Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 1, 2011 10:20:58 GMT -5
FF is opening more than Blackout did right? And it's doing good in AUS. Geez, people need to calm down. Blackout hasn't even reached 1 million and not even 3 million ww. Let's just wait to see how well it does in the long run. I'm very optimistic that this won't be her least selling studio album
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Post by when the pawn... on Apr 1, 2011 10:29:39 GMT -5
Holy crap @ Adele! She'll be at 1 million in a week and a half-ish!
It's not bad for Britney but it's not so good. Her starpower should be able to push 350k. When's the TTWE video coming?
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Apr 1, 2011 11:00:41 GMT -5
FF is opening more than Blackout did right? And it's doing good in AUS. Geez, people need to calm down. Blackout hasn't even reached 1 million and not even 3 million ww. Let's just wait to see how well it does in the long run. I'm very optimistic that this won't be her least selling studio album Blackout did 292k.
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Apr 1, 2011 11:54:24 GMT -5
I just bought Britney last night. Not everyone rushes out to buy things.
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worldwide
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Post by worldwide on Apr 1, 2011 13:32:41 GMT -5
I just bought Britney last night. Not everyone rushes out to buy things. HDD also count on that when they make predictions.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Apr 1, 2011 13:50:03 GMT -5
^Indeed. Like said, the projections for Spears' album is strong, but not overwhelming, given past success. On a side note, it's surprising how lackluster the singles have been faring at UK radio.
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halo19
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Post by halo19 on Apr 1, 2011 15:08:49 GMT -5
Really lame that Radiohead's album wasn't counted in digital release. The reason why the numbers are low is because the CD rip was available, at $15 as an option. There was also the $10 version.
It seems like the one fans have been less excited about, so I guess it's another reason to expect that. I was a bit overwhelmed, since they have such a loyal base.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 1, 2011 15:15:47 GMT -5
On a side note, it's surprising how lackluster the singles have been faring at UK radio. No it's not. "Gimme More" barely scraped the top 20 and I don't think "3" even charted.
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HEADOFTHEPACK
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Post by HEADOFTHEPACK on Apr 1, 2011 15:20:18 GMT -5
On a side note, it's surprising how lackluster the singles have been faring at UK radio. No it's not. "Gimme More" barely scraped the top 20 and I don't think "3" even charted. Rather. She does essentially zero promo over here. GM made #3, and POM made #2, but apart from that, her appearances on the singles charts in particular have been pretty average. It's like her success chart-wise in the US and UK has switched entirely
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Apr 1, 2011 15:23:43 GMT -5
^Indeed. Like said, the projections for Spears' album is strong, but not overwhelming, given past success. On a side note, it's surprising how lackluster the singles have been faring at UK radio. What do you mean lackluster? "Hold It Against Me" was a top 10 radio hit in the UK (albeit without longevity). "Till The World Ends" radio performance in the UK though has been piss poor, only making the top 100 for a week at #93. She's been doing better on UK radio since "Womanizer", though it's still pretty hit and miss there.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Apr 1, 2011 22:25:28 GMT -5
A solid era for Brit. I'm wondering what kind of numbers Gaga will bring. 500-600k. my guess is 625kish. and to whatever rumours there was of brit having 6 singles...i dont see that unless there is a re release, which isnt something i see either
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Apr 1, 2011 23:39:19 GMT -5
No it's not. "Gimme More" barely scraped the top 20 and I don't think "3" even charted. Rather. She does essentially zero promo over here. GM made #3, and POM made #2, but apart from that, her appearances on the singles charts in particular have been pretty average. It's like her success chart-wise in the US and UK has switched entirely Yep, even during her Britney era she had extremely good single peaks in the UK, but now her singles are doing well in the US but mostly underperforming in the UK.
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David
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Post by David on Apr 2, 2011 0:13:15 GMT -5
i honestly think this will be her lowest selling studio album, in US and worldwide :( Unless she has huge hits and more promo Sad because it's easily up there with Blackout and ITZ. At least as far as how solid it is goes. I think Blackout is the most solid, while FF and ITZ have the better high points. ITZ is still her best overall IMO. The diversity of it is what brings it up. Plus, it's aged really well. Britney is also good, but i don't think it's aged very well
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Apr 2, 2011 9:10:04 GMT -5
Well, yeah, HIAM's lack of longevity at UK radio would would make its performance lackluster, no?
The performances are surprising because that kind of music does pretty well in the UK. And, you'd think radio would give her more play as she's been one of the top female singles acts, in terms of top 10 hits and all that.
In terms of critical success, I'd expect FF to follow the path of past Spears albums and not make a big splash on the year-end lists.
RE Stephanie G- I'd expect first -week sales to top 500K.
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c0ldasfire
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Post by c0ldasfire on Apr 3, 2011 11:43:21 GMT -5
I really hope that she can pull past the 300k mark, rumors are that it sold 192k copies its first 3 days so hopiing that it can scan 108k copies this weekend. If the TTWE video debuts this week, I predict the album won't have as steep of 2nd week decline, and hopefully the album will see a sales boost this coming Easter. And if the Ellen performance does indeed get rescheduled and airs soon that will help as well.
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 3, 2011 12:20:23 GMT -5
I really hope that she can pull past the 300k mark, rumors are that it sold 192k copies its first 3 days so hopiing that it can scan 108k copies this weekend. If the TTWE video debuts this week, I predict the album won't have as steep of 2nd week decline, and hopefully the album will see a sales boost this coming Easter. And if the Ellen performance does indeed get rescheduled and airs soon that will help as well. Where did you get the 192K figure? That'll be interesting. I honestly believe that this album will have lesser decline since it's opening with a relatively small number. Hopefully all the appearances, video for TTWE and headlines of a #1 debut will keep the album in the spotlight for awhile and give it publicity
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Post by Peaches. [Ch, r. is] on Apr 3, 2011 12:40:49 GMT -5
I still don't get why everyone is saying "this is bad for a Britney debut"
Baby One More Time - #1, 120k. 1999 Oops! I Did It Again - #1, 1.3 million. 2000 Britney - #1, 770k. 2001 In The Zone - #1, 609k. 2003 GH:MP - #4, 240k. 2004 Blackout - #2, 290k. 2007 Circus - #1, 505k 2008
She's only had one opening that sold more than this since her real comeback (Blackout).
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David
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Post by David on Apr 3, 2011 14:07:48 GMT -5
I wouldn't be surprised if she did sell like 192k in the first 3 days. Her iTunes sales indicate she has a lot of die hard fans who rush to buy.
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 3, 2011 14:28:20 GMT -5
I wouldn't be surprised if she did sell like 192k in the first 3 days. Her iTunes sales indicate she has a lot of die hard fans who rush to buy. I'm actually surprised that the deluxe version is selling more
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PDC1987
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Post by PDC1987 on Apr 3, 2011 14:39:02 GMT -5
I still don't get why everyone is saying "this is bad for a Britney debut" Baby One More Time - #1, 120k. 1999 Oops! I Did It Again - #1, 1.3 million. 2000 Britney - #1, 770k. 2001 In The Zone - #1, 609k. 2003 GH:MP - #4, 240k. 2004 Blackout - #2, 290k. 2007 Circus - #1, 505k 2008 She's only had one opening that sold more than this since her real comeback (Blackout). You really can't figure it out, even after posting that list? It's her second lowest first week sales for a studio album ever, behind only her debut.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Apr 3, 2011 21:22:11 GMT -5
I still don't get why everyone is saying "this is bad for a Britney debut" Baby One More Time - #1, 120k. 1999 Oops! I Did It Again - #1, 1.3 million. 2000 Britney - #1, 770k. 2001 In The Zone - #1, 609k. 2003 GH:MP - #4, 240k. 2004 Blackout - #2, 290k. 2007 Circus - #1, 505k 2008 She's only had one opening that sold more than this since her real comeback (Blackout). um one awful way to figure it using the comeback...but circus opened bigger, and blackout could possibly too
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Apr 3, 2011 22:34:56 GMT -5
Why would a video soften the second-week decline? Either way, it's going to drop by at least 60%. Plus, it's not like the HIAM video helped out that track.
Most albums sell the bulk of their copies in the first few days, unless it's by an act that appeals to a wide spectrum of audiences- this album/act really doesn't.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 4, 2011 1:47:54 GMT -5
The HIAM video came out way to late...No one cared anymore by that time tbh.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Apr 4, 2011 5:42:41 GMT -5
I still don't get why everyone is saying "this is bad for a Britney debut" Baby One More Time - #1, 120k. 1999 Oops! I Did It Again - #1, 1.3 million. 2000 Britney - #1, 770k. 2001 In The Zone - #1, 609k. 2003 GH:MP - #4, 240k. 2004 Blackout - #2, 290k. 2007 Circus - #1, 505k 2008 She's only had one opening that sold more than this since her real comeback (Blackout). lol and those two albums are the only ones she has released since her so-called comeback. So called because three years is not very long absence. I'd put it that this debut is good considering the current sales climate in general and she's a pop act with very current and digital friendly sound. Compare to first week sales of Teenage Dream. Femme Fatale won't have the legs of TD though. But sales climate doesn't explain it all: Adele's 21 has sold 100k per week in a row in the UK. A feat that has never been achieved before. NEVER. Talk about current sales climate. 21 has sold 1.75 million in the UK alone. That was off-topic again but nevertheless.
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 4, 2011 7:37:55 GMT -5
Why would a video soften the second-week decline? Either way, it's going to drop by at least 60%. Plus, it's not like the HIAM video helped out that track. Most albums sell the bulk of their copies in the first few days, unless it's by an act that appeals to a wide spectrum of audiences- this album/act really doesn't. Thanks for singling out Britney, when in fact, that applies to majority of artists nowadays. Just because Circus dropped 60% in its second week, we can't assume or predict it's gonna do the same to Femme Fatale. You have to take in the fact that that album sold 500K. This album is selling way less than that. Plus, her video showing, and Ellen performance might help generate more publicity. She only did promo for Circus on the day it was released and that's it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 4, 2011 9:53:04 GMT -5
I still don't get why everyone is saying "this is bad for a Britney debut" Baby One More Time - #1, 120k. 1999 Oops! I Did It Again - #1, 1.3 million. 2000 Britney - #1, 770k. 2001 In The Zone - #1, 609k. 2003 GH:MP - #4, 240k. 2004 Blackout - #2, 290k. 2007 Circus - #1, 505k 2008 She's only had one opening that sold more than this since her real comeback (Blackout). lol and those two albums are the only ones she has released since her so-called comeback. So called because three years is not very long absence. I'd put it that this debut is good considering the current sales climate in general and she's a pop act with very current and digital friendly sound. Compare to first week sales of Teenage Dream. Femme Fatale won't have the legs of TD though. But sales climate doesn't explain it all: Adele's 21 has sold 100k per week in a row in the UK. A feat that has never been achieved before. NEVER. Talk about current sales climate. 21 has sold 1.75 million in the UK alone. That was off-topic again but nevertheless. I think it's partly because Adeles main audience doesn't know how to illegally download, same with Susan Boyle.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Apr 4, 2011 10:04:42 GMT -5
You're right but it's still impressive. It might become the first 3 million selling album in the UK since James Blunt's Back to Bedlam.
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 4, 2011 10:05:41 GMT -5
lol and those two albums are the only ones she has released since her so-called comeback. So called because three years is not very long absence. I'd put it that this debut is good considering the current sales climate in general and she's a pop act with very current and digital friendly sound. Compare to first week sales of Teenage Dream. Femme Fatale won't have the legs of TD though. But sales climate doesn't explain it all: Adele's 21 has sold 100k per week in a row in the UK. A feat that has never been achieved before. NEVER. Talk about current sales climate. 21 has sold 1.75 million in the UK alone. That was off-topic again but nevertheless. I think it's partly because Adeles main audience doesn't know how to illegally download, same with Susan Boyle. :x I think Adele appeals to the younger demographic than Susan Boyle. Then again, Adele is a british act (?), so she gets good support there, and the albums really good. I'm really happy for her success right now
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Lockheart
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Post by Lockheart on Apr 4, 2011 10:14:21 GMT -5
I read that the 192K first three days sales came from the same person who said HIAM sold 411K
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tsw2008
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Post by tsw2008 on Apr 4, 2011 12:28:11 GMT -5
You're right but it's still impressive. It might become the first 3 million selling album in the UK since James Blunt's Back to Bedlam. Since Leona Lewis' Spirit, that album is over the 3 Million mark now. I think Adele will cross 3 Million and more. I really can't see her worldwide momentum slowing down at all, she has a couple of great follow up singles.
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