Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Mar 6, 2022 16:47:36 GMT -5
One person I’d like to see drop is Post Malone, I want to see whether Motley Crew and ORN were flukes or if he’s just natuarally fading out the public eye.
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Mar 6, 2022 20:24:16 GMT -5
One person I’d like to see drop is Post Malone, I want to see whether Motley Crew and ORN were flukes or if he’s just natuarally fading out the public eye. He's semi-retired.
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Mar 7, 2022 8:04:54 GMT -5
All of Apple Music’s rolling charts have been frozen since yesterday. Must be technical difficulties on Apple’s end, but if these issues persist, it will make predicting this week’s chart pretty difficult (especially the King Von and DaBaby/YoungBoy album bombs).
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renaboss
Platinum Member
I don't want to miss a thing.
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Post by renaboss on Mar 7, 2022 8:09:00 GMT -5
I’m going to be bold, but the new Megan Thee Stallion and Dua Lipa collab will spend 9-10 weeks. meOn the charts? At number one? What are we talking here? Also, this is the first I'm hearing of a collab between them, but I'm here for it.
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mms82
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,283
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Post by mms82 on Mar 7, 2022 8:32:36 GMT -5
I’m going to be bold, but the new Megan Thee Stallion and Dua Lipa collab will spend 9-10 weeks. meOn the charts? At number one? What are we talking here? Also, this is the first I'm hearing of a collab between them, but I'm here for it. it'll spend 9-10 weeks before it's pulled off of streaming services entirely, duh ;)
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Mar 7, 2022 8:43:22 GMT -5
On the charts? At number one? What are we talking here? Also, this is the first I'm hearing of a collab between them, but I'm here for it. it'll spend 9-10 weeks before it's pulled off of streaming services entirely, duh ;) Or, more realistically, being dropped by radio. With the exception of Savage, Meg’s songs don’t last too long on radio.
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Choco
Diamond Member
james dean daydream
Joined: February 2009
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My Charts
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Post by Choco on Mar 7, 2022 8:43:25 GMT -5
You guys are setting yourselves up for disappointment. Neither Dua nor Meg are on "automatic #1 debut" level yet. "Savage" was a grower and needed a big name remix to actually go #1 later on, and "WAP" was a cultural shocker and had Cardi B. Meanwhile Dua has gotten to #2 twice but both times she grew into that peak after airplay built for months.
Of course if the song is some huge thing a la "WAP", maybe... something that shocking wouldn't really fit what Dua has done so far, though.
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Enigma.
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Posts: 14,176
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Post by Enigma. on Mar 7, 2022 8:45:35 GMT -5
All of Apple Music’s rolling charts have been frozen since yesterday. Must be technical difficulties on Apple’s end, but if these issues persist, it will make predicting this week’s chart pretty difficult (especially the King Von and DaBaby/YoungBoy album bombs). Album bomb for DaBaby/YBNA? They'll be lucky to have one song on chart.
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Choco
Diamond Member
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Joined: February 2009
Posts: 27,985
My Charts
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Post by Choco on Mar 7, 2022 9:05:43 GMT -5
All of Apple Music’s rolling charts have been frozen since yesterday. Must be technical difficulties on Apple’s end, but if these issues persist, it will make predicting this week’s chart pretty difficult (especially the King Von and DaBaby/YoungBoy album bombs). Album bomb for DaBaby/YBNA? They'll be lucky to have one song on chart. Yeah that project is apparently opening below 30k (as it should). I don't see how 30k would translate into a meaningful album bomb.
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Mar 7, 2022 9:09:38 GMT -5
Yes, I’m well aware that the album will likely not translate into a meaningful album bomb. However, we’ve seen songs that only do decently on Apple Music manage to make the Hot 100 before (especially nowadays with how weak the chart has become), so I wouldn’t be surprised if we get 1-2 songs from the album in question.
But yeah, King Von will absolutely get a bigger album bomb this week.
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dremolus - solarpunk
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𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Mar 7, 2022 10:02:22 GMT -5
US Spotify - 03/06/22
1(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 903,619 (-105,370) 2(=) Carolina Gaitán - La Gaita, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz, Encanto Cast - We Don't Talk About Bruno 857,958 (-120,468) 3(=) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 764,818 (-115,761) 4(=) The Kid LAROI - STAY 657,018 (-92,344), 5(=) Gunna, Future - pushin P 629,904 (-95,067) 6(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 617,126 (-82,388) 7(=) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 576,352 (-62,398) 8(+1) Jessica Darrow - Surface Pressure 538,200 (-80,157) 9(-1) Jack Harlow - Nail Tech 525,732 (-104,897) 10(+9) The Walters - I Love You So 518,015 (-20,282)
Others: 11(+4) Dove Cameron - Boyfriend 506,747 (-46,813) 12(+5) Doja Cat - Need to Know 485,544 (-57,102) 13(=) GAYLE - abcdefu 485,500 (-72,713) 14(+6) Doja Cat - Woman 483,981 (-54,056) 15(-4) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 483,047 (-88,101) 16(-6) Labrinth, Zendaya - I'm Tired 481,331 (-96,524) 17(-3) Justin Bieber - Ghost 481,271 (-74,968) 18(-2) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 479,955 (-62,804) 20(-8) Drake - Knife Talk 478,337 (-85,087) 21(+6) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 443,657 (-13,818) 22(-1) Becky G, KAROL G - MAMIII 441,167 (-77,953) 23(+3) Frank Ocean - Lost 430,489 (-38,531) 24(-2) Camila Cabello - Bam Bam 427,352 (-90,930) 25(-2) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 414,699 (-74,692) 27(-2) Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz, Encanto Cast - The Family Madrigal 411,726 (-58,673) 28(+9) Arctic Monkeys - 505 405,326 (-7,788) 30(+2) lil Shordie Scott - Rocking A Cardigan in Atlanta 399,044 (-29,168) 33(+3) Yeat - Monëy so big 381,457 (-35,564) 34(-4) Adele - Easy On Me 380,624 (-50,626) 35(=) Em Beihold - Numb Little Bug 379,923 (-43,252) 37(DEBUT) Nirvana - Something In The Way 367,544 38(+6) SZA - I Hate U 359,735 (-35,562) 39(-15) Machine Gun Kelly - ay! 356,803 (-129,668) 40(+10) The Rare Occasions - Notion 356,080 (-10,487) 41(+4) Labrinth - Mount Everest 353,144 (-34,061) 42(-1) Post Malone - One Right Now 351,795 (-52,442) 43(-1) Tate McRae - she's all i wanna be 348,024 (-53,864) 44(-4) Lil Durk - Broadway Girls 347,739 (-59,413) 45(-2) Dua Lipa - Levitating 342,838 (-52,939) 47(-8) Tyga, Doja Cat - Freaky Deaky 340,530 (-67,634) 48(-10) Latto - Big Energy 339,769 (-72,825) 51(-5) Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz - What Else Can I Do? 332,661 (-48,962) 52(+16) Tyler the Creator - See You Again 321,231 (-13,005) 53(+1) Labrinth, Zendaya - All For Us 319,616 (-42,024) 54(+1) Charlie Puth - Light Switch 316,679 (-41,596) 55(-4) Juice WRLD - Cigarettes 316,653 (-49,157) 56(+13) Tyler the Creator - NEW MAGIC WAND 314,637 (-17,870) 59(+17) Vundabar - Alien Blues 312,007 (-8,549) 60(-2) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 310,467 (-35,191) 61(+6) Lauren Spencer-Smith - Fingers Crossed 307,680 (-29,477) 65(-12) King Von, 21 Savage - Don't Play That 302,396 (-63,034) 68(+2) Gunna - P power 298,644 (-31,180) 70(+18) Surf Curse - Freaks 296,303 (-8,063) 71(-12) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 296,026 (-48,864) 72(+11) The Neighbourhood - Softcore 295,764 (-13,023) 73(-16) Lil Durk - AHHH HA 294,945 (-52,873) 76(+2) Playboi Carti - Sky 291,375 (-25,667) 78(-17) Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg - Still D.R.E. 290,427 (-49,322) 79(+30) Beach House - Space Song 283,872 (+6,358) 80(+4) Ruth B. - Dandelions 289,376 (-18,161) 83(-2) Elley Duhé - Middle of the Night 285,175 (-24,481) 85(+7) Khalid - Last Call 279,769 (-20,016) 87(-2) Jaymes Young - Infinity 275,522 (-30,470) 91(-44) Dominic Fike, Zendaya - Elliot's Song 271,268 (-104,159) 95(-13) Fivio Foreign, Kanye West, Alicia Keys - City of Gods 266,596 (-42,657) 97(=) Gunna - Banking On Me 264,693 (-29,997) 99(-6) Stephanie Beatriz - Waiting on a Miracle 263,629 (-36,042)
109(-5) Muni Long - Hrs and Hrs 259,469 (-27,828) 110(+12) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 259,031 (-15,663) 116(-11) Nardo Wick - Me or Sum 251,810 (-35,449) 123(-3) Morgan Wallen - Sand in My Boots 245,579 (-29,504) 125(+8) JVKE - this is what falling in love feels like 245,265 (-15,952) 126(-10) Sebastian Yatra - Dos Oruguitas 244,063 (-34,262) 127(+2) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears Remix 240,923 (-26,849) 133(-5) Cody Johnson - 'Til You Can't 236,864 (-32,212) 134(-40) DaBaby, YoungBoy Never Broke Again - Turbo 235,906 (-62,768) 147(=) Kodak Black - Love & War 227,756 (-23,857) 148(+3) The Weeknd - Sacrifice 227,244 (-22,169) 152(-14) Russ - HANDSOMER 225,790 (-31,557) 155(-5) Rauw Alejandro, Chencho Corleone - Desesperados 224,408 (-25,766) 161(-2) Labrinth - Formula 222,410 (-23,258) 167(-27) Tiësto, Ava Max - The Motto 220,299 (-36,685) 170(+3) ERNEST - Flower Shops 218,253 (-21,220) 172(re-entry) Vacations - Young 216,369 175(-31) Gucci Mane - Rumors 214,746 (-40,699) 177(+16) BoyWithUke - Toxic 214,516 (-15,295) 185(re-entry) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 210,904 187(-6) Rod Wave - By Your Side 210,890 (-25,194) 195(-15) Zach Bryan - From Austin 206,972 (-29,700) 200(-81) King Von - Straight To It 205,460 (-70,672)
Total Streams for Save Your Tears: 499,954
So for those wondering (like me) why the hell a deepcut from Nirvana is charting at all, let alone debuting in the Top 50, it's because it was apparently used in the recent Batman movie. I haven't seen the movie and don't follow movie Twitter so I wouldn't have known.
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Zoibator
Charting
Joined: February 2021
Posts: 400
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Post by Zoibator on Mar 7, 2022 10:39:46 GMT -5
You guys are setting yourselves up for disappointment. Neither Dua nor Meg are on "automatic #1 debut" level yet. "Savage" was a grower and needed a big name remix to actually go #1 later on, and "WAP" was a cultural shocker and had Cardi B. Meanwhile Dua has gotten to #2 twice but both times she grew into that peak after airplay built for months. Of course if the song is some huge thing a la "WAP", maybe... something that shocking wouldn't really fit what Dua has done so far, though. I think debut-wise it ain’t gonna reach too high but with time, and if radio pushes it, I believe it could reach very high OR we’ll get the same result as Prisoner/ Demeanor got..
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Post by dodgerslakers94 on Mar 7, 2022 10:45:20 GMT -5
On the charts? At number one? What are we talking here? Also, this is the first I'm hearing of a collab between them, but I'm here for it. it'll spend 9-10 weeks before it's pulled off of streaming services entirely, duh ;) I accidentally spilled my drink 😅😁
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gikem
3x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2020
Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Mar 7, 2022 11:04:12 GMT -5
You guys are setting yourselves up for disappointment. Neither Dua nor Meg are on "automatic #1 debut" level yet. "Savage" was a grower and needed a big name remix to actually go #1 later on, and "WAP" was a cultural shocker and had Cardi B. Meanwhile Dua has gotten to #2 twice but both times she grew into that peak after airplay built for months. Of course if the song is some huge thing a la "WAP", maybe... something that shocking wouldn't really fit what Dua has done so far, though. I think debut-wise it ain’t gonna reach too high but with time, and if radio pushes it, I believe it could reach very high OR we’ll get the same result as Prisoner/ Demeanor got.. If people love the song to the point of listening repeatedly and it connects at the right time, it'll smash right out of the gate. If not, that's OK, not everything with two massive names on it was meant to do that, but I certainly wouldn't mind a sleeper run after a big debut like with One Right Now. Frankly, between this and Bam Bam, I'm just happy that we're finally getting a couple of big songs from big names to break up the stagnation of mainstream music right now. I'm sick of looking at the Hot 100 and Mediabase Pop Radio Top 10s and seeing the same few songs just sitting there, moving at a snail's pace, and blocking fresher songs from getting higher.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Mar 7, 2022 11:12:21 GMT -5
Meg and Dula aren’t quite at auto-#1 yet but I think they’re both in the position to strike, particularly if this song is instantly catchy. As spring approaches, I think people will be craving new music in time for summer and the time is almost perfect for that, both with no real competition, and with both spring coming and things opening up/plans being made (but maybe that’s just in my neck of the woods?). Either way, I can see this song being the perfect storm for the charts just as much as it can be a flash in the pan before being forgotten. So, I guess this entire post is pointless lmao
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Mar 7, 2022 11:49:18 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 03 » / « 07 »
1(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 90.64(+0.18) 2(=) GAYLE - abcdefu (feat. Royal & the Serpent) 83.75(+0.01) 3(=) The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber - Stay 82.36(-0.24) 4(=) Justin Bieber - Ghost 82.13(-0.22) 5(=) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 77.12(+0.46) 6(=) Adele - Easy On Me 76.02(-0.36) 7(=) Doja Cat - Need To Know 60.37(-0.40) 8(+1) Latto - Big Energy 56.86(+0.44) 9(-1) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 56.37(-0.96) 10(=) Post Malone & The Weeknd - One Right Now 55.49(-0.34)
11(+1) Doja Cat - Woman 54.66(+0.99)
15(=) Imagine Dragons - Enemy From League Of Legends 44.71(+1.18)
18(+1) Sza - I Hate U 39.44(+0.89)
-(-) Tate Mcrae - she's all i wanna be 11.85(+0.70)
-(-) Camila Cabello - Bam Bam (feat. Ed Sheeran) 9.85(+1.63) -(-) Marc Anthony - Mala 9.59(+0.82) + -(-) Becky G. & KAROL G - MAMIII 8.93(+2.35) ++ -(-) 5 Seconds of Summer - COMPLETE MESS 7.95(+1.79)
-(-) Anuel Aa - Subelo f/Myke Towers 2.92(+1.31) + -(-) Eladio Carrion - Alejarme De Ti f/Jay Wheeler 2.84(+1.92) + -(-) Enrique Iglesias - Te Fuiste 1.92(+1.47) +
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