HITS 11/27: Rihanna 238k, Phillips 172k, Rock 147k

[areyoureadytojump]

It's another big week. 13 major releases...

The regular Tuesday release date has been pushed up to Monday.

The new releases should be available shortly on iTunes and on shelves at retailers today.

Let's start with a look at the Target circular:

weeklyad.target.com/brooklyn-ny-11217/pages?code=Target-121118#14

Kid Rock $9.99
Thalia $11.99
Phillips Phillips Standard $9.99, Deluxe $13.99
Rihanna Standard $9.99, Deluxe $12.99
Keyshia Cole Standard $9.99, Deluxe $13.99
Pitbull Standard $9.99, Deluxe $12.99
Kelly Clarkson $9.99

Next, the Best Buy circular (on page 27):

bestbuy.shoplocal.com/bestbuy/default.aspx?action=entryflash&

Rhianna Standard $9.99, Deluxe $14.99
Led Zeppelin (2cds) $14.99
Pitbull Standard $9.99, Deluxe $14.99
Kid Rock $9.99
Keyshia Cole Standard $9.99, Deluxe $14.99
Phillip Phillips Standard $9.99, Deluxe $14.99
Kelly Clarkson $7.99
AC/DC (2cds) $14.99
Slash (w/ dvd) $19.99
Coldplay (w/ dvd) $19.99

More at Amazon.com:

www.amazon.com/s/ref=sr_pg_1?rh=n%3A5174%2Cp_n_date%3A20121119%2Cp_n_binding_browse-bin%3A387645011&ie=UTF8&qid=1353302235

Nicki Minaj re-release
Elvis Costello
Uncle Kracker
Il Volo
3 Doors Down GH

The New Release Schedule's projections:

Rihanna 225k
Kid Rock 150k
Philip Phillips 150k
Led Zeppelin Live 100k
Pitbull 80k
Coldplay 75k
AC/DC 75k
Keyshia Cole 75k
Kelly Clarkson 50k
Nicki Minaj re-release 35k
Il Volo 25k
Thalia 13k

These projections are about 6 weeks old so they could have changed. And based on last week's projections, many of these albums will sell much less than the projection.

Last year's Black Friday week's sales were kind of disappointing:

HITS: CHART DATE: 11/28/2011

www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/archcht.cgi?cht475

-- 1 NICKELBACK ROADRUNNER 225,325 --
2 2 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 218,815 +29%
-- 3 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 197,040 --
1 4 DRAKE YM/CM/UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 173,618 -74%
-- 5 MARY J. BLIGE GEFFEN 164,700 --
5 6 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 140,151 +66%
3 7 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 138,465 +21%
-- 8 DAUGHTRY 19/RCA 130,015 --
15 9 SCOTTY MCCREERY MERC NASH/19/INTERSCOPE 89,522 +181%
9 10 COLDPLAY CAPITOL/EMI 82,767 +53%
-- 11 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 77,256 --
-- 12 BIG TIME RUSH NICKELODEON/COLUMBIA 72,167 --
7 13 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 40 CAPITOL/EMI 67,251
23 14 LIL WAYNE CASH MONEY/UNIV REPUBLIC 62,790 +147%
39 15 THE BAND PERRY REPUBLIC NASHVILLE 56,986 +264%
36 16 LMFAO INTERSCOPE 56,419 +231%
4 17 ANDREA BOCELLI DECCA 54,362 -38%
-- 18 BOB SEGER & THE SILVER BULLET BA CAPITOL/EMI 52,118 --
8 19 TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN CHOP SHOP/ATLANTIC 51,791 -24%
-- 20 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 50,637

[damita34]

I hope Keyshia can cross 100K

[Nick]

The AC/DC catalog is now on itunes after years of them holding out. Could we see a lot of re-entries?

appleinsider.com/articles/12/11/19/acdc-library-now-available-on-apples-itunes-store

[Devil Marlena Nylund]

Can you imagine if one of their albums sells enough to outsell Rihanna? Or if something crazy happens to prevent her from getting the #1 album? If Billboard is going to change the rules for the chart for any reason at all, it'll be this one. ;)

[HolidayGuy]

I don't think digital copies would sell enough to challenge for No. 1. Back in Black currently is No. 50 on iTunes.

[when the pawn...]

So the albums in play this week are Taylor Swift, One Direction, Kid Rock, Phillip Phillips and Rihanna. Should be interesting.

[DJ General]

Nov 19, 2012 9:46:18 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

I don't think digital copies would sell enough to challenge for No. 1. Back in Black currently is No. 50 on iTunes.

Well, to be fair, most people have no idea it is available on iTunes yet as it is 7AM on the West Coast and 10AM on the East Coast. I don't think it will be #1, but it will surely be in the Top 10 at iTunes soon enough.

[NeRD]

Interesting week for sure.

[Agent Yoncé]

Wow. They're still predicting her to do 225k? Let's she if she can finally do it.

[josh]

Nov 19, 2012 13:02:47 GMT -5 Agent Yoncé said:

Wow. They're still predicting her to do 225k? Let's she if she can finally do it.

"These projections are about 6 weeks old so they could have changed."

[Agent Yoncé]

Nov 19, 2012 13:04:20 GMT -5 josh said:

Nov 19, 2012 13:02:47 GMT -5 Agent Yoncé said:

Wow. They're still predicting her to do 225k? Let's she if she can finally do it.

"These projections are about 6 weeks old so they could have changed."

Oh. Didn't see that

[NeRD]

www.hitsdailydouble.com/news/rumormill.cgi


Quote:
DIAMONDS ARE FOREVER: Rihanna’s whirlwind, globe-trotting 777 Tour, hitting seven cities in seven days, ends tomorrow night in New York, following stops in Mexico City, Toronto, Stockholm, Paris, Berlin and London. The promo gambit was created to support Ri Ri’s new Def Jam/IDJ longplayer Unapologetic—not that it needs any help. The album looks like it will over-perform, powered by her hit single “Diamonds,” with major props going to IDJ topper Steve Bartels and to her manager, Roc Nation’s Jay Brown, who helped Rihanna A&R the project. (11/19a)

[areyoureadytojump]

HITS says 275k for Rihanna. I don't know.

[NeRD]

Nov 19, 2012 13:18:38 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

HITS says 275k for Rihanna. I don't know.

Those were the initial predictions, and they are expecting her to overperform? :o

[Deleted]

Go Riri!

[areyoureadytojump]

^They really don't know yet. The album just went on sale today.

It should do better than last year's 197k for TTT.

[Wavey✨️]

That is very nice. I mean her promo is on point this time, so why not over-estimate?

[p0isonparadise.]

I'm thinking 205k-215k, her first #1.

[areyoureadytojump]

^^Sometimes when you over-estimate, you end up disappointed.

I'd rather be surprised! (Kendrick Lamar, Weeknd, etc...)

[ritymeez]

Hoping for over 300K. Come on Robyn Fenty. Bass SLAP to the top.

[josh]

LOL. She's never come close to 300k. She's not going to now.

[fridayteenage]

What were the projections for Katy Perry vs. actual opening again?

[Verisimilitude]

Nov 19, 2012 14:10:42 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

What were the projections for Katy Perry vs. actual opening again?

700K projected, just under 200K for the final result.

[Agent Yoncé]

Wishful thinking.

[Love Plastic Love]

Nov 19, 2012 14:14:20 GMT -5 Verisimilitude said:

Nov 19, 2012 14:10:42 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

What were the projections for Katy Perry vs. actual opening again?

700K projected, just under 200K for the final result.

Lord, I still do not get that huge mistake.


I am surprised they are predicting so much for Rihanna. I wonder what it will be that makes her sell so much this time. She has had bigger hits, more promotion, and cds following much bigger eras before and never threatened 300K before.

[areyoureadytojump]

That 700k projection was about a month before Katy's album came out.

No one has mentioned 300k for Rihanna.

[Love Plastic Love]

Nov 19, 2012 14:53:38 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

That 700k projection was about a month before Katy's album came out.

No one has mentioned 300k for Rihanna.

So the current prediction isn't 275K+? Is that a typo from Hits?

[Deleted]

I don't get why Rihanna would do more this time. Diamonds is nowhere near as big as We Found Love was at this point. I'm guessing 190k, as usual.

Phillip x2 will prob crack 200k since he's an Idol that actually has a hit.

If 1D only fall by 60%, they'll be over 200k.

Taylor and Rod will re-surge from the Black Friday shoppers.

Kid Rock really seems like the wildcard.

[areyoureadytojump]

Nov 19, 2012 14:56:29 GMT -5 Love Plastic Love said:

Nov 19, 2012 14:53:38 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

That 700k projection was about a month before Katy's album came out.

No one has mentioned 300k for Rihanna.

So the current prediction isn't 275K+? Is that a typo from Hits?

HITS said 275k.

When they said "over-perform," retailers had just opened. That's their opinion.

We'll find out tomorrow!

[Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815...]