rimetm
2x Platinum Member
Just a Good Ol' Chart Shmuck
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Post by rimetm on Nov 12, 2016 4:08:30 GMT -5
BuzzAngle numbers: FINAL
YouTube numbers: FINAL
Sales numbers: FINAL KWORB ESTIMATE
Radio numbers: PROJECTIONS FROM THURSDAY DATA
1. Black Beatles: 42.4m streams (20.7 YT + 21.7 BA) + 148K sales + 24m Nielsen = 53,250
2. Closer: 25.2m streams (12.3 YT + 12.9 BA) + 64K sales + 159m Nielsen = 43,000
3. Starboy: 22.9m streams (9.3 YT + 13.6 BA) + 62K sales + 135m Nielsen = 38,500
4. Heathens: 15.2m streams (9.8 YT + 5.4 BA) + 44K sales + 131m Nielsen = 29,750
5. 24K Magic: 11.6m streams (4.9 YT + 6.7 BA) + 70K sales + 109m Nielsen = 27,500
6. Let Me Love You: 11.4m streams (4.5 YT + 6.9 BA) + 47K sales + 131m Nielsen = 27,000
7? Side to Side: 15.4m streams (8.2 YT + 7.2 BA) + 48K sales + 84m Nielsen = 26,000
7? Juju on That Beat: 23.9m streams (17.6 YT + 6.3 BA) + 42K sales + 17m Nielsen = 26,000
9. Broccoli: 18.1m streams (9.4 YT + 8.7 BA) + 40K sales + 51m Nielsen = 24,250
10 Don't Wanna Know: 8.9m streams (2.5 YT + 6.4 BA) + 50K sales + 82m Nielsen = 20,500
?? i hate u, i love u: 7.5m streams (2.8 YT + 4.7 BA) + 42K sales + 75m Nielsen = 17,750
?? Cold Water: 11.3m streams (5.3 YT + 6.0 BA) + 12K sales + 66m Nielsen = 17,000
?? Fake Love: 13.7m streams (0 YT + 13.7 BA) + 24K sales + 14m Nielsen = 15,250
?? Caroline: 12.4m streams (4.9 YT + 7.5 BA) + 17K sales + 13m Nielsen = 13,250
?? Ooouuu: 9.7m streams (3.2 YT + 6.5 BA) + 15K sales + 29m Nielsen = 12,500
Gap widens a smidge. YouTube numbers a little stronger than expected for both main parties. Top 4's a lock but the rest of the top 10 is up in the air. Looks like Don't Wanna Know is gonna be back in the zone.
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Post by Mike is BAD on Nov 12, 2016 6:56:02 GMT -5
Can you post all the YouTube numbers alone?
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Nov 12, 2016 10:05:06 GMT -5
I don't see why people think "24K" is going to battle for #1 when its streaming is so relatively poor.
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Chris Ng
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Post by Chris Ng on Nov 12, 2016 11:28:49 GMT -5
I don't see why people think "24K" is going to battle for #1 when its streaming is so relatively poor. Me neither, and its airplay is stalling past couple weeks. |
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Chris Ng
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Post by Chris Ng on Nov 12, 2016 11:30:12 GMT -5
Spotify numbers: FINAL YouTube numbers: FINALSales numbers: FINAL KWORB ESTIMATE Radio numbers: PROJECTIONS FROM THURSDAY DATA 1. Black Beatles: 32.7m streams (20.7 YT + 12 Spotify) + 148K sales + 24m Nielsen = 45,000 2. Closer: 20.6m streams (12.3 YT + 8.3 Spotify) + 64K sales + 159m Nielsen = 38,750 3. Starboy: 18.5m streams (9.3 YT + 9.2 Spotify) + 62K sales + 135m Nielsen = 34,750 4. Heathens: 13.4m streams (9.8 YT + 3.6 Spotify) + 44K sales + 131m Nielsen = 28,250 5? Let Me Love You: 9.3m streams (4.5 YT + 4.8 Spotify) + 47K sales + 131m Nielsen = 25,250 5? 24K Magic: 9.1m streams (4.9 YT + 4.2 Spotify) + 70K sales + 109m Nielsen = 25,250 7? Side to Side: 13.2m streams (8.2 YT + 5.0 Spotify) + 48K sales + 84m Nielsen = 24,000 7? Juju on That Beat: 21.6m streams (17.6 YT + 4.0 Spotify) + 42K sales + 17m Nielsen = 24,000 9. Broccoli: 15.1m streams (9.4 YT + 5.7 Spotify) + 40K sales + 51m Nielsen = 21,750 10 Don't Wanna Know: 7.2m streams (2.5 YT + 4.7 Spotify) + 50K sales + 82m Nielsen = 19,000 ?? i hate u, i love u: 5.6m streams (2.8 YT + 2.8 Spotify) + 42K sales + 75m Nielsen = 16,250 ?? Cold Water: 9.3m streams (5.3 YT + 4.0 Spotify) + 12K sales + 66m Nielsen = 15,250 ?? Caroline: 9.6m streams (4.9 YT + 4.7 Spotify) + 17K sales + 13m Nielsen = 11,000 ?? Fake Love: 7.6m streams (0 YT + 7.6 Spotify) + 24K sales + 14m Nielsen = 10,250 ?? Ooouuu: 6.9m streams (3.2 YT + 3.7 Spotify) + 15K sales + 29m Nielsen = 10,000 Gap widens a smidge. YouTube numbers a little stronger than expected for both main parties. Top 4's a lock but the rest of the top 10 is up in the air. Looks like Don't Wanna Know is gonna be back in the zone. I thought we have on demand song figures? It includes other streaming sources such as Apple Music, Tidal, SoundCloud....? |
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Bigfatliar 3
Platinum Member
cool people call songs "joint" which is little inappropriate to me cuz i think of an elbow or someth
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Post by Bigfatliar 3 on Nov 12, 2016 12:02:16 GMT -5
Can you post all the YouTube numbers alone? YT STREAMS 11/4 - 11/10 Status : Final
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Post by truemusicreviews on Nov 12, 2016 12:11:49 GMT -5
Remember that Bruno Mars is going to have his album dropping a VMA performance impacting the chart the same week. If "24k Magic" has a chance of going #1, it will be then.
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rimetm
2x Platinum Member
Just a Good Ol' Chart Shmuck
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Post by rimetm on Nov 12, 2016 12:13:05 GMT -5
I couldn't tell if that included video streams (and thus wasn't complete) or didn't. Now that I look at the data again, I guess it's the latter. I've edited the Spotify number to use the BuzzAngle numbers.
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Post by truemusicreviews on Nov 12, 2016 12:15:42 GMT -5
Could Black Beatles be the 2017 End #1? That is VERY unlikely. It's already starting to show signs of peaking, and it's a viral song. Most of these songs have high peaks and substandard longevity. |
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 12, 2016 12:27:20 GMT -5
Remember that Bruno Mars is going to have his album dropping a VMA performance impacting the chart the same week. If "24k Magic" has a chance of going #1, it will be then. It could be perfect timing for Bruno. Closer will be done at #1 by then and Black Beatles will likely have lost streaming as the Mannequin Challenge peaks and fades. It's a tight window and hinges on a lot but he could potentially pull it off. |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Nov 12, 2016 12:44:46 GMT -5
^renfield75, are you on TMZ? I see a guy that looks a lot like you on it.
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Nov 12, 2016 13:01:24 GMT -5
^renfield75, are you on TMZ? I see a guy that looks a lot like you on it. Yeah. Shhhhhhhh don't tell anybody ha ha |
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Nov 12, 2016 13:16:40 GMT -5
Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadioSongs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect  |
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Nov 12, 2016 14:02:22 GMT -5
YES! Love On The Brain is finally here!  It really needs to catch up on streaming now, hopefully it will be big! Also I've finally noticed All Time Low, didn't even realize it's already in top 75. Also it needs to keep going! |
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atg
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Post by atg on Nov 12, 2016 14:36:21 GMT -5
YES! Love On The Brain is finally here! It really needs to catch up on streaming now, hopefully it will be big! Also I've finally noticed All Time Low, didn't even realize it's already in top 75. Also it needs to keep going! It's at 73 on the hot 100. It's making so much gains |
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Post by truemusicreviews on Nov 12, 2016 14:52:03 GMT -5
I feel like the release strategy of "Love On The Brain" has been really sloppy. It needs a music video.
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Post by imperialmarch on Nov 12, 2016 16:12:00 GMT -5
Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadioSongs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect Closer has peaked on airplay and is dropping :) |
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jtd Thee Stallion
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Nov 12, 2016 16:13:12 GMT -5
Unsteady is top 10 on radio wow
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Nov 12, 2016 16:24:05 GMT -5
Wait is closer not on itunes rn?
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Nov 12, 2016 16:31:07 GMT -5
Wait is closer not on itunes rn? Apparently Closer fell like 100 spots. Anybody know how? And why? |
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rimetm
2x Platinum Member
Just a Good Ol' Chart Shmuck
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Post by rimetm on Nov 12, 2016 17:03:44 GMT -5
The single was removed, so now only the album version exists.
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Post by flextamcsignals on Nov 12, 2016 17:59:11 GMT -5
The single was removed, so now only the album version exists. Wow, that's huge. Reminds me of what happened to Bills last year. Lost all of its momentum when iTunes removed the single version in favor of the EP version. |
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atg
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Post by atg on Nov 12, 2016 18:04:41 GMT -5
Wait is closer not on itunes rn? Apparently Closer fell like 100 spots. Anybody know how? And why? Probably the single version was discontinued and the EP version is in the top 100 now |
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atg
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Post by atg on Nov 12, 2016 18:06:03 GMT -5
The single was removed, so now only the album version exists. Wow, that's huge. Reminds me of what happened to Bills last year. Lost all of its momentum when iTunes removed the single version in favor of the EP version. Yeah same. But since closer is still huge in radio and streams it will hold up for its 'weak' sales for now |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Nov 12, 2016 18:34:22 GMT -5
The single was removed, so now only the album version exists. Wow, that's huge. Reminds me of what happened to Bills last year. Lost all of its momentum when iTunes removed the single version in favor of the EP version. It's actually a super common practice and barely affects the song at all, especially one as huge as "Closer." The only time is really hurts the song is in cases like "Bills" when it was already kind of struggling to remain relevant to begin with. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Nov 12, 2016 19:15:33 GMT -5
I heard "Candle in the Wind" on the replay countdown today. It's amazing how well its sales held up; who was still buying the song months after Diana's death? More so, why then? I just don't remember.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Nov 12, 2016 19:55:32 GMT -5
I recall Right Round getting deleted from iTunes when it was still #1, which prompted Poker Face to finally reach #1 on the Hot 100.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Nov 12, 2016 20:11:46 GMT -5
I recall Right Round getting deleted from iTunes when it was still #1, which prompted Poker Face to finally reach #1 on the Hot 100. Nah, When this happens, as explained above, it's almost always because they replace the single version with the album version. This has been standard practice on iTunes for many years. Poker Face probably would have gone #1 anyway. |
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Libra
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Post by Libra on Nov 12, 2016 20:53:00 GMT -5
^renfield75, are you on TMZ? I see a guy that looks a lot like you on it. I wondered when somebody else would eventually notice...  "Black Beatles" just does not feel like a song pushing its way to #1 at all, the raw data notwithstanding. Literally the only places I see mention of it and/or this so-called "mannequin challenge" anywhere are here in these Hot 100 threads - if those truly had the broad impact that they're apparently supposed to have, I'd have to think that some, any kind of mention would eventually turn up somewhere on social media that I could see. That simply hasn't happened. |
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orangebanana49
Charting
I'm falling, so I'm taking my time RIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIDE!
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Post by orangebanana49 on Nov 12, 2016 21:45:08 GMT -5
Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadioSongs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect looks like stressed out will be gone next week ;( |
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