GMT -5
NO really needs to pick up on streaming to be a #1 contender. Luckily sales and radio are both doing well for the song I think it will pick up slowly but steadily. It's video was off to a slow start, but doing decently now..... IMO Work has another 2 weeks locked after this one.... and it's too early to say if NO can get #1, but it does have a chance. Apart from healthy streaming, sales need to hold up well too..... because even after 2 weeks, there will still be big streaming gap between Work and NO. |
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 25, 2016 13:23:50 GMT -5
I think (and hope) 7 Years will dethrone Work not this week and not next week but the week after or three weeks from now Also Love Yourself BETTER tumble this week because it's the last chance for Flo Rida to get that top 3. I don't want My House to end up like Am I Wrong and Wake Me Up... I'm afraid "7 Years" is peaking in points now..... and before it overtakes Work, it will get overtaken by "NO". Streaming will remain relatively flat next 3-4 weeks, and whatever gains it will have in airplay will be neutralized by a similar fall in sales. TOP-3 predictions for next few weeks: 16/4 chart: 1. Work - 42k 2. 7 Years - 33k 3. NO - 31K 23/4 chart: 1. Work - 38k 2/3. 7 Years - 33k 2/3. NO - 33k 30/4 chart: 1/2. Work - 34k 1/2. NO - 34k 3. 7 Years - 33k 30/4 chart will be pretty interesting to watch.... also it will be a very opportune time for a new single to be released by Adele/JB because that #1 is just sitting there for the taking. |
|
Mr. Thonk Eyes
4x Platinum Member
The great Mr. Eyes
Joined: June 2014
Posts: 4,614
|
Post by Mr. Thonk Eyes on Mar 25, 2016 13:48:05 GMT -5
I think (and hope) 7 Years will dethrone Work not this week and not next week but the week after or three weeks from now Also Love Yourself BETTER tumble this week because it's the last chance for Flo Rida to get that top 3. I don't want My House to end up like Am I Wrong and Wake Me Up... I'm afraid "7 Years" is peaking in points now..... and before it overtakes Work, it will get overtaken by "NO". Streaming will remain relatively flat next 3-4 weeks, and whatever gains it will have in airplay will be neutralized by a similar fall in sales. TOP-3 predictions for next few weeks: 16/4 chart: 1. Work - 42k 2. 7 Years - 33k 3. NO - 31K 23/4 chart: 1. Work - 38k 2/3. 7 Years - 33k 2/3. NO - 33k 30/4 chart: 1/2. Work - 34k 1/2. NO - 34k 3. 7 Years - 33k 30/4 chart will be pretty interesting to watch.... also it will be a very opportune time for a new single to be released by Adele/JB because that #1 is just sitting there for the taking. Fixed all of them 5's for ya. ;) |
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 25, 2016 14:00:30 GMT -5
I'm afraid "7 Years" is peaking in points now..... and before it overtakes Work, it will get overtaken by "NO". Streaming will remain relatively flat next 3-4 weeks, and whatever gains it will have in airplay will be neutralized by a similar fall in sales. TOP-3 predictions for next few weeks: 16/4 chart: 1. Work - 42k 2. 7 Years - 33k 3. NO - 31K 23/4 chart: 1. Work - 38k 2/3. 7 Years - 33k 2/3. NO - 33k 30/4 chart: 1/2. Work - 34k 1/2. NO - 34k 3. 7 Years - 33k 30/4 chart will be pretty interesting to watch.... also it will be a very opportune time for a new single to be released by Adele/JB because that #1 is just sitting there for the taking. Fixed all of them 5's for ya. ;) umm.... thanks. It's past midnight here.... so I guess time for bed now. :) |
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 25, 2016 15:06:32 GMT -5
See? According to Itisravi's perdiction, Work basically has 7th and 8th week locked and looks to procure its 9th not with a lot of difficulty.
Some people just don't believe me that work can top the chart for 7-10 (especially about 8, 9 weeks). Now it seems like happening
|
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 25, 2016 15:26:49 GMT -5
And imo Work is an excellent song that deserves a monstrous run. It's like a novelty song that brings dancehall back and pretty well-executed and performed. Its chorus is one of those slow-burn fantasy with intense exotic vibe. Not instantly catchy, it belongs to the elite club to be carefully preserved as a nice piece of art with tight structure and fine texture.
It's one of the really underrated songs. I mean, this song must some excellent qualities that the public may not have discovered, or it wouldn't have such tremendous success.
Now I think Work is the best song in top 10 (better than the comfortable ITAPII and SO, and more impressive in the long run than the fine PILLOWTALK)
|
|
Envoirment
Diamond Member
Joined: December 2009
Posts: 13,709
|
Post by Envoirment on Mar 25, 2016 15:52:29 GMT -5
Something off-topic here: I guess Hello is going to be racing See You Again to be the first video to pass Gangnam Style for most viewed video on YouTube. I believe "Hello" will get the record for fastest video to 2 billion views. It's still getting 4-5 million views/day, but it'll keep slowing down. Although it could see a slight uptick by the time her US leg of the tour starts. Not to mention if they release a video for the next single, it could link people to "Hello" and boost views that way. I can see "Hello" passing at least 2.5 billion views by the time the 2017 grammys happen. Or perhaps even overtaking "Gangnam Style" - which is still getting ~1 million views/day. |
|
imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,609
|
Post by imbondz on Mar 25, 2016 16:02:40 GMT -5
And imo Work is an excellent song that deserves a monstrous run. It's like a novelty song that brings dancehall back and pretty well-executed and performed. Its chorus is one of those slow-burn fantasy with intense exotic vibe. Not instantly catchy, it belongs to the elite club to be carefully preserved as a nice piece of art with tight structure and fine texture. It's one of the really underrated songs. I mean, this song must some excellent qualities that the public may not have discovered, or it wouldn't have such tremendous success. Now I think Work is the best song in top 10 (better than the comfortable ITAPII and SO, and more impressive in the long run than the fine PILLOWTALK) Huh? Her enunciations throughout the song is torture. Drakes part is mostly cool. |
|
Gary
Diamond Member
Joined: January 2014
Posts: 45,889
|
Post by Gary on Mar 25, 2016 16:11:15 GMT -5
Obviously if the future has been predicted the same way by two or more people that makes it true. Predicting 3-4 weeks out usually comes with a big margin for error. Maybe not here?
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 16:39:44 GMT -5
Ugh not looking forward to Work being #1 for 10 weeks at all...wish there was some way for Lukas's streaming to increase :(
|
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 25, 2016 17:30:13 GMT -5
Ugh not looking forward to Work being #1 for 10 weeks at all...wish there was some way for Lukas's streaming to increase :( Ugh not looking forward to 7 Years being #1 for 1 week at all...wish there was some way for Rihanna's streaming to increase :( |
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 25, 2016 17:31:53 GMT -5
Something off-topic here: I guess Hello is going to be racing See You Again to be the first video to pass Gangnam Style for most viewed video on YouTube. I believe "Hello" will get the record for fastest video to 2 billion views. It's still getting 4-5 million views/day, but it'll keep slowing down. Although it could see a slight uptick by the time her US leg of the tour starts. Not to mention if they release a video for the next single, it could link people to "Hello" and boost views that way. I can see "Hello" passing at least 2.5 billion views by the time the 2017 grammys happen. Or perhaps even overtaking "Gangnam Style" - which is still getting ~1 million views/day. Sorry's gonna pass Hello before then |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 17:37:56 GMT -5
Ugh not looking forward to Work being #1 for 10 weeks at all...wish there was some way for Lukas's streaming to increase :( Ugh not looking forward to 7 Years being #1 for 1 week at all...wish there was some way for Rihanna's streaming to increase :( Work got 40M streams two weeks in a row and is still getting more than 20M.........it's overrated IMO even though I like the song |
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 25, 2016 17:38:55 GMT -5
And imo Work is an excellent song that deserves a monstrous run. It's like a novelty song that brings dancehall back and pretty well-executed and performed. Its chorus is one of those slow-burn fantasy with intense exotic vibe. Not instantly catchy, it belongs to the elite club to be carefully preserved as a nice piece of art with tight structure and fine texture. It's one of the really underrated songs. I mean, this song must some excellent qualities that the public may not have discovered, or it wouldn't have such tremendous success. Now I think Work is the best song in top 10 (better than the comfortable ITAPII and SO, and more impressive in the long run than the fine PILLOWTALK) Huh? Her enunciations throughout the song is torture. Drakes part is mostly cool. So you think Lucas Graham's enunciation throughout 7 Years is charming your pants off? |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 18:24:25 GMT -5
Huh? Her enunciations throughout the song is torture. Drakes part is mostly cool. So you think Lucas Graham's enunciation throughout 7 Years is charming your pants off? his enunciation in 7 Years is waaaaaaaaay clearer than Rihanna's in Work lmfao. |
|
|
|
Post by areyoureadytojump on Mar 25, 2016 18:40:48 GMT -5
Thanks to oldbloke:
YEAR TO DATE SALES STATS
Category - 2016 - 2015 - Change
Digital Tracks - 176,460,000 - 238,728,000 - -26.1%
Store Singles - 319,000 - 813,000 - -60.8%
|
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 25, 2016 20:04:09 GMT -5
Predictions: | Rank | Song | Sales | Airplay | Streams | Points | | 1 | Work | 80 | 125 | 30.0 | 46,400 | | 2 | 7 Years | 120 | 70 | 15.0 | 32,800 | | 3/4 | Love Yourself | 50 | 140 | 12.0 | 29,500 | | 3/4 | My House | 85 | 100 | 12.0 | 29,400 | | 5 | Stressed Out | 55 | 120 | 12.5 | 28,500 | | 6 | NO | 125 | 70 | 8.0 | 27,500 | | 7/8 | PILLOWATALK | 60 | 75 | 14.0 | 25,800 | | 7/8 | Me, Myself & I | 50 | 95 | 13.0 | 25,800 | | 9 | Cake By The Ocean | 50 | 90 | 10.5 | 23,300 | | 10 | I Took A Pill | 60 | 65 | 10.5 | 22,000 | | 11/12 | Sorry | 25 | 80 | 12.5 | 21,200 | | 11/12 | Work From Home | 60 | 40 | 12.5 | 21,100 |
* "7 Years" will be #2 this week behind work, but there is a big gap between the two. * "My House" has a shot at getting a #3 peak, before it gets overtaken by NO next week. "NO" should rank #6 this week (slim shot at entering Top-5 if it can get more streams), and will be Top-3 next week. * ITAPII should re-enter Top-10. Sorry in all likelihood will drop out of Top-10 this week, so that's 21 weeks in Top-10. * WFM is gaining in points, and may enter Top-10 in coming weeks. That makes all of my top 12 predictions correct (Going by the upper songs winning the close place battles. What I mean is LY, PT, Sorry are the upper ones over MH, MM&I, and WFH. Wow at ITAPII only losing 1k sales (compared to last week). |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 25, 2016 20:07:41 GMT -5
Thanks to oldbloke: YEAR TO DATE SALES STATS Category - 2016 - 2015 - Change Digital Tracks - 176,460,000 - 238,728,000 - -26.1% Store Singles - 319,000 - 813,000 - -60.8% Damn. I would like to see the 2016 and 2015 YTD stats comparison for Spotify |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 20:10:49 GMT -5
Thanks to oldbloke: YEAR TO DATE SALES STATS Category - 2016 - 2015 - Change Digital Tracks - 176,460,000 - 238,728,000 - -26.1% Store Singles - 319,000 - 813,000 - -60.8% Is 2016 projected or so far? |
|
|
|
Post by areyoureadytojump on Mar 25, 2016 20:37:33 GMT -5
^???
Those are actual sales in 2016. "Year to date." Compared to 2015 sales.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 25, 2016 20:47:06 GMT -5
Gotcha... In that case, wow. Seeing the future of the music industry leaning towards streaming sources and less towards digital/physical sales the past few years, that's a bit surprising to see.
|
|
forg
2x Platinum Member
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 2,356
|
Post by forg on Mar 25, 2016 21:23:59 GMT -5
Work's lead in streaming is so strong and still not peaking on airplay, sales are solid as well so 10 weeks or more at #1 is a strong possibility
No is lagging behind in Spotify, that might cause her the #1 if it does not peak up anytime soon
I think 7 Years will peak at #2 unless it will have a live performance on TV that goes viral or boost sales to bigger numbers
|
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 25, 2016 22:14:38 GMT -5
Gotcha... In that case, wow. Seeing the future of the music industry leaning towards streaming sources and less towards digital/physical sales the past few years, that's a bit surprising to see. To me, not really. Most people use Spotify Free instead of iTunes because of it being free. Not surprising at all. (I didn't explain that correctly, but I think you know what I mean) |
|
|
|
Post by Mike is BAD on Mar 26, 2016 6:58:44 GMT -5
4/9
1. Work
2. 7 Years
3. My House
4/16
1. Work
2. 7 Years
3. NØ
4/23
1. 7 Years
2. NØ
3. Work
4/30
1. NØ
2. 7 Years
3. (Maybe): PILLOWTALK
|
|
imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,609
|
Post by imbondz on Mar 26, 2016 8:25:32 GMT -5
Huh? Her enunciations throughout the song is torture. Drakes part is mostly cool. So you think Lucas Graham's enunciation throughout 7 Years is charming your pants off? Lol. Yes! |
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 26, 2016 8:27:13 GMT -5
4/9 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. My House 4/16 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. NØ 4/23 1. 7 Years 2. NØ 3. Work 4/30 1. NØ 2. 7 Years 3. (Maybe): PILLOWTALK PILLOWTALK at #3? It has already started declining in points..... it isn't re-entering Top-5, let alone reaching #3. |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 26, 2016 9:46:14 GMT -5
4/9 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. My House 4/16 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. NØ 4/23 1. 7 Years 2. NØ 3. Work 4/30 1. NØ 2. 7 Years 3. (Maybe): PILLOWTALK Here's what I predict: 4/9 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. Love Yourself 4/16 1. Work 2. 7 Years 3. NØ 4/23 1. Work 2. NØ 3. 7 Years 4/30 1. NØ 2. Work 3. 7 Years 5/7 1. NØ 2. 7 Years 3. Work (Or some other song that isn't currently in the top 10) |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 26, 2016 15:51:10 GMT -5
Since my post a couple days ago about kind-of realistic hopes for the top 10 (or so) wasn't that realistic, here we go again.
1. Work (=)
2. 7 Years (+1)
3. My House (+1)
4. Stressed Out (=)
5. Love Yourself (-3)
6. NO (+6)
7/8. PILLOWTALK (-1/-2)
8/7. Me, Myself & I (-1/=) [As long as PILLOWTALK and MM&I are still in the top 10, I don't really care which one gets #7]
9. I Took A Pill In Ibiza (+2)
10. Sorry (-2) [Just so it gets its 22nd week in the top 10]
11. Cake By The Ocean (-2) [This is not going higher than #9, so might as well let ITAPII pass it. This can move back into the top 10 after Sorry gets its 22nd week]
|
|
