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Post by Deleted on Apr 16, 2024 12:11:28 GMT -5
Really surprised they seem so on board with this still heading into top ten territory… streaming is bad and I feel like it has a far worse burn-rate than either BIR or GHB. Which CHR rejected around this range. I kinda feel like she is rapidly burning through loads and loads of goodwill this era that is going to make her have to comeback with something truly undeniable like the first 3 Sour singles for era 3…
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 17, 2024 8:43:33 GMT -5
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 18, 2024 9:47:17 GMT -5
Top 10 on Pop although most likely SZA is going to leapfrog this tomorrow.
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 19, 2024 17:41:22 GMT -5
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 20, 2024 17:00:35 GMT -5
Part of it is due to Taylor's release but this big of a hit might mean pop radio could already be done with this?
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 21, 2024 7:21:03 GMT -5
So it was indeed just Taylor yesterday.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2024 13:16:48 GMT -5
Hope this is done very soon tbh. It feels like the epitome of a song resting on its artist’s name to get anywhere.
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Post by collin on Apr 21, 2024 17:40:03 GMT -5
Really surprised they seem so on board with this still heading into top ten territory… streaming is bad and I feel like it has a far worse burn-rate than either BIR or GHB. Which CHR rejected around this range. I kinda feel like she is rapidly burning through loads and loads of goodwill this era that is going to make her have to comeback with something truly undeniable like the first 3 Sour singles for era 3… It just reminds me of Under My Skin. Sometimes it’s fine to have one major hit and several moderate ones. She’ll be fine!
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Post by Choco on Apr 21, 2024 18:32:13 GMT -5
Really surprised they seem so on board with this still heading into top ten territory… streaming is bad and I feel like it has a far worse burn-rate than either BIR or GHB. Which CHR rejected around this range. I kinda feel like she is rapidly burning through loads and loads of goodwill this era that is going to make her have to comeback with something truly undeniable like the first 3 Sour singles for era 3… It just reminds me of Under My Skin. Sometimes it’s fine to have one major hit and several moderate ones. She’ll be fine! Concerning. UMS was fine but Avril trended down significantly with each album so Olivia needs to avoid that with album #3. By album #4 Avril was stuck into an unavoidable diminishing returns trend.
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 22, 2024 11:35:35 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Apr 22, 2024 12:37:46 GMT -5
It just reminds me of Under My Skin. Sometimes it’s fine to have one major hit and several moderate ones. She’ll be fine! Concerning. UMS was fine but Avril trended down significantly with each album so Olivia needs to avoid that with album #3. By album #4 Avril was stuck into an unavoidable diminishing returns trend. Girlfriend was such an interesting moment for her. On the one hand, it was the most chart and mainstream-baiting song she’d ever done, so it made sense why it was her biggest hit. On the other, it made her sound significantly more pandering to a younger audience right as she was getting older and her fans were mostly becoming adult age. I think it set her up to be in an awkward position going into album 4 in her late twenties, where the super young sound and image maybe started to come off a bit inauthentic to a young demo and alienating to her OG fans (see a song like Hello Kitty for example).
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Post by Choco on Apr 22, 2024 12:53:29 GMT -5
It's a perfect example of a #1 hit killing your career because it was so poppy and such a departure of her image until then.
It's like if Olivia came out with a "ME!" type of song. Or Billie pivoted to drop a song like "Side to Side". We might enjoy it at first but wouldn't it destroy what image and sound they've built so far? "Girlfriend" kinda did that for Avril and a lot of her more rock oriented fanbase abandoned her.
Honestly was it even Avril's biggest hit? "Complicated" still feels like a bigger deal and I think general audiences might remember that and "I'm With You" more.
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Post by pnobelysk on Apr 22, 2024 15:42:49 GMT -5
I love Avril discourse. I could see complicated edging out girlfriend, but I’d say girlfriend is more known than I’m with you.
Regarding Avril’s album after girlfriend … it’s important to remember Avril wanted nothing to do with the bratty songs for that project which caused serious delays until the record label made her record what the hell (banger) and smile ( kinda a mess but works in the right mood I guess )
The rest of that 4th album is acoustic music. I actually think girlfriend / the best damn thing era really worked for her even if it was polarizing. I think her career would’ve looked different if runaway was released after when you’re gone instead of hot which was a total flop. Following hot and the best damn thing totally flopping and Alice being rough she still had enough momentum to get a big hit with what the hell .
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Post by collin on Apr 22, 2024 22:39:39 GMT -5
It's a perfect example of a #1 hit killing your career because it was so poppy and such a departure of her image until then. It's like if Olivia came out with a "ME!" type of song. Or Billie pivoted to drop a song like "Side to Side". We might enjoy it at first but wouldn't it destroy what image and sound they've built so far? "Girlfriend" kinda did that for Avril and a lot of her more rock oriented fanbase abandoned her. Honestly was it even Avril's biggest hit? "Complicated" still feels like a bigger deal and I think general audiences might remember that and "I'm With You" more. Her debut was pretty enormous and it will be hard to outpeak that. Most people trend down slightly after their first records… especially the Interscope girls. Billie, Gaga, etc. Despite Guts being less of a success she has still been everywhere, tour is successful, fan base is happy, critical and GP goodwill is intact. I hope they go with a single from the standard edition to close out the era. We could use another ballad single, the last 3 have all been the same vibe.
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Post by Choco on Apr 23, 2024 8:52:01 GMT -5
I don't think she needed to top SOUR. But vampire is the only single that felt like it reached it's max potential. Which is weird because she had three huge ones last time (plus traitor but they took forever to push that).
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 23, 2024 9:50:15 GMT -5
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 24, 2024 8:26:40 GMT -5
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Post by fearlessarrow on Apr 25, 2024 9:50:55 GMT -5
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Post by avamaxstan on Apr 25, 2024 10:00:03 GMT -5
Arriving with an earth-shattering debut at age 17 is a double edged sword. For Britney, Avril and Billie, it was their commercial peak that was unattainable again. Female pop artists usually only get one "imperial era." I suspect it will be the same for Olivia, but with her fanbase and talent she isn't going anywhere.
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Post by joshtheking on Apr 25, 2024 10:41:26 GMT -5
Ugh this looks like to be getting the same treatment as BIR and GHB, streaming is just evaporating. Hopefully radio can keep it afloat for a bit at least
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Post by haven on Apr 25, 2024 11:16:16 GMT -5
Im surprised anyone had high expectations for this. Sure, it's olivia, but its also a deluxe track and she's just not at the level of popularity where those can sustain themselves yet, plus its the fourth single.
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Post by g8erboi on Apr 25, 2024 11:33:08 GMT -5
Her prism era
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2024 12:15:11 GMT -5
I love Avril discourse. I could see complicated edging out girlfriend, but I’d say girlfriend is more known than I’m with you. Regarding Avril’s album after girlfriend … it’s important to remember Avril wanted nothing to do with the bratty songs for that project which caused serious delays until the record label made her record what the hell (banger) and smile ( kinda a mess but works in the right mood I guess ) The rest of that 4th album is acoustic music. I actually think girlfriend / the best damn thing era really worked for her even if it was polarizing. I think her career would’ve looked different if runaway was released after when you’re gone instead of hot which was a total flop. Following hot and the best damn thing totally flopping and Alice being rough she still had enough momentum to get a big hit with what the hell . I definitely wouldn’t go so far as to say “big hit” with WTH. It was a much smaller success than any of her big hits from her prior 3 albums. If anything, coming off of an album with a smash like GF, it was pretty much the big red flag her status of major mainstream relevancy was in real danger. Then of course nothing else ignited from the album, and that kinda sealed her fate as her big hitmaker days being over. I personally think Smile was where it was at for a hit there, but those verse lyrics are pretty terrible and might have sunk it even with a big lead push (downright problematic with verse 2). At any rate I agree with Choco about TBDT sound being such a huge departure for her at the time that it did more damage than good. I do remember Avril fans being “outraged” when GF hit that she would go so pop (which always irritated me that pop always tends to get attacked as “lesser”, but I digress). I saw that Nostradamus twitter account that I only know because some people keep bringing them up here (do we have any reason to believe they’re legit?) was mentioning that OR3 is already started and Olivia’s label is pushing her to go away from rock and towards pop on it. Pretty damn ironic if true, she really is Avril’s career twin haha. Though as I had mentioned earlier in this thread, I think songs more in the vein of Deja Vu than this bratty pop-punk she’s worn out would do wonders for her.
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Post by leonagwen on Apr 25, 2024 14:53:40 GMT -5
Olivia needs to change it up on her next album, the punk rock vibe worked with Good 4 U but Bad Idea Right underpermed and it looks like Obsessed is hitting a brick wall. She should stick to doing power ballads like Vampire and Drivers License.
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Post by pnobelysk on Apr 25, 2024 15:06:04 GMT -5
I love Avril discourse. I could see complicated edging out girlfriend, but I’d say girlfriend is more known than I’m with you. Regarding Avril’s album after girlfriend … it’s important to remember Avril wanted nothing to do with the bratty songs for that project which caused serious delays until the record label made her record what the hell (banger) and smile ( kinda a mess but works in the right mood I guess ) The rest of that 4th album is acoustic music. I actually think girlfriend / the best damn thing era really worked for her even if it was polarizing. I think her career would’ve looked different if runaway was released after when you’re gone instead of hot which was a total flop. Following hot and the best damn thing totally flopping and Alice being rough she still had enough momentum to get a big hit with what the hell . I definitely wouldn’t go so far as to say “big hit” with WTH. It was a much smaller success than any of her big hits from her prior 3 albums. If anything, coming off of an album with a smash like GF, it was pretty much the big red flag her status of major mainstream relevancy was in real danger. Then of course nothing else ignited from the album, and that kinda sealed her fate as her big hitmaker days being over. I personally think Smile was where it was at for a hit there, but those verse lyrics are pretty terrible and might have sunk it even with a big lead push (downright problematic with verse 2). At any rate I agree with Choco about TBDT sound being such a huge departure for her at the time that it did more damage than good. I do remember Avril fans being “outraged” when GF hit that she would go so pop (which always irritated me that pop always tends to get attacked as “lesser”, but I digress). I saw that Nostradamus twitter account that I only know because some people keep bringing them up here (do we have any reason to believe they’re legit?) was mentioning that OR3 is already started and Olivia’s label is pushing her to go away from rock and towards pop on it. Pretty damn ironic if true, she really is Avril’s career twin haha. Though as I had mentioned earlier in this thread, I think songs more in the vein of Deja Vu than this bratty pop-punk she’s worn out would do wonders for her. I agree about the tragic smile verses. They really diminish a lovely chorus. And TBDT Deff splits people I do think what the hells peaks can be deceiving. It sold 2.1 million in the US. It’s quadruple platinum in Canada and double platinum in Australia and Japan. It was her last song to go gold in the UK. It’s probably her 6 biggest hit and there’s no shame in being behind the 5 it’s behind. But yeah smile and onward really changed how her career worked. I almost think it’s lucky here’s to never growing up was as big as it was
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2024 16:26:19 GMT -5
I definitely wouldn’t go so far as to say “big hit” with WTH. It was a much smaller success than any of her big hits from her prior 3 albums. If anything, coming off of an album with a smash like GF, it was pretty much the big red flag her status of major mainstream relevancy was in real danger. Then of course nothing else ignited from the album, and that kinda sealed her fate as her big hitmaker days being over. I personally think Smile was where it was at for a hit there, but those verse lyrics are pretty terrible and might have sunk it even with a big lead push (downright problematic with verse 2). At any rate I agree with Choco about TBDT sound being such a huge departure for her at the time that it did more damage than good. I do remember Avril fans being “outraged” when GF hit that she would go so pop (which always irritated me that pop always tends to get attacked as “lesser”, but I digress). I saw that Nostradamus twitter account that I only know because some people keep bringing them up here (do we have any reason to believe they’re legit?) was mentioning that OR3 is already started and Olivia’s label is pushing her to go away from rock and towards pop on it. Pretty damn ironic if true, she really is Avril’s career twin haha. Though as I had mentioned earlier in this thread, I think songs more in the vein of Deja Vu than this bratty pop-punk she’s worn out would do wonders for her. I agree about the tragic smile verses. They really diminish a lovely chorus. And TBDT Deff splits people I do think what the hells peaks can be deceiving. It sold 2.1 million in the US. It’s quadruple platinum in Canada and double platinum in Australia and Japan. It was her last song to go gold in the UK. It’s probably her 6 biggest hit and there’s no shame in being behind the 5 it’s behind. But yeah smile and onward really changed how her career worked. I almost think it’s lucky here’s to never growing up was as big as it was Oh wow, WTH really sold that much?? Yeah, I had no idea. Do we know if that was a long, slow sales build or it really did sell well at the time? Smile is one of the biggest, hookiest choruses in her entire catalog to my ear. Dare I say even bigger than GF’s chorus? Fantastic chorus lyrics as well that should have been universal. Really is tragically let down by verses (though I do enjoy the pre-chorus as well).
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Post by Love Plastic Love on Apr 25, 2024 17:51:44 GMT -5
What The Hell was definitely a solid hit, but radio just wouldn't go all in for it and I think it even missed the top 10 on pop. That kind of led to her missing some of the momentum needed to string together other hits or really propel the album sales. The comparison to Olivia feels almost identical. I wonder what she could do to avoid that? Like, I am a little afraid that her next lead single will be bouncy and poppy and feature Nicki Minaj or something lol.
I definitely feel like an old person trying to analyze what "missed" with BIR, GHB, and Obsessed. Like, why aren't the young people interested in streaming her anymore? LOL. That seems to be one of the elements really letting her down this era. But people did stream Vampire, so maybe it is just finding the right song/sound.
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Post by Leo ✔ on Apr 25, 2024 18:39:53 GMT -5
I hope her next material leans more in the sound of "Can't Catch Me Now" and/or "Deja Vu". I'm still mad they didn't even try to push "Can't Catch Me Now" since it was really good and had solid stream towards the end of last year and the start of this year.
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Post by sportytheartist on Apr 25, 2024 18:40:42 GMT -5
I'm still mad they didn't even try to push "Can't Catch Me Now" since it was really good and had solid stream towards the end of last year and the start of this year. Yea, I believe that song had potential on Pop radio, at least in the top 20-30
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on Apr 25, 2024 19:21:23 GMT -5
I'm totally fine with her sound rn, bad idea right?, get him back, obsessed (and love is embarrassing) ALL BOPS, but I agree, she needs more songs like deja vu and Can't Catch Me Now.
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